Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 October 2007 at 21:34:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2007, Newcastle vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      84.62     9.48    52.31    42.59    64.86    79.12    87.94    96.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      82.30     8.46    42.76    27.65    54.37    73.89    85.60    96.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      73.66    10.05    30.65     7.46    20.35    36.23    52.79    78.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      77.35     9.59    43.02    15.09    34.82    53.28    68.70    88.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.28    10.36    33.64     3.29    11.30    23.11    37.68    65.18     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      66.15    10.38    19.83     1.93     6.34    13.73    24.75    52.41     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      60.97    10.16    10.39     0.47     1.96     5.23    11.09    31.66     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle        9   17   +5      57.32    10.57     6.46     0.35     1.42     3.78     7.60    22.05     0.35R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.91    11.09    17.06     0.99     3.56     8.49    15.91    37.84     0.26R    0.02  
West_Ham         9   13   +3      55.28    10.41     8.34     0.10     0.67     2.05     4.93    16.88     0.54R    0.03  
Everton         10   13   +0      52.21     9.96     1.86     0.06     0.30     0.92     2.32     9.54     0.97R    0.08  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.53     9.19   -45.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18    34.37R    7.15  
Fulham          10    8   -4      36.46     9.53   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.31    22.10R    3.67  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      38.16    10.42   -19.09     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.14     0.84    19.06R    3.43  
Wigan           10    8   -6      35.33     9.27   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.25    24.67R    4.75  
Sunderland      10    8   -8      37.35     9.57   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    19.49R    3.44  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      33.15     9.18   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.14    35.05R    8.81  
Tottenham       10    7   -4      44.07    10.07    -8.38     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.38     2.52     6.88R    0.71  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.37     7.24   -56.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.14R   54.12  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.07     8.74   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    51.03R   13.76  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2007, Bristol_City vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          12   29  +10      89.00    12.23    31.18    36.55    54.07    84.31    60.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     12   23   +7      75.68    12.17    16.46     6.99    15.81    49.02    24.17P    0.19R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   21   +5      77.47    12.49    20.54     8.93    20.03    55.20    29.78P    0.21R    0.00  
West_Brom        12   20  +10      81.85    11.80    36.06    16.76    32.28    70.24    43.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         12   20   +4      75.07    12.59    17.51     7.06    15.35    47.82    23.97P    0.41R    0.03  
Stoke            12   20   +3      74.15    12.22    14.78     5.43    12.69    44.20    20.16P    0.32R    0.01  
Charlton         12   19   +3      71.00    12.74    11.58     3.94     9.58    35.56    15.93P    0.90R    0.04  
Ipswich          11   18   +2      70.31    12.98     8.70     3.54     8.68    33.61    14.10P    1.09R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       12   18   +0      65.87    12.33     2.08     1.38     4.02    21.09     8.11P    1.82R    0.09  
Burnley          11   17   +2      69.18    13.07     8.66     3.14     7.86    30.89    13.39P    1.53R    0.15  
Barnsley         12   17   -1      66.90    12.14     4.28     1.58     4.37    22.93     8.63P    1.59R    0.12  
Southampton      12   16   -4      56.05    11.95   -19.32     0.15     0.67     6.09     1.66P    9.62R    0.92  
Hull             12   15   +2      66.45    12.59     9.79     1.50     4.48    23.54     9.74P    2.03R    0.14  
Coventry         12   15   -4      59.21    12.52    -8.49     0.42     1.37     9.78     3.20P    6.91R    0.87  
Colchester       12   14   +1      63.04    12.00     3.97     0.75     2.32    15.62     5.35P    3.04R    0.24  
Cardiff          12   13   -1      56.48    12.14    -7.14     0.18     0.69     6.59     2.09P    8.97R    0.96  
Sheff_Utd        12   13   -2      59.26    12.33    -4.08     0.38     1.32    10.09     3.35P    6.60R    0.75  
Blackpool        12   13   -2      62.03    12.25     1.70     0.51     1.83    13.63     4.72P    4.17R    0.41  
Leicester        11   12   +1      61.17    12.96     3.98     0.67     2.07    13.78     5.81P    5.08R    0.47  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -2      54.36    11.98    -7.01     0.10     0.40     4.28     1.44P   12.40R    1.74  
Preston          12   11   -3      47.43    11.43   -16.92     0.02     0.07     1.16     0.35P   26.74R    4.40  
Sheff_Wed        12    9  -10      41.49    11.69   -37.03     0.01     0.02     0.39     0.10P   49.76R   14.29  
Norwich          12    8   -9      32.86     9.97   -40.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   79.76R   37.10  
QPR              11    8  -12      33.67    10.65   -50.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   76.80R   37.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 October 2007, Tranmere vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         13   23   +8      79.17    10.92    24.92     2.72     7.97    51.27    18.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.21    11.36    -0.07     0.42     1.66    21.20     3.90P    0.28R    0.00  
Southend         12   22   +6      75.66    12.02    17.82     2.04     6.11    39.31    11.40P    0.19R    0.00  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.65    11.74    27.01     3.01     8.49    50.37    18.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      91.99    11.16    49.84    21.35    42.52    87.25    58.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      92.21    11.29    54.73    23.32    44.03    87.30    55.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.68    11.98    28.22     3.47     9.02    50.24    18.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      66.50    11.91     2.82     0.29     1.15    14.63     3.87P    1.01R    0.04  
Leeds            12   17  +16      96.92     8.92    71.09    38.51    64.86    96.74    80.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      80.73    12.24    32.76     4.50    12.27    57.54    21.39P    0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         12   17   +2      66.13    11.80     6.63     0.17     0.91    14.47     3.84P    1.03R    0.02  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.52    11.39   -16.07     0.03     0.11     2.68     0.44P    7.62R    0.52  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.35    11.34    -0.09     0.02     0.17     5.93     1.22P    2.84R    0.17  
Walsall          12   15   -2      56.94    11.29    -9.19     0.01     0.07     3.12     0.58P    5.83R    0.37  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.93    11.61    -6.22     0.01     0.14     4.19     0.76P    5.36R    0.41  
Huddersfield     13   14  -12      37.65     9.05   -53.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.76R   15.92  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      60.60    11.79    -1.55     0.05     0.24     6.45     1.36P    3.95R    0.34  
Crewe            12   13   -6      46.14    10.73   -29.60     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   28.36R    4.45  
Millwall         12   12   -7      38.71     9.78   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   55.80R   13.59  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.54    12.61    -2.99     0.07     0.28     6.78     1.42P    5.40R    0.51  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      39.28    10.40   -48.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.49R   15.68  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      37.20    10.02   -41.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.42R   19.05  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.96    10.51   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.54R   10.84  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      37.80    10.31   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.83R   18.07  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.46    10.70    60.15    47.97    81.87    97.54    86.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      86.06    11.45    33.75     8.85    37.44    81.02    49.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      94.73    10.28    51.73    25.73    70.27    95.44    80.55P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      83.07    11.48    34.32     5.67    28.47    74.03    40.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.57    11.80    22.86     2.66    16.78    59.29    27.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             12   21   +8      82.86    11.73    33.20     4.91    27.98    73.05    40.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      77.32    11.89    22.06     2.16    14.92    55.06    24.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      70.98    12.11    11.48     0.77     6.15    34.26    12.42P    0.13R    0.02  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      69.27    12.34     9.56     0.45     4.74    29.74    10.08P    0.24R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      57.37    11.73   -14.08     0.06     0.56     6.72     1.51P    1.97R    0.51  
Bury                 12   16   -1      59.87    11.95    -5.09     0.02     0.79     9.68     2.52P    1.51R    0.51  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.27    11.80    -5.46     0.03     0.66     8.70     2.31P    1.36R    0.35  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.69    12.09    -1.38     0.04     1.09    12.73     3.14P    1.08R    0.31  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      69.24    13.06    10.25     0.51     5.48    30.93    10.52P    0.55R    0.17  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      66.05    12.44     9.77     0.16     2.39    22.28     6.63P    0.64R    0.17  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.11    11.82   -15.44     0.00     0.20     3.47     0.87P    5.30R    1.94  
Stockport            12   13   -7      48.76    11.65   -29.64     0.00     0.09     1.49     0.31P   11.13R    4.55  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.61    11.07   -33.40     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.12P   17.91R    7.86  
Bradford             12   11   -7      49.04    11.83   -20.54     0.00     0.05     1.70     0.30P   10.49R    4.07  
Notts_County         12   11   -8      46.60    11.53   -27.01     0.00     0.04     1.07     0.22P   14.56R    6.20  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.23    10.97   -31.46     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   21.95R   10.36  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      34.90    10.15   -44.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   50.97R   31.08  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      39.07    11.35   -40.60     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   36.36R   20.22  
Mansfield            12    8   -7      42.45    11.28   -30.06     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.09P   23.82R   11.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.17     9.01    56.85    45.35    94.04    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.19     9.42    32.31    12.91    76.52    27.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.40     9.52    34.41     8.25    66.86    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.65     8.77    52.74    23.06    88.27    44.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.62     9.62    32.81     6.94    60.30    20.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      78.15     9.63    20.55     1.66    33.15     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.22     9.67    16.73     0.62    19.38     4.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.92     9.64    18.62     0.68    22.30     5.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      71.93     9.52     9.33     0.23    13.08     2.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.14     9.56     6.70     0.14     7.32     1.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.30     9.63     6.24     0.08     6.06     1.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.14     9.41    -4.52     0.01     2.12     0.38P    0.22R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.54     9.54    -2.86     0.02     1.83     0.36P    0.18R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.88     9.78     7.63     0.04     5.04     1.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.26     9.34    -1.92     0.00     0.65     0.18P    0.53R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      60.34     9.56     0.30     0.01     1.48     0.33P    0.31R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.26     9.50    -7.17     0.01     0.51     0.13P    0.85R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.15     9.83    -2.85     0.00     0.83     0.19P    0.78R    0.01  
York                17   18   -7      53.21     9.44   -15.80     0.00     0.22     0.02P    2.01R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.01     9.55   -27.91     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.29R    0.12  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.37     8.75   -48.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.43R    2.89  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.24     8.44   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.19R    5.31  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.20     7.37   -70.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.64R   33.35  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.71     6.99   -73.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.45R   58.31