Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 November 2007 at 22:34:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Man_City vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      84.19     8.65    55.17    43.01    64.28    78.24    87.65    97.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.81     7.66    44.64    25.48    52.04    70.80    84.05    96.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      63.01     9.39     7.09     0.62     2.32     5.85    11.52    34.14     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.52     8.40    37.43     9.27    22.92    39.67    57.75    86.77     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.26     8.56    43.90     6.88    19.41    35.84    53.32    82.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.11     9.04    22.56     2.23     7.27    15.58    27.58    63.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      77.18     8.40    42.05    12.13    29.94    48.78    66.23    90.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      56.00     8.97     6.39     0.08     0.40     1.17     2.87    13.02     0.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.49     9.83    10.89     0.28     1.25     3.44     7.21    24.46     0.23R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.46     8.85   -13.08     0.01     0.04     0.14     0.39     2.43     2.16R    0.05  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.75     9.09     5.74     0.02     0.13     0.45     1.31     7.47     0.46R    0.01  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.31     8.28   -39.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    23.59R    2.15  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.57     8.45   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.26    11.54R    0.70  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.55     9.27   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.48    13.96R    1.17  
Sunderland      12    9   -9      35.67     8.61   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    25.09R    3.20  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.54     7.97   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02    44.17R    7.97  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      41.16     8.83   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.45     9.76R    0.64  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.97     8.29   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    35.77R    5.85  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.18     8.17   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    38.87R    5.44  
Derby           12    6  -21      18.96     6.06   -58.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.24R   72.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          15   35  +11      90.13    10.61    31.01    45.47    67.41    93.01    73.14P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        15   27  +15      85.99    10.16    41.62    28.51    54.96    88.87    65.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     15   27   +7      76.62    10.76    17.75     7.72    19.68    61.63    31.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Charlton         15   25   +4      71.16    10.99     9.71     3.51     9.61    41.80    17.59P    0.62R    0.01  
Coventry         15   24   +0      68.48    10.90     2.91     1.81     5.80    32.41    11.36P    1.39R    0.09  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +2      69.02    10.60     7.71     1.72     5.89    34.17    13.26P    1.05R    0.03  
Stoke            15   23   +1      69.20    10.82     6.41     2.32     6.63    34.73    12.93P    1.14R    0.10  
Barnsley         15   23   -1      66.39    10.75     0.09     1.23     3.83    25.50     8.38P    2.03R    0.16  
Ipswich          14   22   +3      70.52    11.49    10.39     3.13     9.44    40.83    16.51P    1.11R    0.05  
Plymouth         15   21   +1      63.99    10.92     1.61     0.97     2.96    20.03     7.04P    3.19R    0.31  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -1      62.16    10.85    -1.51     0.42     1.63    15.62     4.93P    4.87R    0.42  
Southampton      15   20   -4      58.10    10.55   -13.57     0.16     0.62     8.35     1.97P    9.41R    0.81  
Hull             15   19   +1      61.56    10.63     1.40     0.33     1.51    14.14     4.86P    4.80R    0.37  
Sheff_Utd        15   18   +0      63.02    10.84     3.38     0.54     2.05    18.08     5.91P    4.01R    0.39  
Burnley          14   18   +0      60.96    11.01    -1.72     0.43     1.68    14.13     4.68P    5.90R    0.54  
Leicester        14   17   +3      64.86    11.17     9.51     1.06     3.52    23.29    10.09P    3.01R    0.26  
Colchester       15   16   +0      60.39    10.86     2.32     0.38     1.27    12.67     4.20P    6.45R    0.62  
Sheff_Wed        15   16   -8      52.09    10.70   -19.31     0.03     0.18     2.96     0.72P   23.82R    3.71  
Cardiff          14   15   -1      54.12    11.10    -9.41     0.10     0.44     5.21     1.58P   17.79R    2.51  
Preston          15   15   -2      52.60    10.34    -7.93     0.03     0.18     3.13     1.00P   19.75R    2.47  
QPR              14   14  -10      43.43    10.31   -33.04     0.01     0.02     0.52     0.12P   55.99R   15.48  
Blackpool        14   13   -4      55.80    11.34    -6.05     0.10     0.62     7.04     2.20P   15.06R    2.49  
Crystal_Palace   15   13   -4      50.11    10.43   -11.40     0.01     0.08     1.87     0.56P   28.12R    4.65  
Norwich          15    9  -13      32.27     8.73   -41.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    90.35R   64.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.67     9.89    36.95    15.99    33.85    85.49    49.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      89.76     9.46    47.38    25.28    47.96    91.97    64.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.21    10.21    -2.49     0.56     2.04    24.23     4.63P    0.59R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.71    10.57    41.22    17.61    36.00    84.24    47.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.01    10.63    13.32     1.94     5.67    42.48    11.43P    0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.76    10.38    13.41     0.99     3.62    33.84    10.39P    0.30R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.71     9.07    62.77    34.03    58.33    95.05    73.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.51    10.48    17.22     1.52     4.93    40.84    13.53P    0.22R    0.01  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.19    10.10     8.15     0.38     1.41    19.45     4.78P    0.85R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      67.18    10.81    12.14     0.58     1.96    21.69     6.39P    1.23R    0.04  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.50    11.00    12.93     0.97     3.33    31.25     8.48P    0.75R    0.03  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.57    10.14    -2.81     0.06     0.24     6.89     1.57P    4.37R    0.18  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.46     9.99   -18.53     0.00     0.05     1.74     0.32P   16.38R    1.23  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.05     9.66   -32.80     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.10P   29.91R    3.42  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.46     9.99   -13.82     0.00     0.06     2.16     0.38P   13.16R    0.93  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.19    10.03    -8.85     0.02     0.09     3.58     0.73P    8.18R    0.44  
Luton            15   18   -2      60.02    10.45    -3.29     0.04     0.26     6.86     1.30P    5.60R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.77    10.23   -12.60     0.01     0.04     1.95     0.37P   15.60R    1.66  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.25     9.78   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.03P   37.60R    6.19  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.78    10.67    -3.32     0.03     0.15     4.91     1.18P    8.54R    0.61  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.26     9.36   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   56.49R   13.17  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.26     9.78   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   47.81R    9.95  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      37.91     9.09   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   73.01R   26.66  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.24     9.08   -42.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.17R   35.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.01     9.95    45.76    37.21    71.73    95.73    78.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.01    10.10    43.64    21.47    58.43    91.62    68.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.19    10.37    25.96     6.41    26.85    73.68    37.69P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.77    10.44    24.96     6.00    26.32    72.19    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.82     9.87    38.35    14.30    49.36    88.72    62.99P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.10    10.39    34.42     9.66    35.00    80.10    46.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.28    10.54    18.12     3.15    16.47    59.97    26.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.74    10.41     9.21     0.65     5.10    31.35    10.94P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      69.60    10.66    10.50     0.71     5.05    31.83    11.63P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.88    10.15   -15.49     0.03     0.35     4.80     1.19P    1.37R    0.26  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.21    10.57     1.78     0.12     1.39    14.42     4.11P    0.36R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.39    10.61    -5.70     0.04     0.62     8.02     2.05P    0.99R    0.20  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.34    10.32   -11.64     0.02     0.24     4.38     1.03P    1.89R    0.44  
Stockport            15   19   -5      59.06    10.53   -10.55     0.04     0.46     7.18     1.66P    1.28R    0.31  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.47    11.11    -1.54     0.12     1.39    14.00     3.98P    0.71R    0.16  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.71    10.54    -4.08     0.02     0.47     7.27     1.99P    1.13R    0.23  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.46    10.57   -11.92     0.03     0.33     4.96     1.22P    2.10R    0.52  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.53    10.70    -9.35     0.02     0.34     6.06     1.42P    1.84R    0.46  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.94    10.49   -21.05     0.00     0.03     1.27     0.26P    8.93R    2.80  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.34     9.33   -37.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   31.19R   12.94  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.31    10.45    -7.39     0.00     0.08     2.19     0.60P    4.72R    1.33  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.67     9.77   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   26.14R   10.62  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.95     9.36   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.20R   26.29  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.32     8.96   -46.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.05R   43.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.97     8.81    36.21    22.22    86.08    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.52     8.77    52.99    34.90    91.38    48.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.05     8.73    49.64    23.76    87.27    44.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.76     8.93    35.93    11.02    73.65    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.53     9.19    26.06     3.39    46.80    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.24     9.27    25.43     3.21    45.71    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.51     9.31    16.07     0.66    20.16     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      71.93     9.32    14.64     0.40    14.07     3.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.06     9.37     9.41     0.18     9.42     2.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.91     9.09     5.06     0.09     6.71     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.12     9.20     4.00     0.05     5.29     1.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.79     9.18    -5.65     0.01     1.56     0.27P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.46     9.11    12.27     0.05     4.57     1.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.52     9.00     1.34     0.01     1.19     0.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.46     9.17    -6.63     0.01     0.77     0.17P    0.19R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.38     9.41     5.98     0.02     2.20     0.55P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.21     9.44     3.37     0.01     2.34     0.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.76     8.96   -10.21     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.77R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.12     9.17    -7.10     0.00     0.65     0.13P    0.35R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.53     8.89   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.39R    0.25  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.38     8.62   -45.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.83R    2.42  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.69     7.90   -46.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.28R    7.84  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.64     7.13   -69.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.52R   29.25  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.28     6.74   -72.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.30R   60.23