Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 October 2007 at 21:33:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.34     9.92    52.71    45.89    66.29    78.73    86.76    95.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20   +9      76.62     9.17    32.65    15.40    35.68    54.81    69.69    88.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   19   +7      73.91    10.50    34.75    12.15    28.79    44.75    58.94    80.60     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      74.79    10.07    39.79    14.66    32.74    49.42    64.00    83.83     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.19    11.00    27.17     2.69     8.73    17.47    28.70    53.06     0.11R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.52    11.34    18.23     2.67     8.36    16.25    26.15    49.15     0.19R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      55.10    11.01     2.26     0.34     1.31     3.15     6.35    18.45     0.93R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.21    11.06    27.87     4.73    13.01    23.35    35.39    60.40     0.11R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      56.43    11.49     6.70     0.89     2.71     5.69    10.12    24.02     0.95R    0.05  
Everton          9   13   +1      55.42    10.60     6.80     0.35     1.26     3.23     6.69    19.45     0.82R    0.05  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.60    11.00     5.33     0.21     0.86     2.16     4.53    14.21     1.67R    0.14  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.79     9.32   -50.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    44.95R   10.31  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      36.42    10.88   -25.90     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.25     1.13    27.49R    5.24  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.31    10.15   -19.47     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.22     1.05    19.47R    3.50  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      36.90     9.84   -28.02     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.62    24.05R    4.51  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.43    10.31   -24.59     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.27     1.24    19.83R    3.39  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.61    10.75    -1.61     0.01     0.17     0.63     1.62     6.60     5.13R    0.47  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.79    10.14   -14.85     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.20     1.42    13.80R    2.04  
Bolton           9    5   -5      29.00     8.79   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    54.15R   14.59  
Derby            9    5  -17      21.14     7.53   -58.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.34R   55.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.17    13.25    13.18     9.32    18.34    49.83    24.55P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.71    13.77    30.61    19.46    32.86    66.25    41.38P    0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        10   17  +10      84.89    12.62    41.86    23.12    38.63    74.14    49.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     10   17   +4      72.23    13.40    13.64     4.65    10.46    36.52    17.62P    0.59R    0.02  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.46    13.11    22.27     9.81    20.44    54.95    30.00P    0.20R    0.01  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.94    13.29    21.86     8.22    17.63    50.72    25.60P    0.28R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +2      67.82    13.95     8.15     2.82     6.59    26.54    12.06P    1.77R    0.12  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.67    13.79     7.23     3.32     7.57    28.04    12.12P    1.54R    0.10  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.77    13.77    10.94     3.14     7.40    28.75    12.90P    1.61R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.58    14.42     4.39     3.26     7.28    26.72    11.36P    2.14R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      64.94    13.74     1.70     1.48     4.12    19.72     7.75P    2.65R    0.23  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.42    14.27     8.83     3.49     7.84    28.41    12.55P    1.96R    0.14  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.75    13.37     1.12     1.07     2.80    15.43     5.81P    3.51R    0.24  
Southampton      10   13   -4      54.76    13.04   -24.41     0.21     0.75     5.61     1.52P   10.68R    1.08  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.67    14.02    -0.06     0.98     2.70    14.90     5.69P    5.07R    0.46  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      62.71    13.44     1.01     1.22     3.12    15.24     6.06P    3.87R    0.37  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.20    13.31     5.68     1.10     3.00    16.38     6.20P    3.20R    0.27  
Leicester         9   11   +2      65.31    14.80     8.13     2.44     5.64    22.58    10.79P    3.46R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.14    13.26     0.40     0.52     1.61    10.03     3.95P    5.83R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd        10    9   -3      56.07    13.31    -9.18     0.32     0.99     6.98     2.28P   10.16R    1.39  
Preston          10    9   -3      48.97    12.48   -17.05     0.06     0.23     2.08     0.69P   20.11R    2.69  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.89    10.51   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   68.13R   19.15  
Sheff_Wed        10    6  -11      32.13    11.36   -53.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   75.11R   34.91  
QPR               9    6  -12      31.32    11.12   -61.61     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   77.87R   37.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 October 2007, Luton vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          11   20   +9      91.70    11.43    52.89    19.48    39.72    86.51    52.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         11   20   +6      78.81    12.22    22.83     3.40     9.17    50.03    18.88P    0.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    11   20   -2      66.45    12.08    -6.13     0.23     1.01    15.10     2.62P    1.23R    0.05  
Nottm_Forest     10   19  +12      95.70    11.71    57.24    33.18    55.19    91.33    67.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         11   19   +4      70.12    12.67     7.85     0.87     2.79    24.82     6.11P    0.74R    0.03  
Carlisle         11   18   +7      78.48    12.19    27.93     2.97     8.39    50.02    17.67P    0.11R    0.00  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      81.97    12.15    35.20     4.92    13.49    62.02    23.58P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         11   17   +3      65.71    12.33     4.62     0.30     1.19    14.97     4.04P    1.43R    0.05  
Yeovil           11   17   -1      67.17    12.64     3.44     0.39     1.41    17.56     4.62P    1.29R    0.07  
Swindon          10   16   +8      75.40    12.97    24.40     2.34     6.41    41.12    14.13P    0.35R    0.01  
Walsall          11   15   +0      61.87    12.21    -1.82     0.11     0.44     8.81     1.85P    3.08R    0.19  
Leeds            11   14  +15      95.97     9.41    71.79    31.18    58.34    95.67    77.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        11   14   +1      57.82    11.74    -5.65     0.03     0.16     4.58     0.90P    5.29R    0.30  
Luton            11   14   +1      64.43    12.75     4.24     0.28     0.95    13.82     3.35P    2.35R    0.15  
Northampton      11   13   -1      54.88    12.26   -15.94     0.03     0.14     3.45     0.62P   10.26R    0.97  
Huddersfield     11   13   -9      39.47    10.37   -49.46     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   53.22R   12.17  
Bristol_Rovers   11   12   -3      61.08    12.60    -1.10     0.10     0.40     8.27     1.88P    4.36R    0.35  
Gillingham       11   11  -13      40.63    10.92   -47.65     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   48.95R   12.04  
Oldham            9   10   -2      61.63    13.90    -0.40     0.19     0.79    11.02     2.61P    5.62R    0.63  
Crewe            11   10   -8      39.50    10.77   -42.10     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.05R   12.98  
Millwall         11    9   -8      34.48     9.73   -42.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.07R   24.84  
Cheltenham       11    9   -9      38.20    10.69   -41.31     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   56.52R   15.86  
Port_Vale        11    8   -5      44.30    11.22   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   33.42R    6.29  
Bournemouth      11    8   -9      40.26    11.17   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   48.53R   13.03  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   11   25  +15      96.88    11.37    58.32    32.93    70.12    94.88    76.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           11   22  +15      97.75    10.44    57.45    34.05    74.63    96.50    83.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         11   21  +10      86.31    11.69    39.53     8.37    34.01    79.63    46.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             11   21   +9      85.97    12.24    38.43     8.42    34.48    77.88    45.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              11   21   +8      86.67    11.98    36.93     8.71    35.80    80.09    48.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         11   20   +6      80.39    12.64    27.19     3.73    19.45    61.64    28.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               11   19   +5      75.06    12.41    18.03     1.48     9.74    44.77    18.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Wycombe              11   17   +1      64.98    12.63     1.59     0.24     2.13    17.97     5.63P    0.49R    0.12  
Morecambe            11   16   +1      63.97    12.46     2.18     0.13     1.52    15.88     4.82P    0.50R    0.14  
Rotherham            11   15   +0      65.49    12.65     4.16     0.18     2.18    19.18     5.94P    0.52R    0.11  
Bury                 11   15   -1      60.04    12.61    -5.93     0.09     0.95    10.23     2.73P    1.40R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   -2      52.08    12.23   -20.77     0.00     0.20     3.34     0.75P    4.96R    1.55  
Shrewsbury           11   14   -1      61.88    12.66    -1.95     0.08     1.25    12.83     3.42P    1.19R    0.35  
Macclesfield         11   13   +0      70.81    12.73    16.79     0.50     4.91    33.35    11.33P    0.19R    0.05  
Rochdale             10   13   -2      72.82    13.67    16.63     1.05     8.05    39.60    14.31P    0.32R    0.10  
Stockport            11   13   -6      48.32    11.85   -33.29     0.00     0.06     1.55     0.31P    9.82R    3.72  
Brentford            11   12   -5      51.28    12.10   -19.73     0.01     0.12     2.58     0.61P    6.29R    2.22  
Dag_&_Red            11   12   -8      40.45    10.92   -42.63     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   26.29R   11.75  
Notts_County         11   11   -6      53.13    12.95   -16.77     0.01     0.26     4.42     1.00P    6.04R    2.32  
Grimsby              11   10   -5      48.77    11.69   -20.73     0.00     0.05     1.35     0.27P    8.95R    3.31  
Bradford             11   10   -7      46.97    12.02   -25.99     0.00     0.04     1.19     0.21P   12.57R    4.97  
Wrexham              10    9   -8      42.26    12.25   -36.26     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.17P   23.75R   11.22  
Lincoln_City         11    8  -10      32.59    10.01   -50.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.03R   34.81  
Mansfield            11    5   -9      36.40    11.34   -42.33     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   40.63R   22.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             16   36  +19      95.69     9.49    56.98    36.46    90.01    48.29P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           16   34  +11      88.32     9.74    32.82    11.02    70.44    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       16   33  +13      86.02     9.82    32.33     8.16    61.82    22.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           16   32  +17      94.13     9.16    53.20    28.49    88.75    49.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       16   31  +11      86.81     9.94    36.13    10.27    65.12    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        16   30   +8      80.54    10.10    24.52     2.86    40.06     9.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        16   27   +7      77.46     9.97    21.44     1.44    28.04     7.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              16   26   +5      69.33     9.95     8.02     0.26     8.77     2.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon              16   25   +6      74.02     9.97    18.94     0.61    18.78     4.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    16   25   +1      69.27     9.95     5.83     0.15     8.14     1.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       16   24   +2      65.12    10.04     0.12     0.07     4.24     0.81P    0.11R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          16   24   +2      68.56    10.03     7.38     0.13     7.59     1.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           16   22   +0      60.69     9.96    -5.22     0.04     1.68     0.34P    0.28R    0.00  
Weymouth            16   19   -1      62.28    10.35     1.98     0.01     2.55     0.47P    0.36R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   16   19   -1      59.26     9.76    -1.61     0.01     1.07     0.24P    0.45R    0.01  
Woking              16   19   -2      56.13     9.96    -8.54     0.00     0.60     0.16P    1.21R    0.01  
Halifax             15   18   +1      59.21    10.38    -1.80     0.03     1.55     0.39P    0.65R    0.00  
York                16   18   -6      54.53     9.87   -16.19     0.00     0.37     0.05P    1.71R    0.02  
Grays_Athletic      15   16   -2      54.00     9.99    -6.30     0.00     0.38     0.12P    1.79R    0.04  
Farsley_Celtic      15   15  -10      45.17     9.75   -32.44     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.09R    0.32  
Altrincham          15   11  -13      38.86     9.35   -43.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.87R    2.27  
Stafford_Rangers    16    7  -16      31.68     8.47   -42.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.39R    9.10  
Droylsden           16    5  -26      24.37     7.68   -71.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.19R   33.10  
Northwich           16    3  -26      20.93     7.28   -69.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.81R   55.13