Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 November 2007 at 22:34:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, West_Ham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      83.87     8.82    54.28    41.45    63.04    76.85    86.56    96.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.51     7.84    44.13    25.51    50.95    69.59    82.59    96.50     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.56     8.53    37.33     9.82    23.80    40.51    58.31    86.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.35     8.70    44.20     7.43    20.50    37.12    54.26    82.95     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      69.56     9.18    23.21     2.72     8.48    17.37    30.26    65.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.36     9.90     7.72     0.72     2.53     5.85    11.38    33.55     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      76.83     8.43    41.45    11.96    28.83    47.56    64.70    89.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      55.94     9.02     6.23     0.10     0.43     1.22     3.00    13.18     0.15R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.58     9.74    11.13     0.29     1.30     3.39     7.35    24.81     0.16R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.63     8.84   -12.31     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.36     2.44     2.35R    0.07  
West_Ham        11   15   +3      52.15     9.01     4.81     0.01     0.10     0.37     1.08     6.64     0.54R    0.01  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.81     8.32   -38.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    22.42R    1.98  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.72     8.54   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.24    11.67R    0.72  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.39     9.34   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.40    15.21R    1.31  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.45     8.95   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    23.48R    3.16  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.49     7.93   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    44.91R    7.97  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      41.45     8.94   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.62     9.52R    0.76  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.68     8.20   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.77R    5.35  
Bolton          12    7   -7      32.53     8.19   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.54R    4.97  
Derby           12    6  -21      18.84     6.10   -58.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.23R   73.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Norwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          14   32   +9      87.93    11.13    27.68    30.95    54.22    88.85    62.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     14   27   +8      80.65    11.16    22.81    12.06    28.50    73.40    41.21P    0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom        14   26  +15      90.05    10.42    49.17    41.06    65.76    93.32    74.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          13   22   +5      74.73    11.93    17.34     5.52    14.79    54.26    24.06P    0.53R    0.05  
Charlton         14   22   +3      66.67    11.41     4.33     1.56     4.71    27.29    10.23P    2.13R    0.21  
Wolverhampton    14   22   +2      69.27    11.31     7.29     1.83     6.01    35.54    13.41P    1.31R    0.11  
Coventry         14   21   -1      65.64    11.16    -0.09     0.93     3.16    23.69     7.44P    2.74R    0.29  
Plymouth         14   20   +1      63.05    11.34    -0.82     0.68     2.33    18.32     6.06P    4.33R    0.56  
Stoke            14   20   +0      65.18    11.23     1.71     0.85     3.01    22.97     7.64P    2.97R    0.32  
Scunthorpe       14   20   +0      65.36    11.25     2.55     0.72     2.97    23.77     7.99P    2.70R    0.26  
Barnsley         14   20   -2      64.31    11.35    -1.57     0.75     2.66    20.78     6.47P    4.04R    0.50  
Southampton      14   19   -4      58.72    11.10   -14.04     0.14     0.82    10.02     2.52P    9.37R    1.11  
Burnley          13   18   +1      65.01    11.48     3.38     0.84     3.10    23.37     7.90P    3.11R    0.29  
Leicester        13   16   +3      64.69    11.59     8.87     0.93     3.19    23.21     9.60P    3.31R    0.41  
Hull             14   16   +0      57.56    11.14    -3.56     0.15     0.57     8.63     2.54P   10.69R    1.54  
Colchester       14   15   +0      61.78    11.24     3.93     0.46     1.62    15.85     4.99P    5.55R    0.82  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -2      58.78    11.33    -3.13     0.18     0.80    10.79     3.22P    9.28R    1.49  
Sheff_Wed        14   15   -8      49.74    11.09   -25.33     0.02     0.11     2.13     0.50P   31.84R    7.69  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.08    11.73    -8.87     0.15     0.58     6.86     2.08P   16.91R    3.29  
Preston          14   14   -2      53.11    10.57    -7.55     0.04     0.19     3.48     1.08P   18.48R    2.97  
QPR              13   14   -9      46.08    10.72   -29.57     0.01     0.04     1.09     0.23P   44.76R   12.79  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.69    11.85    -4.16     0.19     0.77    10.20     3.07P   12.08R    2.20  
Crystal_Palace   14   12   -4      49.65    10.95   -13.10     0.02     0.08     2.12     0.62P   29.84R    7.12  
Norwich          14    9  -11      34.52     9.43   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   83.96R   55.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Brighton vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         14   27  +12      88.15    10.46    39.60    19.36    36.78    83.22    49.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    14   26   -1      68.71    10.72    -4.41     0.53     1.86    19.15     3.77P    0.69R    0.02  
Southend         14   25   +6      76.81    10.96    18.89     3.38     8.53    46.17    15.50P    0.08R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     14   24  +13      87.01    10.11    42.19    15.88    32.62    81.84    50.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          13   24  +10      89.26    10.72    45.18    23.50    42.45    85.47    52.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         14   23   +6      77.05    10.80    21.46     3.05     8.31    47.43    17.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         14   23   +5      73.96    10.71    16.27     1.75     4.84    35.65    11.61P    0.17R    0.01  
Doncaster        14   21   +4      68.54    10.64     9.70     0.54     1.78    19.09     5.02P    0.61R    0.01  
Leeds            14   20  +16      91.00     9.21    62.46    27.75    50.59    91.95    66.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       13   20   +4      76.28    11.25    22.87     3.13     8.48    45.06    15.58P    0.17R    0.01  
Swindon          13   19   +7      69.47    11.41    15.46     0.92     2.88    24.21     7.54P    0.83R    0.05  
Northampton      14   19   +0      57.40    10.51   -10.62     0.03     0.13     3.13     0.60P    7.25R    0.48  
Walsall          14   19   +0      59.72    10.64    -4.60     0.05     0.21     4.96     1.04P    4.50R    0.29  
Yeovil           14   18   -4      58.22    10.59    -7.77     0.04     0.16     3.79     0.87P    6.14R    0.39  
Luton            14   17   -2      59.40    10.93    -5.22     0.05     0.25     5.04     1.11P    5.74R    0.44  
Crewe            14   17   -4      50.54    10.21   -22.44     0.01     0.04     0.79     0.14P   21.08R    2.46  
Huddersfield     14   17  -10      43.50     9.70   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   47.81R    9.85  
Gillingham       14   15  -14      46.59    10.18   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P   35.73R    6.34  
Bristol_Rovers   14   13   -6      50.56    10.63   -16.47     0.00     0.03     0.83     0.15P   21.60R    3.21  
Oldham           13   12   -4      52.43    10.97    -9.49     0.01     0.05     1.54     0.41P   17.05R    2.14  
Bournemouth      14   12   -8      44.53     9.99   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   41.20R    8.91  
Millwall         14   12  -10      40.80     9.57   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   57.15R   15.51  
Port_Vale        14   11   -8      41.11     9.79   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   55.17R   15.11  
Cheltenham       14   10  -12      35.53     9.24   -43.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.94R   34.77  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   14   29  +14      91.79    10.31    45.25    33.10    67.28    93.47    74.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              14   28  +10      86.26    10.74    32.46    16.04    45.67    84.09    55.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             14   25  +12      88.07    10.53    43.98    20.13    54.62    88.28    64.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         14   25   +7      79.62    11.04    24.04     5.85    24.03    65.19    33.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           14   24  +11      83.19    10.68    33.77     9.19    35.34    77.40    49.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         14   24  +10      82.37    10.79    33.46     9.34    32.86    75.11    44.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            14   24   +5      75.19    11.09    16.39     2.66    13.08    49.26    21.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               14   23   +4      71.19    10.91    10.80     1.17     7.10    34.94    13.37P    0.03R    0.01  
Wycombe              14   22   +4      71.83    11.03    13.32     1.21     7.91    37.52    15.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury                 14   20   +2      65.63    11.15     4.63     0.32     2.93    19.70     6.46P    0.29R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           14   19   +0      61.30    10.91    -2.76     0.10     1.18    10.66     3.09P    0.51R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -3      52.91    10.50   -21.04     0.01     0.17     2.40     0.55P    3.27R    0.82  
Brentford            14   19   -3      59.18    10.97    -8.71     0.08     0.75     7.41     2.01P    1.10R    0.27  
Rochdale             13   18   -1      67.54    11.87     5.65     0.62     4.73    25.65     9.10P    0.27R    0.05  
Morecambe            14   18   -1      63.05    10.99     1.12     0.09     1.39    13.54     4.02P    0.46R    0.09  
Notts_County         14   17   -5      55.52    10.79   -13.99     0.04     0.31     4.01     0.98P    2.36R    0.67  
Stockport            14   16   -6      55.83    11.05   -14.55     0.04     0.32     4.54     1.09P    2.51R    0.70  
Macclesfield         14   14   -6      54.83    11.04   -12.43     0.01     0.22     3.76     0.85P    3.12R    0.95  
Dag_&_Red            14   13  -11      41.35     9.91   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   25.63R   10.55  
Mansfield            14   12   -2      52.37    10.82    -8.86     0.01     0.10     2.32     0.61P    4.76R    1.54  
Bradford             14   12   -8      43.62    10.28   -27.52     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   18.12R    6.78  
Grimsby              14   11   -9      42.40    10.27   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   22.24R    9.32  
Lincoln_City         14    9  -12      32.43     8.97   -44.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.46R   38.19  
Wrexham              13    9  -12      34.70     9.68   -44.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.81R   29.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs York; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      91.92     8.91    36.13    21.63    85.48    36.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.80     8.75    53.42    35.57    91.89    48.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.05     8.75    49.65    23.30    87.05    44.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      88.04     8.90    36.47    11.66    74.38    29.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.17     9.21    25.45     3.05    45.36    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.46     9.18    25.92     3.26    46.49    11.36P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.62     9.31    16.25     0.60    20.50     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      71.97     9.34    14.79     0.45    14.01     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      69.88     9.34     9.06     0.17     9.06     2.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.95     9.14     5.04     0.11     6.71     1.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.31     9.29     4.28     0.07     5.85     1.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.71     9.15    -5.71     0.01     1.34     0.23P    0.08R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.52     9.20    12.30     0.08     4.81     1.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.85     9.06     1.72     0.00     1.18     0.33P    0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.73     9.25    -6.24     0.00     0.79     0.14P    0.25R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      62.04     9.42     5.42     0.03     2.04     0.53P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.05     9.40     3.07     0.01     2.29     0.50P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.52     9.08   -10.62     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.97R    0.00  
York                18   21   -4      58.11     9.12    -7.08     0.00     0.60     0.13P    0.24R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      17   16  -13      43.14     8.78   -35.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.23  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.40     8.49   -45.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.65R    2.23  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.74     7.89   -46.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.98R    7.68  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.61     7.03   -69.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   29.24  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.27     6.78   -72.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   60.62