Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 November 2007 at 22:34:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.01     8.09    54.82    44.28    69.68    83.46    91.22    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.10     7.23    48.29    35.44    66.74    83.26    91.89    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.67     8.94    10.60     0.58     2.61     7.29    14.84    39.63     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.89     8.09    33.63     4.27    13.76    29.16    47.55    79.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      76.95     8.12    40.53    10.56    28.68    50.82    68.31    89.20     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      72.05     8.24    38.62     3.43    12.09    26.97    45.32    75.96     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.24     8.79    19.77     0.95     4.04    11.20    22.24    53.54     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.62     9.02    12.83     0.32     1.44     4.32     9.57    29.38     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.63     8.62     8.35     0.03     0.23     1.06     2.98    13.43     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.86     8.87    17.72     0.14     0.72     2.37     5.76    20.28     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.24     8.40   -12.27     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.23     1.78     1.45R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.56     7.85   -40.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.69R    1.28  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.71     8.24   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    11.60R    0.42  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.68     8.37    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.70     3.98R    0.09  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.45     8.49   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    16.34R    0.85  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.47     7.91   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    21.08R    1.44  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.17     7.47   -35.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.06R    3.32  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.97     7.41   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.13R    3.26  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.65     7.48   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.38R    6.35  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.53     5.39   -69.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.15R   82.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.78    10.09    27.75    30.95    56.47    90.23    64.13P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.04     9.46    50.33    43.73    69.09    94.94    78.02P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.88    10.34    15.64     5.14    13.73    54.56    24.28P    0.13R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.13    10.20     0.85     1.10     3.88    28.37     9.01P    0.79R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.13    10.12     9.35     2.04     6.57    39.28    15.17P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      79.85    10.70    30.86    10.83    26.85    72.69    38.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.16    10.49     8.53     1.53     4.76    30.50    11.07P    0.87R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.65    10.16    -6.89     0.38     1.47    15.90     4.06P    2.54R    0.17  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.76    10.14     2.00     0.64     2.54    21.84     6.81P    1.50R    0.07  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.83    10.33    -2.95     0.47     1.82    16.86     4.98P    2.52R    0.13  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.92    10.13    11.37     1.07     3.60    29.53    10.89P    0.92R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.28    10.39     5.27     0.45     2.13    21.93     6.77P    1.87R    0.08  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.95    10.58     2.85     0.64     2.54    21.21     6.90P    2.19R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.28    10.17    -4.72     0.13     0.61     8.60     2.54P    6.07R    0.31  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.46     9.53   -29.56     0.01     0.06     1.55     0.25P   21.53R    1.99  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.00    10.40    -3.81     0.13     0.67    10.21     2.73P    6.03R    0.39  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.53    10.62     5.88     0.32     1.25    13.76     5.25P    4.18R    0.35  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.20    10.21     6.21     0.22     1.06    14.66     4.51P    3.43R    0.23  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.18    10.88    -2.28     0.19     0.79     9.71     2.95P    7.81R    0.80  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.81    10.31   -20.01     0.01     0.07     1.35     0.38P   31.28R    4.75  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.39     9.61   -15.22     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.21P   30.64R    3.66  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.76     9.57   -31.92     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   52.24R   10.13  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.73     9.91   -13.22     0.01     0.04     1.12     0.32P   29.67R    4.01  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.31     8.16   -46.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.34R   72.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.63     9.80    36.75    15.70    33.54    85.93    49.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.02     9.63    47.87    26.30    48.61    92.14    64.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.34    10.19    -2.24     0.60     2.04    24.51     4.54P    0.61R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      87.08    10.44    41.88    18.36    36.69    85.31    48.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.14    10.74    13.49     2.08     5.91    43.04    11.92P    0.25R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.27    10.51    12.68     1.02     3.41    32.89     9.82P    0.41R    0.01  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.62     8.87    62.36    32.49    58.04    95.30    73.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.32    10.51    16.91     1.50     4.82    40.47    13.17P    0.25R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      66.93    10.15     7.84     0.30     1.21    18.83     4.42P    0.97R    0.04  
Swindon          14   20   +7      66.83    10.84    11.58     0.54     1.77    20.66     5.83P    1.36R    0.04  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.49    10.84    12.92     0.90     3.06    31.27     8.27P    0.76R    0.02  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.63    10.25    -2.68     0.09     0.30     7.19     1.60P    4.24R    0.20  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.45     9.94   -18.51     0.01     0.04     1.70     0.28P   16.03R    1.36  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      48.99     9.62   -32.80     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.10P   30.64R    3.53  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.22    10.09   -14.26     0.02     0.07     2.19     0.36P   14.32R    1.29  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.69    10.21    -8.29     0.02     0.11     4.31     0.84P    7.93R    0.49  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.32    10.56    -4.50     0.05     0.22     6.24     1.22P    6.62R    0.49  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.57    10.18   -12.84     0.01     0.04     1.81     0.34P   16.06R    1.62  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.17     9.81   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P   37.92R    6.47  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.93    10.55    -3.11     0.01     0.11     4.83     1.06P    8.20R    0.65  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.35     9.38   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   56.11R   13.49  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.31     9.74   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   47.94R   10.45  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.26     8.98   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.99R   25.80  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.75     9.25   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   77.40R   34.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      92.98     9.97    45.91    36.52    71.19    95.55    77.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.10    10.06    43.80    21.58    58.23    91.64    67.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.56    10.44    26.50     6.54    28.37    74.31    39.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.74    10.38    24.94     5.91    25.14    72.27    36.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      87.09     9.97    38.77    14.98    49.97    88.72    63.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.37    10.36    34.88     9.69    35.47    80.34    47.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.18    10.61    17.96     3.03    15.90    59.04    25.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.62    10.45     8.98     0.61     4.74    30.97    10.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.83    10.65    10.88     0.67     5.08    32.30    11.82P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.60    10.18   -16.04     0.03     0.32     4.60     1.03P    1.47R    0.30  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.38    10.65     2.02     0.16     1.55    14.85     4.31P    0.43R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.45    10.57    -5.54     0.03     0.57     8.18     2.13P    0.98R    0.22  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.23    10.29   -11.78     0.01     0.24     4.14     0.93P    1.85R    0.40  
Stockport            15   19   -5      59.07    10.68   -10.56     0.03     0.55     7.45     1.67P    1.20R    0.27  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.71    11.09    -1.10     0.13     1.51    14.29     4.09P    0.65R    0.17  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.80    10.41    -3.89     0.03     0.39     6.97     1.90P    0.98R    0.21  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.09    10.64   -12.49     0.03     0.32     4.79     1.16P    2.08R    0.52  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.86    10.51    -8.70     0.02     0.35     6.11     1.38P    1.54R    0.36  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.94    10.37   -20.92     0.00     0.04     1.17     0.26P    8.32R    2.46  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.17     9.42   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   31.93R   13.16  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.04    10.40    -7.88     0.01     0.07     2.09     0.51P    4.91R    1.43  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.40     9.64   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.55R   10.59  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.07     9.69   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   48.99R   25.94  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.02     8.82   -47.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.00R   43.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      92.11     8.91    36.53    22.80    85.95    37.58P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.57     8.75    53.09    34.98    91.60    47.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.08     8.70    49.65    23.50    87.35    44.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.58     8.97    35.74    10.95    72.63    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.25     9.17    25.71     3.02    45.58    12.86P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.30     9.21    25.52     3.16    45.96    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.69     9.33    16.36     0.69    20.49     5.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      71.92     9.29    14.69     0.39    13.83     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.33     9.37     9.86     0.23     9.93     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.94     9.16     5.07     0.12     6.74     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.35     9.32     4.45     0.05     5.79     1.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.02     8.74     3.42     0.01     1.70     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.93     9.11    -5.38     0.01     1.47     0.31P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.49     9.25    12.26     0.05     4.78     1.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.61     9.19    -6.39     0.00     0.77     0.12P    0.23R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.45     9.42     6.08     0.02     2.18     0.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.28     9.44     3.52     0.02     2.58     0.56P    0.07R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.56     8.60   -12.70     0.00     0.08     0.02P    1.18R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      57.82     9.23    -7.65     0.01     0.60     0.11P    0.32R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.21     8.86   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.77R    0.22  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.54     8.53   -44.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.10R    2.14  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.45     7.74   -46.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.05R    7.79  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.54     7.05   -69.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.71R   29.20  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.13     6.77   -72.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.35R   60.63