Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 November 2007 at 22:34:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Man_City vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      84.17     8.69    54.85    42.39    64.21    78.00    87.36    97.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.67     7.77    44.49    25.62    51.15    70.04    83.20    96.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      62.33     9.43     5.97     0.49     2.02     5.10    10.25    31.68     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.49     8.49    37.22     9.55    22.98    39.75    57.57    86.71     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.63     8.63    44.78     7.49    20.88    37.72    55.59    83.72     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.42     9.22    23.04     2.54     8.25    17.26    29.70    64.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      76.86     8.46    41.81    11.54    28.71    47.04    64.41    89.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      56.05     9.05     6.51     0.09     0.39     1.18     3.02    13.72     0.16R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.54     9.64    11.03     0.29     1.21     3.20     6.94    24.08     0.19R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.46     8.79   -12.88     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.41     2.51     2.13R    0.05  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.83     9.21     5.82     0.02     0.15     0.52     1.38     7.89     0.54R    0.02  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.66     8.36   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    22.72R    1.95  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.29     8.59   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28    12.89R    0.85  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.75     9.43   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.49    14.28R    1.30  
Sunderland      12    9   -9      35.78     8.54   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    24.52R    2.83  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.49     8.04   -39.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    44.58R    8.02  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      40.99     8.77   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.47    10.24R    0.71  
Wigan           12    8   -9      33.05     8.35   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    35.60R    5.66  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.45     8.25   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.86R    5.16  
Derby           12    6  -21      18.81     6.05   -59.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R   73.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          15   35  +11      89.80    10.66    30.53    44.75    66.30    92.59    72.38P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        15   27  +15      85.88    10.24    41.37    28.75    54.91    88.59    65.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     15   27   +7      76.68    10.82    17.84     8.00    20.01    61.90    31.51P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         15   25   +4      71.45    10.90    10.08     3.66     9.94    43.09    18.28P    0.62R    0.02  
Coventry         15   24   +0      68.20    10.69     2.46     1.74     5.47    30.87    10.72P    1.31R    0.06  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +2      69.33    10.59     8.21     1.92     6.15    34.96    13.73P    0.91R    0.05  
Stoke            15   23   +1      69.49    10.83     6.90     2.43     7.11    36.14    13.48P    0.98R    0.06  
Barnsley         15   23   -1      66.30    10.82    -0.05     1.19     3.92    25.30     8.38P    2.26R    0.19  
Ipswich          14   22   +3      70.25    11.50     9.84     3.13     9.27    39.86    16.08P    1.22R    0.09  
Plymouth         15   21   +1      63.76    10.80     1.29     0.84     2.81    19.28     6.74P    3.27R    0.31  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -1      62.03    10.77    -1.68     0.42     1.71    15.49     4.99P    4.48R    0.34  
Southampton      15   20   -4      58.34    10.74   -13.09     0.13     0.73     8.75     2.08P    9.74R    1.01  
Hull             15   19   +1      61.37    10.59     1.17     0.37     1.47    13.72     4.69P    5.13R    0.40  
Sheff_Utd        15   18   +0      63.15    10.86     3.65     0.54     2.23    18.54     6.33P    3.87R    0.43  
Burnley          14   18   +0      60.74    11.08    -2.05     0.46     1.67    13.92     4.54P    6.35R    0.58  
Leicester        14   17   +3      64.61    11.31     9.20     1.02     3.48    23.32    10.15P    3.21R    0.29  
Colchester       15   16   +0      60.19    10.62     1.99     0.31     1.25    11.87     3.71P    6.51R    0.78  
Sheff_Wed        15   16   -8      52.12    10.93   -19.21     0.04     0.19     3.43     0.84P   24.87R    3.99  
Cardiff          14   15   -1      54.41    11.22    -8.86     0.10     0.53     5.75     1.80P   17.64R    2.64  
Preston          15   15   -2      52.62    10.23    -7.84     0.03     0.12     2.86     0.82P   19.71R    2.50  
QPR              14   14  -10      43.63    10.26   -32.82     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.13P   55.29R   15.06  
Blackpool        14   13   -4      55.85    11.46    -5.99     0.15     0.64     7.34     2.31P   15.27R    2.68  
Crystal_Palace   15   13   -4      50.19    10.30   -11.30     0.01     0.07     1.86     0.51P   27.70R    4.51  
Norwich          15    9  -13      32.46     9.01   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   89.51R   64.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.12    10.00    36.14    14.69    31.99    84.12    47.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.18     9.56    48.02    27.20    50.06    92.47    65.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.43    10.25    -2.14     0.62     2.10    24.87     4.79P    0.56R    0.01  
Swansea          14   25  +10      86.83    10.41    41.17    17.47    35.70    84.90    48.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      74.38    10.57    13.93     1.86     5.93    43.87    11.97P    0.23R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.49    10.34    13.03     0.93     3.34    33.01     9.72P    0.32R    0.00  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.70     8.95    62.71    33.53    58.42    95.11    73.12P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.41    10.47    17.02     1.54     4.85    40.54    13.61P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.14    10.13     8.10     0.35     1.31    19.18     4.72P    0.95R    0.03  
Swindon          14   20   +7      67.04    10.72    11.98     0.50     1.80    20.95     5.91P    1.29R    0.03  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.60    11.03    13.11     1.10     3.50    31.20     8.74P    0.79R    0.02  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.69    10.19    -2.69     0.08     0.28     6.80     1.49P    4.29R    0.22  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.85     9.94   -17.89     0.01     0.05     1.80     0.29P   14.98R    1.24  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.04     9.64   -32.78     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.07P   30.08R    3.28  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.32    10.06   -14.20     0.02     0.06     2.31     0.42P   13.46R    1.06  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.43    10.19    -8.61     0.02     0.10     3.94     0.82P    8.14R    0.55  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.84    10.63    -3.57     0.06     0.27     7.02     1.44P    6.22R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.51    10.09   -12.96     0.00     0.03     1.74     0.32P   15.64R    1.58  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      47.01     9.78   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P   38.54R    6.63  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.68    10.68    -3.49     0.03     0.18     4.87     1.16P    8.66R    0.75  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.31     9.35   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   55.90R   13.33  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.03     9.85   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   48.51R   10.92  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.23     8.95   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.02R   24.69  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.23     9.09   -42.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.17R   35.24  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2007, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.14    10.03    46.10    37.09    72.18    95.62    78.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      89.34    10.15    44.18    22.56    59.84    91.98    69.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.37    10.35    26.24     6.42    27.43    74.01    38.60P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.53    10.31    24.67     5.54    25.12    71.50    36.72P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.63     9.84    38.11    13.77    48.54    88.56    62.27P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.18    10.38    34.58     9.83    34.88    80.19    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.09    10.51    17.78     2.97    15.85    58.73    25.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.75    10.51     9.12     0.67     4.90    31.63    10.81P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              15   23   +4      70.14    10.60    11.27     0.76     5.58    33.20    12.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.81    10.33   -15.66     0.03     0.35     4.99     1.19P    1.49R    0.32  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.26    10.53     1.80     0.11     1.48    14.32     4.18P    0.38R    0.07  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.21    10.68    -5.89     0.03     0.52     8.06     2.01P    1.03R    0.21  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.24    10.27   -11.85     0.01     0.24     4.22     1.04P    1.88R    0.43  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.94    10.62   -10.82     0.02     0.47     7.47     1.61P    1.27R    0.30  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.81    11.13    -0.88     0.10     1.51    14.58     4.04P    0.66R    0.14  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.69    10.48    -4.11     0.03     0.46     6.78     1.90P    1.13R    0.25  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.16    10.54   -12.34     0.02     0.22     4.49     1.04P    2.30R    0.60  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.59    10.63    -9.23     0.01     0.29     5.99     1.31P    1.78R    0.45  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.49    10.34   -21.67     0.00     0.04     1.10     0.25P    9.22R    2.66  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.47     9.45   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   30.89R   12.99  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.43    10.39    -7.22     0.00     0.08     2.32     0.59P    4.37R    1.26  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      41.66     9.57   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.98R   10.52  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.93     9.47   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.66R   26.79  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.34     8.97   -46.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.85R   43.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.98     8.86    36.26    21.99    85.92    37.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.64     8.75    53.21    35.28    91.77    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      91.83     8.84    49.23    23.34    86.85    43.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.75     8.96    35.98    11.47    73.46    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.17     9.21    25.46     3.07    45.25    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.09     9.23    25.11     3.19    45.12    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.45     9.41    16.00     0.73    20.44     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.30     9.32    15.31     0.43    14.78     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.10     9.48     9.46     0.22     9.75     2.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.86     9.16     4.98     0.09     6.90     1.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.46     9.14     4.58     0.07     5.75     1.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.86     9.08    -5.51     0.00     1.39     0.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.75     9.13    12.69     0.07     5.20     1.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.59     9.02     1.42     0.00     1.17     0.35P    0.12R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.60     9.26    -6.49     0.00     0.81     0.13P    0.27R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.39     9.51     5.99     0.02     2.30     0.58P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.20     9.39     3.32     0.02     2.30     0.48P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.81     9.04   -10.17     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.83R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.13     9.20    -7.12     0.00     0.64     0.13P    0.31R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.18     8.82   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.79R    0.22  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.34     8.65   -45.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.53R    2.40  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.72     7.80   -46.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.15R    7.19  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.53     7.14   -69.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.33R   29.38  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.09     6.66   -72.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   60.80