Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 November 2007 at 22:34:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Derby vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      84.33     8.61    55.06    43.11    65.07    78.54    87.82    97.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.82     7.72    45.04    25.88    51.60    70.47    83.54    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      62.95     9.27     7.16     0.54     2.02     5.26    10.79    32.43     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.56     8.02    41.76    11.96    30.40    50.39    68.20    90.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.19     8.54    36.89     9.06    22.20    38.37    55.50    84.66     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.08     8.60    43.57     6.51    18.87    34.83    52.53    81.73     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.13     9.24    22.80     2.51     7.90    16.40    28.39    61.71     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      55.56     8.85     5.75     0.06     0.28     0.84     2.21    11.25     0.14R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.29     8.68    16.95     0.08     0.46     1.56     3.82    17.50     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.63     9.77    11.17     0.30     1.19     3.23     6.86    23.65     0.18R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.19     8.31   -11.97     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.24     1.62     1.66R    0.02  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.12     8.29   -40.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    23.71R    1.28  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.67     8.20   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    12.80R    0.47  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.56     9.24   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.41    14.21R    0.64  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.29     8.09   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    24.43R    1.82  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      32.03     8.12   -37.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.02R    4.61  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      40.23     8.83   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35    11.37R    0.54  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.84     8.32   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    36.05R    3.45  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.41     8.06   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.64R    2.74  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.26     5.34   -70.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.74R   84.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Blackpool vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.80    10.09    27.78    36.64    58.93    90.40    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.85    10.39    15.60     6.63    15.40    53.80    25.37P    0.13R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   27  +15      85.06    10.21    40.31    28.19    50.91    86.26    62.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.20    10.19     1.01     1.47     4.56    28.51     9.57P    0.84R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.71    10.17    10.24     2.90     8.29    41.69    17.08P    0.30R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.06    10.62    31.40    14.22    30.55    72.95    41.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.71    10.37     9.44     2.20     5.93    31.42    12.37P    0.75R    0.02  
Coventry         15   24   +0      68.55    10.71     3.07     1.95     5.48    30.69    10.92P    0.97R    0.06  
Stoke            16   23   +0      66.02    10.17     2.44     1.04     3.20    22.15     7.42P    1.57R    0.11  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.27    10.23    -3.78     0.54     1.84    15.11     4.58P    2.78R    0.16  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.65    10.27    11.05     1.28     4.32    28.48    10.99P    1.09R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      64.98    10.25     4.89     0.64     2.43    20.28     6.58P    1.83R    0.07  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.80    10.65     2.62     0.95     2.90    20.15     6.94P    2.50R    0.10  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      58.99    10.10    -5.23     0.17     0.67     7.86     2.39P    6.42R    0.39  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.26     9.69   -30.05     0.02     0.09     1.68     0.35P   22.83R    2.23  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.71    10.39    -4.26     0.21     0.79     9.42     2.64P    6.24R    0.44  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.78    10.63     6.28     0.41     1.53    13.95     5.48P    4.04R    0.29  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.60    10.15     5.24     0.28     1.13    12.46     3.88P    4.03R    0.28  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.92    10.83    -2.62     0.24     0.90     9.14     2.91P    8.11R    0.79  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      49.06    10.30   -19.43     0.01     0.07     1.38     0.37P   30.58R    4.44  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.42     9.55   -15.06     0.01     0.03     0.75     0.20P   30.68R    3.94  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.65     9.66   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   53.00R   10.57  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.33     9.86   -12.13     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.35P   27.70R    3.33  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.20     8.21   -46.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   93.53R   72.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.37     9.90    36.34    15.08    32.67    84.89    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.08     9.56    47.90    26.32    48.78    92.45    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.47    10.12    -2.06     0.55     2.09    24.86     4.80P    0.57R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.85    10.54    41.60    17.63    36.20    84.43    48.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.17    10.49    13.56     1.79     5.47    42.97    11.58P    0.24R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.55    10.34    13.23     0.94     3.31    33.50     9.50P    0.36R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.92     8.81    63.14    34.16    59.44    95.71    74.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.23    10.58    16.78     1.53     5.00    39.85    13.25P    0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.28    10.17     8.30     0.33     1.29    19.97     4.96P    0.84R    0.01  
Swindon          14   20   +7      66.85    10.64    11.67     0.49     1.61    20.42     5.76P    1.24R    0.04  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.50    10.93    12.93     0.99     3.24    31.44     8.37P    0.73R    0.03  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.69    10.20    -2.64     0.04     0.25     7.05     1.53P    4.30R    0.18  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.60     9.90   -18.56     0.01     0.05     1.58     0.27P   15.60R    1.27  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.24     9.80   -32.50     0.01     0.02     0.72     0.11P   29.80R    3.50  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.38    10.10   -14.01     0.02     0.09     2.29     0.47P   13.76R    1.10  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.20    10.27    -8.81     0.02     0.12     4.01     0.78P    8.95R    0.54  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.84    10.59    -3.66     0.06     0.25     6.90     1.41P    6.10R    0.49  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.32     9.95   -13.24     0.00     0.02     1.47     0.28P   15.94R    1.45  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.07     9.71   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   38.05R    6.25  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.71    10.70    -3.43     0.03     0.12     4.86     1.15P    8.71R    0.65  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.72     9.35   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   54.22R   12.11  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.25     9.80   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   47.84R   10.17  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.05     8.90   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    73.00R   25.43  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.01     9.10   -42.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.50R   36.77  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.25     9.89    46.24    37.46    72.57    96.12    79.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.21    10.02    43.86    21.90    59.22    92.05    68.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.24    10.47    26.10     6.56    27.30    73.65    38.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      81.01    10.49    25.36     6.39    26.97    72.70    38.59P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.37     9.94    37.70    13.67    47.49    87.79    61.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.92    10.33    34.07     9.13    34.21    79.56    46.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.44    10.53    18.36     3.14    16.63    60.28    26.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.30    10.56     8.42     0.69     4.64    30.61    10.37P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.84    10.63    10.86     0.67     5.21    32.46    11.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.48    10.15   -16.17     0.01     0.28     4.52     1.03P    1.60R    0.32  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.48    10.65     2.21     0.11     1.50    15.09     4.28P    0.42R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.48    10.48    -5.59     0.02     0.50     7.81     1.85P    0.96R    0.19  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.69    10.22   -11.13     0.02     0.22     4.44     1.01P    1.73R    0.35  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.85    10.67   -10.88     0.04     0.50     7.22     1.60P    1.44R    0.35  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.77    11.35    -1.08     0.15     1.67    14.98     4.33P    0.81R    0.19  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.37    10.44    -4.55     0.01     0.36     6.60     1.71P    1.13R    0.21  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.24    10.63   -12.23     0.02     0.26     4.62     1.08P    2.23R    0.60  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.92    10.53    -8.64     0.02     0.33     5.90     1.25P    1.65R    0.41  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.78    10.26   -21.22     0.00     0.04     1.07     0.25P    8.81R    2.78  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.65     9.59   -36.85     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   30.64R   12.75  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.11    10.48    -7.71     0.00     0.09     2.29     0.63P    4.93R    1.44  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.47     9.74   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   26.50R   11.12  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.85     9.50   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    50.67R   27.08  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.43     8.85   -46.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.39R   42.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2007, Woking vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.81     8.99    36.03    21.37    85.03    36.54P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      95.14     8.72    54.15    37.26    92.52    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      91.91     8.75    49.41    22.70    86.93    43.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.94     8.87    36.32    10.91    74.31    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.35     9.22    25.71     3.26    45.91    13.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.43     9.21    25.86     3.14    46.69    11.19P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.33     9.30    15.80     0.54    19.40     4.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      71.85     9.33    14.53     0.39    13.59     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.03     9.33     9.34     0.14     9.37     2.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      69.07     9.08     5.30     0.09     6.90     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.12     9.24     3.97     0.08     5.43     1.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      19   26   +2      63.22     8.62     3.65     0.01     1.76     0.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      62.07     9.15    -5.16     0.01     1.58     0.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.71     9.14    12.59     0.07     4.95     1.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.21     9.15    -7.08     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.22R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.10     9.44     5.51     0.02     2.12     0.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.35     9.36     3.52     0.01     2.16     0.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking              19   21   -3      51.46     8.79   -12.81     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.25R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      57.90     9.11    -7.53     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.09     8.79   -36.02     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.54R    0.26  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.62     8.59   -44.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.55R    2.17  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.59     7.76   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.73R    7.81  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.64     7.07   -69.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.74R   29.05  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.25     6.73   -72.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.38R   60.71