Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 October 2007 at 21:33:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, West_Ham vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      84.86     9.54    52.77    44.28    65.73    79.59    88.27    96.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      81.90     8.68    42.28    26.07    53.24    72.24    84.21    95.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      73.74    10.29    30.69     7.87    21.28    37.61    53.53    78.37     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      77.42     9.40    43.27    14.69    34.26    53.10    69.38    89.16     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.24    10.40    33.45     3.33    11.17    23.15    37.81    65.23     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      65.79    10.41    19.20     1.56     5.92    13.43    23.89    51.01     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      61.23    10.23    10.74     0.55     2.14     5.58    11.51    32.82     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      54.99    11.77     2.92     0.54     1.77     3.77     7.07    18.74     1.27R    0.11  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.83    10.99    16.78     0.89     3.38     7.91    15.28    37.31     0.28R    0.03  
West_Ham         9   13   +3      55.39    10.58     8.41     0.17     0.74     2.17     5.13    17.58     0.59R    0.04  
Everton         10   13   +0      52.25    10.07     1.92     0.04     0.27     0.95     2.43     9.90     0.95R    0.08  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.88     9.38   -44.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22    33.00R    6.98  
Fulham          10    8   -4      36.48     9.53   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.40    22.00R    3.54  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      38.18    10.43   -18.92     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.17     0.96    18.75R    3.18  
Wigan           10    8   -6      35.17     9.17   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19    25.08R    5.04  
Sunderland      10    8   -8      37.28     9.74   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.61    20.15R    3.76  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      32.49     9.30   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    38.12R   10.63  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      46.50    10.86    -4.38     0.02     0.10     0.39     1.16     5.18     5.31R    0.55  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.76     7.44   -54.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.62R   52.26  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.07     8.62   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    50.76R   13.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, Southampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          11   26   +7      80.80    12.81    17.42    17.86    30.31    63.59    37.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City     11   20   +6      76.25    12.77    19.32    10.01    19.63    51.38    27.87P    0.26R    0.00  
Charlton         11   19   +4      75.95    13.47    18.67    11.04    20.66    50.48    28.08P    0.53R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    11   18   +4      73.55    13.37    16.07     7.67    15.54    43.63    23.78P    0.72R    0.04  
West_Brom        11   17   +9      80.77    12.28    36.18    18.08    31.77    66.67    41.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         11   17   +3      70.71    13.05    12.31     5.09    10.55    35.11    16.60P    1.10R    0.06  
Barnsley         11   17   +2      73.90    12.50    16.98     6.49    14.20    44.26    21.59P    0.48R    0.03  
Stoke            11   17   +1      69.22    12.80     7.92     3.34     7.89    30.22    13.24P    1.33R    0.07  
Southampton      11   16   -3      56.43    12.49   -21.02     0.35     1.06     7.15     2.03P   10.42R    0.96  
Ipswich          10   15   +0      64.94    13.62     0.36     2.23     5.56    21.78     8.89P    3.42R    0.30  
Coventry         11   15   -1      66.09    13.33     4.00     2.71     6.09    23.81    10.37P    2.90R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       11   15   -1      63.82    13.13     0.75     1.47     3.77    18.71     7.39P    3.69R    0.31  
Colchester       11   14   +3      66.94    12.66    10.97     2.26     5.64    25.05    10.19P    2.12R    0.14  
Burnley          10   14   +1      70.55    13.47    13.19     5.10    11.19    35.59    17.11P    1.45R    0.14  
Cardiff          11   13   +0      59.11    12.78    -3.20     0.60     1.71    10.65     3.88P    7.08R    0.64  
Blackpool        11   13   -1      63.12    13.08     2.29     1.45     3.52    16.97     6.85P    4.55R    0.48  
Leicester        10   12   +2      66.02    13.69     9.77     2.60     6.24    24.47    12.03P    3.10R    0.28  
Hull             11   12   -1      58.35    13.15    -3.55     0.61     1.71    10.08     3.78P    8.31R    0.99  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   +0      59.15    12.85     0.91     0.66     1.78    10.70     4.34P    7.17R    0.77  
Sheff_Utd        11   10   -3      55.34    12.71    -9.35     0.29     0.89     6.42     2.12P   12.20R    1.61  
Preston          11   10   -3      49.95    11.89   -14.27     0.06     0.20     2.31     0.73P   20.84R    2.69  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -9      42.39    12.48   -37.46     0.03     0.09     0.85     0.23P   48.10R   12.40  
Norwich          11    8   -8      32.09    10.05   -42.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   81.47R   38.09  
QPR              10    7  -12      32.58    11.03   -55.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   78.64R   39.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Brighton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.04    11.43    -0.44     0.48     1.65    21.84     3.94P    0.45R    0.01  
Southend         12   22   +6      75.63    11.79    17.66     1.82     5.79    40.47    11.29P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.89    11.50    27.29     3.16     8.71    51.90    19.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      92.08    11.19    49.75    21.97    43.33    87.84    59.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      92.38    11.15    54.72    23.43    44.97    88.90    56.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +5      76.53    11.56    20.53     1.92     6.02    43.19    14.70P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.32    11.76    27.58     2.74     8.15    50.51    17.80P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      66.68    12.07     3.24     0.32     1.22    15.88     4.29P    1.24R    0.05  
Leeds            12   17  +16      97.10     8.97    71.45    39.50    66.64    96.97    81.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      80.14    12.20    31.58     4.19    11.59    56.56    20.64P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         12   17   +2      65.89    11.60     6.32     0.19     0.79    14.22     3.60P    1.09R    0.05  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.24    11.48   -16.67     0.02     0.08     3.02     0.51P    8.86R    0.67  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.22    11.38    -0.31     0.07     0.24     6.33     1.39P    3.23R    0.21  
Walsall          12   15   -2      56.76    11.37    -9.20     0.01     0.08     3.17     0.60P    6.76R    0.54  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.77    11.72    -6.45     0.03     0.12     4.49     0.86P    6.23R    0.54  
Huddersfield     12   14   -9      40.22    10.00   -47.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   52.18R   12.52  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      60.25    11.73    -2.04     0.05     0.23     6.32     1.32P    4.36R    0.27  
Crewe            12   13   -6      46.28    10.69   -29.44     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.06P   28.63R    4.70  
Millwall         12   12   -7      38.81     9.71   -37.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   56.88R   13.41  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.82    12.77    -2.52     0.10     0.38     7.57     1.75P    6.04R    0.61  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      39.36    10.41   -48.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.92R   16.04  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      37.20    10.31   -41.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   62.86R   20.30  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.81    10.59   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   47.51R   12.00  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      38.24    10.51   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   58.30R   18.07  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.25    10.85    60.01    47.84    81.18    97.31    85.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      85.78    11.33    33.22     8.31    36.81    80.58    48.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      94.51    10.30    51.42    25.51    69.94    95.38    80.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      82.89    11.53    33.96     5.74    28.56    73.64    40.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.51    12.03    22.74     3.04    17.66    58.67    28.41P    0.02R    0.01  
Hereford             12   21   +8      82.66    11.68    32.84     5.06    27.97    72.63    39.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      77.11    12.20    21.66     2.35    15.31    54.62    24.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      70.92    11.89    11.35     0.69     5.99    33.86    12.46P    0.10R    0.03  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      69.76    12.32    10.34     0.58     4.96    31.62    10.69P    0.19R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      57.29    11.73   -14.32     0.01     0.49     6.61     1.53P    2.13R    0.54  
Bury                 12   16   -1      59.33    11.95    -5.87     0.03     0.75     9.15     2.41P    1.68R    0.50  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.27    12.08    -5.30     0.04     0.77     9.41     2.56P    1.45R    0.34  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.52    11.95    -1.63     0.06     1.11    12.14     3.15P    1.10R    0.29  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      69.36    12.89    10.54     0.56     5.36    31.46    10.64P    0.43R    0.12  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      66.00    12.47     9.69     0.16     2.67    22.50     6.83P    0.67R    0.20  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.32    11.84   -15.16     0.00     0.21     3.69     0.87P    5.31R    1.84  
Stockport            12   13   -7      48.58    11.65   -30.09     0.00     0.07     1.61     0.28P   11.11R    4.48  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.76    11.14   -33.16     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.13P   18.05R    7.71  
Bradford             12   11   -7      49.07    12.07   -20.44     0.00     0.08     1.85     0.37P   11.21R    4.57  
Notts_County         12   11   -8      47.41    11.63   -25.55     0.00     0.05     1.25     0.25P   13.40R    5.88  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.17    10.91   -31.56     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   22.15R   10.35  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      35.47    10.30   -44.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.48R   29.69  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      38.94    11.50   -40.84     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.04P   37.29R   21.63  
Mansfield            12    8   -7      42.53    11.50   -29.72     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.11P   24.20R   11.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 October 2007, York vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             17   39  +20      97.00     8.99    56.42    43.94    93.96    55.59P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.39     9.39    32.60    13.54    76.97    27.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.65     9.38    34.67     8.49    67.72    23.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.63     8.83    52.61    23.26    87.96    44.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      84.80     9.51    33.08     7.20    60.88    21.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.86     9.63    19.91     1.60    31.64     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.20     9.71    16.67     0.58    19.53     4.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      75.04     9.58    18.74     0.82    22.16     5.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      72.28     9.49     9.88     0.28    13.52     3.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.14     9.58     6.67     0.13     7.41     1.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.62     9.72     6.73     0.09     6.54     1.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.03     9.49    -4.70     0.01     2.11     0.42P    0.24R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.29     9.51    -3.16     0.02     1.71     0.33P    0.21R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.74     9.76     7.40     0.04     4.70     1.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      56.96     9.22    -2.24     0.00     0.53     0.15P    0.59R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.89     9.53    -0.35     0.00     1.21     0.28P    0.34R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      55.86     9.42    -7.81     0.00     0.46     0.12P    0.92R    0.01  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.09     9.74    -3.01     0.01     0.75     0.16P    0.78R    0.00  
York                17   18   -7      53.16     9.36   -15.81     0.00     0.21     0.03P    2.03R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      47.13     9.44   -27.68     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.26R    0.10  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.84     8.82   -47.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.43R    2.63  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.37     8.43   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.91R    5.27  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.20     7.23   -70.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   33.36  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.75     7.13   -73.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.36R   58.60