Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 October 2007 at 21:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2007, Newcastle vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      84.89     9.44    53.02    43.67    65.61    79.51    88.30    96.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      82.07     8.23    42.34    25.94    52.83    72.81    85.28    96.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      73.87    10.04    30.82     7.87    21.09    36.95    53.79    79.51     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      77.39     9.49    43.11    14.97    34.26    52.83    68.49    88.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.94    10.13    34.85     3.78    12.04    24.36    39.27    67.65     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      65.81    10.54    19.15     1.74     6.20    13.51    23.82    50.87     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      60.84    10.15    10.35     0.46     2.00     5.21    10.89    30.88     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle        9   17   +5      57.38    10.54     6.58     0.31     1.33     3.58     7.57    22.31     0.35R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.83    11.19    17.09     1.09     3.86     8.62    15.93    37.49     0.25R    0.02  
West_Ham         9   13   +3      54.86    10.36     7.60     0.10     0.52     1.71     4.06    15.55     0.60R    0.06  
Everton         10   13   +0      51.86     9.82     1.13     0.05     0.19     0.72     1.97     8.85     1.04R    0.08  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.53     9.34   -45.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    34.79R    7.22  
Fulham          10    8   -4      36.83     9.57   -21.04     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.35    20.93R    3.50  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      37.98    10.37   -19.39     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.12     0.77    19.36R    3.39  
Wigan           10    8   -6      35.53     9.30   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    24.29R    4.63  
Sunderland      10    8   -8      37.12     9.60   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.54    20.13R    3.63  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      32.98     9.23   -36.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    35.97R    8.95  
Tottenham       10    7   -4      44.19    10.04    -7.99     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.38     2.52     6.75R    0.80  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.54     7.35   -55.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.44R   53.31  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.01     8.67   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    51.00R   14.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 October 2007, Bristol_City vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          12   29  +10      89.36    12.08    31.87    36.79    54.62    85.13    61.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     12   23   +7      76.66    12.40    17.81     8.19    17.99    52.60    27.08P    0.19R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    12   21   +5      78.20    12.37    21.60     9.89    21.30    57.10    31.22P    0.12R    0.00  
West_Brom        12   20  +10      81.77    11.79    35.83    15.87    31.20    70.06    42.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         12   20   +4      74.81    12.57    17.10     6.56    14.76    46.70    22.88P    0.38R    0.03  
Stoke            12   20   +3      73.71    12.35    14.23     5.16    12.12    43.02    19.56P    0.40R    0.01  
Charlton         12   19   +3      70.87    12.73    11.31     3.73     9.25    34.80    15.48P    0.96R    0.05  
Ipswich          11   18   +2      70.61    12.87     9.21     3.46     8.69    34.01    14.21P    0.94R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       12   18   +0      65.56    12.38     1.51     1.27     3.83    20.64     7.75P    2.06R    0.16  
Burnley          11   17   +2      69.15    12.81     8.54     2.93     7.26    30.39    12.56P    1.28R    0.10  
Barnsley         12   17   -1      66.11    11.99     2.97     1.25     3.70    20.73     7.41P    1.76R    0.13  
Southampton      12   16   -4      55.41    11.90   -20.59     0.18     0.60     5.21     1.42P   10.32R    1.07  
Hull             12   15   +2      66.70    12.59    10.13     1.76     4.66    23.78     9.89P    1.87R    0.17  
Coventry         12   15   -4      59.47    12.57    -8.02     0.40     1.34     9.91     3.23P    6.75R    0.82  
Colchester       12   14   +1      62.68    12.16     3.29     0.69     2.16    14.91     5.08P    3.51R    0.32  
Cardiff          12   13   -1      56.01    12.28    -7.95     0.16     0.65     6.27     1.93P    9.87R    1.12  
Sheff_Utd        12   13   -2      59.78    12.25    -3.03     0.43     1.28    10.41     3.44P    5.61R    0.67  
Blackpool        12   13   -2      62.27    12.41     2.10     0.55     2.02    14.19     5.02P    4.25R    0.45  
Leicester        11   12   +1      61.25    12.99     4.11     0.61     2.04    13.84     5.83P    5.07R    0.52  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -2      54.25    12.13    -7.23     0.11     0.40     4.40     1.43P   12.70R    1.86  
Preston          12   11   -3      47.58    11.45   -16.59     0.02     0.07     1.33     0.42P   25.69R    3.77  
Sheff_Wed        12    9  -10      41.42    11.74   -36.97     0.01     0.04     0.49     0.14P   50.09R   14.67  
Norwich          12    8   -9      33.03     9.80   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   79.29R   36.15  
QPR              11    8  -12      33.53    10.53   -51.26     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   76.83R   37.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Brighton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.64    11.42     0.66     0.51     1.93    23.25     4.39P    0.39R    0.01  
Southend         12   22   +6      75.65    11.84    17.62     1.82     5.96    39.70    11.54P    0.14R    0.00  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.99    11.69    27.40     3.02     8.90    51.87    19.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      91.79    11.28    49.44    20.22    41.38    86.99    57.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      92.30    11.34    54.46    22.90    43.80    88.08    55.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +5      76.03    11.51    19.75     1.58     5.40    41.09    13.31P    0.08R    0.00  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.44    12.00    27.76     2.96     8.42    50.69    18.50P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      66.00    12.12     2.21     0.26     1.05    14.63     3.82P    1.50R    0.08  
Leeds            12   17  +16      97.69     8.96    72.57    41.84    68.07    97.38    82.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      81.01    12.13    33.28     4.36    12.74    59.56    22.29P    0.09R    0.01  
Brighton         12   17   +2      65.88    11.85     6.29     0.24     1.04    14.46     3.98P    1.13R    0.06  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.34    11.65   -16.47     0.07     0.21     3.09     0.63P    8.71R    0.66  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.10    11.49    -0.53     0.06     0.23     6.20     1.42P    3.40R    0.20  
Walsall          12   15   -2      57.14    11.52    -8.74     0.02     0.11     3.53     0.70P    6.48R    0.52  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.60    11.70    -6.86     0.03     0.14     4.30     0.87P    6.17R    0.50  
Huddersfield     12   14   -9      39.67     9.85   -48.42     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   54.08R   12.76  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      60.73    12.06    -1.25     0.05     0.29     7.31     1.54P    4.28R    0.34  
Crewe            12   13   -6      46.06    10.76   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   29.06R    4.91  
Millwall         12   12   -7      38.95     9.60   -37.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.87R   12.92  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.62    12.76    -3.00     0.07     0.33     7.19     1.55P    6.19R    0.63  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      39.63    10.46   -48.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   53.94R   15.18  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      36.92    10.12   -42.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.02R   20.87  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.80    10.52   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   46.88R   11.87  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      38.02    10.36   -40.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   58.41R   18.46  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.47    10.61    60.26    47.51    82.12    97.57    86.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      86.21    11.41    33.91     9.11    38.04    81.42    49.71P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      94.26    10.52    51.22    25.13    68.50    94.80    79.02P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      82.97    11.70    34.02     5.74    28.75    73.45    40.49P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.67    11.78    23.07     2.80    17.03    59.48    27.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             12   21   +8      83.19    11.82    33.67     5.60    29.20    73.70    41.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      76.78    11.93    21.11     1.95    14.05    53.51    22.93P    0.04R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      70.45    12.01    10.62     0.73     5.62    32.51    11.67P    0.13R    0.02  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      70.44    12.15    11.36     0.58     5.28    33.08    11.29P    0.15R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      56.69    11.59   -15.31     0.02     0.41     5.74     1.31P    2.12R    0.56  
Bury                 12   16   -1      60.01    11.91    -4.80     0.04     0.75    10.03     2.55P    1.37R    0.38  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.86    12.08    -4.54     0.04     0.81     9.87     2.72P    1.41R    0.39  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.51    12.04    -1.66     0.07     1.09    12.19     3.20P    1.30R    0.42  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      68.97    13.05     9.97     0.52     5.22    30.54    10.17P    0.46R    0.15  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      65.98    12.43     9.61     0.16     2.67    22.01     6.84P    0.60R    0.18  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.29    12.02   -15.21     0.01     0.23     3.74     0.98P    5.59R    2.09  
Stockport            12   13   -7      48.71    11.55   -29.78     0.00     0.04     1.50     0.28P   10.65R    4.31  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.78    11.01   -33.15     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.11P   17.44R    7.70  
Bradford             12   11   -7      49.00    12.02   -20.53     0.00     0.10     1.90     0.47P   10.91R    4.42  
Notts_County         12   11   -8      47.00    11.67   -26.26     0.00     0.02     1.26     0.24P   13.97R    6.23  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.27    10.82   -31.61     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.09P   21.26R    9.67  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      35.12    10.11   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.90R   30.31  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      38.94    11.29   -40.67     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   37.29R   20.47  
Mansfield            12    8   -7      41.98    11.22   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   25.39R   12.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.15     9.10    56.66    44.48    94.07    56.25P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.01     9.44    31.95    12.63    76.03    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.45     9.50    34.42     8.50    67.18    23.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.68     8.91    52.89    23.83    87.92    45.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.89     9.47    33.26     7.11    61.25    22.10P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.78     9.65    19.86     1.49    31.72     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.27     9.79    16.82     0.71    19.83     5.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.96     9.55    18.64     0.65    22.10     5.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.05     9.60     9.55     0.27    13.69     3.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      67.95     9.60     6.33     0.16     7.25     1.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.42     9.69     6.41     0.08     6.38     1.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.23     9.41    -4.25     0.01     2.08     0.35P    0.20R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.52     9.60    -2.85     0.02     1.83     0.33P    0.21R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.86     9.73     7.61     0.05     5.00     1.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.17     9.32    -2.00     0.00     0.59     0.18P    0.55R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      60.17     9.56     0.14     0.01     1.43     0.40P    0.31R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      55.93     9.39    -7.62     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.88R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.73     9.74    -1.89     0.00     0.91     0.20P    0.69R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      52.74     9.37   -16.61     0.00     0.19     0.03P    2.22R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.26     9.54   -27.47     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.11R    0.06  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.64     8.82   -47.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.26R    2.53  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.52     8.46   -38.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.78R    5.11  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.04     7.31   -71.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.71R   33.28  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.49     6.91   -74.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.92R   59.00