Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 October 2007 at 21:33:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Arsenal vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          9   25  +15      86.16     9.13    56.08    48.46    70.35    83.62    91.15    97.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         10   23  +12      81.62     8.51    41.94    23.08    49.91    70.16    83.50    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        10   22   +8      73.89    10.11    30.96     7.51    20.97    37.18    53.58    79.85     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        9   19  +11      77.50     9.50    43.32    14.27    33.93    53.22    69.44    89.34     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      10   18   +7      69.67    10.38    34.36     3.22    11.47    23.82    38.91    67.47     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn        9   18   +5      66.18    10.53    19.61     1.71     6.33    13.83    25.05    53.41     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea         10   18   +2      60.69     9.91     9.99     0.39     1.70     4.56     9.96    30.62     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      54.08    11.72     0.78     0.37     1.23     3.03     5.97    17.29     1.48R    0.11  
Aston_Villa      9   14   +1      61.62    10.87    16.31     0.82     3.10     7.60    14.88    36.71     0.23R    0.01  
Everton         10   13   +0      51.81     9.93     1.04     0.04     0.24     0.83     2.13     9.27     1.01R    0.06  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.44    11.46     4.49     0.13     0.66     1.71     3.86    13.30     2.02R    0.17  
Reading         10   10  -10      33.39     9.27   -46.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    34.94R    7.77  
Fulham          10    8   -4      37.18     9.64   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.39    20.20R    3.28  
Birmingham      10    8   -5      38.24    10.43   -19.16     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.97    19.09R    3.21  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.90    10.22   -23.11     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.17     1.11    16.57R    3.01  
Wigan           10    8   -6      34.86     9.22   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.28    26.09R    5.25  
Middlesbrough   10    8   -8      32.31     9.14   -38.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10    38.54R   10.44  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.11    10.84    -2.76     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.16     5.92     4.95R    0.59  
Derby           10    6  -17      21.87     7.22   -54.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.93R   51.92  
Bolton          10    5   -7      29.12     8.62   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    50.84R   14.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Barnsley vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          11   26   +7      80.92    12.87    17.62    18.22    30.50    63.42    37.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City     11   20   +6      76.01    12.79    19.00     9.30    18.66    50.56    27.19P    0.25R    0.01  
Charlton         11   19   +4      76.20    13.36    19.38    11.14    20.64    50.95    27.82P    0.41R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   18   +4      73.60    13.10    16.18     7.00    14.69    43.21    22.99P    0.59R    0.02  
West_Brom        11   17   +9      80.75    12.36    36.36    17.84    31.45    65.80    41.37P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         11   17   +3      71.19    13.50    13.19     5.87    11.95    36.51    18.49P    1.11R    0.10  
Barnsley         11   17   +2      73.79    12.62    16.72     6.36    13.72    43.47    21.06P    0.53R    0.03  
Stoke            11   17   +1      69.23    12.62     8.00     3.13     7.44    29.42    12.56P    1.08R    0.08  
Ipswich          10   15   +0      65.64    13.66     1.54     2.62     6.04    23.30     9.65P    2.95R    0.25  
Coventry         11   15   -1      66.57    13.41     4.86     2.73     6.47    24.80    10.66P    2.42R    0.20  
Scunthorpe       11   15   -1      63.46    12.94     0.03     1.32     3.43    16.99     6.52P    3.62R    0.33  
Colchester       11   14   +3      66.86    12.73    10.83     2.27     5.66    24.86    10.12P    1.92R    0.16  
Burnley          10   14   +1      70.55    13.36    13.22     5.01    10.71    34.92    16.54P    1.28R    0.11  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.11    13.71     0.09     1.55     3.76    16.53     6.88P    5.39R    0.46  
Blackpool        11   13   -1      62.68    13.06     1.59     1.26     3.31    16.00     6.34P    4.44R    0.53  
Southampton      10   13   -4      53.73    13.30   -26.21     0.29     0.92     5.83     1.73P   16.12R    2.04  
Leicester        10   12   +2      65.45    13.93     9.08     2.50     6.01    23.46    11.56P    3.28R    0.33  
Hull             11   12   -1      58.50    13.43    -3.46     0.65     1.88    10.77     4.25P    8.34R    1.08  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   +0      58.97    12.75     0.68     0.61     1.61     9.98     3.89P    6.83R    0.75  
Sheff_Utd        11   10   -3      55.24    12.74    -9.47     0.23     0.83     6.18     2.07P   11.87R    1.70  
Preston          11   10   -3      49.83    12.05   -14.31     0.07     0.24     2.31     0.78P   20.69R    3.24  
Sheff_Wed        11    9   -9      41.93    12.30   -38.30     0.02     0.06     0.66     0.16P   48.18R   13.26  
Norwich          11    8   -8      32.11     9.76   -42.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   81.17R   37.02  
QPR              10    7  -12      32.78    10.76   -54.43     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   77.39R   38.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Brighton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient    12   23   +0      70.05    11.33    -0.39     0.49     1.75    21.74     4.11P    0.37R    0.01  
Southend         12   22   +6      76.21    11.74    18.77     1.99     6.32    41.48    12.02P    0.15R    0.01  
Carlisle         12   21   +9      78.86    11.44    27.15     2.69     8.09    51.88    18.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     11   20  +12      92.25    11.13    49.99    22.48    43.71    88.27    59.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          11   20   +9      91.99    11.26    53.84    22.50    43.24    87.89    55.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +5      76.03    11.71    19.69     1.73     5.61    41.69    13.93P    0.14R    0.01  
Swindon          11   19   +9      78.63    12.04    28.04     3.33     9.23    50.92    19.16P    0.08R    0.01  
Yeovil           12   18   -1      66.16    11.83     2.46     0.24     0.98    14.42     3.75P    1.21R    0.04  
Leeds            12   17  +16      97.12     8.92    71.22    39.56    66.44    96.98    81.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      80.91    11.95    32.93     4.57    12.47    58.96    22.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         12   17   +2      65.70    11.79     5.97     0.20     0.96    14.32     3.85P    1.21R    0.05  
Northampton      12   16   +0      55.97    11.60   -15.30     0.04     0.15     3.46     0.62P    8.01R    0.64  
Doncaster        12   15   +1      60.31    11.31    -0.27     0.03     0.15     5.84     1.15P    3.19R    0.16  
Walsall          12   15   -2      56.91    11.33    -9.13     0.01     0.08     3.13     0.61P    6.57R    0.49  
Luton            12   14   -1      57.46    11.66    -7.03     0.01     0.14     4.12     0.78P    6.38R    0.50  
Huddersfield     12   14   -9      40.23     9.97   -47.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   52.19R   12.07  
Bristol_Rovers   12   13   -3      59.96    12.00    -2.46     0.04     0.23     6.32     1.28P    4.99R    0.41  
Crewe            12   13   -6      46.04    10.60   -29.75     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   29.31R    4.61  
Millwall         12   12   -7      38.98     9.76   -37.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   56.12R   13.48  
Oldham           10   11   -2      59.70    12.96    -2.73     0.09     0.44     7.93     1.87P    6.11R    0.65  
Gillingham       12   11  -15      39.25    10.46   -48.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   55.57R   16.37  
Cheltenham       12    9  -10      36.97    10.23   -42.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   63.17R   21.25  
Port_Vale        12    8   -7      40.74    10.53   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   47.39R   11.73  
Bournemouth      12    8  -10      38.35    10.35   -39.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    57.73R   17.52  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   12   28  +16      99.19    10.65    59.75    47.40    81.21    97.44    85.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              12   24   +9      85.94    11.21    33.66     8.29    37.23    81.00    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           12   23  +15      94.58    10.29    51.76    25.98    69.98    95.50    80.30P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         12   22  +10      82.28    11.65    32.86     5.33    27.07    71.29    38.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               12   22   +7      78.26    12.00    22.42     2.85    16.84    57.67    27.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             12   21   +8      82.99    11.79    33.65     5.58    29.27    73.24    41.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         12   21   +6      76.23    12.06    20.34     1.93    13.34    51.03    21.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              12   20   +4      71.72    11.98    12.65     0.89     7.05    36.42    13.90P    0.09R    0.01  
Rotherham            12   18   +2      69.67    12.27    10.06     0.60     5.02    30.85    10.45P    0.18R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   12   18   -1      56.50    11.67   -15.48     0.01     0.44     5.79     1.46P    1.96R    0.49  
Bury                 12   16   -1      60.71    11.91    -3.72     0.07     1.00    10.77     2.93P    1.08R    0.25  
Morecambe            12   16   -1      59.74    11.92    -4.53     0.03     0.72     9.40     2.61P    1.10R    0.28  
Shrewsbury           12   15   -1      61.46    11.92    -1.59     0.05     1.10    11.97     3.23P    1.06R    0.29  
Rochdale             11   14   -2      69.70    13.05    11.28     0.70     5.96    31.91    11.40P    0.34R    0.10  
Macclesfield         12   13   -1      66.06    12.67    10.02     0.25     2.98    22.55     7.31P    0.62R    0.16  
Brentford            12   13   -5      53.55    11.75   -14.61     0.01     0.18     3.49     0.77P    4.51R    1.52  
Stockport            12   13   -7      47.94    11.56   -31.28     0.00     0.07     1.49     0.27P   10.67R    4.03  
Dag_&_Red            12   13   -8      44.69    11.09   -33.17     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.16P   16.46R    6.66  
Notts_County         11   11   -6      53.33    13.03   -16.23     0.01     0.41     4.93     1.25P    6.76R    2.83  
Bradford             12   11   -7      48.74    11.99   -20.69     0.00     0.06     1.80     0.41P   10.17R    3.83  
Grimsby              12   10   -8      43.39    10.94   -30.82     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   19.61R    8.91  
Lincoln_City         12    9  -10      34.77    10.20   -45.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.37R   28.24  
Wrexham              11    9  -10      38.55    11.34   -41.78     0.00     0.02     0.25     0.06P   36.72R   19.89  
Mansfield            11    5   -9      37.51    11.60   -39.18     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   39.28R   22.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 October 2007, Aldershot vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           17   37  +12      89.03     9.42    31.86    13.12    76.05    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             16   36  +19      96.23     9.38    58.33    42.08    92.30    53.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       17   34  +13      86.42     9.47    34.23     8.83    67.18    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           17   33  +17      92.82     8.80    53.06    24.97    88.49    46.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       17   32  +11      85.05     9.43    33.43     7.40    62.14    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        17   31   +8      77.92     9.63    20.05     1.58    32.02     6.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        17   28   +7      74.30     9.72    16.93     0.68    20.07     5.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Histon              17   28   +7      74.87     9.68    18.51     0.73    22.23     5.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    17   28   +3      71.82     9.58     9.22     0.27    12.90     3.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter              17   27   +5      68.19     9.46     6.69     0.17     7.32     1.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          17   25   +2      67.83     9.47     7.03     0.05     6.31     1.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       17   24   +0      62.18     9.46    -4.47     0.02     2.34     0.43P    0.19R    0.00  
Salisbury           17   23   +0      61.76     9.57    -2.36     0.02     1.98     0.42P    0.17R    0.00  
Weymouth            17   22   +1      65.87     9.82     7.56     0.07     5.07     1.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      17   20   +0      57.01     9.38    -2.23     0.00     0.63     0.20P    0.56R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   17   20   -1      59.83     9.61    -0.41     0.02     1.39     0.35P    0.32R    0.00  
Woking              17   20   -2      55.92     9.48    -7.70     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.83R    0.00  
Halifax             17   19   +0      57.38     9.69    -2.45     0.00     0.73     0.15P    0.74R    0.00  
York                16   18   -6      53.71     9.87   -17.50     0.00     0.37     0.07P    2.20R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      16   16  -10      46.99     9.45   -28.26     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.26R    0.11  
Altrincham          16   11  -15      36.88     8.92   -47.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.96R    2.64  
Stafford_Rangers    17    8  -16      33.24     8.46   -39.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.11R    5.24  
Droylsden           17    5  -27      23.24     7.30   -70.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.63R   32.53  
Northwich           17    3  -28      19.45     6.87   -74.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.86R   59.45