Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 November 2007 at 22:34:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         10   26  +15      84.21     8.99    52.33    44.02    66.48    80.14    88.51    96.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      82.13     8.15    43.32    29.98    56.98    74.94    86.37    96.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.61    10.06     8.48     0.78     3.24     7.87    15.04    36.97     0.09R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.35     9.08    32.96     5.34    16.27    31.68    48.64    78.21     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       10   21   +6      69.10     9.36    22.83     2.80     9.31    19.56    33.14    64.82     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   20  +11      76.58     9.03    41.87    12.72    32.39    51.81    67.74    88.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      70.07     9.65    35.49     3.68    12.21    25.01    40.44    69.42     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.31     9.69    -1.53     0.07     0.41     1.20     2.64     9.36     0.88R    0.01  
Everton         11   16   +2      54.24     9.52     4.54     0.08     0.37     1.20     3.08    12.79     0.45R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +1      59.63    10.16    13.25     0.43     1.82     4.77     9.92    28.01     0.22R    0.00  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.31     9.69     9.09     0.09     0.50     1.69     4.08    14.78     0.46R    0.01  
Reading         11   13   -9      38.03     9.06   -37.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.33    19.84R    1.97  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.42     9.88   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13     1.23    11.60R    0.95  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.31     8.91   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.20    22.75R    2.64  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.25     8.88   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    23.79R    3.26  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.65     8.92   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    29.53R    4.55  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.39     8.92   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10    41.60R    8.73  
Tottenham       11    7   -5      41.95     9.51   -11.60     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.17     1.16    10.25R    0.97  
Bolton          11    6   -7      30.77     8.44   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    45.99R    8.26  
Derby           11    6  -19      19.40     6.54   -59.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.56R   68.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          13   32  +12      93.44    11.35    37.52    50.48    69.83    93.98    75.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.49    11.76    20.58     9.94    24.12    65.53    35.04P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.03    11.27    38.76    18.40    39.39    80.40    51.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      77.24    12.49    21.02     7.84    20.23    58.64    29.38P    0.31R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.91    11.90     9.33     2.52     8.30    37.83    15.61P    0.82R    0.05  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.74    11.54    10.38     2.43     7.45    37.16    14.63P    0.78R    0.05  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      68.59    12.02     7.05     2.02     6.09    31.29    12.24P    1.52R    0.10  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.73    12.19     0.71     1.06     3.14    19.15     6.93P    3.78R    0.26  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      66.15    11.87     2.94     0.93     3.58    24.51     8.57P    2.31R    0.15  
Southampton      13   19   -3      61.48    11.77   -10.71     0.35     1.51    13.91     3.48P    5.41R    0.45  
Coventry         13   18   -3      60.90    11.59    -6.98     0.35     1.40    12.31     3.55P    5.77R    0.59  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.10    11.99     0.84     0.75     2.78    19.87     6.52P    3.46R    0.24  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.40    11.67    -3.27     0.51     1.79    15.14     4.66P    4.63R    0.47  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.71    11.83     5.91     0.64     2.62    18.62     7.08P    3.41R    0.29  
Leicester        12   15   +3      64.92    12.25     8.67     0.80     3.50    22.63     9.86P    3.04R    0.29  
Colchester       13   14   +0      61.11    11.41     2.01     0.31     1.23    12.92     3.93P    5.27R    0.58  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.49    11.56    -7.98     0.11     0.53     5.87     1.86P   12.79R    1.52  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.15    11.30    -7.39     0.06     0.26     4.57     1.41P   14.37R    1.59  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      60.61    11.84    -0.99     0.30     1.33    13.01     4.03P    6.35R    0.78  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.60    11.86    -4.48     0.17     0.73     8.61     2.69P   10.12R    1.38  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.82    11.56   -30.85     0.01     0.05     1.23     0.31P   41.68R   10.12  
Crystal_Palace   13   11   -4      50.54    11.49   -12.87     0.01     0.14     2.46     0.74P   24.52R    4.32  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.35    10.88   -38.96     0.01     0.02     0.34     0.08P   61.59R   20.28  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.63     9.04   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.98R   56.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2007, Nottm_Forest vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      81.77    11.04    29.80     5.54    15.69    64.92    28.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      93.74    10.89    55.59    33.75    57.83    91.77    66.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      80.13    11.13    26.24     4.46    12.56    59.56    24.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    13   23   -2      67.01    10.75    -5.39     0.20     1.09    15.87     2.67P    0.88R    0.04  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.46    11.41    15.01     1.47     4.79    35.72    10.12P    0.26R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     13   21  +11      83.94    10.60    37.90     7.07    20.39    73.08    38.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            13   20  +18      95.92     8.92    69.86    42.32    69.29    97.03    81.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      70.98    11.15    12.46     0.65     2.65    27.40     8.03P    0.37R    0.01  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.47    11.71    22.61     1.82     6.02    40.26    13.96P    0.21R    0.00  
Northampton      13   19   +1      60.27    11.24    -7.47     0.11     0.42     6.79     1.42P    4.22R    0.22  
Doncaster        13   18   +3      64.17    11.01     4.76     0.15     0.66    11.58     2.68P    1.67R    0.08  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.39    11.44     0.85     0.13     0.70    12.04     2.99P    2.03R    0.10  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      75.38    11.82    24.20     2.15     7.00    43.68    14.22P    0.27R    0.01  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.43    11.41    -0.06     0.13     0.58     9.51     2.19P    3.01R    0.24  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.55    10.88    -8.74     0.01     0.09     3.21     0.69P    7.30R    0.53  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.49    10.30   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   34.82R    5.86  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      38.01     9.40   -52.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   65.81R   20.56  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      43.95    10.27   -43.44     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   42.25R    8.72  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      56.08    11.45    -7.92     0.02     0.13     3.38     0.74P    9.58R    1.13  
Oldham           12   12   -3      55.64    11.49    -6.30     0.03     0.11     3.37     0.78P    9.74R    0.95  
Millwall         13   12   -9      40.10     9.79   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   56.34R   13.35  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.30    10.40   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   34.68R    6.37  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.65     9.93   -40.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   65.44R   22.03  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.55    10.12   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.07R   19.80  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      92.20    10.78    46.17    28.66    64.12    92.52    71.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      85.69    11.08    34.35    12.35    40.39    81.78    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.68     9.79    49.76    32.42    71.76    95.74    81.86P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      84.88    10.95    37.01    10.34    37.86    80.07    49.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      76.97    11.42    21.05     2.98    15.70    54.80    25.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.35    11.32    30.92     6.19    26.70    70.12    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      77.65    11.51    23.06     3.53    17.26    57.16    26.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.21    11.72    15.16     1.41     9.26    42.35    16.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      72.00    11.59    13.45     1.14     7.49    37.89    14.29P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      57.98    11.41   -12.67     0.06     0.70     7.01     1.76P    1.38R    0.34  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.48    11.43    -5.32     0.06     0.75     8.63     2.35P    1.26R    0.24  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.72    11.37    -3.95     0.07     0.73     8.66     2.41P    1.05R    0.22  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.78    11.16    -3.56     0.04     0.64     8.73     2.29P    0.97R    0.21  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.59    11.17   -14.01     0.01     0.21     3.56     0.86P    3.12R    0.89  
Stockport            13   16   -5      56.37    11.54   -15.07     0.03     0.35     5.60     1.10P    2.73R    0.77  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      66.92    12.59     6.76     0.54     4.19    24.58     8.32P    0.51R    0.14  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      64.19    11.65     6.98     0.17     1.76    16.94     4.90P    0.57R    0.16  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.42    11.28   -24.31     0.01     0.08     1.76     0.36P    8.58R    3.09  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.46    10.34   -35.91     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   22.46R    9.14  
Bradford             13   12   -7      47.27    11.15   -22.55     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.22P   11.53R    4.09  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      43.32    10.46   -29.87     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   19.97R    8.23  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      42.92    10.97   -27.03     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P   21.29R    9.50  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.55     9.63   -47.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.21R   38.94  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      36.99    10.75   -42.81     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   43.23R   24.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 November 2007, Rushden_&_D'monds vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      96.82     9.09    56.11    44.43    93.55    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      88.83     9.50    31.75    12.97    75.26    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.39     9.50    34.29     8.48    67.23    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.28     8.84    52.15    22.67    87.22    44.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      85.13     9.51    33.80     7.89    62.82    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.75     9.56    19.79     1.48    31.71     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.59     9.70    17.30     0.71    20.76     5.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.26     9.76    17.60     0.65    20.73     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.44     9.47    10.14     0.33    14.07     3.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.07     9.57     6.54     0.20     7.46     1.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          18   25   -3      61.54     9.10    -5.99     0.01     1.44     0.24P    0.16R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.49     9.60    -4.01     0.02     2.58     0.47P    0.17R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   18   23   +4      66.70     9.18    12.56     0.05     5.20     1.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.69     9.58    -2.50     0.02     2.06     0.37P    0.14R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      66.30     9.82     8.29     0.09     5.55     1.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.80     9.41    -2.50     0.00     0.59     0.16P    0.64R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.08     9.62    -7.36     0.00     0.55     0.13P    0.95R    0.01  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.55     9.86    -2.25     0.00     0.95     0.22P    0.73R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.07     9.45   -16.12     0.00     0.23     0.03P    2.18R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.30     9.46   -27.30     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.70R    0.09  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.76     8.83   -47.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.59R    2.51  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.40     8.37   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.55R    4.75  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      22.87     7.24   -71.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R   34.37  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.63     6.96   -73.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   58.25