Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 31 October 2007 at 22:34:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         10   26  +15      84.65     9.01    53.06    45.90    68.50    81.77    89.57    97.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      81.93     8.21    43.23    29.05    56.15    74.46    86.08    96.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.75    10.08     8.57     0.88     3.41     8.01    15.31    37.69     0.06R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.44     8.97    32.91     5.28    16.32    31.80    49.26    78.63     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       10   21   +6      68.73     9.44    22.21     2.78     9.27    19.31    32.53    63.58     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       10   20  +11      76.52     9.06    41.76    12.18    31.90    51.87    68.00    88.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      69.53     9.73    34.04     3.18    11.23    23.28    38.41    67.53     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.22     9.71    -1.74     0.07     0.33     1.07     2.56     9.43     0.95R    0.01  
Everton         11   16   +2      54.35     9.59     4.82     0.10     0.44     1.36     3.39    13.03     0.53R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +1      59.58    10.20    13.22     0.47     1.86     5.00    10.13    28.42     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.60     9.86     9.52     0.11     0.57     1.94     4.37    15.90     0.51R    0.02  
Reading         11   13   -9      37.82     8.90   -37.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.29    20.17R    1.96  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.65     9.73   -15.42     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.22    10.82R    0.88  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.51     8.91   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.22    22.24R    2.45  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.34     8.90   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    23.34R    3.07  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.50     8.93   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.17    30.66R    4.92  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.50     8.76   -39.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    40.64R    8.04  
Tottenham       11    7   -5      42.20     9.58   -10.86     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.15     1.28    10.03R    0.92  
Bolton          11    6   -7      30.70     8.38   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    47.06R    8.26  
Derby           11    6  -19      19.28     6.45   -60.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.72R   69.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          13   32  +12      93.70    11.38    38.03    51.99    71.24    94.15    76.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.68    11.75    20.88     9.93    24.50    66.15    35.64P    0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.09    11.09    38.76    17.84    39.30    80.91    51.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      77.11    12.38    20.72     7.35    19.55    58.26    28.47P    0.26R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.53    11.92     8.77     2.15     7.48    36.81    14.77P    0.95R    0.05  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.60    11.74    10.20     2.41     7.46    37.05    14.78P    0.89R    0.06  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      68.46    12.17     6.79     1.88     6.05    30.90    11.98P    1.70R    0.17  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.37    12.18     0.25     0.91     2.96    18.54     6.67P    4.08R    0.26  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      65.56    12.00     2.03     0.96     3.42    22.91     8.04P    2.66R    0.19  
Southampton      13   19   -3      61.46    11.61   -10.65     0.31     1.29    13.58     3.36P    5.31R    0.43  
Coventry         13   18   -3      60.98    11.64    -6.90     0.32     1.38    12.45     3.73P    5.69R    0.63  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.27    12.27     1.20     0.93     3.07    20.85     7.14P    3.73R    0.27  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.47    11.60    -3.04     0.52     1.83    15.02     4.75P    4.49R    0.41  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.21    11.83     5.08     0.54     2.28    17.89     6.52P    3.62R    0.28  
Leicester        12   15   +3      65.28    12.26     9.28     0.93     3.67    23.78    10.15P    2.84R    0.20  
Colchester       13   14   +0      61.14    11.61     2.07     0.33     1.32    13.41     4.21P    5.50R    0.57  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.93    11.74    -7.40     0.13     0.56     6.65     2.05P   12.64R    1.55  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.79    11.32    -6.44     0.04     0.24     4.89     1.37P   13.34R    1.30  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      61.10    11.86    -0.18     0.38     1.52    13.76     4.40P    5.89R    0.76  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.63    11.66    -4.39     0.13     0.66     8.21     2.47P    9.59R    1.26  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.67    11.39   -31.05     0.00     0.04     1.06     0.21P   42.16R    9.23  
Crystal_Palace   13   11   -4      50.48    11.44   -12.95     0.01     0.14     2.34     0.69P   24.81R    3.95  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.50    11.01   -38.90     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.10P   60.87R   19.90  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.14     9.20   -42.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   88.85R   58.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2007, Nottm_Forest vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      82.03    10.95    30.21     5.77    15.91    65.55    28.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      93.80    10.82    55.85    33.46    58.08    91.89    66.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      79.87    11.17    26.02     4.33    12.34    58.47    23.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    13   23   -2      67.22    10.88    -5.00     0.25     1.15    16.16     2.88P    0.85R    0.03  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.75    11.46    15.59     1.49     5.02    36.54    10.55P    0.28R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     13   21  +11      83.93    10.51    37.89     6.89    19.69    73.07    38.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            13   20  +18      96.00     9.11    70.05    42.51    69.56    96.75    81.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      71.20    10.96    12.80     0.56     2.44    27.46     7.96P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.01    11.78    21.86     1.87     5.84    38.67    13.19P    0.23R    0.00  
Northampton      13   19   +1      59.65    11.17    -8.77     0.08     0.32     6.03     1.16P    4.71R    0.30  
Doncaster        13   18   +3      63.39    11.09     3.44     0.12     0.57    10.48     2.47P    2.04R    0.08  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.76    11.43     1.40     0.16     0.78    12.68     3.17P    1.83R    0.11  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      75.74    11.90    24.78     2.29     7.28    44.83    14.83P    0.33R    0.02  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.87    11.50     0.64     0.14     0.66    10.31     2.31P    2.91R    0.19  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.56    10.58    -8.82     0.02     0.07     2.72     0.56P    6.69R    0.43  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.66    10.22   -30.18     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   33.55R    4.90  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      38.02     9.34   -51.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   65.51R   19.73  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      43.83    10.18   -43.58     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   42.15R    8.70  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      56.92    11.32    -6.59     0.03     0.13     3.97     0.81P    7.87R    0.75  
Oldham           12   12   -3      55.59    11.67    -6.41     0.02     0.14     3.59     0.83P   10.19R    0.97  
Millwall         13   12   -9      40.03     9.84   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   56.25R   13.85  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.20    10.49   -22.64     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   34.98R    6.62  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.43     9.95   -41.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   66.21R   22.44  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.02    10.04   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   63.08R   20.88  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      91.76    10.85    45.34    28.51    63.54    91.83    70.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      84.74    10.99    32.49    10.82    37.83    79.57    48.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.77     9.78    49.74    34.09    73.20    95.92    82.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      83.89    11.17    35.41     9.53    35.74    77.68    47.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      76.79    11.28    20.73     2.99    15.23    54.61    24.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.50    11.19    31.22     6.19    27.38    71.25    39.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      78.25    11.61    24.00     4.08    19.46    59.38    28.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.58    11.66    15.73     1.60    10.12    43.44    17.68P    0.04R    0.01  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      71.68    11.42    12.99     1.20     7.57    36.64    14.30P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      58.08    11.53   -12.46     0.06     0.71     7.27     1.84P    1.56R    0.32  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.21    11.44    -5.65     0.05     0.74     8.42     2.32P    1.31R    0.31  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.70    11.46    -4.02     0.08     0.75     8.96     2.60P    1.07R    0.25  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.88    11.17    -3.26     0.05     0.74     8.89     2.41P    1.06R    0.24  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.89    11.32   -13.63     0.02     0.23     4.04     0.91P    3.19R    0.86  
Stockport            13   16   -5      56.44    11.73   -14.95     0.03     0.41     5.95     1.31P    2.91R    0.97  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      67.24    12.26     7.17     0.53     4.29    25.00     8.36P    0.43R    0.13  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      64.25    11.67     7.04     0.15     1.94    17.34     5.20P    0.54R    0.15  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.16    11.18   -24.69     0.00     0.07     1.55     0.38P    8.69R    3.03  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.57    10.45   -35.59     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.05P   22.48R    9.14  
Bradford             13   12   -7      47.95    11.23   -21.35     0.01     0.04     1.20     0.27P   10.59R    3.57  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      43.35    10.56   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   20.42R    8.64  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      42.63    10.74   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   22.05R    9.90  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.39     9.39   -47.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.65R   40.51  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      37.67    10.64   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   40.90R   21.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.27     9.04    57.04    45.25    94.00    56.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.53     9.37    32.83    13.38    77.43    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.49     9.56    34.43     8.51    66.95    23.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.71     8.73    52.81    22.47    88.45    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      85.00     9.48    33.42     6.98    61.60    22.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.97     9.64    20.21     1.54    32.38     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.33     9.63    16.91     0.65    19.50     5.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      75.06     9.56    18.79     0.68    22.09     5.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.06     9.48     9.54     0.25    13.00     3.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      67.94     9.53     6.32     0.15     6.97     1.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.33     9.50     6.28     0.06     5.72     1.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.34     9.35    -4.21     0.01     2.01     0.31P    0.18R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.57     9.59    -2.80     0.01     2.01     0.40P    0.19R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.67     9.73     7.26     0.03     4.57     0.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.75     9.19    -2.51     0.00     0.52     0.13P    0.49R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.86     9.58    -0.33     0.01     1.34     0.31P    0.31R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      55.88     9.51    -7.74     0.00     0.47     0.12P    0.96R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.23     9.76    -2.77     0.00     0.80     0.18P    0.74R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      52.92     9.34   -16.30     0.00     0.17     0.04P    2.17R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.04     9.54   -27.84     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.25R    0.11  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.68     8.92   -47.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.09R    2.91  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.33     8.34   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.51R    5.02  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.28     7.31   -70.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   32.79  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.65     7.04   -73.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.33R   59.15