Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 November 2007 at 22:34:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.95     8.01    54.67    43.99    70.27    83.93    91.40    98.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.81     7.39    47.94    34.98    64.85    81.56    90.92    98.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.48     8.89    10.29     0.62     2.67     7.08    14.30    38.96     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.71     8.18    33.27     4.21    13.62    28.74    47.44    78.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.02     8.25    40.61    11.07    29.14    51.31    68.65    89.46     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.89     8.32    38.58     3.41    12.21    27.07    44.74    75.55     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.17     8.98    19.70     1.10     4.43    11.84    23.05    53.35     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.77     9.17    13.16     0.46     1.77     4.93    10.36    30.10     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      57.12     8.60     9.24     0.05     0.33     1.16     3.30    14.44     0.05R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.71     8.78    17.52     0.12     0.67     2.22     5.41    19.91     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.62     8.42   -11.46     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.34     1.98     1.27R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.43     7.87   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.88R    1.43  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.30     8.22   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    12.36R    0.51  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.85     8.46    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.91     3.98R    0.13  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.57     8.66   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    16.26R    0.87  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.58     8.01   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    20.86R    1.60  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.95     7.48   -35.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.80R    3.46  
Bolton          13    8   -7      31.00     7.60   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.09R    3.39  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.79     7.56   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.27R    6.42  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.58     5.41   -69.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R   82.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.84    10.19    27.81    30.81    55.85    90.40    63.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.03     9.37    50.24    43.03    68.69    95.03    77.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.52    10.42    15.10     4.87    13.08    53.02    23.38P    0.14R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.20    10.12     0.91     0.97     3.78    28.83     9.06P    0.71R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.32    10.10     9.61     2.09     6.54    40.31    15.38P    0.37R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.35    10.68    31.77    11.97    28.63    74.04    40.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.38    10.51     8.76     1.55     4.90    31.06    11.47P    0.92R    0.02  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.64    10.10    -6.89     0.30     1.28    15.74     3.92P    2.55R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.93    10.20     2.21     0.69     2.68    22.23     6.89P    1.59R    0.10  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.47    10.38    -3.55     0.49     1.71    16.22     4.75P    2.91R    0.18  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.71    10.25    11.04     1.05     3.65    28.69    10.50P    0.95R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.39    10.23     5.49     0.52     2.19    21.74     6.90P    1.64R    0.11  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.76    10.54     2.58     0.62     2.34    20.22     6.40P    2.27R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.12    10.24    -5.02     0.12     0.64     8.61     2.58P    6.34R    0.35  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.69     9.75   -29.11     0.01     0.05     1.92     0.34P   21.22R    2.02  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.98    10.50    -3.91     0.20     0.77    10.41     2.85P    5.94R    0.38  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.71    10.84     6.10     0.34     1.45    14.65     5.66P    4.41R    0.37  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.17    10.13     6.19     0.20     0.96    13.85     4.17P    3.36R    0.26  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.06    10.75    -2.45     0.15     0.70     9.45     2.77P    7.68R    0.74  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.58    10.27   -20.40     0.01     0.06     1.30     0.34P   31.64R    4.61  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.43     9.75   -15.17     0.00     0.03     0.95     0.28P   30.82R    3.89  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.79     9.59   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   51.78R   10.34  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.90     9.88   -12.88     0.00     0.04     1.06     0.30P   29.12R    3.74  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.18     8.16   -46.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.59R   72.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 16 November 2007, Swansea vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.49    10.00    36.53    18.00    37.01    85.76    51.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.15     9.48    47.90    30.14    54.38    93.13    68.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      68.45    10.21    -3.81     0.57     2.21    23.54     4.67P    0.88R    0.03  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.66    10.32    30.78     6.87    18.20    69.58    30.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      73.81    10.73    13.05     2.16     6.41    43.02    12.54P    0.30R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.35    10.31    12.80     1.19     3.91    33.94    10.66P    0.32R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.46     8.97    61.73    36.43    62.22    95.24    75.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      74.17    10.38    18.18     2.02     6.43    45.43    16.18P    0.16R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.60     9.63   -23.19     0.01     0.05     2.11     0.28P   14.03R    0.82  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.14    10.35     8.10     0.47     1.71    21.09     5.65P    1.14R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      66.64    10.87    11.21     0.66     2.18    21.24     6.49P    1.69R    0.05  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.71    11.00    13.30     1.23     4.07    33.41     9.69P    0.87R    0.03  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.23    10.27    -3.21     0.07     0.33     7.13     1.61P    5.27R    0.24  
Crewe            15   20   -3      54.00    10.06   -17.55     0.01     0.07     2.10     0.39P   16.40R    1.37  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.92    10.04   -12.65     0.01     0.10     2.66     0.51P   13.43R    1.04  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.97    10.19    -7.85     0.04     0.16     4.74     1.02P    8.11R    0.47  
Luton            15   18   -2      60.26    10.50    -2.81     0.06     0.31     7.82     1.67P    5.92R    0.34  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.63    10.34   -12.55     0.01     0.05     2.35     0.47P   17.21R    1.69  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      46.49     9.59   -34.55     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   42.62R    7.29  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.38    10.62    -3.79     0.04     0.19     5.06     1.21P    9.90R    0.78  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.31     9.37   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   58.18R   13.85  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.18     9.81   -27.81     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   50.08R   11.07  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.40     8.97   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   73.55R   25.46  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.46     9.08   -41.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    79.91R   35.43  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      92.89     9.93    45.69    36.63    71.53    95.72    78.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.66    10.04    44.78    23.28    60.99    92.26    70.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.23    10.42    26.02     6.38    27.29    73.96    38.36P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.75    10.38    25.00     5.98    25.80    72.36    37.62P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.55     9.89    37.94    13.75    47.77    88.31    61.59P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.83    10.39    33.91     9.24    34.09    78.95    45.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.23    10.58    18.00     2.97    16.26    59.32    25.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.87    10.57     9.35     0.62     5.13    32.35    11.24P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.70    10.76    10.63     0.67     5.28    32.19    11.76P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.98    10.24   -15.36     0.05     0.44     5.13     1.25P    1.29R    0.25  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.20    10.67     1.74     0.14     1.52    14.65     4.38P    0.41R    0.09  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.16    10.60    -5.98     0.04     0.55     7.79     2.04P    1.02R    0.20  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.28    10.24   -11.74     0.01     0.22     4.09     0.94P    1.83R    0.39  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.76    10.56   -11.15     0.02     0.42     6.93     1.45P    1.33R    0.31  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.74    11.14    -1.06     0.15     1.53    14.66     4.16P    0.66R    0.15  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.64    10.52    -4.19     0.04     0.42     6.92     1.82P    1.17R    0.22  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      55.98    10.62   -12.68     0.01     0.25     4.54     1.03P    2.36R    0.61  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.60    10.68    -9.16     0.01     0.37     6.05     1.40P    1.89R    0.51  
Bradford             15   15   -7      49.27    10.30   -20.39     0.00     0.05     1.27     0.30P    7.90R    2.26  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.49     9.46   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.98R   13.18  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.39    10.52    -7.26     0.00     0.09     2.32     0.62P    4.87R    1.43  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.68     9.63   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   26.07R   10.57  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.67     9.36   -40.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.93R   27.76  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.51     8.93   -46.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.19R   42.06  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.93     8.91    36.17    21.44    85.55    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.83     8.71    53.66    36.03    92.05    48.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.08     8.74    49.64    23.46    87.32    44.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      88.15     8.86    36.64    11.67    75.34    30.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      80.91     9.13    25.07     2.73    43.95    12.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.39     9.18    25.76     3.13    46.44    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.48     9.30    16.05     0.63    19.96     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.00     9.42    14.79     0.43    14.25     3.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.06     9.34     9.45     0.21     9.44     2.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.80     9.09     4.89     0.06     6.62     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.13     9.21     4.01     0.09     5.40     1.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.39     8.61     3.90     0.01     1.72     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      62.09     9.11    -5.12     0.02     1.47     0.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.45     9.18    12.27     0.06     4.76     1.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.49     9.38    -6.61     0.00     0.76     0.11P    0.25R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.09     9.45     5.48     0.02     2.14     0.53P    0.11R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.02     9.41     3.02     0.01     2.17     0.44P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.75     8.66   -12.32     0.00     0.08     0.02P    1.20R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.24     9.16    -6.93     0.01     0.60     0.10P    0.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.11     8.83   -36.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    0.25  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.47     8.53   -44.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    2.37  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.68     7.81   -46.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.06R    7.62  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.40     6.97   -69.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.33R   29.95  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.27     6.79   -72.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.09R   59.81