Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 November 2007 at 22:34:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.88     8.11    54.65    43.74    69.29    82.81    90.70    97.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.88     7.32    48.07    35.25    65.57    82.23    91.22    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.69     8.78    10.64     0.59     2.54     7.07    14.47    39.35     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      73.22     8.28    34.20     4.95    15.02    31.18    49.63    79.56     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.02     8.11    40.60    10.63    28.87    50.79    68.50    89.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.81     8.18    38.30     3.12    11.49    25.92    43.32    75.27     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.34     8.79    20.07     1.07     4.43    11.61    22.56    53.46     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.13     9.08    13.73     0.44     1.70     4.77    10.54    30.83     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.89     8.51     8.81     0.05     0.31     1.04     3.01    13.45     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.45     9.04    17.12     0.16     0.78     2.50     5.69    19.34     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.44     8.31   -11.80     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.26     1.74     1.31R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.35     7.81   -40.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    23.16R    1.13  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.70     8.21   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    11.45R    0.48  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.70     8.32    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.65     3.88R    0.13  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.66     8.58   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    15.75R    0.69  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.13     7.91   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.05R    1.45  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.20     7.71   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.10R    3.53  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.93     7.48   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.12R    3.24  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.76     7.55   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.34R    5.85  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.29     5.24   -70.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.69R   83.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      88.00    10.05    28.18    31.52    57.19    90.91    64.93P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      89.77     9.38    49.86    42.27    67.66    94.91    76.81P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      75.12    10.23    15.94     5.01    13.44    55.70    24.65P    0.11R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.37    10.07     1.21     1.20     3.85    28.89     9.01P    0.75R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.27     9.98     9.52     1.86     6.25    39.87    15.01P    0.29R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.03    10.78    31.27    11.86    28.03    72.77    39.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.33    10.33     8.78     1.37     4.48    30.74    11.16P    0.85R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.82    10.22    -6.68     0.38     1.54    16.36     4.35P    2.50R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.83    10.32     2.11     0.80     2.83    22.12     7.09P    1.74R    0.09  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.09    10.32    -4.07     0.42     1.65    15.16     4.27P    3.07R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.96    10.40    11.38     1.12     3.95    29.87    11.24P    1.01R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.41    10.27     5.56     0.51     2.21    21.42     6.70P    1.75R    0.08  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.91    10.61     2.74     0.64     2.41    20.88     6.60P    2.25R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      58.98    10.13    -5.28     0.13     0.63     8.35     2.45P    6.18R    0.39  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.58     9.62   -29.31     0.00     0.06     1.62     0.29P   21.51R    2.08  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.01    10.39    -3.83     0.16     0.69     9.97     2.72P    5.97R    0.33  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.79    10.64     6.17     0.35     1.40    14.26     5.58P    3.92R    0.24  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.92    10.18     5.77     0.23     0.94    13.57     3.94P    3.74R    0.29  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.80    10.81    -2.90     0.15     0.66     9.01     2.69P    8.32R    0.83  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.83    10.27   -20.03     0.02     0.07     1.44     0.40P   30.97R    4.28  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.44     9.63   -15.13     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.22P   30.50R    3.54  
QPR              15   15  -10      44.14     9.72   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   51.04R    9.76  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.70     9.82   -13.22     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.28P   29.63R    3.78  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.04     8.10   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.82R   73.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.52     9.90    36.67    15.45    33.09    85.14    48.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.22     9.40    47.99    26.46    49.71    92.85    65.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.08    10.24    -2.70     0.56     1.99    23.76     4.47P    0.59R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.85    10.42    41.52    17.66    35.44    85.03    47.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.06    10.55    13.40     1.66     5.42    42.65    11.35P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.44    10.31    13.01     0.96     3.23    32.71     9.46P    0.37R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.78     8.94    62.68    33.65    58.95    95.31    73.89P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.35    10.45    16.97     1.54     4.73    40.45    13.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.60    10.33     8.82     0.42     1.54    20.98     5.38P    0.91R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      67.02    10.70    11.94     0.47     1.70    20.99     5.83P    1.30R    0.05  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.39    11.10    12.75     0.99     3.30    31.25     8.49P    0.95R    0.04  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.64    10.36    -2.66     0.07     0.27     7.33     1.69P    4.52R    0.24  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.61     9.90   -18.27     0.01     0.06     1.73     0.31P   15.26R    1.14  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.52     9.65   -31.92     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.08P   28.41R    3.00  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.16     9.95   -14.30     0.01     0.06     1.93     0.35P   14.15R    1.16  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.60     9.90    -8.37     0.01     0.09     3.62     0.67P    7.43R    0.42  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.86    10.48    -3.64     0.04     0.23     6.66     1.32P    5.94R    0.45  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.05    10.13   -13.66     0.01     0.04     1.80     0.32P   16.99R    1.65  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      46.96     9.76   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P   38.77R    6.69  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.52    10.65    -3.60     0.04     0.13     4.54     1.00P    9.00R    0.63  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.66     9.25   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   54.66R   12.20  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.18     9.80   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   48.20R   10.78  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      37.94     8.89   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.64R   26.15  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.35     9.16   -42.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.46R   35.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      92.83     9.93    45.58    36.15    71.53    95.79    78.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.25     9.94    43.95    22.17    59.19    92.36    68.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      80.99    10.57    25.67     6.72    27.37    72.49    37.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.46    10.56    24.48     6.00    25.55    71.30    37.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.51     9.92    37.88    14.12    47.97    88.23    61.69P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.24    10.42    34.64    10.05    35.98    80.24    47.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      76.86    10.66    17.45     2.92    15.77    58.17    25.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.74    10.58     9.14     0.71     5.38    31.99    11.38P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.70    10.63    10.70     0.66     5.19    32.36    11.79P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.77    10.32   -15.78     0.03     0.34     5.06     1.12P    1.45R    0.32  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.46    10.59     2.13     0.16     1.53    14.82     4.33P    0.43R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.26    10.63    -5.85     0.04     0.63     8.02     2.08P    1.12R    0.24  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.16    10.21   -11.94     0.02     0.23     4.10     0.94P    2.04R    0.47  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.91    10.72   -10.82     0.06     0.53     7.53     1.67P    1.38R    0.38  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      63.00    11.15    -0.61     0.10     1.59    15.41     4.44P    0.54R    0.11  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.98    10.52    -3.72     0.05     0.50     7.54     2.10P    1.05R    0.21  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.26    10.54   -12.19     0.01     0.29     4.75     1.22P    2.13R    0.59  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.56    10.66    -9.21     0.02     0.34     6.12     1.34P    1.95R    0.53  
Bradford             15   15   -7      49.12    10.38   -20.65     0.00     0.04     1.24     0.27P    8.68R    2.52  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.49     9.50   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   31.69R   13.66  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.08    10.47    -7.81     0.00     0.06     2.26     0.54P    5.13R    1.48  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.66     9.50   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.84R   10.63  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.96     9.40   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   50.91R   27.29  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.74     9.03   -45.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.53R   41.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.89     8.86    36.11    21.27    85.85    36.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.89     8.78    53.61    36.11    92.15    49.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.18     8.75    49.82    23.61    87.70    44.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.90     8.84    36.20    11.07    74.27    28.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.07     9.19    25.29     3.11    44.86    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.48     9.28    25.97     3.38    46.95    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.10     9.25    15.38     0.55    18.59     4.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      71.89     9.36    14.57     0.47    14.03     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.02     9.38     9.41     0.18     9.32     2.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.59     9.03     4.57     0.10     6.34     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.39     9.27     4.40     0.07     5.92     1.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.38     8.71     3.88     0.00     2.00     0.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.87     9.17    -5.49     0.00     1.52     0.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.31     9.15    11.95     0.03     4.66     1.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.34     9.14    -6.85     0.00     0.70     0.11P    0.21R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.15     9.47     5.53     0.01     2.05     0.50P    0.13R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.21     9.41     3.28     0.01     2.41     0.51P    0.12R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.72     8.66   -12.38     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.11R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.43     9.12    -6.53     0.00     0.61     0.11P    0.23R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.25     8.85   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.32R    0.23  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.80     8.67   -44.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.20R    2.15  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.60     7.78   -46.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.89R    7.86  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.41     7.04   -69.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.29R   30.34  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.31     6.76   -72.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.36R   59.42