Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 November 2007 at 22:34:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.11     8.06    55.22    44.98    70.37    83.61    91.38    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.81     7.31    47.88    34.00    64.75    81.58    90.98    98.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.60     8.68    10.48     0.58     2.35     6.56    13.70    39.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      73.05     8.08    33.85     4.35    14.15    30.07    48.54    79.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.30     8.12    41.06    11.36    29.94    52.16    69.65    90.26     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.85     8.24    38.48     3.16    11.36    26.31    44.08    75.32     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.19     8.93    19.74     1.07     4.46    11.52    22.43    53.17     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.23     9.01    14.02     0.35     1.69     4.93    10.67    31.27     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.94     8.60     8.87     0.05     0.34     1.11     3.06    13.71     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.27     8.90    16.80     0.09     0.56     2.06     5.16    18.69     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.39     8.35   -11.89     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.26     1.77     1.31R    0.02  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.58     7.81   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.06R    1.13  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.72     8.20   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    11.13R    0.41  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.68     8.24    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.64     3.76R    0.10  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.26     8.46   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    16.63R    0.80  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.42     7.72   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.47R    1.41  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.76     7.60   -36.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.53R    3.91  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.84     7.41   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.47R    3.32  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.83     7.59   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.07R    6.27  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.50     5.32   -69.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   82.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.67    10.11    27.62    30.45    56.04    90.41    63.69P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.13     9.42    50.53    44.08    69.21    95.25    78.37P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.79    10.30    15.44     4.95    13.38    54.52    24.49P    0.15R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.12    10.19     0.77     1.04     3.69    28.66     8.91P    0.83R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.08    10.14     9.30     2.16     6.54    39.07    14.85P    0.35R    0.00  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      79.93    10.72    31.07    11.22    27.64    72.78    39.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.21    10.43     8.53     1.45     4.67    30.61    11.04P    0.76R    0.02  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.64    10.11    -6.92     0.32     1.37    16.03     4.18P    2.46R    0.10  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.65    10.19     1.80     0.77     2.69    21.26     6.85P    1.60R    0.07  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.33    10.27    -3.75     0.40     1.62    15.72     4.57P    2.89R    0.18  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.65    10.23    10.99     0.97     3.65    28.74    10.39P    0.98R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.63    10.31     5.85     0.58     2.40    22.57     7.33P    1.64R    0.10  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.19    10.64     3.21     0.64     2.57    21.97     6.94P    2.15R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.11    10.20    -5.07     0.11     0.58     8.60     2.37P    6.24R    0.43  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.91     9.73   -28.76     0.00     0.05     1.90     0.35P   20.63R    2.06  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.86    10.39    -4.08     0.14     0.68     9.95     2.73P    6.23R    0.43  
Leicester        15   17   +2      62.13    10.57     6.58     0.34     1.38    14.93     5.72P    3.55R    0.19  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.93    10.12     5.76     0.20     0.94    13.44     3.95P    3.60R    0.24  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.01    10.90    -2.45     0.16     0.76     9.68     2.91P    8.10R    0.78  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.83    10.33   -19.99     0.01     0.07     1.51     0.35P   31.07R    4.43  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.23     9.69   -15.38     0.01     0.03     0.85     0.24P   31.67R    4.02  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.63     9.72   -32.22     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   53.12R   10.93  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.16     9.93   -12.53     0.00     0.03     1.24     0.32P   28.32R    3.57  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.26     8.10   -46.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.60R   72.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.17     9.89    36.06    15.02    32.39    84.51    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      89.73     9.52    47.48    25.72    48.15    91.75    64.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.67    10.33    -1.65     0.78     2.49    25.70     5.25P    0.57R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.91    10.48    41.46    18.41    36.93    84.69    48.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      73.82    10.63    12.93     1.83     5.57    41.45    11.57P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.75    10.36    13.43     1.04     3.62    34.00    10.33P    0.32R    0.01  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.48     8.96    62.23    33.48    58.10    95.08    72.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.06    10.49    16.53     1.42     4.78    39.43    12.95P    0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.34    10.15     8.43     0.42     1.40    19.87     5.06P    0.99R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      67.14    10.92    12.01     0.59     1.97    21.69     6.34P    1.36R    0.06  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.64    11.10    13.21     1.09     3.62    32.06     9.09P    0.86R    0.03  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.63    10.21    -2.73     0.05     0.25     6.92     1.41P    4.42R    0.18  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.37     9.93   -18.75     0.01     0.05     1.59     0.29P   16.21R    1.32  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.08     9.57   -32.53     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.09P   29.60R    3.38  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.65    10.23   -13.52     0.01     0.08     2.53     0.53P   13.69R    1.11  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.77    10.12    -8.13     0.01     0.10     4.30     0.85P    7.48R    0.41  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.48    10.44    -4.32     0.06     0.26     6.30     1.32P    6.09R    0.41  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.43    10.23   -13.10     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.35P   16.46R    1.80  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      46.95     9.86   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03P   39.01R    6.68  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.63    10.83    -3.47     0.04     0.16     5.03     1.22P    9.20R    0.72  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.41     9.45   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   56.27R   13.50  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.50     9.84   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   46.97R   10.22  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.41     9.12   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    71.18R   24.93  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.30     9.04   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.86R   35.17  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.02     9.94    45.94    36.87    72.05    95.76    78.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.34    10.16    44.15    22.84    60.08    91.77    69.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.22    10.59    25.98     6.54    27.80    73.58    38.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.54    10.38    24.65     5.71    25.29    71.79    36.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.53     9.99    37.90    13.78    47.84    88.05    61.66P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.99    10.46    34.20     9.53    34.84    79.44    46.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.10    10.59    17.86     2.96    15.98    59.05    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.81    10.62     9.26     0.64     5.20    32.23    11.51P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.93    10.64    11.01     0.71     5.28    33.10    12.23P    0.07R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.79    10.32   -15.76     0.03     0.37     5.22     1.22P    1.32R    0.29  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.36    10.60     2.04     0.11     1.41    14.56     4.18P    0.51R    0.09  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.31    10.55    -5.77     0.05     0.56     7.90     2.03P    1.00R    0.18  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.48    10.40   -11.54     0.02     0.29     4.69     1.17P    1.83R    0.45  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.99    10.66   -10.67     0.05     0.55     7.54     1.74P    1.23R    0.30  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.32    11.09    -1.75     0.09     1.28    13.70     3.72P    0.68R    0.15  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.75    10.37    -4.00     0.02     0.41     6.86     1.87P    1.12R    0.24  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.49    10.66   -11.79     0.02     0.27     5.06     1.11P    2.21R    0.58  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.45    10.62    -9.42     0.02     0.40     6.07     1.41P    1.72R    0.42  
Bradford             15   15   -7      49.09    10.29   -20.68     0.01     0.06     1.20     0.30P    8.35R    2.61  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.26     9.38   -37.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   31.52R   13.41  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.24    10.49    -7.46     0.00     0.05     2.15     0.53P    5.15R    1.55  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.66     9.60   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   25.98R   10.75  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.02     9.53   -39.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.28R   26.44  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.40     8.86   -46.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.97R   42.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.97     8.85    36.21    21.68    85.78    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      95.00     8.67    53.85    36.48    92.42    49.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.08     8.70    49.69    23.35    87.19    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.75     8.94    35.99    11.08    73.41    28.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.30     9.08    25.68     2.92    45.89    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.11     9.25    25.19     2.96    45.35    10.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.34     9.24    15.79     0.56    19.51     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.13     9.34    14.99     0.48    14.47     3.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.04     9.42     9.38     0.25     9.32     2.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.74     9.05     4.79     0.07     6.45     1.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.43     9.36     4.55     0.08     5.98     1.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.17     8.80     3.66     0.00     2.00     0.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      62.05     9.11    -5.17     0.01     1.59     0.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.57     9.20    12.41     0.05     4.92     1.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.36     9.20    -6.82     0.00     0.69     0.11P    0.22R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.30     9.42     5.83     0.01     2.05     0.52P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      62.95     9.43     2.82     0.01     2.20     0.43P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.58     8.71   -12.56     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.26R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.19     9.21    -6.95     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.30R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.38     8.72   -35.59     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.64R    0.18  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.35     8.67   -45.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.54R    2.56  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.55     7.82   -46.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.82R    7.97  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.55     7.00   -69.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.70R   29.13  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.27     6.75   -72.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.20R   60.15