Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 October 2007 at 22:34:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         10   26  +15      83.98     9.09    51.85    43.37    65.83    79.66    88.35    96.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      81.90     8.14    43.08    29.29    55.94    74.10    86.07    96.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.30    10.01     7.82     0.62     2.84     7.13    13.98    36.25     0.06R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.64     9.09    33.43     6.39    17.61    32.78    49.60    79.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       10   21   +6      68.94     9.42    22.50     2.53     9.04    19.37    33.07    64.59     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   20  +11      76.79     8.99    42.14    13.46    33.45    52.99    68.61    88.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      70.00     9.72    35.03     3.71    12.21    25.21    40.52    69.48     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.09     9.54    -2.02     0.05     0.30     0.99     2.34     9.06     0.94R    0.03  
Everton         11   16   +2      54.27     9.51     4.66     0.08     0.44     1.30     3.23    12.63     0.47R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +1      59.75    10.09    13.30     0.42     1.82     4.80    10.05    28.81     0.24R    0.01  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      54.92     9.74     8.46     0.08     0.51     1.57     3.80    14.29     0.52R    0.03  
Reading         11   13   -9      37.93     8.80   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    19.89R    1.94  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.57     9.81   -15.57     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.32    11.18R    0.98  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.62     8.94   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    22.26R    2.57  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.62     8.95   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.26    22.86R    3.17  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.59     8.89   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    30.23R    4.74  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.24     8.69   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    42.12R    8.54  
Tottenham       11    7   -5      42.18     9.46   -10.96     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.12     1.10    10.18R    0.97  
Bolton          11    6   -7      30.84     8.37   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    46.49R    8.54  
Derby           11    6  -19      19.54     6.54   -59.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.53R   68.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          13   32  +12      93.76    11.17    38.06    51.85    71.37    94.36    77.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.54    11.65    20.59     9.58    24.06    66.15    35.25P    0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.04    11.22    38.56    18.44    39.35    80.34    51.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      77.30    12.22    21.15     7.32    19.84    58.96    29.13P    0.31R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.90    11.97     9.36     2.30     7.95    38.28    15.51P    0.83R    0.04  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.01    11.65     9.26     2.09     6.62    34.97    13.41P    0.91R    0.09  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      68.31    12.25     6.56     1.80     5.83    30.81    11.96P    1.82R    0.18  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.75    12.07     0.84     0.81     2.86    19.05     6.66P    3.75R    0.28  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      66.29    11.89     3.17     1.09     3.86    24.56     8.67P    2.12R    0.11  
Southampton      13   19   -3      60.94    11.66   -11.72     0.30     1.30    12.89     3.27P    5.73R    0.44  
Coventry         13   18   -3      61.44    11.53    -6.08     0.30     1.41    13.05     3.93P    5.01R    0.50  
Burnley          12   17   +1      63.94    11.95     0.60     0.81     2.73    19.30     6.29P    3.38R    0.26  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.18    11.58    -3.54     0.50     1.85    14.43     4.58P    4.66R    0.49  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.49    11.82     5.58     0.65     2.48    18.40     6.86P    3.58R    0.28  
Leicester        12   15   +3      65.19    12.42     9.09     1.09     3.96    23.44    10.39P    2.98R    0.20  
Colchester       13   14   +0      61.52    11.70     2.78     0.45     1.56    14.24     4.63P    5.06R    0.61  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.32    11.59    -8.31     0.10     0.40     5.78     1.65P   13.42R    1.72  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.74    11.18    -6.48     0.06     0.31     4.77     1.48P   12.74R    1.17  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      61.16    11.79    -0.01     0.27     1.35    13.95     4.32P    5.83R    0.72  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.87    11.79    -3.94     0.15     0.75     8.63     2.60P    9.53R    1.28  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.68    11.34   -30.89     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.28P   41.85R   10.09  
Crystal_Palace   13   11   -4      50.10    11.42   -13.51     0.01     0.13     2.29     0.66P   25.68R    4.57  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.17    10.75   -39.59     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   62.31R   20.19  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.49     9.15   -41.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R   56.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2007, Nottm_Forest vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      82.12    11.01    30.28     5.97    16.46    66.45    29.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      94.06    10.78    56.35    35.01    59.27    92.45    67.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      80.18    11.13    26.41     4.52    13.06    59.23    24.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    13   23   -2      67.20    10.82    -4.97     0.22     1.10    16.51     2.90P    0.96R    0.03  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.52    11.39    15.17     1.46     4.81    35.99    10.24P    0.30R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     13   21  +11      83.21    10.71    36.83     6.77    18.81    70.45    36.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            13   20  +18      95.48     9.17    69.28    40.47    67.50    96.51    80.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      70.63    11.17    11.90     0.70     2.59    26.20     7.93P    0.40R    0.02  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.78    11.56    23.15     1.98     6.13    41.16    14.36P    0.17R    0.00  
Northampton      13   19   +1      60.23    11.17    -7.82     0.08     0.36     6.67     1.30P    4.07R    0.20  
Doncaster        13   18   +3      64.01    10.92     4.43     0.15     0.62    11.07     2.54P    1.71R    0.06  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.46    11.36     1.00     0.15     0.72    11.98     3.00P    2.09R    0.12  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      75.64    11.89    24.59     2.33     7.64    44.74    14.93P    0.36R    0.02  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.54    11.35     0.09     0.12     0.58     9.64     2.12P    2.70R    0.16  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.86    11.01    -8.21     0.03     0.16     3.71     0.88P    6.82R    0.51  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.95    10.26   -29.53     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   33.06R    4.78  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      38.43     9.42   -50.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   64.21R   19.03  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      43.52    10.27   -44.30     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   44.23R    9.59  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      55.76    11.19    -8.50     0.01     0.08     2.90     0.61P    9.77R    1.07  
Oldham           12   12   -3      55.59    11.61    -6.40     0.02     0.10     3.45     0.83P   10.07R    1.06  
Millwall         13   12   -9      39.90     9.74   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   56.45R   14.31  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.32    10.48   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   34.64R    6.77  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.48     9.79   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.31R   21.93  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.41    10.11   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   61.65R   20.32  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      91.99    10.82    45.83    29.01    64.03    92.28    71.18P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      84.63    11.11    32.50    10.82    37.38    79.09    47.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.71     9.79    49.62    33.37    72.38    95.69    82.20P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      84.28    11.07    35.85     9.82    36.84    78.58    48.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      77.43    11.54    21.80     3.76    17.55    56.61    27.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.54    11.02    31.06     6.03    27.07    71.63    39.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      77.67    11.54    23.11     3.62    17.91    57.58    27.25P    0.01R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.40    11.60    15.43     1.49     9.59    42.60    16.90P    0.03R    0.01  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      71.72    11.39    12.98     1.08     7.24    37.01    13.97P    0.08R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      58.49    11.30   -11.73     0.08     0.77     7.33     1.95P    1.22R    0.30  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.58    11.44    -5.11     0.06     0.91     9.08     2.47P    1.28R    0.34  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.69    11.27    -3.93     0.07     0.75     8.53     2.43P    1.11R    0.20  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.56    11.22    -3.82     0.05     0.60     8.35     2.15P    1.05R    0.23  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.77    10.98   -13.78     0.01     0.22     3.47     0.81P    2.84R    0.81  
Stockport            13   16   -5      56.97    11.59   -13.97     0.02     0.41     6.22     1.33P    2.34R    0.75  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      67.22    12.45     7.25     0.54     4.21    25.51     8.46P    0.60R    0.16  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      63.96    11.77     6.60     0.17     1.98    16.78     4.97P    0.65R    0.20  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.06    11.29   -24.84     0.00     0.06     1.51     0.33P    8.96R    3.19  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.42    10.47   -35.97     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   22.72R    9.10  
Bradford             13   12   -7      47.63    11.05   -22.01     0.00     0.06     1.03     0.25P   10.59R    3.71  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      42.99    10.39   -30.29     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   20.56R    8.39  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      43.23    11.07   -26.21     0.00     0.03     0.46     0.13P   20.90R    9.08  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.52     9.52   -47.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.48R   39.32  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      36.89    10.54   -42.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.54R   24.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.09     9.11    56.58    44.77    93.85    56.43P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.13     9.30    32.20    12.84    76.44    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.59     9.43    34.63     8.62    67.84    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.59     8.91    52.64    23.29    87.86    44.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.83     9.61    33.07     7.04    61.16    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.91     9.64    20.02     1.51    32.21     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      73.80     9.78    16.14     0.64    18.93     4.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.87     9.60    18.54     0.71    22.10     5.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      71.84     9.61     9.28     0.26    13.11     3.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      67.85     9.75     6.16     0.17     7.48     1.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.55     9.61     6.56     0.08     6.36     1.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.14     9.53    -4.50     0.02     2.20     0.38P    0.22R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.46     9.63    -2.93     0.01     1.91     0.40P    0.20R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.73     9.82     7.33     0.04     4.99     1.14P    0.08R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.09     9.28    -2.10     0.00     0.55     0.17P    0.60R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.85     9.47    -0.42     0.01     1.30     0.33P    0.33R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.12     9.50    -7.32     0.01     0.55     0.12P    0.86R    0.01  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.59     9.90    -2.20     0.00     0.93     0.24P    0.85R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.23     9.34   -15.78     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.96R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.25     9.43   -27.47     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.03R    0.08  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.81     8.88   -47.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.34R    2.75  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.34     8.43   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.67R    5.28  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.34     7.38   -70.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.49R   33.56  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.85     7.07   -73.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.28R   58.30