Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 November 2007 at 22:34:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Man_City vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      84.28     8.66    55.19    43.01    64.37    78.09    87.25    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.40     7.78    43.89    24.24    49.64    68.40    82.20    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      62.75     9.38     6.63     0.45     2.00     5.31    10.78    32.96     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.61     8.50    37.43     9.62    23.58    39.95    57.65    86.96     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.64     8.50    44.79     7.26    20.03    37.00    54.93    84.29     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.69     9.00    23.48     2.51     8.14    17.18    29.61    65.79     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      77.31     8.41    42.36    12.55    30.75    49.62    66.80    90.32     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      55.77     9.05     5.95     0.07     0.31     0.99     2.65    12.71     0.18R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.04     9.67     9.98     0.24     1.01     2.81     6.27    22.18     0.22R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.69     8.62   -12.41     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.39     2.34     1.88R    0.04  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.47     9.28     5.25     0.03     0.12     0.50     1.37     7.42     0.63R    0.02  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.54     8.40   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    23.17R    2.28  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.45     8.49   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    12.04R    0.80  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.61     9.23   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.39    14.06R    1.19  
Sunderland      12    9   -9      35.63     8.53   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    24.73R    3.20  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.38     7.99   -39.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    45.10R    8.38  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      41.11     8.89   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.44    10.17R    0.73  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.88     8.26   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.02R    5.92  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.35     8.18   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.98R    5.43  
Derby           12    6  -21      19.16     6.09   -58.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.79R   72.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          15   35  +11      89.84    10.66    30.47    44.27    65.76    92.48    71.59P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        15   27  +15      85.86    10.16    41.25    28.45    54.65    88.56    65.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     15   27   +7      76.90    10.76    18.19     8.21    20.29    62.67    32.03P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         15   25   +4      71.13    10.91     9.63     3.38     9.36    41.31    17.43P    0.67R    0.03  
Coventry         15   24   +0      68.39    10.98     2.73     1.98     6.09    31.73    11.76P    1.28R    0.07  
Wolverhampton    15   23   +2      69.50    10.75     8.39     2.11     6.58    35.80    14.28P    0.97R    0.05  
Stoke            15   23   +1      69.60    10.95     7.04     2.50     7.24    36.13    13.76P    1.05R    0.07  
Barnsley         15   23   -1      66.17    10.82    -0.28     1.28     3.99    24.50     8.17P    2.15R    0.16  
Ipswich          14   22   +3      70.83    11.51    10.95     3.38     9.81    41.74    16.86P    0.93R    0.04  
Plymouth         15   21   +1      64.11    10.83     1.84     0.94     2.96    20.13     7.07P    3.03R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       15   20   -1      61.76    10.87    -2.16     0.41     1.53    14.82     4.58P    5.09R    0.35  
Southampton      15   20   -4      58.30    10.78   -13.21     0.19     0.77     8.87     2.23P    9.45R    0.91  
Hull             15   19   +1      61.33    10.71     1.13     0.40     1.41    13.87     4.62P    5.18R    0.42  
Sheff_Utd        15   18   +0      63.00    11.02     3.38     0.51     2.14    18.40     6.04P    4.15R    0.47  
Burnley          14   18   +0      60.82    11.04    -1.87     0.41     1.51    13.67     4.34P    6.23R    0.57  
Leicester        14   17   +3      64.93    11.01     9.68     1.01     3.36    23.33     9.77P    2.47R    0.21  
Colchester       15   16   +0      60.16    10.69     1.98     0.29     1.10    11.77     3.77P    6.54R    0.72  
Sheff_Wed        15   16   -8      51.86    10.82   -19.63     0.02     0.16     2.99     0.74P   24.79R    3.78  
Cardiff          14   15   -1      54.06    11.17    -9.33     0.13     0.48     5.19     1.68P   18.14R    2.65  
Preston          15   15   -2      52.81    10.37    -7.65     0.04     0.17     3.10     1.00P   19.14R    2.40  
QPR              14   14  -10      43.66    10.13   -32.76     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.12P   55.10R   14.66  
Blackpool        14   13   -4      55.66    11.31    -6.26     0.08     0.52     6.68     2.01P   15.39R    2.51  
Crystal_Palace   15   13   -4      50.03    10.30   -11.47     0.02     0.09     1.79     0.56P   27.99R    4.50  
Norwich          15    9  -13      32.20     8.74   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   90.16R   65.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Bournemouth vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.48     9.86    36.55    15.63    33.25    85.29    48.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      89.98     9.53    47.65    26.28    48.78    92.18    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    15   27   -1      69.39    10.19    -2.12     0.57     2.06    24.94     4.90P    0.63R    0.02  
Swansea          14   25  +10      87.32    10.40    42.33    19.03    37.99    85.85    50.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         15   25   +3      73.70    10.62    12.78     1.66     5.22    41.17    10.97P    0.31R    0.01  
Brighton         15   24   +5      71.12    10.32    12.50     0.87     3.05    32.16     9.12P    0.33R    0.01  
Leeds            15   23  +18      91.39     9.06    62.05    32.35    57.24    94.75    72.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         15   23   +5      73.41    10.38    17.00     1.49     4.75    40.53    13.21P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster        15   22   +4      67.58    10.25     8.81     0.41     1.51    20.87     5.19P    0.88R    0.02  
Swindon          14   20   +7      67.32    10.59    12.42     0.45     1.79    21.50     5.99P    1.08R    0.02  
Hartlepool       14   20   +2      70.54    11.06    13.02     1.06     3.44    31.59     8.80P    0.81R    0.03  
Walsall          15   20   +0      60.40    10.18    -2.94     0.08     0.27     6.72     1.53P    4.49R    0.19  
Crewe            15   20   -3      53.43     9.97   -18.68     0.01     0.05     1.65     0.31P   16.12R    1.41  
Huddersfield     15   20   -8      49.20     9.56   -32.54     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.08P   29.42R    3.33  
Northampton      15   19   -1      54.52     9.87   -13.73     0.03     0.08     2.12     0.45P   12.78R    0.95  
Yeovil           15   19   -4      57.74    10.23    -8.10     0.02     0.13     4.34     0.92P    7.93R    0.46  
Luton            15   18   -2      59.75    10.47    -3.86     0.03     0.21     6.51     1.30P    6.20R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers   15   16   -5      53.32    10.05   -13.19     0.00     0.02     1.59     0.28P   16.27R    1.60  
Gillingham       15   16  -14      46.90     9.79   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.03P   39.39R    6.60  
Oldham           14   15   -3      57.44    10.80    -3.78     0.02     0.15     4.90     1.12P    9.38R    0.77  
Millwall         15   13  -10      42.46     9.34   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   55.88R   12.76  
Bournemouth      15   12  -10      44.49     9.83   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   46.74R    9.97  
Port_Vale        15   11   -9      38.17     9.01   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   72.21R   25.87  
Cheltenham       15   11  -12      36.26     9.18   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    78.94R   35.56  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2007, Barnet vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   15   32  +16      93.12    10.01    46.21    37.50    71.77    95.61    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             15   28  +13      88.96     9.99    43.49    21.37    58.20    91.37    67.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         15   28   +9      81.14    10.26    25.91     5.98    26.48    72.96    37.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              15   28   +9      80.90    10.40    25.16     6.08    25.93    71.66    37.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           15   27  +13      86.52     9.95    37.98    13.75    47.56    87.67    61.49P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.17    10.32    34.49     9.55    34.90    79.37    46.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            15   27   +6      77.37    10.61    18.28     3.38    16.26    58.82    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               15   24   +4      69.87    10.55     9.37     0.69     5.20    31.42    11.16P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              14   22   +4      71.94    11.11    13.47     1.25     8.14    39.57    15.58P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   15   22   -2      56.83    10.25   -15.59     0.03     0.32     4.66     1.08P    1.41R    0.27  
Bury                 15   20   +1      63.24    10.58     1.86     0.14     1.39    13.97     3.93P    0.35R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           15   19   -2      59.12    10.58    -6.00     0.04     0.53     7.51     1.89P    0.95R    0.19  
Brentford            15   19   -4      56.54    10.39   -11.30     0.03     0.28     4.37     1.16P    1.70R    0.35  
Stockport            15   19   -5      58.92    10.76   -10.83     0.04     0.59     7.36     1.74P    1.13R    0.23  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.48    11.13    -1.55     0.13     1.43    13.23     3.93P    0.67R    0.16  
Morecambe            15   18   -2      58.81    10.45    -3.97     0.01     0.38     6.74     1.86P    0.98R    0.21  
Notts_County         15   18   -5      56.24    10.51   -12.08     0.02     0.25     4.49     0.96P    2.06R    0.47  
Macclesfield         15   17   -5      57.67    10.68    -9.02     0.01     0.29     5.84     1.29P    1.71R    0.45  
Bradford             15   15   -7      48.57    10.16   -21.51     0.00     0.02     0.92     0.16P    8.57R    2.59  
Dag_&_Red            15   13  -13      40.12     9.45   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   31.60R   13.49  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.40    10.50    -7.26     0.00     0.08     2.22     0.59P    4.59R    1.35  
Grimsby              15   11  -11      42.06     9.72   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   24.32R    9.43  
Wrexham              13    9  -12      35.23     9.84   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    53.01R   29.68  
Lincoln_City         15    9  -14      32.20     8.82   -46.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.85R   41.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.69     8.97    35.78    21.30    85.15    36.06P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.78     8.68    53.38    35.84    92.19    48.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.05     8.62    49.63    23.30    87.37    44.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.96     8.95    36.37    11.48    74.15    29.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.32     9.28    25.73     3.32    46.07    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.26     9.30    25.40     3.18    45.94    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.33     9.32    15.75     0.66    19.68     4.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.03     9.35    14.84     0.41    14.30     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.11     9.30     9.44     0.20     9.53     2.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.71     9.10     4.79     0.11     6.52     1.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.43     9.26     4.58     0.10     5.88     1.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.83     9.08    -5.52     0.01     1.49     0.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.33     9.16    12.02     0.05     4.54     1.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.69     8.99     1.58     0.00     1.24     0.34P    0.09R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.51     9.20    -6.61     0.00     0.82     0.15P    0.24R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.25     9.41     5.67     0.02     2.07     0.51P    0.12R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.08     9.44     3.12     0.02     2.30     0.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.82     8.97   -10.18     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.68R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.06     9.18    -7.16     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.31R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.60     8.86   -35.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.07R    0.19  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.27     8.57   -45.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.12R    2.45  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.87     7.84   -46.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.77R    7.34  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.48     7.05   -69.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.18R   29.83  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.30     6.75   -72.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.22R   60.17