Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 November 2007 at 22:34:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         11   27  +15      83.68     8.74    54.00    40.78    62.54    76.47    86.19    96.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         12   27  +15      81.36     7.77    43.95    25.06    49.75    68.42    82.11    96.30     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   24  +10      75.57     8.56    37.43     9.97    24.08    40.67    58.08    86.13     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      12   22  +10      74.74     8.62    45.06     8.18    21.91    38.58    55.71    83.82     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       11   22   +6      68.97     8.96    22.43     2.25     7.03    15.16    26.98    62.03     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.34     9.85     7.72     0.68     2.45     5.87    11.25    31.91     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool       11   21  +11      77.05     8.47    41.95    12.55    30.06    48.77    65.84    89.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton         12   19   +4      55.67     9.00     5.78     0.06     0.34     1.12     2.77    12.43     0.19R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +3      59.82     9.74    11.65     0.34     1.33     3.42     7.48    24.87     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle       11   17   +1      47.61     8.81   -12.58     0.01     0.06     0.14     0.40     2.39     1.90R    0.05  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.13     9.64     8.73     0.10     0.45     1.36     3.11    12.91     0.29R    0.01  
Reading         12   13  -11      36.22     8.20   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    23.09R    2.17  
Fulham          12   12   -2      39.47     8.60   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    11.99R    0.83  
Birmingham      12   11   -6      39.60     9.29   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.39    14.16R    1.39  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.52     8.96   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    22.30R    3.00  
Middlesbrough   12    9  -11      31.61     8.01   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    42.81R    8.37  
Tottenham       12    8   -5      40.83     8.76   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    10.05R    0.72  
Wigan           12    8   -9      32.76     8.40   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    36.53R    6.10  
Bolton          11    6   -7      31.12     8.35   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    43.66R    7.91  
Derby           12    6  -21      19.35     6.21   -58.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.82R   69.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Barnsley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          14   32   +9      88.00    10.97    27.74    29.47    52.94    88.88    61.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     14   27   +8      80.38    11.21    22.46    11.28    26.52    71.70    38.66P    0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom        14   26  +15      90.10    10.48    49.25    39.78    64.32    93.09    73.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         14   22   +3      67.00    11.37     4.75     1.51     4.43    27.70    10.10P    1.91R    0.13  
Wolverhampton    14   22   +2      69.79    11.33     8.14     2.23     6.41    36.36    13.88P    1.04R    0.03  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      77.55    12.33    21.36     9.04    20.96    62.45    30.90P    0.37R    0.02  
Coventry         14   21   -1      66.40    11.19     1.01     1.05     3.44    25.24     8.27P    2.15R    0.19  
Plymouth         14   20   +1      63.27    11.25    -0.56     0.66     2.21    17.89     5.82P    3.87R    0.33  
Stoke            14   20   +0      65.34    11.02     1.99     0.84     2.87    22.37     7.09P    2.56R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       14   20   +0      64.49    11.20     1.22     0.58     2.37    20.63     6.72P    3.14R    0.22  
Barnsley         14   20   -2      64.07    11.27    -2.02     0.70     2.50    19.59     6.31P    3.63R    0.33  
Southampton      14   19   -4      58.54    11.17   -14.28     0.16     0.77     9.59     2.36P    9.43R    0.85  
Burnley          13   18   +1      64.80    11.57     3.02     0.77     2.79    22.69     7.45P    3.35R    0.27  
Leicester        13   16   +3      64.52    11.57     8.58     0.87     2.90    22.00     9.10P    3.19R    0.34  
Hull             14   16   +0      57.68    11.31    -3.40     0.18     0.74     8.86     2.88P   10.21R    1.09  
Colchester       14   15   +0      62.00    11.29     4.26     0.36     1.50    16.21     5.09P    5.34R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd        14   15   -2      59.02    11.26    -2.68     0.18     0.73    10.57     3.07P    8.78R    1.16  
Sheff_Wed        14   15   -8      49.61    11.01   -25.73     0.01     0.08     2.16     0.45P   32.04R    5.86  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.12    11.63    -8.95     0.14     0.58     6.50     2.04P   16.49R    2.36  
Preston          14   14   -2      53.01    10.72    -7.62     0.04     0.16     3.50     1.03P   18.60R    2.69  
QPR              13   14   -9      46.33    10.81   -29.41     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.24P   43.57R    9.90  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.63    11.60    -4.28     0.13     0.68     8.93     2.66P   11.49R    1.84  
Crystal_Palace   14   12   -4      49.58    10.89   -13.34     0.01     0.08     1.93     0.58P   29.87R    5.39  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.66     9.41   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   88.92R   66.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Brighton vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         14   27  +12      87.00    10.56    37.63    17.10    33.71    80.82    46.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    14   26   -1      69.28    10.74    -3.15     0.72     2.27    20.59     4.40P    0.58R    0.02  
Southend         14   25   +6      77.05    10.78    19.24     3.56     9.00    46.95    15.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     14   24  +13      86.59    10.12    41.49    15.64    32.38    80.98    49.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          13   24  +10      88.96    10.65    44.51    24.02    42.13    85.02    52.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         14   23   +6      77.43    10.68    21.92     3.50     9.25    48.71    18.62P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         14   23   +5      73.92    10.86    16.24     1.86     5.35    36.22    12.38P    0.13R    0.01  
Doncaster        14   21   +4      68.55    10.78     9.76     0.57     1.96    19.41     5.33P    0.69R    0.01  
Leeds            14   20  +16      90.85     9.29    62.06    28.55    51.58    91.70    67.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       13   20   +4      76.03    11.37    22.53     3.31     8.55    44.75    15.65P    0.22R    0.02  
Swindon          13   19   +7      69.50    11.18    15.51     0.95     2.95    23.71     7.44P    0.74R    0.02  
Northampton      14   19   +0      57.65    10.50   -10.08     0.04     0.16     3.35     0.73P    6.76R    0.47  
Walsall          14   19   +0      59.95    10.64    -4.24     0.05     0.23     5.14     1.08P    4.44R    0.26  
Yeovil           14   18   -4      58.36    10.70    -7.66     0.04     0.17     3.98     0.91P    6.41R    0.40  
Luton            14   17   -2      59.28    10.82    -5.52     0.08     0.24     4.95     1.06P    5.75R    0.53  
Crewe            14   17   -4      50.79    10.17   -21.81     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.13P   20.14R    2.29  
Huddersfield     14   17  -10      43.49     9.61   -43.05     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   48.20R    9.86  
Gillingham       14   15  -14      46.73    10.39   -35.53     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P   35.10R    6.73  
Bristol_Rovers   14   13   -6      50.26    10.69   -16.93     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.15P   22.79R    3.56  
Oldham           13   12   -4      52.97    10.82    -8.73     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.32P   15.62R    1.92  
Bournemouth      14   12   -8      44.56     9.93   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   41.57R    8.59  
Millwall         14   12  -10      40.36     9.39   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   58.99R   16.05  
Port_Vale        14   11   -8      41.06     9.78   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.73R   15.03  
Cheltenham       14   10  -12      35.82     9.45   -43.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.00R   34.23  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   14   29  +14      91.72    10.27    45.19    32.69    66.79    93.51    73.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              14   28  +10      86.21    10.72    32.48    15.83    45.61    84.09    55.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             14   25  +12      88.57    10.44    44.81    21.55    56.77    89.33    66.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         14   25   +7      79.29    10.93    23.58     5.46    22.65    64.59    32.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           14   24  +11      83.46    10.45    34.19     9.45    35.90    78.37    49.75P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         14   24  +10      82.19    10.71    33.06     8.58    32.04    74.95    43.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            14   24   +5      74.98    11.07    16.13     2.34    12.64    48.74    21.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               14   23   +4      70.99    11.20    10.62     1.22     7.32    34.56    13.47P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              14   22   +4      71.88    11.05    13.41     1.36     8.15    37.66    15.14P    0.03R    0.01  
Bury                 14   20   +2      66.03    11.14     5.37     0.40     2.96    20.45     6.73P    0.29R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   14   19   -3      52.83    10.61   -21.19     0.01     0.19     2.47     0.54P    3.77R    0.98  
Brentford            14   19   -3      59.34    10.99    -8.55     0.08     0.85     7.60     2.06P    1.17R    0.28  
Rochdale             13   18   -1      67.61    11.87     5.81     0.65     4.62    25.85     9.09P    0.33R    0.08  
Morecambe            14   18   -1      62.62    10.87     0.45     0.12     1.22    12.49     3.66P    0.40R    0.09  
Notts_County         14   17   -5      55.29    10.74   -14.32     0.03     0.30     3.88     0.96P    2.71R    0.70  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      60.03    11.63    -3.51     0.18     1.31    10.27     3.25P    1.38R    0.41  
Stockport            14   16   -6      54.90    11.18   -16.19     0.02     0.28     4.04     0.95P    3.43R    1.00  
Macclesfield         14   14   -6      55.05    11.00   -12.08     0.02     0.26     3.95     0.91P    3.13R    0.86  
Dag_&_Red            14   13  -11      41.83     9.99   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   25.70R   10.69  
Mansfield            14   12   -2      52.17    10.80    -9.16     0.01     0.13     2.34     0.59P    5.07R    1.64  
Bradford             14   12   -8      43.72    10.29   -27.14     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.08P   18.71R    6.84  
Grimsby              14   11   -9      42.63    10.13   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   22.44R    9.36  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      36.17    10.46   -44.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.55R   27.84  
Lincoln_City         14    9  -12      32.73     9.21   -44.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   62.81R   39.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2007, Burton_Albion vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           18   40  +14      92.20     8.88    36.58    22.37    86.43    37.66P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             18   39  +19      94.68     8.69    52.99    35.04    91.78    48.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           18   36  +19      92.07     8.73    49.62    23.42    87.30    44.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       18   35  +12      88.15     8.87    36.69    11.26    74.81    29.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       18   34  +11      81.48     9.13    25.97     3.19    46.27    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        18   34  +10      81.46     9.16    25.83     3.31    46.40    11.43P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              18   31   +8      74.45     9.29    15.93     0.58    19.68     4.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              18   30   +9      72.02     9.29    14.85     0.45    13.97     3.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        18   28   +4      70.10     9.28     9.46     0.16     9.08     2.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    18   28   +1      68.86     8.95     4.95     0.08     6.06     1.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       18   27   +2      67.23     9.23     4.10     0.04     5.58     1.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      62.01     9.20    -5.25     0.01     1.58     0.27P    0.10R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.23     9.18    11.84     0.05     4.58     1.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      18   23   +1      60.55     8.94     1.38     0.00     1.01     0.27P    0.11R    0.00  
Salisbury           18   23   -1      58.67     9.33    -6.35     0.01     0.80     0.17P    0.29R    0.00  
Halifax             18   22   +3      61.81     9.41     4.99     0.01     1.99     0.52P    0.12R    0.00  
Weymouth            18   22   -1      63.25     9.27     3.39     0.02     2.32     0.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Woking              18   21   -2      53.71     9.02   -10.38     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.79R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.65     9.36   -14.94     0.00     0.17     0.02P    1.25R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.14     9.48   -27.57     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.99R    0.07  
Altrincham          17   11  -16      36.31     8.62   -45.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.91R    2.40  
Stafford_Rangers    18    8  -20      30.49     7.76   -46.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.62R    7.97  
Droylsden           18    6  -27      23.75     7.10   -69.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.13R   28.60  
Northwich           18    3  -30      19.19     6.74   -72.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.55R   60.94