Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 October 2007 at 21:33:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2007, Newcastle vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      85.10     9.61    53.29    46.29    67.06    80.28    88.58    96.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      81.37     8.43    41.38    23.92    50.55    70.49    83.78    95.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      73.46    10.21    30.26     7.39    21.02    36.61    52.54    77.96     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      77.35     9.51    43.12    15.06    35.15    54.04    69.15    88.34     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.48    10.15    33.99     3.38    11.73    23.64    38.29    66.54     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      66.43    10.30    20.14     2.09     6.64    14.64    25.44    53.20     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      61.31    10.16    10.98     0.63     2.44     6.01    11.99    32.65     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle        9   17   +5      57.16    10.56     6.20     0.37     1.42     3.67     7.59    21.52     0.41R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      62.03    10.66    17.33     0.76     3.22     7.96    15.54    37.18     0.18R    0.01  
West_Ham         9   13   +3      55.39    10.30     8.41     0.09     0.57     1.89     4.66    16.67     0.48R    0.02  
Everton         10   13   +0      51.84     9.94     1.23     0.02     0.17     0.62     1.83     8.79     1.09R    0.09  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.66     9.22   -45.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    33.72R    6.95  
Fulham          10    8   -4      36.56     9.63   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.39    21.67R    3.71  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      38.50    10.48   -18.39     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.03    18.06R    2.99  
Wigan           10    8   -6      34.84     9.08   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18    25.98R    5.14  
Sunderland      10    8   -8      37.25     9.53   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.52    19.54R    3.50  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      32.66     9.03   -37.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    36.53R    9.29  
Tottenham       10    7   -4      44.31    10.06    -7.84     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.35     2.46     6.64R    0.70  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.51     7.20   -55.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.02R   53.70  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.11     8.58   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    50.59R   13.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 October 2007, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          12   29  +10      89.14    12.01    31.54    37.21    54.60    85.17    61.65P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        12   20  +10      82.10    11.76    36.49    17.18    33.29    71.31    44.34P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City     11   20   +6      75.57    13.00    18.03     8.42    17.86    49.76    26.19P    0.33R    0.01  
Plymouth         12   20   +4      74.58    12.50    16.94     6.51    14.69    46.46    22.63P    0.35R    0.02  
Stoke            12   20   +3      74.15    12.12    14.88     5.56    13.03    44.90    20.56P    0.31R    0.02  
Charlton         12   19   +3      70.59    12.70    10.93     3.68     9.19    34.69    15.50P    0.95R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    11   18   +4      74.09    13.35    16.59     6.73    15.07    45.57    24.01P    0.61R    0.03  
Ipswich          11   18   +2      70.24    13.07     8.60     3.51     9.21    34.06    14.45P    1.05R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       12   18   +0      65.87    12.58     2.10     1.43     4.26    21.96     8.48P    2.19R    0.19  
Burnley          11   17   +2      69.06    13.11     8.51     3.31     8.02    31.04    13.56P    1.53R    0.12  
Barnsley         12   17   -1      67.02    12.08     4.54     1.49     4.38    23.52     8.84P    1.69R    0.14  
Southampton      11   16   -3      56.56    12.35   -20.39     0.26     0.93     7.27     2.02P    9.80R    1.08  
Hull             12   15   +2      65.96    12.65     8.96     1.38     4.26    23.11     9.35P    2.35R    0.18  
Coventry         12   15   -4      58.79    12.49    -9.32     0.35     1.23     9.27     2.85P    7.88R    1.01  
Colchester       12   14   +1      63.13    12.06     4.25     0.76     2.35    15.77     5.41P    3.19R    0.30  
Cardiff          11   13   +0      58.79    12.76    -3.91     0.45     1.53    10.41     3.78P    7.43R    0.81  
Sheff_Utd        12   13   -2      60.13    12.58    -2.49     0.44     1.61    11.93     3.96P    6.01R    0.72  
Blackpool        12   13   -2      62.05    12.24     1.74     0.55     1.86    13.68     4.60P    4.43R    0.47  
Leicester        11   12   +1      60.81    12.95     3.59     0.65     2.12    13.48     5.73P    5.47R    0.53  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -2      54.69    11.99    -6.36     0.10     0.41     4.91     1.60P   11.77R    1.61  
Preston          12   11   -3      47.76    11.24   -16.39     0.01     0.07     1.19     0.34P   25.33R    3.78  
Sheff_Wed        12    9  -10      41.62    11.56   -36.85     0.00     0.03     0.46     0.12P   49.59R   13.39  
Norwich          12    8   -9      32.46     9.72   -41.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   80.94R   38.77  
QPR              11    8  -12      33.71    10.58   -50.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   76.74R   36.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Brighton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.26    11.53     0.06     0.55     2.02    22.39     4.40P    0.46R    0.01  
Southend         12   22   +6      75.72    12.03    17.68     2.22     6.32    40.82    11.76P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.78    11.55    27.16     2.97     8.68    51.99    18.69P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      92.16    11.30    49.93    22.61    43.92    87.84    59.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      92.50    11.12    54.91    23.77    45.11    88.64    57.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +5      76.41    11.53    20.37     1.88     5.71    42.65    14.41P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.63    12.04    28.07     3.02     8.77    51.54    18.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      65.74    11.96     1.96     0.22     0.91    14.19     3.44P    1.40R    0.08  
Leeds            12   17  +16      96.69     9.06    70.53    37.74    64.25    96.73    80.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      80.35    12.45    32.21     4.56    12.17    57.00    20.82P    0.14R    0.00  
Brighton         12   17   +2      65.76    11.71     6.06     0.22     0.88    13.99     3.68P    1.39R    0.07  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.61    11.58   -15.96     0.03     0.14     3.20     0.59P    8.61R    0.67  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.08    11.41    -0.68     0.06     0.25     5.80     1.31P    3.48R    0.20  
Walsall          12   15   -2      57.31    11.35    -8.53     0.02     0.09     3.68     0.71P    6.00R    0.37  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.46    11.58    -7.02     0.02     0.13     4.12     0.80P    6.35R    0.61  
Huddersfield     12   14   -9      40.28     9.91   -47.29     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   52.03R   12.25  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      60.55    12.04    -1.47     0.05     0.26     7.04     1.57P    4.62R    0.41  
Crewe            12   13   -6      45.97    10.81   -29.98     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P   30.11R    4.98  
Millwall         12   12   -7      39.01     9.83   -37.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.10R   13.70  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.61    12.89    -2.84     0.07     0.38     7.69     1.74P    6.27R    0.63  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      38.80    10.38   -49.66     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.48R   17.75  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      37.69    10.39   -40.87     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   60.47R   19.25  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.81    10.60   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   47.52R   12.10  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      38.50    10.32   -39.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   57.15R   16.91  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.85    10.53    60.90    50.15    83.13    97.80    87.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      86.00    11.26    33.62     8.39    37.24    81.21    49.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      93.96    10.32    50.66    23.27    67.63    94.74    78.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      82.25    11.58    32.88     5.10    26.45    71.35    37.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.80    11.76    23.21     2.81    17.50    59.93    28.49P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford             12   21   +8      83.17    11.78    33.73     5.47    29.44    73.35    41.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      77.59    12.00    22.56     2.47    15.44    55.78    24.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      70.98    11.71    11.38     0.69     5.80    33.50    12.06P    0.11R    0.03  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      70.41    12.22    11.35     0.67     5.45    32.61    11.50P    0.16R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      56.71    11.77   -15.27     0.03     0.48     6.15     1.40P    2.25R    0.59  
Bury                 12   16   -1      59.85    11.85    -5.07     0.05     0.77     9.51     2.51P    1.36R    0.40  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.79    12.20    -4.57     0.06     0.89     9.82     2.78P    1.35R    0.37  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.58    12.02    -1.44     0.06     1.10    12.44     3.33P    1.06R    0.28  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      69.65    13.06    11.09     0.61     5.85    31.96    11.16P    0.39R    0.11  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      65.44    12.32     8.66     0.17     2.41    20.53     6.33P    0.61R    0.15  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.00    11.77   -15.67     0.01     0.19     3.25     0.75P    5.23R    1.97  
Stockport            12   13   -7      48.59    11.39   -30.01     0.00     0.04     1.40     0.24P   10.66R    4.24  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.20    10.88   -33.94     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.11P   18.69R    7.77  
Bradford             12   11   -7      48.66    11.91   -21.10     0.00     0.09     1.70     0.44P   10.94R    4.31  
Notts_County         12   11   -8      47.16    11.79   -26.13     0.00     0.04     1.25     0.29P   14.07R    6.25  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.52    10.99   -30.94     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P   20.87R    9.74  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      35.05    10.11   -44.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.70R   30.62  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      38.81    11.34   -41.19     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   37.61R   21.33  
Mansfield            12    8   -7      42.44    11.37   -29.91     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.12P   23.90R   11.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.06     9.01    56.51    45.11    93.83    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      88.94     9.35    31.78    12.25    75.59    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.56     9.43    34.57     8.58    67.57    23.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.77     8.74    52.96    23.68    88.43    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.86     9.44    33.14     6.79    61.15    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.97     9.62    20.29     1.59    31.82     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.46     9.67    17.17     0.73    20.18     5.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.95     9.70    18.57     0.72    22.47     5.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.02     9.48     9.47     0.24    13.10     3.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.10     9.58     6.62     0.14     7.15     1.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.52     9.66     6.57     0.09     6.29     1.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.16     9.55    -4.54     0.02     2.34     0.39P    0.16R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.38     9.55    -3.12     0.02     1.68     0.31P    0.18R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      66.09     9.72     8.00     0.04     5.01     1.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.03     9.31    -2.22     0.00     0.55     0.15P    0.54R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.79     9.63    -0.45     0.00     1.31     0.32P    0.30R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.38     9.44    -6.97     0.00     0.53     0.15P    0.77R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.14     9.78    -2.88     0.00     0.79     0.21P    0.72R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.05     9.45   -16.10     0.00     0.17     0.02P    2.11R    0.03  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      46.86     9.55   -28.23     0.00     0.04     0.00     8.55R    0.13  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.70     8.85   -47.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.52R    2.86  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.21     8.41   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.93R    5.42  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.24     7.36   -70.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.59R   33.58  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.77     7.01   -73.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.49R   57.98