Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 November 2007 at 22:35:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.82     8.18    54.71    43.41    69.15    83.00    90.84    97.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.07     7.30    48.35    35.98    66.39    82.76    91.52    98.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.67     8.89    10.53     0.56     2.65     7.14    14.74    39.67     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.94     8.20    33.68     4.53    14.16    29.81    48.43    79.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.05     8.08    40.72    10.68    28.68    51.20    68.73    89.79     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.97     8.17    38.54     3.34    12.05    26.75    44.31    75.80     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.21     8.75    19.72     1.00     4.33    11.23    22.17    52.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.98     9.06    13.49     0.36     1.63     4.76    10.34    30.76     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.81     8.52     8.62     0.03     0.27     1.04     3.00    13.31     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.56     8.89    17.22     0.11     0.67     2.18     5.49    19.44     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.66     8.39   -11.33     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.31     1.95     1.26R    0.02  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.64     7.86   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.04R    1.15  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.62     8.22   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    11.29R    0.48  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.73     8.50    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.82     3.99R    0.11  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.19     8.48   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    17.07R    0.92  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.29     7.87   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    21.40R    1.52  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.89     7.60   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.72R    3.75  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.98     7.51   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.02R    3.45  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.76     7.52   -34.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.12R    6.37  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.61     5.44   -69.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.92R   82.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      88.06    10.13    28.18    31.56    57.29    90.95    64.91P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.07     9.35    50.36    43.18    68.83    95.23    78.03P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.89    10.22    15.62     4.96    13.38    54.46    24.27P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.25    10.15     0.99     1.04     3.71    28.88     8.86P    0.77R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.19    10.05     9.39     1.88     6.29    39.98    15.02P    0.41R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      79.92    10.67    30.95    11.05    27.08    72.68    38.80P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.22    10.57     8.59     1.65     5.00    30.65    11.55P    0.95R    0.02  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.18    10.14    -7.66     0.29     1.19    14.95     3.75P    2.72R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.70    10.31     1.91     0.72     2.57    21.91     6.98P    1.67R    0.10  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.30    10.30    -3.82     0.36     1.58    15.57     4.45P    2.90R    0.18  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.90    10.40    11.36     1.16     4.00    29.91    11.06P    1.02R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.84    10.22     6.23     0.59     2.32    22.73     7.14P    1.48R    0.10  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.98    10.74     2.89     0.68     2.58    21.40     6.85P    2.23R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.03    10.20    -5.23     0.11     0.55     8.30     2.38P    6.29R    0.39  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.90     9.74   -28.79     0.01     0.06     1.90     0.34P   20.57R    1.99  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.21    10.29    -3.47     0.12     0.63    10.25     2.72P    5.63R    0.34  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.71    10.61     6.12     0.28     1.27    14.04     5.29P    4.12R    0.31  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.73    10.17     5.37     0.17     0.83    13.34     3.82P    3.81R    0.30  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.99    10.82    -2.53     0.17     0.74     9.44     2.89P    7.85R    0.73  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.55    10.26   -20.56     0.01     0.06     1.30     0.33P   31.95R    4.84  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.21     9.66   -15.48     0.01     0.02     0.83     0.22P   31.32R    4.19  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.76     9.62   -31.73     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   52.27R   10.98  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.93     9.76   -12.86     0.00     0.02     0.96     0.27P   28.65R    3.67  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.53     8.12   -45.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.23R   71.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.50    10.08    36.42    18.43    38.47    86.65    52.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.67     9.93    -2.80     0.57     2.10    25.20     4.97P    0.71R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.22     9.56    47.77    31.06    55.31    93.64    69.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.73     8.76    60.20    37.41    64.36    96.57    77.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.80    10.20     8.35     0.92     3.38    33.95     8.25P    0.49R    0.00  
Swansea          15   25   +9      81.09    10.19    31.36     7.11    19.62    73.35    32.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.65     9.90    12.32     0.83     3.03    33.14     9.69P    0.37R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.36    10.07    17.46     1.44     5.13    44.41    15.30P    0.18R    0.00  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.52     9.79     7.84     0.28     1.19    19.71     4.96P    1.05R    0.03  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.27     9.47   -14.62     0.01     0.11     3.09     0.55P    9.87R    0.56  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.52     9.56   -23.39     0.01     0.05     2.37     0.39P   14.37R    1.04  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.31     9.70    -3.55     0.04     0.21     5.67     1.23P    5.57R    0.27  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.55    10.39    12.41     0.42     1.79    22.04     6.24P    1.45R    0.04  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      71.31    10.97    14.29     1.36     4.56    37.80    11.23P    0.80R    0.03  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.38     9.56   -15.19     0.01     0.03     1.41     0.29P   19.27R    1.90  
Luton            16   19   -2      60.13    10.25    -2.23     0.05     0.30     8.11     1.70P    5.71R    0.41  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      54.89     9.73   -12.20     0.00     0.04     2.70     0.49P   13.24R    1.08  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.89    10.37    -7.86     0.03     0.16     5.50     1.11P    9.02R    0.63  
Oldham           15   16   -3      56.24    10.36    -4.95     0.03     0.13     3.96     0.93P   11.70R    1.01  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      46.41     9.75   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   43.72R    8.74  
Millwall         16   13  -11      40.89     8.91   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   65.48R   18.84  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.19     8.90   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   71.34R   24.92  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.01     9.81   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   51.96R   12.80  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.69     9.12   -37.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   73.63R   27.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      97.07     9.15    52.01    50.23    84.82    98.71    89.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.94     9.53    43.68    18.89    62.14    93.90    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.15     9.37    41.46    15.92    59.11    93.36    71.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.08    10.11    17.72     2.56    16.52    63.48    26.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.98    10.04    19.23     1.92    14.13    60.33    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      78.19     9.97    21.06     2.10    16.76    65.15    28.99P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.61    10.47    33.61     7.38    32.53    79.17    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.35    10.20    10.29     0.45     4.90    34.21    12.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.72    10.12     5.78     0.17     2.37    22.45     7.11P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.28    10.22     7.78     0.19     2.68    24.36     7.35P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.95     9.97    -1.39     0.04     0.90    12.77     3.30P    0.18R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.18     9.87   -16.75     0.00     0.15     3.34     0.72P    1.50R    0.26  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.62     9.84    -2.69     0.02     0.40     8.64     2.14P    0.36R    0.07  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.42    10.16    -5.81     0.01     0.47     8.92     1.96P    0.59R    0.12  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.89    10.19   -11.19     0.01     0.24     5.70     1.18P    1.05R    0.23  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.67     9.85   -14.21     0.00     0.07     2.94     0.59P    1.84R    0.40  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.78    11.24    -0.91     0.11     1.52    15.09     4.37P    0.62R    0.14  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.88    10.22   -13.09     0.00     0.11     2.96     0.65P    2.56R    0.67  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.09     9.96   -15.65     0.00     0.06     2.21     0.44P    3.01R    0.73  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.35     8.49   -46.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.90R   21.05  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.82    10.39    -8.28     0.00     0.10     2.18     0.59P    4.11R    1.16  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.38     9.30   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.47R   11.01  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.26     9.61   -39.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.59R   22.98  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.79     8.67   -44.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.03R   41.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Aldershot vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.44     8.63    36.90    26.04    89.36    41.36P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.40     8.30    54.55    42.54    94.94    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.25     8.75    32.84     9.12    71.14    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.23     8.66    32.75     5.96    63.66    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.72     8.91    29.18     4.73    56.23    14.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.17     8.65    44.47    11.05    76.87    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      71.84     8.94    11.95     0.21    11.97     2.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.45     8.99     7.68     0.12     6.59     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.60     8.38     4.36     0.00     2.09     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.20     8.74     4.64     0.05     5.01     1.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      69.15     8.96     9.22     0.07     7.05     1.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.06     8.93     2.82     0.05     3.90     0.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.09     8.97    -1.28     0.00     1.61     0.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.62     8.86    -5.17     0.01     1.23     0.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.10     9.11    10.28     0.03     4.04     1.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.47     8.89    11.65     0.02     3.30     0.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.20     9.03    -0.64     0.01     0.84     0.18P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.20     8.33   -10.93     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.94R    0.01  
York                19   21   -6      54.92     8.67   -12.40     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.73R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      18   16  -14      41.56     8.44   -37.57     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.23R    0.31  
Altrincham          18   14  -15      40.57     8.51   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.78R    0.74  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.99     7.39   -47.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.34R    7.99  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.17     6.78   -68.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   31.40  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.39     6.76   -69.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.90R   59.55