Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 November 2007 at 22:35:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Man_City vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      84.00     8.65    54.91    41.24    63.32    77.29    86.78    96.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.63     7.74    44.29    25.31    50.82    69.31    82.90    96.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      62.50     9.36     6.26     0.53     1.98     5.15    10.25    32.34     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.57     8.49    37.38     9.55    23.44    40.46    58.02    86.76     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.69     8.54    44.88     7.36    20.47    37.24    55.37    84.35     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.30     9.21    22.81     2.44     7.63    16.38    28.98    64.48     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      77.26     8.55    42.21    13.18    30.59    49.25    66.31    90.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      55.48     9.00     5.32     0.07     0.37     1.15     2.66    12.22     0.19R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.64     9.66    11.21     0.31     1.26     3.21     6.92    24.58     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.49     8.78   -12.83     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.38     2.28     2.11R    0.06  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.76     9.13     5.72     0.01     0.10     0.42     1.31     7.65     0.52R    0.01  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.77     8.29   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    21.89R    1.97  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.57     8.47   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    11.70R    0.72  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.70     9.37   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.56    14.19R    1.33  
Sunderland      12    9   -9      35.75     8.67   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    24.89R    3.28  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.32     7.87   -39.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    45.44R    8.20  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      41.11     8.81   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.46     9.88R    0.73  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.50     8.18   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    38.13R    6.19  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.58     8.15   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    36.77R    5.17  
Derby           12    6  -21      19.10     6.03   -58.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.10R   72.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          15   35  +11      89.68    10.73    30.27    44.76    65.91    92.28    71.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        15   27  +15      85.51    10.16    40.76    27.61    53.54    88.04    64.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     15   27   +7      76.99    10.66    18.33     8.26    20.46    63.10    32.23P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         15   25   +4      71.58    10.88    10.31     3.64    10.11    43.33    18.82P    0.56R    0.02  
Coventry         15   24   +0      68.13    10.94     2.32     1.95     5.89    31.08    11.34P    1.41R    0.08  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +2      69.27    10.62     8.03     1.93     6.23    34.82    13.57P    0.98R    0.03  
Stoke            15   23   +1      69.52    11.01     6.98     2.61     7.45    36.11    13.70P    1.11R    0.06  
Barnsley         15   23   -1      65.96    10.68    -0.51     1.14     3.69    23.91     7.83P    2.19R    0.16  
Ipswich          14   22   +3      70.60    11.68    10.55     3.48     9.90    41.27    17.08P    1.28R    0.10  
Plymouth         15   21   +1      64.15    10.90     2.00     1.03     3.02    20.33     7.23P    3.01R    0.24  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -1      61.84    10.77    -2.02     0.38     1.62    15.11     4.83P    4.81R    0.35  
Southampton      15   20   -4      58.29    10.58   -13.18     0.15     0.68     8.65     2.09P    9.31R    0.90  
Hull             15   19   +1      61.56    10.74     1.51     0.46     1.68    14.23     4.89P    5.07R    0.35  
Sheff_Utd        15   18   +0      62.77    10.83     2.94     0.51     1.95    17.63     5.70P    4.34R    0.39  
Burnley          14   18   +0      60.99    11.09    -1.72     0.53     1.76    14.18     4.74P    6.24R    0.54  
Leicester        14   17   +3      64.14    11.16     8.58     0.84     3.09    21.81     9.05P    3.39R    0.34  
Colchester       15   16   +0      60.24    10.82     2.05     0.36     1.41    12.31     4.09P    6.75R    0.84  
Sheff_Wed        15   16   -8      51.96    10.79   -19.51     0.03     0.16     3.10     0.68P   24.73R    3.87  
Cardiff          14   15   -1      54.46    11.04    -8.78     0.10     0.45     5.49     1.65P   17.34R    2.33  
Preston          15   15   -2      52.64    10.36    -7.84     0.03     0.20     3.09     1.04P   19.83R    2.73  
QPR              14   14  -10      44.06    10.20   -32.08     0.01     0.02     0.54     0.11P   53.86R   13.79  
Blackpool        14   13   -4      55.88    11.40    -5.97     0.15     0.64     7.40     2.31P   15.20R    2.49  
Crystal_Palace   15   13   -4      50.26    10.57   -11.21     0.03     0.14     2.15     0.64P   28.14R    4.60  
Norwich          15    9  -13      32.31     8.79   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   90.34R   65.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.56     9.86    36.62    15.29    33.26    85.58    48.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.05     9.61    47.96    26.79    49.21    92.03    64.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.08    10.27    -2.65     0.64     2.10    23.83     4.60P    0.64R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.88    10.33    41.59    18.04    35.97    85.01    47.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      73.85    10.55    13.02     1.75     5.38    41.43    11.16P    0.26R    0.00  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.59    10.32    13.18     0.99     3.41    33.41    10.05P    0.32R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.47     8.95    62.47    32.78    57.87    94.97    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.92    10.44    17.75     1.59     5.32    42.57    14.41P    0.19R    0.01  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.28    10.23     8.29     0.31     1.29    19.68     4.98P    0.97R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      66.95    10.79    11.77     0.61     1.84    20.91     5.99P    1.26R    0.04  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.58    11.08    12.98     1.01     3.40    31.72     8.74P    0.89R    0.04  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.63    10.26    -2.71     0.08     0.34     6.96     1.63P    4.38R    0.20  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.36     9.86   -18.81     0.01     0.03     1.69     0.25P   15.76R    1.18  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.27     9.63   -32.47     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.07P   29.34R    3.47  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.20     9.95   -14.26     0.01     0.04     2.05     0.36P   13.90R    1.10  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.52    10.18    -8.47     0.02     0.13     4.00     0.82P    8.12R    0.44  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.85    10.50    -3.63     0.04     0.24     6.78     1.32P    5.93R    0.43  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.13    10.16   -13.58     0.00     0.03     1.63     0.30P   17.18R    1.99  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.21     9.72   -33.29     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.03P   37.67R    6.44  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.38    10.64    -3.81     0.04     0.15     4.56     1.03P    9.04R    0.66  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.56     9.32   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.33R   12.57  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.26     9.78   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   48.10R   10.42  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.23     9.01   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   72.41R   25.68  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.46     9.19   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.31R   35.27  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.20     9.98    46.11    37.70    72.65    95.86    79.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.20    10.08    43.82    22.01    59.13    92.10    68.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      80.88    10.56    25.44     6.23    26.85    72.27    37.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.97    10.46    25.24     6.22    26.59    72.96    38.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.50     9.94    37.92    13.80    47.93    88.05    61.78P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.01    10.41    34.29     9.35    34.86    79.54    46.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.08    10.59    17.79     2.92    15.81    59.26    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.72    10.51     9.11     0.61     5.02    31.95    11.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      70.06    10.48    11.24     0.69     5.29    33.13    12.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.81    10.29   -15.71     0.02     0.33     4.93     1.05P    1.51R    0.33  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.13    10.56     1.59     0.14     1.42    14.20     4.06P    0.37R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.41    10.60    -5.65     0.07     0.65     8.21     2.20P    0.93R    0.16  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.57    10.25   -11.30     0.02     0.26     4.38     1.05P    1.80R    0.36  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.78    10.65   -10.96     0.03     0.52     7.23     1.58P    1.37R    0.30  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.31    11.19    -1.77     0.13     1.45    13.81     3.89P    0.83R    0.17  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.69    10.41    -4.11     0.02     0.41     6.95     1.86P    1.08R    0.22  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.40    10.67   -11.97     0.02     0.29     5.05     1.20P    2.24R    0.61  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.65    10.75    -9.04     0.02     0.40     6.29     1.52P    1.85R    0.49  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.99    10.33   -20.87     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.25P    8.86R    2.72  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.34     9.44   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   31.24R   13.28  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.41    10.45    -7.20     0.01     0.08     2.50     0.62P    4.58R    1.44  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.82     9.76   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   25.52R   10.35  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.65     9.42   -40.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.58R   27.45  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.50     9.03   -46.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.16R   42.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.65     8.96    35.67    21.44    84.89    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.30     8.82    52.42    33.93    91.05    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.22     8.77    49.96    24.85    87.75    45.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      88.00     8.88    36.40    11.82    74.81    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.19     9.15    25.53     3.10    45.43    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.15     9.24    25.31     3.24    45.62    11.23P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.34     9.31    15.79     0.71    19.79     5.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.12     9.25    15.00     0.41    14.45     3.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.36     9.46     9.86     0.23    10.34     2.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.67     9.17     4.72     0.09     6.78     1.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.28     9.24     4.26     0.08     5.62     1.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.82     9.17    -5.57     0.01     1.54     0.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.57     9.11    12.42     0.05     4.70     1.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.49     8.86     1.27     0.00     1.02     0.29P    0.10R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.61     9.23    -6.36     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.25R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.37     9.52     5.87     0.02     2.24     0.56P    0.11R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.24     9.47     3.37     0.01     2.39     0.56P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.82     8.92   -10.14     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.68R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.14     9.05    -7.06     0.01     0.57     0.08P    0.31R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.22     8.72   -35.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.26R    0.22  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.72     8.64   -44.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.87R    2.29  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.63     7.83   -46.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.81R    7.89  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.56     6.97   -69.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.17R   28.88  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.24     6.80   -72.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   60.71