Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 November 2007 at 22:34:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Man_City vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      83.95     8.69    54.48    41.86    63.20    77.19    86.66    96.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.48     7.84    43.97    25.59    51.02    69.08    82.40    96.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        12   25   +3      62.71     9.36     6.66     0.55     2.14     5.20    10.58    32.79     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.81     8.42    37.72    10.17    24.45    41.45    59.09    87.56     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.55     8.43    44.52     7.22    20.27    37.30    55.12    84.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.41     9.08    23.05     2.41     7.98    16.93    29.38    64.55     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      76.87     8.42    41.68    11.74    29.06    47.73    65.08    89.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      56.04     8.98     6.52     0.09     0.42     1.21     2.82    13.00     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.38     9.72    10.73     0.34     1.27     3.25     7.00    23.43     0.19R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.86     8.79   -12.09     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.41     2.56     1.97R    0.05  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.78     9.12     5.75     0.02     0.15     0.51     1.35     7.48     0.50R    0.02  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.49     8.23   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    22.86R    2.12  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.43     8.48   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    11.96R    0.82  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.63     9.40   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.45    14.62R    1.22  
Sunderland      12    9   -9      35.39     8.42   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    25.62R    3.23  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.59     7.93   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    43.82R    7.75  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      40.90     8.92   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.49    10.71R    0.77  
Wigan           12    8   -9      33.13     8.33   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    35.18R    5.49  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.35     8.30   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.54R    5.57  
Derby           12    6  -21      19.03     6.09   -58.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.87R   72.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2007, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          14   32   +9      87.66    11.04    27.24    29.63    53.17    88.37    61.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     14   27   +8      80.74    11.08    23.00    11.90    28.22    73.35    40.75P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom        14   26  +15      90.05    10.49    49.13    41.32    65.31    93.24    74.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley         15   23   -1      66.85    10.73     0.86     0.94     3.30    25.67     7.92P    1.70R    0.12  
Ipswich          13   22   +5      74.61    11.97    17.11     5.80    15.10    53.58    24.08P    0.54R    0.02  
Charlton         14   22   +3      67.14    11.38     5.02     1.56     4.83    28.23    10.67P    1.86R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    14   22   +2      69.43    11.22     7.59     1.91     5.95    35.11    13.23P    0.99R    0.06  
Coventry         14   21   -1      65.85    11.17     0.25     0.99     3.11    23.77     7.43P    2.47R    0.26  
Plymouth         14   20   +1      63.28    11.36    -0.42     0.75     2.49    18.30     6.37P    3.86R    0.40  
Stoke            14   20   +0      65.39    11.31     2.03     1.04     3.35    23.02     7.87P    2.67R    0.27  
Scunthorpe       14   20   +0      65.39    11.63     2.58     0.97     3.23    24.20     8.65P    3.02R    0.29  
Southampton      14   19   -4      58.93    11.22   -13.60     0.17     0.85    10.14     2.42P    8.78R    1.15  
Burnley          13   18   +1      65.31    11.86     3.91     1.04     3.59    24.59     8.72P    3.47R    0.43  
Leicester        13   16   +3      64.72    11.59     8.91     0.90     3.18    22.88     9.58P    3.11R    0.33  
Hull             14   16   +0      57.35    11.21    -3.88     0.14     0.63     8.31     2.52P   10.67R    1.52  
Colchester       14   15   +0      61.51    11.27     3.32     0.37     1.50    15.04     4.82P    5.82R    0.85  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -2      59.11    11.31    -2.58     0.19     0.78    10.82     3.17P    8.52R    1.32  
Sheff_Wed        14   15   -8      49.66    10.96   -25.50     0.03     0.11     1.98     0.48P   31.12R    6.96  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.21    11.64    -8.67     0.16     0.58     6.41     1.95P   16.15R    2.87  
Preston          14   14   -2      52.87    10.61    -7.78     0.04     0.16     3.38     0.97P   18.27R    2.86  
QPR              13   14   -9      45.14    10.95   -31.22     0.01     0.04     1.04     0.24P   48.42R   14.49  
Blackpool        14   13   -4      55.74    11.37    -6.19     0.10     0.45     6.59     2.00P   14.17R    2.77  
Crystal_Palace   14   12   -4      49.57    10.92   -13.26     0.02     0.06     1.97     0.52P   29.72R    6.77  
Norwich          14    9  -11      34.11     9.20   -37.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    84.59R   56.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Brighton vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         14   27  +12      87.74    10.45    38.91    18.44    35.73    82.53    48.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    14   26   -1      69.12    10.74    -3.61     0.67     2.06    20.18     4.09P    0.68R    0.01  
Southend         14   25   +6      77.25    10.80    19.58     3.45     9.16    47.74    16.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     14   24  +13      86.51    10.33    41.40    15.30    31.62    80.31    48.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          13   24  +10      89.46    10.70    45.48    24.50    43.49    85.73    53.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         14   23   +6      77.21    10.87    21.63     3.23     8.51    48.34    18.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         14   23   +5      74.08    10.77    16.46     1.88     5.32    36.13    11.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Doncaster        14   21   +4      68.44    10.78     9.54     0.50     1.72    19.11     5.00P    0.79R    0.03  
Leeds            14   20  +16      90.96     9.38    62.41    28.20    50.95    91.62    67.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       13   20   +4      75.77    11.25    22.06     2.83     7.74    43.21    14.50P    0.22R    0.00  
Swindon          13   19   +7      69.52    11.17    15.50     0.81     2.86    23.85     7.48P    0.67R    0.02  
Northampton      14   19   +0      57.54    10.55   -10.41     0.05     0.19     3.43     0.72P    7.07R    0.50  
Walsall          14   19   +0      60.00    10.67    -4.14     0.04     0.22     5.37     1.16P    4.29R    0.24  
Yeovil           14   18   -4      58.27    10.61    -7.82     0.03     0.11     3.88     0.87P    6.07R    0.40  
Luton            14   17   -2      59.26    10.83    -5.46     0.06     0.25     4.98     1.02P    5.78R    0.51  
Crewe            14   17   -4      50.39    10.18   -22.53     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.12P   21.34R    2.57  
Huddersfield     14   17  -10      43.42     9.48   -43.12     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   48.07R    9.57  
Gillingham       14   15  -14      46.62    10.12   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   35.38R    6.34  
Bristol_Rovers   14   13   -6      50.05    10.43   -17.40     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.10P   22.61R    3.39  
Oldham           13   12   -4      52.70    11.03    -9.07     0.01     0.03     1.59     0.37P   16.57R    2.06  
Bournemouth      14   12   -8      44.68    10.07   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   41.29R    8.83  
Millwall         14   12  -10      40.38     9.43   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   59.00R   16.20  
Port_Vale        14   11   -8      41.38     9.63   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.12R   14.16  
Cheltenham       14   10  -12      35.76     9.45   -43.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.77R   35.17  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   14   29  +14      91.76    10.23    45.14    32.83    67.29    93.48    74.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              14   28  +10      85.82    10.80    31.77    14.92    44.33    82.82    54.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             14   25  +12      88.45    10.58    44.73    21.24    55.88    88.87    65.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         14   25   +7      79.45    10.96    23.83     5.68    23.13    64.91    32.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           14   24  +11      83.54    10.59    34.25     9.76    36.49    78.34    50.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         14   24  +10      82.42    10.80    33.62     9.17    33.16    75.45    44.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   24   +5      74.78    11.17    15.81     2.35    12.38    47.91    20.43P    0.02R    0.01  
Barnet               14   23   +4      71.19    11.03    10.87     1.24     7.18    35.03    13.33P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              14   22   +4      72.43    11.03    14.26     1.42     8.51    39.66    15.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 14   20   +2      65.62    11.31     4.51     0.35     2.88    19.88     6.52P    0.31R    0.09  
Shrewsbury           14   19   +0      61.63    10.95    -2.30     0.13     1.22    10.85     3.12P    0.56R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -3      52.59    10.51   -21.59     0.01     0.17     2.36     0.52P    3.44R    0.91  
Brentford            14   19   -3      59.25    11.02    -8.72     0.06     0.71     7.82     1.97P    1.10R    0.24  
Rochdale             13   18   -1      67.10    11.77     4.96     0.65     4.33    23.98     8.29P    0.26R    0.06  
Morecambe            14   18   -1      62.45    11.07     0.20     0.10     1.27    12.67     3.77P    0.51R    0.10  
Notts_County         14   17   -5      55.60    11.03   -13.95     0.04     0.29     4.46     1.03P    2.54R    0.68  
Stockport            14   16   -6      55.76    11.11   -14.78     0.03     0.34     4.47     1.04P    2.69R    0.68  
Macclesfield         14   14   -6      54.94    11.05   -12.28     0.02     0.21     3.86     0.88P    3.08R    0.87  
Dag_&_Red            14   13  -11      41.34     9.96   -35.46     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.05P   26.37R   10.96  
Mansfield            14   12   -2      52.38    10.94    -8.81     0.01     0.17     2.40     0.65P    4.95R    1.57  
Bradford             14   12   -8      43.84    10.32   -27.20     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.09P   18.02R    6.55  
Grimsby              14   11   -9      42.49     9.99   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   21.51R    8.58  
Lincoln_City         14    9  -12      32.63     9.05   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.53R   38.10  
Wrexham              13    9  -12      34.72     9.68   -44.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   53.05R   30.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      92.04     8.95    36.30    22.25    85.68    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.70     8.65    53.21    34.85    92.16    48.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      91.94     8.75    49.39    23.34    86.87    43.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      87.91     9.03    36.22    11.59    73.66    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.26     9.18    25.65     3.20    45.60    13.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.34     9.20    25.65     3.21    46.29    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.37     9.24    15.86     0.62    19.61     5.16P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.12     9.31    15.02     0.48    14.37     3.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.08     9.38     9.48     0.20     9.44     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.94     9.01     5.06     0.09     6.73     1.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.06     9.26     3.84     0.07     5.58     1.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.85     9.14    -5.54     0.01     1.52     0.28P    0.05R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.63     9.20    12.51     0.05     5.12     1.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.45     8.98     1.28     0.00     1.04     0.26P    0.13R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.51     9.17    -6.55     0.00     0.75     0.13P    0.23R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.27     9.45     5.76     0.02     2.33     0.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.42     9.43     3.66     0.02     2.47     0.48P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.73     9.04   -10.32     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.74R    0.01  
York                18   21   -4      57.89     9.13    -7.45     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.33R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.45     8.83   -35.49     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.12R    0.22  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.41     8.55   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00P   34.19R    2.32  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.46     7.75   -46.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.10R    7.77  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.74     7.06   -69.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.70R   28.86  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.24     6.79   -72.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.17R   60.82