Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 October 2007 at 22:34:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         10   26  +15      84.22     9.16    52.54    43.97    66.69    80.15    88.60    96.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      82.32     8.01    43.55    30.90    58.52    76.28    87.42    97.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.73    10.05     8.53     0.74     3.26     7.90    14.94    37.73     0.07R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.01     9.10    32.30     5.29    15.59    30.46    47.54    77.05     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       10   21   +6      68.29     9.69    21.52     2.61     8.76    18.67    31.51    61.42     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       10   20  +11      76.68     8.88    42.00    12.45    32.45    52.82    69.01    88.95     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      69.93     9.49    34.84     3.35    11.31    24.04    39.70    69.72     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.68     9.63    -0.75     0.08     0.35     1.14     2.65    10.17     0.74R    0.01  
Everton         11   16   +2      54.46     9.59     5.03     0.06     0.40     1.34     3.40    13.17     0.51R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +1      59.81    10.20    13.64     0.45     1.99     5.07    10.38    28.87     0.29R    0.00  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.58     9.73     9.52     0.12     0.67     2.00     4.43    15.47     0.39R    0.00  
Reading         11   13   -9      37.89     9.01   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.34    20.12R    2.14  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.39     9.79   -15.83     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.19    11.39R    0.92  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.56     8.90   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.20    21.67R    2.52  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.18     8.74   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    23.56R    3.19  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.26     8.85   -25.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.14    30.85R    5.11  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.57     8.83   -39.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.06    40.10R    8.13  
Tottenham       11    7   -5      42.01     9.57   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.21    10.14R    0.95  
Bolton          11    6   -7      30.45     8.52   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    48.03R    9.65  
Derby           11    6  -19      19.60     6.47   -59.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.13R   67.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Bristol_City vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          12   29  +10      90.27    11.99    33.10    42.49    61.13    89.32    67.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.51    11.75    20.62    11.44    25.61    65.96    36.24P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.30    11.24    39.23    21.78    42.28    81.17    53.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      76.85    12.27    20.27     8.16    19.93    57.89    28.69P    0.32R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.58    11.97     8.89     2.90     8.43    37.47    15.63P    0.96R    0.05  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.70    11.53    10.35     2.89     7.95    37.12    15.12P    0.78R    0.04  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      68.45    12.06     6.82     2.30     6.75    31.11    12.65P    1.67R    0.12  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.56    12.19     0.48     1.20     3.44    18.96     7.35P    4.09R    0.34  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      66.10    11.83     2.93     1.12     3.87    24.43     8.74P    2.39R    0.20  
Southampton      13   19   -3      61.11    11.54   -11.33     0.35     1.41    12.94     3.35P    5.72R    0.45  
Coventry         13   18   -3      60.83    11.56    -7.07     0.41     1.50    12.22     3.78P    6.04R    0.66  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.62    12.08     1.83     1.15     3.47    21.20     7.41P    3.57R    0.29  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.11    11.64    -3.68     0.59     2.00    14.61     4.64P    5.18R    0.51  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.49    11.90     5.52     0.78     2.72    18.78     7.08P    4.04R    0.31  
Leicester        12   15   +3      64.40    12.51     8.12     1.06     3.78    22.07     9.86P    3.80R    0.38  
Colchester       13   14   +0      61.10    11.44     1.96     0.39     1.56    13.23     4.31P    5.54R    0.61  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.99    11.65    -7.19     0.14     0.64     6.70     2.21P   12.62R    1.57  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.52    11.26    -6.80     0.07     0.32     4.86     1.57P   14.08R    1.54  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      61.29    11.92     0.23     0.43     1.76    14.59     4.79P    6.08R    0.72  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.43    11.89    -4.65     0.18     0.76     8.36     2.64P   11.11R    1.50  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.21    11.24   -32.03     0.01     0.04     0.95     0.21P   44.56R   11.13  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -2      53.85    12.19    -7.91     0.16     0.62     5.65     1.96P   17.83R    2.78  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.47    10.96   -38.92     0.01     0.02     0.40     0.09P   61.91R   21.50  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.98     9.30   -40.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   87.59R   55.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 October 2007, Doncaster vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      82.17    10.96    30.43     5.54    15.31    65.88    28.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      93.72    10.71    55.70    32.00    55.78    91.63    64.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      80.85    11.23    27.48     5.32    13.78    60.72    25.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    13   23   -2      67.02    10.84    -5.61     0.19     0.92    15.48     2.57P    0.85R    0.02  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.32    11.36    14.73     1.22     4.27    33.98     9.23P    0.26R    0.01  
Leeds            13   20  +18      95.66     9.08    69.38    39.35    65.75    96.46    79.32P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     12   20  +11      85.99    11.07    41.32    10.87    26.19    77.14    43.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      70.98    11.28    12.46     0.62     2.41    26.89     7.79P    0.39R    0.01  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.93    11.67    23.37     2.06     6.23    41.07    14.34P    0.21R    0.00  
Northampton      13   19   +1      60.19    11.22    -7.90     0.10     0.37     6.48     1.31P    4.22R    0.21  
Doncaster        13   18   +3      63.56    10.85     3.73     0.09     0.48    10.24     2.27P    1.74R    0.06  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.80    11.35     1.43     0.13     0.63    12.11     2.86P    1.86R    0.08  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      75.50    11.80    24.32     2.28     7.01    42.67    13.76P    0.26R    0.02  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.73    11.43     0.34     0.15     0.57     9.79     2.23P    2.71R    0.18  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.39    10.85    -8.98     0.03     0.09     3.04     0.64P    7.39R    0.54  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.49    10.29   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   34.19R    5.42  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      37.89     9.47   -52.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    66.41R   20.97  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      44.27    10.21   -42.82     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   40.45R    8.23  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      55.89    11.11    -8.25     0.01     0.07     2.72     0.54P    9.19R    0.97  
Millwall         13   12   -9      40.29     9.93   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   54.93R   13.54  
Oldham           11   11   -3      53.47    12.10   -10.68     0.03     0.12     2.80     0.61P   14.96R    1.89  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.44    10.47   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   34.54R    6.28  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.56     9.79   -41.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    65.44R   22.07  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.72    10.28   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   59.98R   19.48  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      92.08    10.97    46.13    29.29    64.46    92.08    71.14P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      84.92    11.10    32.97    11.34    38.08    79.92    48.98P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.51     9.92    49.29    32.56    71.59    95.50    81.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      84.49    11.18    36.40    10.24    37.69    78.89    49.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      76.71    11.30    20.59     2.95    15.03    54.38    24.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.55    11.17    31.16     6.18    27.44    71.14    39.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      77.72    11.57    23.09     3.77    18.05    57.64    27.13P    0.01R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.90    11.55    16.19     1.63    10.51    44.65    18.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      71.36    11.33    12.40     1.02     6.78    35.93    13.17P    0.07R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      57.77    11.50   -13.13     0.07     0.67     6.89     1.73P    1.62R    0.37  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.17    11.25    -5.76     0.04     0.64     8.03     2.07P    1.19R    0.33  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.89    11.37    -3.62     0.05     0.76     8.71     2.40P    1.10R    0.27  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.64    11.31    -3.65     0.05     0.80     8.93     2.47P    0.97R    0.23  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.97    11.17   -13.48     0.02     0.27     3.85     0.98P    3.04R    0.84  
Stockport            13   16   -5      56.91    11.73   -14.14     0.05     0.55     6.41     1.55P    2.44R    0.73  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      67.45    12.36     7.58     0.52     4.38    25.59     8.57P    0.52R    0.13  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      64.28    11.86     7.08     0.19     2.13    17.85     5.56P    0.60R    0.15  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.49    11.28   -24.19     0.00     0.08     1.73     0.39P    8.64R    3.06  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.56    10.40   -35.75     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   22.55R    9.39  
Bradford             13   12   -7      46.89    11.02   -23.12     0.00     0.05     0.84     0.18P   12.03R    4.38  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      42.89    10.42   -30.56     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   21.25R    9.23  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      43.21    10.81   -26.21     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   20.06R    8.67  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.46     9.33   -47.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   62.21R   39.95  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      37.40    10.63   -41.88     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   41.67R   22.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.40     9.07    57.24    45.78    94.19    57.08P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.26     9.37    32.37    12.57    76.83    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.72     9.35    34.93     8.27    68.46    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.76     8.79    52.97    23.14    88.06    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.76     9.55    33.06     7.01    60.41    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.85     9.64    19.89     1.35    31.79     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.14     9.65    16.65     0.67    19.09     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      75.04     9.65    18.78     0.61    22.53     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      71.98     9.62     9.45     0.28    13.35     3.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      67.85     9.55     6.09     0.16     6.94     1.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.57     9.58     6.63     0.06     6.15     1.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.14     9.44    -4.51     0.02     2.14     0.37P    0.17R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.62     9.64    -2.69     0.02     1.99     0.39P    0.18R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.67     9.79     7.26     0.05     4.85     1.07P    0.11R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.88     9.31    -2.37     0.00     0.48     0.11P    0.58R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.54     9.59    -0.87     0.01     1.18     0.32P    0.38R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.20     9.49    -7.28     0.00     0.50     0.13P    0.92R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.49     9.64    -2.34     0.00     0.78     0.19P    0.70R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.16     9.43   -15.87     0.00     0.25     0.04P    2.13R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.05     9.52   -27.90     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.61R    0.13  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.56     8.89   -48.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.49R    2.74  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.46     8.28   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.83R    4.82  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.40     7.42   -70.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.21R   31.74  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.40     6.97   -74.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.66R   60.55