Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 October 2007 at 21:33:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2007, Newcastle vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      85.23     9.34    53.42    45.09    66.98    80.72    89.31    96.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      82.12     8.50    42.46    26.32    53.39    72.70    84.95    96.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      74.22     9.88    31.52     7.59    21.78    38.60    55.40    80.78     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      76.98     9.52    42.31    13.97    32.59    51.07    67.42    88.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.57    10.36    34.22     3.52    11.71    23.96    38.67    66.28     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      66.03    10.49    19.56     1.70     6.07    13.67    24.63    52.27     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      60.45    10.09     9.78     0.40     1.76     4.73    10.01    29.86     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle        9   17   +5      57.51    10.67     6.89     0.37     1.54     3.91     7.87    22.78     0.35R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.41    11.09    16.16     0.89     3.28     7.79    14.58    35.97     0.33R    0.02  
West_Ham         9   13   +3      54.97    10.38     7.76     0.11     0.64     1.92     4.45    16.26     0.58R    0.05  
Everton         10   13   +0      52.16     9.89     1.80     0.04     0.22     0.76     2.03     9.45     0.89R    0.06  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.65     9.22   -45.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.16    34.00R    6.97  
Fulham          10    8   -4      36.45     9.43   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.30    21.59R    3.53  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      38.10    10.34   -19.11     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.94    18.66R    3.07  
Wigan           10    8   -6      35.19     9.41   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    26.03R    5.24  
Sunderland      10    8   -8      37.32     9.59   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.49    19.58R    3.64  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      32.75     9.10   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    36.49R    9.55  
Tottenham       10    7   -4      44.43    10.10    -7.57     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.42     2.77     6.55R    0.71  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.69     7.26   -55.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.36R   52.70  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.26     8.82   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.49R   14.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 October 2007, Hull vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          11   26   +7      81.11    12.90    17.96    19.20    32.17    65.21    38.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City     11   20   +6      75.77    12.94    18.48    10.19    19.94    50.83    28.24P    0.34R    0.01  
Charlton         11   19   +4      76.55    13.25    19.76    12.02    22.28    53.26    30.02P    0.47R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    11   18   +4      74.02    13.07    16.79     7.95    16.14    45.59    24.48P    0.63R    0.03  
West_Brom        11   17   +9      80.20    12.30    35.07    17.56    31.15    65.85    41.34P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         11   17   +3      71.36    13.31    13.49     6.21    12.66    37.96    19.34P    1.18R    0.08  
Stoke            11   17   +1      68.37    12.61     6.58     3.00     7.23    28.44    12.00P    1.50R    0.11  
Barnsley         12   17   -1      67.46    12.00     5.48     2.05     5.29    25.17     9.75P    1.72R    0.12  
Southampton      11   16   -3      55.47    12.33   -23.01     0.32     0.89     6.20     1.77P   12.40R    1.15  
Hull             12   15   +2      65.99    12.57     9.22     1.95     5.00    23.28     9.90P    2.49R    0.18  
Ipswich          10   15   +0      66.64    13.65     3.38     3.07     7.02    26.15    10.98P    2.99R    0.23  
Coventry         11   15   -1      66.28    13.24     4.25     2.52     6.19    25.06    10.57P    3.13R    0.29  
Scunthorpe       11   15   -1      62.46    13.12    -1.52     1.30     3.34    16.48     6.64P    5.08R    0.50  
Colchester       11   14   +3      65.50    12.58     8.22     2.02     5.14    22.34     9.16P    2.61R    0.18  
Burnley          10   14   +1      70.04    13.43    12.35     5.01    10.64    34.82    16.43P    1.71R    0.16  
Cardiff          11   13   +0      58.23    12.46    -4.59     0.52     1.53     9.48     3.46P    7.99R    0.69  
Blackpool        11   13   -1      63.68    13.01     3.19     1.51     4.11    18.64     7.65P    4.16R    0.46  
Leicester        10   12   +2      65.19    13.59     8.76     2.27     5.68    23.04    11.04P    3.74R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   +0      60.16    12.62     2.50     0.94     2.30    12.16     5.12P    6.06R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd        11   10   -3      55.13    12.83    -9.69     0.30     0.97     6.68     2.22P   13.57R    1.98  
Preston          11   10   -3      50.06    11.79   -14.14     0.07     0.26     2.33     0.77P   21.61R    3.15  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -9      43.55    12.42   -34.93     0.01     0.04     0.92     0.23P   45.27R   11.42  
Norwich          11    8   -8      32.45     9.91   -41.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   81.61R   37.31  
QPR              10    7  -12      32.63    11.07   -55.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   79.53R   40.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Brighton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      69.98    11.41    -0.47     0.41     1.67    21.73     4.01P    0.44R    0.02  
Southend         12   22   +6      76.30    11.82    18.96     2.04     6.55    42.23    12.37P    0.12R    0.00  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.94    11.66    27.33     3.08     9.01    52.07    19.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      92.04    11.34    49.81    22.15    42.94    87.42    59.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      92.08    11.34    54.16    22.46    43.59    87.64    55.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +5      76.27    11.81    20.17     1.84     6.04    42.70    14.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.35    12.16    27.64     3.26     8.88    50.16    18.50P    0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      66.49    11.95     2.80     0.27     1.20    15.22     4.07P    1.19R    0.05  
Leeds            12   17  +16      97.10     8.94    71.23    39.53    65.94    96.96    81.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      80.46    12.15    32.39     4.46    12.00    57.42    20.89P    0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         12   17   +2      65.64    11.90     5.90     0.22     0.88    14.17     3.78P    1.29R    0.07  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.25    11.61   -16.72     0.03     0.11     3.00     0.50P    9.09R    0.83  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.54    11.29     0.08     0.04     0.21     6.28     1.31P    3.08R    0.18  
Walsall          12   15   -2      57.00    11.47    -8.97     0.02     0.09     3.55     0.65P    6.55R    0.46  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.75    11.68    -6.57     0.03     0.18     4.47     0.98P    6.10R    0.52  
Huddersfield     12   14   -9      40.23     9.80   -47.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   51.85R   11.65  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      60.59    12.08    -1.43     0.06     0.32     7.11     1.63P    4.61R    0.38  
Crewe            12   13   -6      46.13    10.64   -29.71     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   29.08R    4.40  
Millwall         12   12   -7      38.67     9.77   -38.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   57.15R   14.22  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.54    12.72    -2.93     0.08     0.37     7.24     1.64P    6.17R    0.62  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      39.05    10.44   -49.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   56.14R   16.96  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      37.29    10.26   -41.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   61.84R   20.11  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.67    10.56   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   47.96R   11.86  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      38.45    10.48   -39.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   56.97R   17.66  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.40    10.85    60.10    47.96    81.40    97.45    85.63P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      85.63    11.47    33.05     8.25    36.81    80.20    48.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      94.62    10.37    51.63    26.22    70.50    95.46    80.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      82.62    11.62    33.39     5.68    28.06    72.91    39.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.60    11.85    22.80     2.80    17.31    59.74    28.34P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford             12   21   +8      82.36    11.77    32.38     4.72    27.31    72.11    39.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      77.35    12.10    22.12     2.33    15.60    55.63    24.69P    0.04R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      71.43    11.94    12.07     0.76     6.54    35.89    13.60P    0.09R    0.03  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      69.73    12.19    10.20     0.49     4.97    31.16    10.64P    0.19R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      56.89    11.72   -14.89     0.03     0.51     6.29     1.48P    2.30R    0.57  
Bury                 12   16   -1      59.58    11.96    -5.52     0.04     0.79     9.56     2.55P    1.67R    0.53  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.72    11.91    -4.72     0.04     0.73     9.53     2.61P    1.40R    0.37  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.29    11.79    -2.03     0.04     1.00    11.44     2.84P    1.24R    0.35  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      69.03    12.98     9.90     0.48     5.36    30.71    10.65P    0.49R    0.14  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      65.84    12.38     9.36     0.14     2.75    22.16     7.01P    0.60R    0.20  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.15    11.69   -15.43     0.01     0.16     3.27     0.71P    5.44R    2.04  
Stockport            12   13   -7      48.59    11.47   -30.00     0.00     0.05     1.54     0.26P   10.93R    4.24  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.86    11.08   -32.89     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.13P   18.16R    7.88  
Bradford             12   11   -7      49.04    11.77   -20.51     0.00     0.07     1.76     0.40P   10.45R    3.99  
Notts_County         12   11   -8      47.47    11.60   -25.35     0.00     0.04     1.30     0.25P   13.26R    5.68  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.56    10.98   -30.82     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.10P   21.35R    9.84  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      35.48    10.36   -43.71     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   49.84R   30.34  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      38.68    11.29   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   38.26R   21.70  
Mansfield            12    8   -7      42.45    11.27   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P   24.26R   12.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      96.86     9.05    56.06    43.87    93.70    55.27P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.23     9.46    32.31    13.16    76.41    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.59     9.49    34.66     8.62    67.63    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.58     8.87    52.54    23.58    87.72    44.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      85.12     9.50    33.66     7.30    62.17    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.90     9.68    20.07     1.53    32.21     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.05     9.60    16.50     0.58    18.76     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.77     9.66    18.30     0.71    21.62     5.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.32     9.57     9.99     0.31    13.94     3.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      67.87     9.63     6.21     0.16     7.28     1.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.43     9.58     6.46     0.06     6.11     1.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.22     9.44    -4.32     0.03     2.22     0.38P    0.24R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.59     9.56    -2.72     0.01     2.07     0.42P    0.21R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.62     9.75     7.20     0.06     4.72     1.12P    0.08R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.45     9.18    -2.98     0.00     0.47     0.13P    0.66R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      60.21     9.53     0.21     0.01     1.41     0.35P    0.28R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      56.18     9.44    -7.24     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.81R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.46     9.68    -2.41     0.00     0.79     0.17P    0.69R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      52.90     9.45   -16.32     0.00     0.18     0.03P    2.18R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.44     9.55   -27.21     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.82R    0.10  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      37.00     8.99   -47.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.78R    2.61  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.24     8.38   -39.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.74R    5.41  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.23     7.31   -70.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   32.77  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.60     7.01   -73.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   59.09