Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 October 2007 at 10:20:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.58     9.65    52.60    46.86    67.38    79.73    87.68    95.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   20   +9      75.92     9.15    31.78    12.84    32.35    51.26    67.69    88.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   19   +7      74.46    10.59    35.87    13.78    31.20    47.34    61.16    81.67     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      74.84    10.15    39.77    14.54    32.32    49.02    63.36    83.86     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.05    11.26    27.09     2.82     9.13    17.82    28.35    52.48     0.14R    0.01  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      65.15    11.26    19.22     2.74     8.92    17.54    27.98    51.71     0.15R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      55.47    10.96     2.76     0.43     1.39     3.41     6.71    19.32     0.66R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.15    11.22    27.68     4.76    12.74    22.82    34.42    59.40     0.09R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      55.95    11.47     5.81     0.73     2.19     4.80     9.02    22.22     1.24R    0.06  
Everton          9   13   +1      54.35    10.59     4.93     0.29     1.16     2.73     5.56    16.80     0.92R    0.06  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      53.14    11.40     6.18     0.19     0.97     2.61     5.47    16.52     1.73R    0.16  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.62     9.22   -49.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.12    45.97R   10.17  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.12    10.79   -24.24     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.33     1.26    24.64R    4.39  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.49    10.02   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.86    18.73R    3.10  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      36.66    10.02   -28.46     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.70    25.52R    4.96  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.72    10.30   -24.41     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.28     1.39    19.03R    3.07  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.34    10.63    -2.16     0.03     0.15     0.58     1.47     6.14     4.94R    0.51  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.97    10.19   -14.49     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.23     1.54    13.26R    1.95  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.84     8.75   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    55.47R   14.38  
Derby            9    5  -17      20.81     7.42   -59.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.53R   57.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      76.56    13.39    12.22     8.99    17.55    47.40    23.51P    0.16R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      81.92    13.65    29.09    17.87    30.67    64.65    39.34P    0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        10   17  +10      85.27    12.64    42.76    24.15    40.76    75.14    51.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City     10   17   +4      72.29    13.27    13.61     4.71    10.31    36.38    17.09P    0.51R    0.01  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.58    13.17    22.50    10.19    20.73    55.09    30.14P    0.17R    0.02  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.98    13.24    21.99     8.30    17.85    50.67    25.98P    0.26R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +2      67.32    13.78     7.45     2.55     6.00    24.62    11.15P    1.73R    0.07  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.86    13.71     7.48     3.33     7.43    28.44    12.21P    1.38R    0.09  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      69.58    13.78    12.27     3.38     7.87    30.69    13.82P    1.28R    0.07  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.83    14.63     4.83     3.54     7.78    27.11    11.62P    2.24R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      65.29    13.78     2.21     1.61     4.09    20.68     7.97P    2.67R    0.18  
Burnley           9   13   +1      69.01    14.11     9.83     3.48     8.21    29.43    13.09P    1.55R    0.12  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.95    13.22     1.36     1.02     2.60    15.52     5.65P    3.00R    0.28  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.22    12.99   -23.38     0.23     0.76     5.79     1.58P    9.68R    0.89  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.41    14.08    -0.52     1.17     3.10    14.57     5.98P    4.72R    0.37  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      63.12    13.28     1.65     1.11     3.02    15.49     5.88P    3.26R    0.23  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.89    13.35     7.09     1.20     3.33    17.57     6.72P    2.81R    0.18  
Leicester         9   11   +2      64.78    14.71     7.40     2.33     5.34    21.38    10.06P    3.35R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.10    13.15     0.36     0.50     1.48     9.91     3.90P    5.33R    0.51  
Sheff_Utd        10    9   -3      56.32    13.18    -8.85     0.27     0.82     6.96     2.22P    9.24R    1.20  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.32    12.69   -16.39     0.09     0.29     2.33     0.81P   19.04R    2.53  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.18    10.55   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P   70.11R   19.85  
Sheff_Wed        10    6  -11      31.04    10.86   -55.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   78.47R   35.26  
QPR               9    6  -12      30.84    10.93   -62.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   78.89R   37.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Bournemouth vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          11   20   +9      91.71    11.23    52.18    20.22    41.09    86.94    53.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         11   20   +6      78.71    12.06    22.60     3.37     9.11    50.43    18.46P    0.10R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    11   20   -2      67.38    11.96    -4.50     0.34     1.33    16.86     3.16P    0.93R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     10   19  +12      94.82    11.95    55.62    31.64    52.59    90.00    65.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         11   19   +4      70.09    12.79     7.65     0.98     3.07    25.26     6.42P    0.88R    0.03  
Carlisle         11   18   +7      78.31    12.32    27.57     3.28     9.10    49.94    18.59P    0.13R    0.01  
Hartlepool       11   17   +4      81.12    12.03    33.15     4.38    12.61    59.48    22.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         11   17   +3      66.83    12.45     6.23     0.44     1.48    17.48     4.85P    1.25R    0.05  
Yeovil           11   17   -1      67.08    12.93     3.42     0.45     1.69    17.96     5.29P    1.59R    0.06  
Swindon          10   16   +8      75.18    12.96    23.99     2.33     6.58    40.29    14.13P    0.31R    0.01  
Walsall          11   15   +0      61.83    12.39    -1.90     0.10     0.53     9.09     2.10P    3.40R    0.23  
Leeds            11   14  +15      95.64     9.54    70.93    31.77    58.09    95.17    76.62P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        11   14   +1      57.73    11.99    -6.08     0.03     0.18     4.97     1.03P    5.84R    0.43  
Northampton      10   13   +2      61.06    13.25    -2.62     0.25     0.94     9.95     2.39P    4.95R    0.44  
Huddersfield     11   13   -9      39.49    10.32   -49.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   53.76R   12.47  
Bristol_Rovers   11   12   -3      60.12    12.33    -2.73     0.06     0.30     7.05     1.55P    4.70R    0.34  
Luton            10   11   -2      57.64    13.40    -7.15     0.09     0.41     6.89     1.72P    8.51R    1.07  
Gillingham       11   11  -13      39.87    11.00   -49.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   52.36R   14.14  
Oldham            9   10   -2      61.71    13.78    -0.23     0.26     0.92    11.20     2.76P    5.30R    0.52  
Crewe            11   10   -8      40.40    10.84   -40.18     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   48.90R   11.60  
Millwall         11    9   -8      35.22    10.01   -40.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.89R   23.46  
Cheltenham       11    9   -9      38.27    10.85   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   56.90R   16.48  
Port_Vale        11    8   -5      44.48    11.50   -21.30     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   33.97R    6.66  
Bournemouth      11    8   -9      40.45    10.94   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   48.24R   11.96  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   11   25  +15      96.66    11.28    57.77    31.91    69.69    94.74    76.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           11   22  +15      97.13    10.87    56.84    32.89    71.84    95.57    80.87P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         11   21  +10      86.48    11.96    40.08     9.46    35.58    79.20    46.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             11   21   +9      86.05    12.30    38.46     8.94    34.47    77.66    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              11   21   +8      87.01    11.90    37.61     9.40    36.33    80.63    49.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         11   20   +6      80.33    12.50    26.93     3.60    19.35    61.68    29.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               11   19   +5      75.21    12.44    18.21     1.44    10.03    45.22    18.86P    0.05R    0.01  
Wycombe              11   17   +1      65.48    12.74     2.53     0.26     2.45    18.98     6.12P    0.45R    0.14  
Morecambe            11   16   +1      63.64    12.44     1.76     0.09     1.49    15.22     4.64P    0.42R    0.11  
Rotherham            11   15   +0      65.51    12.74     4.15     0.20     2.18    19.11     5.99P    0.49R    0.13  
Bury                 11   15   -1      59.92    12.55    -5.95     0.03     0.76     9.81     2.45P    1.41R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   -2      51.41    11.94   -21.82     0.00     0.13     2.72     0.54P    4.98R    1.49  
Shrewsbury           11   14   -1      62.70    12.49    -0.48     0.08     1.29    13.74     3.56P    0.99R    0.30  
Macclesfield         11   13   +0      70.93    13.03    17.13     0.53     5.59    33.43    12.12P    0.27R    0.08  
Rochdale             10   13   -2      73.28    13.46    17.42     1.12     8.28    40.41    14.61P    0.23R    0.06  
Stockport            11   13   -6      48.55    11.99   -32.47     0.00     0.08     1.64     0.35P    9.52R    3.58  
Brentford            11   12   -5      50.79    12.07   -20.79     0.01     0.09     2.35     0.55P    7.09R    2.58  
Dag_&_Red            11   12   -8      40.69    11.10   -42.56     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   25.48R   11.46  
Notts_County         11   11   -6      52.90    12.84   -17.09     0.03     0.22     4.17     1.01P    6.00R    2.25  
Grimsby              11   10   -5      48.88    11.87   -20.67     0.00     0.06     1.46     0.30P    9.46R    3.71  
Bradford             11   10   -7      46.93    11.99   -26.01     0.01     0.06     1.11     0.24P   12.62R    4.95  
Wrexham              10    9   -8      41.66    12.09   -37.36     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.13P   24.87R   11.95  
Lincoln_City         11    8  -10      33.01    10.54   -50.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.03R   33.42  
Mansfield            11    5   -9      36.12    11.47   -43.02     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   41.63R   23.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 October 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay             16   36  +19      96.03     9.47    57.59    37.80    90.58    49.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot           16   34  +11      88.71     9.76    33.46    11.66    71.92    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       16   33  +13      85.90     9.75    32.28     7.65    60.96    21.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           16   32  +17      94.04     9.12    53.14    27.59    88.31    48.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       16   31  +11      86.76     9.89    36.03     9.86    64.91    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        16   30   +8      80.51    10.03    24.38     2.76    39.62     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        16   27   +7      77.24    10.07    21.09     1.43    27.62     7.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              16   26   +5      69.24     9.92     7.91     0.23     8.47     2.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon              16   25   +6      74.17     9.92    19.20     0.58    18.84     4.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    16   25   +1      69.61     9.98     6.37     0.17     8.51     2.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster       16   24   +2      65.38    10.11     0.67     0.08     4.90     0.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          16   24   +2      68.85     9.94     7.84     0.11     7.58     1.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           16   22   +0      60.58     9.84    -5.40     0.03     1.49     0.29P    0.32R    0.00  
Weymouth            16   19   -1      62.18    10.25     1.86     0.01     2.38     0.47P    0.33R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   16   19   -1      59.15     9.84    -1.74     0.00     1.16     0.30P    0.42R    0.00  
Woking              16   19   -2      55.85    10.05    -8.98     0.00     0.51     0.12P    1.33R    0.02  
Halifax             15   18   +1      59.58    10.45    -1.24     0.03     1.63     0.40P    0.63R    0.01  
York                16   18   -6      54.17     9.87   -16.94     0.00     0.30     0.04P    1.96R    0.03  
Grays_Athletic      15   16   -2      53.99     9.93    -6.35     0.00     0.29     0.08P    1.85R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      15   15  -10      45.11     9.78   -32.71     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.46R    0.33  
Altrincham          15   11  -13      38.79     9.30   -43.52     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.59R    2.28  
Stafford_Rangers    16    7  -16      31.76     8.54   -42.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.48R    8.74  
Droylsden           16    5  -26      24.17     7.71   -72.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.39R   32.84  
Northwich           16    3  -26      20.72     7.25   -70.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   55.74