Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 November 2007 at 22:34:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.02     8.11    54.97    43.77    69.62    83.28    91.08    97.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.18     7.19    48.38    35.77    66.49    83.16    91.98    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.37     8.89    10.13     0.50     2.29     6.75    13.77    38.43     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.87     8.21    33.60     4.29    13.82    29.05    47.20    78.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.20     8.12    40.82    10.94    28.70    51.01    69.08    90.11     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      72.27     8.21    39.14     3.30    12.35    27.80    46.02    76.91     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.25     8.84    19.79     0.93     4.26    11.23    22.36    53.67     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.65     9.14    12.92     0.40     1.62     4.55     9.96    29.39     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.93     8.64     8.85     0.03     0.32     1.21     3.28    14.19     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.57     8.81    17.32     0.09     0.52     1.86     4.97    19.42     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.46     8.32   -11.62     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.25     1.76     1.27R    0.00  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.57     7.80   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.46R    1.29  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.31     8.05   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    11.77R    0.43  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.63     8.29    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.61     3.95R    0.13  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.43     8.60   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    16.68R    0.86  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.28     7.83   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    21.43R    1.59  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.95     7.56   -35.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.27R    3.73  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.86     7.39   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.83R    3.55  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.95     7.54   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.12R    6.13  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.66     5.45   -69.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.06R   82.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.93    10.08    28.02    31.57    56.77    90.95    64.60P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      89.92     9.41    50.09    42.75    68.43    95.19    77.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.85    10.42    15.56     5.14    13.86    54.71    24.75P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.19    10.13     0.92     1.10     3.91    28.80     9.14P    0.76R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      70.43    10.04     8.39     1.88     5.77    37.06    13.65P    0.38R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.04    10.73    31.21    11.46    27.89    73.27    39.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.39    10.33     8.80     1.47     4.76    31.07    11.35P    0.81R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.50    10.06    -7.18     0.29     1.27    15.63     4.04P    2.26R    0.11  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.99    10.26     2.41     0.70     2.88    22.68     7.17P    1.54R    0.08  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.52    10.34    -3.44     0.45     1.81    16.35     4.76P    2.80R    0.21  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.52    10.28    10.79     1.07     3.50    28.48    10.24P    1.14R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.61    10.28     5.89     0.57     2.30    22.42     7.23P    1.72R    0.06  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.18    10.49     3.20     0.68     2.60    21.73     6.98P    2.04R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.21    10.20    -4.88     0.12     0.55     8.69     2.39P    6.29R    0.37  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.86     9.63   -28.87     0.02     0.06     1.95     0.32P   20.74R    1.92  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.97    10.31    -3.93     0.12     0.63     9.77     2.64P    6.08R    0.42  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.61    10.69     5.95     0.29     1.30    14.05     5.36P    4.27R    0.33  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.27    10.16     6.26     0.20     0.93    14.43     4.35P    3.49R    0.29  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.99    10.65    -2.61     0.12     0.68     9.15     2.71P    7.79R    0.77  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.82    10.27   -19.96     0.00     0.05     1.45     0.37P   31.43R    4.43  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.13     9.57   -15.58     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.19P   31.44R    3.95  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.86     9.70   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P   52.42R    9.96  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.07     9.81   -12.69     0.01     0.03     0.98     0.26P   28.54R    3.47  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.10     8.13   -46.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.86R   73.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.64     9.95    36.84    16.13    33.85    85.22    49.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.29     9.47    48.26    27.32    50.23    92.75    66.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.29    10.15    -2.37     0.60     2.09    23.90     4.62P    0.56R    0.01  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.70    10.49    41.29    17.46    35.61    84.10    47.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.17    10.59    13.61     1.93     5.78    42.56    11.51P    0.20R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.49    10.29    13.00     0.93     3.20    32.93     9.50P    0.28R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.41     8.94    62.14    32.00    57.06    95.03    72.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.72    10.39    17.47     1.58     4.89    41.69    13.72P    0.23R    0.01  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.15    10.09     8.11     0.36     1.31    19.25     4.64P    0.90R    0.02  
Swindon          14   20   +7      66.94    10.89    11.76     0.55     1.91    21.25     6.33P    1.37R    0.06  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.43    11.02    12.77     0.96     3.19    31.10     8.41P    0.89R    0.04  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.54    10.35    -2.80     0.07     0.27     7.06     1.54P    4.67R    0.24  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.72    10.08   -18.20     0.01     0.06     1.94     0.33P   15.43R    1.27  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      48.78     9.55   -33.16     0.01     0.01     0.58     0.09P   30.56R    3.44  
Northampton      15   19   -1      53.81     9.88   -14.97     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.27P   14.52R    1.13  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      58.06    10.39    -7.80     0.02     0.12     4.94     1.06P    7.42R    0.43  
Luton            15   18   -2      60.16    10.52    -3.21     0.06     0.25     6.95     1.42P    5.59R    0.36  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.58    10.05   -12.81     0.00     0.03     1.68     0.29P   15.45R    1.71  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.33     9.87   -33.18     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   37.38R    6.26  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.45    10.71    -3.67     0.01     0.10     4.77     1.07P    9.11R    0.69  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.24     9.28   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   56.15R   12.98  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.20     9.77   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   47.81R   10.14  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.27     9.03   -32.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   71.75R   24.84  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.06     9.09   -42.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    79.71R   36.37  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.17     9.91    46.11    37.58    72.21    95.94    78.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.36     9.95    44.09    22.09    59.93    92.38    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      80.94    10.46    25.52     6.15    26.22    72.48    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.91    10.30    25.15     5.79    26.03    73.29    38.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.52     9.92    37.91    13.62    47.82    88.12    61.68P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.12    10.46    34.51     9.76    34.80    79.57    46.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.41    10.67    18.36     3.31    16.69    60.01    26.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.83    10.61     9.27     0.65     5.36    32.01    11.58P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.79    10.64    10.82     0.60     5.11    32.52    11.79P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.44    10.22   -16.33     0.03     0.33     4.55     1.07P    1.53R    0.30  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.65    10.61     2.55     0.13     1.65    15.28     4.38P    0.31R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.36    10.45    -5.78     0.04     0.49     7.64     1.96P    0.91R    0.17  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.19    10.30   -11.87     0.01     0.22     4.17     0.95P    1.99R    0.45  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.88    10.61   -10.88     0.03     0.49     7.14     1.55P    1.18R    0.29  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.67    11.07    -1.20     0.15     1.54    14.13     4.05P    0.67R    0.16  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.60    10.36    -4.23     0.03     0.40     6.72     1.71P    1.05R    0.24  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.01    10.62   -12.50     0.01     0.27     4.57     1.05P    2.20R    0.54  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.84    10.50    -8.83     0.02     0.33     5.95     1.37P    1.63R    0.41  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.53    10.33   -21.61     0.00     0.03     1.08     0.24P    9.43R    2.98  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.18     9.29   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.02R   13.47  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.32    10.36    -7.37     0.00     0.08     2.16     0.56P    4.71R    1.37  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.75     9.74   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   25.99R   10.79  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.12     9.75   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.10R   26.91  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.50     8.80   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.17R   41.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      92.04     8.88    36.33    21.70    86.11    37.14P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.93     8.67    53.73    36.20    92.34    49.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.09     8.76    49.59    23.50    87.31    44.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.81     8.86    36.08    10.99    73.82    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.19     9.16    25.55     3.19    45.22    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.24     9.24    25.47     3.08    45.87    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.43     9.23    15.90     0.54    19.98     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.04     9.24    14.85     0.38    14.07     3.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      69.96     9.27     9.25     0.17     9.08     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.84     9.05     4.97     0.06     6.59     1.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.37     9.25     4.47     0.07     5.87     1.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.11     8.64     3.57     0.02     1.65     0.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.80     9.12    -5.60     0.01     1.50     0.26P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.45     9.15    12.22     0.05     4.66     1.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.42     9.14    -6.73     0.01     0.68     0.14P    0.29R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.43     9.43     6.04     0.01     2.22     0.56P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.35     9.41     3.56     0.01     2.39     0.53P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.59     8.61   -12.56     0.00     0.07     0.02P    1.18R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      57.64     9.12    -8.02     0.00     0.55     0.10P    0.35R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.13     8.74   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.56R    0.20  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.63     8.66   -44.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.80R    2.38  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.68     7.80   -46.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.44R    8.02  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.65     7.10   -69.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.90R   29.06  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.34     6.81   -72.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.14R   60.34