Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 October 2007 at 21:34:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Birmingham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         11   26  +15      82.50     8.01    43.90    30.15    58.32    76.93    87.99    97.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   25  +15      83.31     9.78    50.32    39.28    61.08    75.86    85.55    95.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        11   22   +2      62.07     9.95     7.36     0.63     2.78     6.92    13.41    35.88     0.08R    0.00  
Chelsea         11   21   +8      72.19     9.13    32.59     5.18    15.49    30.58    48.55    78.40     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      78.41     9.35    44.35    18.81    40.40    59.83    74.20    90.94     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      69.94     9.62    34.79     3.27    11.10    24.10    40.39    70.23     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      65.30    10.41    18.30     1.48     5.72    12.75    23.10    50.74     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       10   17   +4      52.66     9.54    -0.83     0.07     0.35     1.04     2.62    10.28     0.81R    0.02  
West_Ham        10   14   +3      55.26     9.82     9.06     0.09     0.53     1.83     4.33    16.15     0.46R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.86    10.86    17.13     0.99     3.90     8.96    16.40    38.40     0.25R    0.01  
Everton         10   13   +0      52.33     9.97     2.01     0.03     0.27     0.99     2.71    10.69     1.21R    0.07  
Reading         11   13   -9      37.81     8.95   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.40    20.52R    2.49  
Birmingham      11   11   -4      41.67     9.74   -15.53     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.18     1.26    10.76R    1.13  
Fulham          11    9   -4      36.56     8.88   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23    22.46R    3.11  
Sunderland      11    9   -8      36.28     8.82   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.25    23.97R    3.57  
Wigan           11    8   -7      34.66     8.82   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    29.88R    5.66  
Middlesbrough   11    8  -11      32.15     8.77   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    43.11R   10.74  
Tottenham       10    7   -4      44.47    10.12    -7.59     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.46     2.82     7.72R    0.87  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.25     7.26   -56.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.59R   59.26  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.97     8.79   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    51.11R   13.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Bristol_City vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          12   29  +10      90.15    11.96    33.01    41.35    60.24    89.09    66.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     13   26   +8      79.65    11.65    20.84    11.36    25.50    66.20    36.21P    0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom        13   23  +12      84.49    11.26    39.56    21.82    42.47    81.37    54.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          12   21   +5      77.80    12.43    22.02     9.67    22.21    60.63    31.63P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   21   +2      70.39    11.96     8.63     2.66     8.02    36.39    14.91P    1.05R    0.03  
Stoke            13   20   +2      70.89    11.58    10.63     2.90     8.14    37.97    15.37P    0.78R    0.03  
Plymouth         13   20   +2      69.29    12.08     8.06     2.71     7.45    33.17    13.89P    1.43R    0.10  
Charlton         13   19   +2      63.10    12.22    -0.30     1.13     3.07    17.79     6.67P    4.60R    0.35  
Scunthorpe       13   19   +0      65.38    11.74     1.81     0.99     3.32    22.19     7.80P    2.46R    0.14  
Southampton      13   19   -3      61.35    11.54   -10.97     0.36     1.50    13.08     3.44P    5.41R    0.36  
Coventry         13   18   -3      61.12    11.55    -6.62     0.38     1.54    12.71     4.03P    5.98R    0.62  
Burnley          12   17   +1      64.60    12.04     1.76     0.99     3.13    21.28     7.17P    3.32R    0.22  
Barnsley         13   17   -3      62.19    11.55    -3.64     0.54     1.70    14.53     4.51P    4.94R    0.52  
Hull             13   16   +2      63.40    11.95     5.27     0.76     2.66    18.48     7.07P    4.16R    0.36  
Leicester        12   15   +3      65.02    11.93     8.86     1.01     3.51    22.12     9.43P    2.78R    0.21  
Colchester       13   14   +0      61.17    11.45     2.12     0.40     1.50    13.10     4.19P    5.42R    0.52  
Cardiff          13   14   -1      55.52    11.75    -8.00     0.16     0.61     6.43     2.07P   13.54R    1.63  
Preston          13   14   -1      54.52    11.29    -6.89     0.08     0.37     4.73     1.50P   13.88R    1.44  
Sheff_Utd        13   14   -2      60.78    12.03    -0.61     0.40     1.68    13.69     4.43P    6.62R    0.88  
Blackpool        13   13   -3      57.53    11.74    -4.52     0.17     0.80     8.37     2.67P   10.09R    1.37  
Sheff_Wed        13   12   -9      45.01    11.26   -32.20     0.00     0.04     0.94     0.19P   44.75R   10.39  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -2      54.09    12.06    -7.40     0.16     0.54     5.44     1.84P   17.14R    2.54  
QPR              12   11  -11      40.26    10.77   -39.16     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   62.38R   19.95  
Norwich          13    8  -11      31.19     9.18   -42.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   88.95R   58.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Bournemouth vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         13   24  +10      82.12    10.94    30.20     5.40    14.51    65.30    27.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          12   23  +10      93.99    10.94    56.16    32.52    56.46    91.62    65.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +8      80.38    11.00    26.66     4.04    12.10    58.74    23.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.24    11.58     0.38     0.63     2.36    24.07     5.17P    0.53R    0.01  
Southend         13   22   +5      73.71    11.45    15.45     1.31     4.58    35.09     9.73P    0.23R    0.01  
Leeds            13   20  +18      96.20     8.96    70.62    40.93    67.92    96.91    80.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     12   20  +11      85.92    11.02    41.13    10.22    25.24    76.48    42.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         13   20   +3      71.04    11.28    12.53     0.59     2.38    26.43     7.97P    0.42R    0.02  
Swindon          12   19   +8      74.05    11.64    21.91     1.65     5.17    37.24    12.53P    0.22R    0.01  
Northampton      13   19   +1      59.90    11.31    -8.68     0.07     0.36     6.24     1.29P    4.30R    0.22  
Yeovil           13   18   -2      64.80    11.42     1.46     0.15     0.64    12.09     2.87P    1.89R    0.10  
Hartlepool       12   17   +3      76.21    11.84    25.70     2.24     7.22    44.89    14.67P    0.24R    0.01  
Luton            13   17   +0      62.65    11.33     0.19     0.09     0.46     9.10     2.05P    2.64R    0.17  
Walsall          13   16   -2      56.14    10.83    -9.67     0.02     0.06     2.74     0.52P    7.42R    0.44  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      59.85    11.39    -0.89     0.07     0.33     6.39     1.54P    4.20R    0.25  
Crewe            13   14   -6      45.44    10.17   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   33.78R    5.24  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      37.82     9.31   -52.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.83R   20.35  
Gillingham       13   14  -14      44.35    10.24   -42.64     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   39.55R    8.04  
Bristol_Rovers   13   13   -4      56.88    11.31    -6.72     0.02     0.08     3.41     0.68P    8.00R    0.84  
Millwall         13   12   -9      39.34     9.67   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   58.50R   15.38  
Oldham           11   11   -3      53.70    11.83   -10.37     0.04     0.11     2.65     0.61P   13.41R    1.65  
Port_Vale        13   11   -6      45.59    10.32   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   32.65R    5.82  
Cheltenham       13   10  -10      37.55     9.78   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   65.18R   21.63  
Bournemouth      13    9  -10      38.31     9.96   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.97R   19.81  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2007, Barnet vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   13   28  +14      91.84    10.73    45.60    28.40    64.48    92.31    71.63P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              13   25   +9      84.95    11.08    32.92    11.33    38.50    80.11    49.34P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           13   24  +15      93.70     9.78    49.45    34.02    72.15    95.75    81.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         13   23  +10      84.23    11.04    35.82     9.56    36.71    78.48    48.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               13   23   +7      76.83    11.33    20.78     3.11    15.51    54.77    25.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             13   22   +8      81.33    11.16    30.80     6.19    26.97    70.71    38.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   22   +6      77.58    11.61    22.87     3.57    17.75    57.43    26.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +4      73.65    11.68    15.92     1.74    10.52    43.46    17.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              13   21   +4      71.40    11.38    12.52     1.05     7.00    35.91    13.58P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   13   19   -1      58.11    11.34   -12.41     0.05     0.72     7.13     1.89P    1.37R    0.35  
Bury                 13   17   -1      59.58    11.41    -5.07     0.04     0.78     8.93     2.36P    1.21R    0.33  
Morecambe            13   17   -1      59.63    11.29    -4.07     0.05     0.69     8.35     2.30P    1.04R    0.24  
Shrewsbury           13   16   -1      59.46    11.25    -3.96     0.07     0.68     8.47     2.21P    1.17R    0.32  
Brentford            13   16   -4      54.89    11.06   -13.49     0.02     0.25     3.80     0.93P    2.93R    0.80  
Stockport            13   16   -5      57.01    11.66   -13.94     0.04     0.51     6.48     1.42P    2.39R    0.69  
Rochdale             12   15   -2      67.53    12.40     7.75     0.56     4.39    26.19     8.77P    0.45R    0.11  
Macclesfield         13   14   -1      64.39    11.76     7.29     0.20     2.22    17.71     5.44P    0.55R    0.16  
Notts_County         13   14   -7      49.30    11.39   -24.43     0.00     0.10     1.77     0.39P    8.87R    3.23  
Dag_&_Red            13   13  -10      42.58    10.38   -35.65     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   22.41R    9.16  
Bradford             13   12   -7      47.49    11.46   -22.13     0.00     0.05     1.17     0.27P   11.83R    4.16  
Grimsby              13   11   -8      43.28    10.39   -29.81     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.08P   19.85R    8.15  
Mansfield            13    9   -7      43.03    10.84   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P   21.03R    9.01  
Lincoln_City         13    9  -11      32.21     9.32   -47.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.81R   40.76  
Wrexham              12    9  -11      37.33    10.55   -42.07     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   41.99R   22.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.13     9.01    56.65    44.84    94.00    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.43     9.43    32.62    13.20    77.00    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.75     9.31    34.96     8.53    68.26    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.68     8.75    52.89    23.14    88.20    45.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.91     9.50    33.22     6.91    61.40    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.93     9.55    20.09     1.50    31.92     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.00     9.66    16.46     0.66    18.53     4.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.63     9.75    18.13     0.58    21.42     5.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.12     9.57     9.66     0.32    13.39     3.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.12     9.72     6.59     0.16     7.60     1.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.55     9.45     6.64     0.07     6.03     1.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.05     9.52    -4.67     0.02     2.31     0.38P    0.20R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.60     9.65    -2.71     0.02     1.84     0.30P    0.23R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.64     9.82     7.19     0.04     4.85     1.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.70     9.30    -2.65     0.00     0.50     0.18P    0.56R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.97     9.49    -0.29     0.00     1.19     0.29P    0.30R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      55.94     9.38    -7.58     0.00     0.48     0.11P    0.72R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.48     9.82    -2.36     0.00     0.86     0.20P    0.70R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.18     9.40   -15.88     0.00     0.19     0.01P    1.91R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.24     9.52   -27.58     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.83R    0.10  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.62     8.85   -48.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.61R    2.98  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      32.93     8.42   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.47R    5.93  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.49     7.39   -70.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.19R   32.57  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.86     7.09   -73.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   58.40