Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 October 2007 at 22:34:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         10   26  +15      84.23     9.08    52.37    44.26    66.79    80.19    88.75    96.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      82.12     8.09    43.25    30.31    56.96    75.20    86.48    97.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.54     9.99     8.23     0.77     3.19     7.64    14.47    36.42     0.06R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.78     8.96    33.56     6.03    17.64    33.48    50.62    79.58     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       10   21   +6      68.55     9.47    21.89     2.49     8.85    18.50    31.31    62.51     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   20  +11      76.38     9.01    41.36    11.83    31.20    50.62    66.70    88.01     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      70.21     9.56    35.72     3.55    12.05    24.98    40.87    70.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.17     9.62    -1.79     0.09     0.41     1.14     2.59     9.14     0.90R    0.02  
Everton         11   16   +2      54.19     9.51     4.59     0.07     0.34     1.23     3.15    12.44     0.48R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +1      59.75    10.22    13.48     0.49     1.94     5.06    10.34    28.85     0.28R    0.01  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.67     9.78     9.67     0.11     0.61     1.85     4.34    15.91     0.41R    0.01  
Reading         11   13   -9      38.24     8.95   -36.53     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.29    18.78R    1.82  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.37     9.82   -15.87     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.14     1.19    11.64R    0.99  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.28     8.99   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    23.48R    2.56  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.21     8.82   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19    23.74R    3.36  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.79     8.97   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    29.44R    4.62  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.39     8.70   -39.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    41.02R    8.55  
Tottenham       11    7   -5      41.82     9.51   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.03    10.57R    0.89  
Bolton          11    6   -7      30.71     8.46   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    46.66R    8.39  
Derby           11    6  -19      19.34     6.50   -59.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.53R   68.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          13   32  +12      94.17    11.23    38.69    53.08    72.26    94.88    77.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.81    11.59    21.12     9.52    24.20    67.32    35.88P    0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.46    11.25    39.35    18.65    41.25    81.35    53.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      76.79    12.39    20.23     6.91    18.70    58.09    27.80P    0.30R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.14    11.90     8.20     2.12     7.38    35.95    14.42P    1.00R    0.05  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.05    11.63     9.32     2.07     6.64    35.15    13.61P    0.99R    0.08  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      68.01    12.12     6.06     1.76     5.36    30.11    11.18P    1.81R    0.15  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.00    11.99    -0.34     0.69     2.51    17.49     6.11P    4.15R    0.32  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      65.98    11.75     2.71     0.85     3.41    23.95     8.31P    2.28R    0.12  
Southampton      13   19   -3      62.04    11.66    -9.54     0.42     1.72    15.08     4.05P    4.88R    0.42  
Coventry         13   18   -3      60.95    11.51    -7.00     0.28     1.28    12.36     3.60P    5.93R    0.62  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.20    12.03     1.03     0.70     2.78    20.64     6.65P    3.65R    0.27  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.00    11.64    -3.86     0.43     1.76    14.31     4.29P    5.17R    0.47  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.17    11.71     5.00     0.47     2.13    17.62     6.33P    3.89R    0.31  
Leicester        12   15   +3      65.46    12.12     9.43     1.00     3.84    23.90    10.44P    2.70R    0.28  
Colchester       13   14   +0      60.94    11.66     1.75     0.33     1.45    13.48     4.17P    5.72R    0.66  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      56.26    11.67    -6.76     0.11     0.59     6.95     2.11P   11.89R    1.51  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.67    11.38    -6.62     0.06     0.33     5.14     1.59P   13.81R    1.43  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      61.35    11.93     0.45     0.38     1.63    14.50     4.63P    5.80R    0.71  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.09    11.68    -5.17     0.14     0.60     7.87     2.42P   10.62R    1.48  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.45    11.33   -31.57     0.01     0.03     1.03     0.21P   43.07R   10.42  
Crystal_Palace   13   11   -4      50.65    11.37   -12.76     0.02     0.12     2.48     0.72P   24.17R    3.97  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.80    10.82   -38.24     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   60.38R   19.49  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.58     9.35   -41.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    87.69R   57.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Doncaster vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      81.86    11.04    29.89     5.46    14.86    65.16    27.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      93.74    10.85    55.49    32.07    55.80    91.69    65.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      80.13    11.27    26.39     4.39    12.23    58.42    23.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    13   23   -2      67.42    10.84    -4.80     0.22     1.07    16.38     2.84P    0.78R    0.02  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.36    11.37    14.76     1.27     4.20    34.69     9.40P    0.24R    0.01  
Leeds            13   20  +18      96.10     8.90    70.02    40.80    67.90    97.19    80.85P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     12   20  +11      85.98    11.08    41.07    10.39    26.34    77.63    43.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      71.30    11.25    12.96     0.73     2.67    27.96     8.49P    0.39R    0.01  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.45    11.61    22.51     1.80     5.50    39.27    13.44P    0.22R    0.01  
Northampton      13   19   +1      60.26    11.09    -7.69     0.08     0.32     6.36     1.24P    4.03R    0.22  
Doncaster        13   18   +3      63.71    11.07     3.92     0.14     0.61    11.00     2.63P    1.93R    0.05  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.23    11.38     0.67     0.11     0.59    11.28     2.69P    2.16R    0.10  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      75.68    11.93    24.49     2.39     7.21    44.00    14.22P    0.21R    0.02  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.61    11.17     0.16     0.09     0.42     8.97     1.88P    2.72R    0.18  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.51    10.95    -8.98     0.02     0.09     3.12     0.69P    7.54R    0.51  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.71    10.13   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   33.40R    5.13  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      37.66     9.32   -52.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   67.31R   21.02  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      44.12    10.23   -42.95     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   41.32R    8.49  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      56.34    11.26    -7.60     0.02     0.09     3.35     0.71P    8.70R    0.82  
Millwall         13   12   -9      40.25     9.82   -36.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.24R   13.43  
Oldham           11   11   -3      53.66    11.96   -10.41     0.02     0.10     2.73     0.62P   14.49R    1.98  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.75    10.30   -22.13     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   32.51R    5.54  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.61     9.85   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   65.51R   21.89  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.38    10.10   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.22R   20.59  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      92.16    10.81    46.08    29.67    65.04    92.53    71.85P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      85.08    11.03    33.09    11.53    38.68    80.50    49.55P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.38     9.82    49.12    32.12    71.12    95.59    81.30P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      84.44    11.12    36.22    10.27    37.59    79.06    48.99P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      76.80    11.41    20.76     3.19    15.80    54.54    25.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.29    11.15    30.68     5.84    26.65    70.59    38.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      77.86    11.55    23.36     3.66    18.17    58.32    27.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.21    11.69    15.12     1.64     9.76    42.34    17.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      71.63    11.24    12.86     1.09     7.04    36.30    13.78P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      58.08    11.61   -12.62     0.07     0.72     7.62     1.96P    1.40R    0.38  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.65    11.47    -4.96     0.06     0.84     9.01     2.45P    1.27R    0.30  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.60    11.31    -4.08     0.09     0.75     8.41     2.40P    1.03R    0.25  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.86    11.13    -3.35     0.05     0.72     8.73     2.28P    0.87R    0.23  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.48    11.05   -14.24     0.01     0.23     3.56     0.90P    3.03R    0.89  
Stockport            13   16   -5      56.72    11.45   -14.37     0.02     0.50     5.79     1.34P    2.28R    0.60  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      67.19    12.36     7.12     0.53     4.18    25.26     8.30P    0.47R    0.13  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      64.26    11.84     7.17     0.16     2.05    17.95     5.25P    0.69R    0.18  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.45    11.25   -24.33     0.00     0.08     1.74     0.34P    8.63R    3.21  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.83    10.53   -35.22     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.09P   22.19R    9.40  
Bradford             13   12   -7      47.27    11.21   -22.64     0.00     0.04     0.98     0.21P   12.00R    4.33  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      43.30    10.42   -29.70     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   20.10R    8.22  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      42.91    10.75   -26.73     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.08P   21.30R    9.42  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.32     9.30   -47.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   62.62R   40.32  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      37.45    10.57   -41.68     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   42.02R   22.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      96.85     9.07    56.11    43.98    93.48    55.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.06     9.46    32.08    12.93    75.79    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.57     9.36    34.64     8.62    68.01    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.66     8.83    52.81    23.73    88.08    45.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.92     9.51    33.31     7.20    61.72    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.88     9.70    20.09     1.59    32.00     7.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.27     9.72    16.89     0.67    19.75     5.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.89     9.59    18.55     0.69    22.07     5.68P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.03     9.52     9.51     0.26    13.17     3.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.05     9.54     6.52     0.16     7.37     1.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.74     9.45     6.93     0.07     6.37     1.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.09     9.47    -4.60     0.01     2.22     0.38P    0.19R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.30     9.61    -3.20     0.02     1.81     0.31P    0.20R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.56     9.70     7.11     0.06     4.68     1.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.09     9.38    -2.16     0.00     0.62     0.19P    0.54R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      60.19     9.46     0.11     0.01     1.30     0.33P    0.25R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.04     9.51    -7.48     0.00     0.51     0.13P    0.85R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.54     9.66    -2.23     0.00     0.82     0.17P    0.67R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.19     9.45   -15.81     0.00     0.20     0.02P    2.05R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.23     9.50   -27.60     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.38R    0.12  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.97     8.78   -47.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.47R    2.52  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.25     8.42   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.66R    5.01  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.11     7.34   -71.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.75R   32.94  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.44     6.95   -74.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.85R   59.38