Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 October 2007 at 21:33:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.31     9.74    52.67    45.78    66.38    79.21    87.19    95.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20   +9      76.56     9.23    32.50    15.58    35.28    54.10    69.38    88.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   19   +7      74.05    10.31    35.06    11.90    28.52    44.70    59.47    81.23     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      75.56     9.83    40.94    15.30    34.54    51.88    66.81    86.01     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.19    11.11    27.23     2.75     8.94    17.84    28.63    53.29     0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.42    10.99    18.13     2.33     7.60    14.83    24.37    48.55     0.12R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      55.47    10.82     2.86     0.35     1.30     3.16     6.44    18.80     0.71R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.54    10.89    28.54     4.89    12.97    23.49    35.80    61.27     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      56.09    11.40     5.98     0.63     2.20     4.86     9.00    22.88     1.05R    0.06  
Everton          9   13   +1      54.86    10.62     5.79     0.32     1.28     3.10     6.22    17.99     0.78R    0.03  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.36    11.01     4.95     0.15     0.71     1.92     4.20    13.63     1.79R    0.17  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.40     9.07   -51.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.11    46.22R   10.47  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.02    10.59   -24.63     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.22     1.02    24.79R    4.31  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.16    10.21   -19.76     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.88    20.11R    3.72  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      36.66    10.13   -28.60     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.13     0.73    25.43R    5.47  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.82    10.29   -23.90     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.23     1.28    18.53R    2.79  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.53    10.75    -1.66     0.02     0.19     0.58     1.56     6.53     4.96R    0.48  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.82    10.11   -14.74     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.22     1.37    13.29R    2.08  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.72     8.82   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    55.39R   15.08  
Derby            9    5  -17      21.13     7.43   -58.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.66R   55.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.10    13.21    13.05     9.52    18.26    49.56    24.40P    0.14R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.42    13.98    30.13    19.24    32.65    66.07    41.48P    0.14R    0.00  
West_Brom        10   17  +10      85.74    12.63    43.33    25.24    41.65    76.42    52.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     10   17   +4      72.34    13.36    13.72     4.58    10.81    36.81    18.05P    0.55R    0.01  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.34    12.92    22.20     9.34    19.70    54.43    29.22P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.32    13.21    20.90     7.35    15.93    48.85    23.70P    0.32R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +2      67.45    13.70     7.53     2.55     6.03    25.03    11.40P    1.68R    0.10  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.70    13.70     7.09     3.16     7.45    27.81    11.90P    1.46R    0.07  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.53    13.94    10.57     3.12     7.44    28.29    12.70P    1.67R    0.10  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.64    14.52     4.36     3.09     7.21    26.71    11.14P    2.45R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      64.96    13.83     1.65     1.62     4.26    20.11     7.90P    2.65R    0.18  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.97    14.25     9.76     3.53     8.13    30.06    13.06P    1.80R    0.13  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.59    13.61     0.68     1.22     3.01    15.54     5.93P    3.73R    0.25  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.19    13.11   -23.42     0.22     0.73     6.01     1.56P   10.64R    1.07  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.04    14.30    -1.17     0.99     2.83    14.56     5.71P    5.66R    0.53  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      62.41    13.45     0.56     1.02     2.69    14.76     5.50P    4.16R    0.43  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.87    13.27     6.97     1.15     3.21    17.75     6.81P    2.94R    0.26  
Leicester         9   11   +2      64.70    14.86     7.20     2.20     5.28    21.82    10.18P    3.82R    0.29  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.06    13.19     0.30     0.54     1.60     9.84     3.88P    5.73R    0.65  
Sheff_Utd        10    9   -3      56.37    13.09    -8.58     0.27     0.87     6.78     2.16P    9.03R    1.17  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.71    12.70   -15.93     0.06     0.23     2.50     0.83P   18.88R    2.68  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.74    10.72   -35.68     0.01     0.01     0.11     0.03P   68.39R   19.69  
Sheff_Wed        10    6  -11      31.51    11.27   -54.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   77.01R   36.57  
QPR               9    6  -12      31.81    11.08   -60.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   76.97R   35.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2007, Luton vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          11   20   +9      91.65    11.30    52.39    19.28    39.51    86.60    52.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         11   20   +6      78.89    12.24    22.98     3.38     9.32    50.77    19.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    11   20   -2      67.31    11.94    -4.61     0.30     1.12    16.67     2.96P    1.04R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     10   19  +12      95.64    11.67    57.38    32.86    54.90    91.40    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         11   19   +4      70.57    12.78     8.66     1.00     3.14    26.62     6.67P    0.72R    0.03  
Carlisle         11   18   +7      78.19    12.30    27.23     2.94     8.46    49.65    17.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      81.75    12.15    34.49     4.71    13.07    61.21    23.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         11   17   +3      66.31    12.15     5.54     0.26     1.01    15.67     4.00P    1.16R    0.03  
Yeovil           11   17   -1      66.27    12.19     2.20     0.27     1.04    15.16     4.03P    1.27R    0.04  
Swindon          10   16   +8      74.81    12.90    23.44     2.02     5.82    39.50    13.24P    0.36R    0.01  
Walsall          11   15   +0      61.88    12.36    -1.97     0.15     0.47     9.25     2.05P    3.25R    0.18  
Leeds            11   14  +15      96.29     9.50    72.63    32.28    59.90    95.75    78.12P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        11   14   +1      57.41    11.71    -6.50     0.04     0.15     4.53     0.91P    5.56R    0.35  
Luton            11   14   +1      64.69    12.59     4.64     0.22     0.87    13.67     3.22P    2.32R    0.12  
Northampton      11   13   -1      54.40    12.13   -16.70     0.03     0.15     3.07     0.58P   10.90R    1.01  
Huddersfield     11   13   -9      39.58    10.33   -49.49     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   53.13R   11.84  
Bristol_Rovers   11   12   -3      61.67    12.61    -0.19     0.09     0.44     9.05     2.06P    4.00R    0.33  
Gillingham       11   11  -13      41.09    11.05   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   47.28R   11.24  
Oldham            9   10   -2      61.15    13.76    -1.31     0.17     0.65    10.36     2.39P    5.79R    0.52  
Crewe            11   10   -8      39.94    10.74   -41.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   50.56R   12.41  
Millwall         11    9   -8      34.56     9.85   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   70.66R   24.82  
Cheltenham       11    9   -9      37.28    10.86   -42.69     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   60.30R   18.51  
Port_Vale        11    8   -5      44.65    11.46   -20.99     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   32.66R    6.15  
Bournemouth      11    8   -9      40.27    11.05   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   48.81R   12.40  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   11   25  +15      96.35    11.45    57.42    31.65    69.07    94.43    75.63P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           11   22  +15      97.66    10.76    57.29    35.09    74.28    96.10    82.85P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         11   21  +10      86.21    11.86    39.43     8.67    35.07    79.27    46.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             11   21   +9      85.75    12.22    37.91     8.61    33.96    77.73    45.60P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              11   21   +8      86.01    11.77    35.78     7.90    33.85    79.05    46.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         11   20   +6      81.09    12.75    28.31     4.39    21.87    64.50    32.02P    0.01R    0.01  
Barnet               11   19   +5      74.08    12.57    16.48     1.33     9.00    42.40    17.39P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              11   17   +1      65.37    12.56     2.32     0.22     2.42    18.79     6.07P    0.49R    0.14  
Morecambe            11   16   +1      64.17    12.29     2.48     0.10     1.59    15.76     4.79P    0.43R    0.09  
Rotherham            11   15   +0      64.93    12.88     3.28     0.19     1.97    18.55     5.70P    0.75R    0.19  
Bury                 11   15   -1      60.10    12.66    -5.76     0.07     0.98    10.58     2.90P    1.44R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   -2      52.17    12.15   -20.50     0.01     0.25     3.38     0.88P    4.81R    1.55  
Shrewsbury           11   14   -1      61.94    12.67    -1.84     0.10     1.28    12.88     3.61P    1.17R    0.30  
Macclesfield         11   13   +0      70.93    12.88    17.19     0.51     5.32    34.45    11.98P    0.20R    0.04  
Rochdale             10   13   -2      72.90    13.70    16.64     1.12     8.43    39.96    14.85P    0.32R    0.09  
Stockport            11   13   -6      48.73    11.91   -32.22     0.00     0.12     1.72     0.35P    9.38R    3.42  
Brentford            11   12   -5      51.30    12.24   -19.73     0.01     0.16     2.68     0.59P    6.94R    2.54  
Dag_&_Red            11   12   -8      40.47    11.09   -42.59     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   27.31R   12.32  
Notts_County         11   11   -6      53.10    12.61   -16.94     0.01     0.25     3.94     0.85P    5.75R    2.26  
Grimsby              11   10   -5      48.80    11.77   -20.59     0.00     0.04     1.46     0.31P    9.39R    3.60  
Bradford             11   10   -7      46.58    11.89   -26.40     0.00     0.04     1.00     0.22P   12.89R    5.30  
Wrexham              10    9   -8      42.67    12.55   -35.63     0.00     0.04     0.85     0.17P   23.72R   11.21  
Lincoln_City         11    8  -10      32.97    10.36   -50.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.06R   34.30  
Mansfield            11    5   -9      36.72    11.37   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   39.88R   22.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 October 2007, Halifax vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             16   36  +19      95.65     9.49    57.00    36.72    89.94    48.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           16   34  +11      88.22     9.67    32.61    10.69    70.22    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       16   33  +13      85.97     9.77    32.26     8.06    61.61    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           16   32  +17      94.02     9.18    53.04    28.32    88.28    49.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       16   31  +11      87.14     9.89    36.95    10.88    66.33    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        16   30   +8      80.56     9.91    24.53     2.74    40.04     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        16   27   +7      77.22     9.94    21.06     1.27    27.36     7.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              16   26   +5      69.02     9.91     7.58     0.24     8.20     1.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon              16   25   +6      74.54    10.12    19.89     0.70    20.49     5.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    16   25   +1      69.51     9.92     6.23     0.15     8.22     1.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster       16   24   +2      65.31    10.01     0.50     0.06     4.64     0.80P    0.10R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          16   24   +2      68.49     9.97     7.30     0.13     7.13     1.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           16   22   +0      60.53    10.04    -5.53     0.01     1.63     0.28P    0.33R    0.00  
Halifax             16   19   +1      58.57    10.05    -2.09     0.01     1.25     0.32P    0.53R    0.01  
Weymouth            16   19   -1      62.07    10.26     1.69     0.01     2.33     0.48P    0.38R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   16   19   -1      59.54     9.83    -1.14     0.01     1.15     0.30P    0.45R    0.00  
Woking              16   19   -2      56.05     9.88    -8.62     0.00     0.58     0.12P    1.05R    0.00  
York                16   18   -6      54.51     9.92   -16.16     0.00     0.39     0.06P    1.76R    0.03  
Grays_Athletic      16   17   -2      53.96     9.50    -5.49     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.41R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      15   15  -10      45.40     9.84   -32.27     0.00     0.04     0.01P   11.70R    0.31  
Altrincham          15   11  -13      38.59     9.32   -44.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.47R    2.31  
Stafford_Rangers    16    7  -16      31.70     8.43   -42.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.81R    8.85  
Droylsden           16    5  -26      24.03     7.70   -72.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.72R   33.78  
Northwich           16    3  -26      20.76     7.24   -70.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.19R   54.70