Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 October 2007 at 21:31:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      82.97     9.94    51.94    44.90    64.83    77.83    86.00    95.15     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      75.88     9.26    31.74    14.32    32.51    50.30    66.17    87.25     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      75.36    10.10    37.31    14.27    33.95    51.17    65.31    84.37     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      74.21    10.11    38.41    13.02    30.29    46.19    60.37    81.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      64.70    11.21    26.23     2.97     8.88    16.95    27.29    50.20     0.15R    0.01  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.87    11.01    18.68     2.56     8.15    16.27    26.10    49.84     0.17R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      54.21    11.25     0.93     0.35     1.26     2.92     5.97    16.61     1.25R    0.06  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.93    10.76    28.87     5.33    13.55    24.20    36.33    62.26     0.03R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      57.33    11.76     8.63     1.32     3.35     6.62    11.38    26.34     1.02R    0.02  
Everton          9   13   +1      55.45    10.48     7.07     0.52     1.53     3.58     6.59    18.27     0.62R    0.05  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      53.94    11.38     7.46     0.41     1.50     3.35     6.39    17.11     1.35R    0.08  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.26     9.07   -50.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    47.08R   10.39  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.57    10.84   -24.05     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.27     1.25    23.65R    4.07  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.01    10.18   -20.00     0.01     0.03     0.07     0.16     1.00    19.95R    3.33  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      37.82    10.05   -25.89     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.75    21.18R    3.71  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.17    10.07   -25.12     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.10     0.91    19.41R    2.97  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      46.54    10.83    -4.36     0.00     0.08     0.33     1.20     5.53     6.08R    0.59  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.86     9.91   -14.65     0.00     0.03     0.06     0.20     1.22    12.54R    1.80  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.37     8.58   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    57.22R   14.37  
Derby            9    5  -17      20.44     7.40   -59.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.28R   58.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.20    13.53    13.30    10.09    19.00    49.37    25.47P    0.19R    0.01  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.02    13.62    29.35    18.11    31.25    64.59    39.99P    0.11R    0.00  
WBA              10   17  +10      84.57    12.82    41.41    22.27    38.45    73.82    49.24P    0.07R    0.01  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      71.60    13.38    12.49     4.13     9.24    34.88    16.00P    0.66R    0.01  
Stoke            10   17   +3      77.79    13.20    21.30     9.38    19.43    52.95    28.92P    0.18R    0.01  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.07    13.19    20.43     7.26    15.54    47.85    23.20P    0.35R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.40    14.27     7.76     3.21     6.98    25.39    12.24P    1.97R    0.10  
Coventry         10   15   +0      70.03    13.69     9.54     4.13     8.78    30.88    13.61P    1.21R    0.09  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      69.26    14.18    11.71     3.96     8.68    30.12    14.27P    1.52R    0.06  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      69.22    14.53     7.61     4.09     8.90    29.84    13.25P    1.67R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      65.46    13.69     2.65     1.57     4.21    20.45     7.67P    2.63R    0.21  
Burnley           9   13   +1      69.10    14.31    10.12     3.71     8.38    30.05    13.18P    1.75R    0.11  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.82    13.69     1.18     1.23     3.23    15.94     6.25P    3.53R    0.23  
Southampton      10   13   -4      54.57    13.14   -25.11     0.29     0.80     5.75     1.58P   10.80R    0.84  
Hull             10   12   +0      62.22    14.23     1.06     1.26     3.29    16.07     6.50P    4.66R    0.49  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      61.60    14.04    -0.98     1.46     3.19    14.32     5.82P    5.07R    0.48  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.31    13.36     5.83     1.11     3.09    16.70     6.31P    3.13R    0.27  
Leicester         9   11   +2      63.98    14.65     6.13     1.70     4.43    19.55     8.67P    4.00R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.90    13.42     1.48     0.66     1.88    11.23     4.60P    5.32R    0.47  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.91    13.02    -7.40     0.29     0.96     7.60     2.48P    7.96R    1.08  
Preston          10    9   -3      50.02    12.60   -15.41     0.08     0.24     2.35     0.66P   17.45R    2.42  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.28    10.62   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.88R   19.80  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      32.08    11.47   -53.90     0.01     0.04     0.25     0.09P   75.75R   32.47  
QPR               9    6  -12      30.25    10.95   -64.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    80.17R   40.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 October 2007, Tranmere vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       11   20   +6      79.74    12.29    24.44     3.38    10.58    55.58    20.87P    0.09R    0.01  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.33    12.26   -16.05     0.20     0.73    10.29     1.78P    3.95R    0.20  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.53    13.07    34.88     7.06    17.89    68.12    31.27P    0.10R    0.01  
Swansea        10   17   +6      87.82    12.33    43.56    10.98    27.59    79.02    41.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool     11   17   +4      80.56    12.16    31.81     3.01    10.66    59.51    20.60P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      92.21    12.59    51.24    20.21    42.93    86.42    57.15P    0.03R    0.01  
Swindon        10   16   +8      75.81    12.73    25.38     2.16     6.82    44.13    14.96P    0.27R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      65.97    13.24    -0.06     0.30     1.61    18.73     4.32P    2.91R    0.17  
Walsall        11   15   +0      61.38    12.31    -2.84     0.07     0.38     9.15     1.94P    4.83R    0.32  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.33    13.24     2.12     0.25     1.05    14.09     3.81P    4.34R    0.39  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      61.63    13.40    -2.06     0.17     0.74    11.29     3.33P    5.66R    0.48  
Leeds          10   13  +15     100.71     9.22    81.74    51.65    76.65    98.34    87.82P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.56    13.06    -3.45     0.17     0.71    10.27     2.49P    6.09R    0.57  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      43.22    11.68   -44.36     0.01     0.03     0.69     0.14P   45.48R    9.40  
Bristol_R.     11   12   -3      59.59    12.55    -3.34     0.04     0.29     7.59     1.78P    6.96R    0.60  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      54.24    12.41   -11.95     0.03     0.15     3.52     0.84P   13.17R    1.26  
Luton          10   11   -2      58.76    13.26    -5.00     0.07     0.34     8.05     1.71P    8.64R    0.97  
Oldham          9   10   -2      61.13    14.05    -1.25     0.21     0.75    12.10     3.04P    7.73R    1.08  
Crewe          10   10   -5      43.05    11.92   -35.32     0.01     0.01     0.47     0.07P   44.31R   11.54  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      41.86    11.65   -46.12     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P   50.01R   13.78  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      42.33    12.17   -32.62     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.10P   46.69R   12.37  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      46.33    12.18   -20.57     0.01     0.01     0.85     0.17P   32.81R    6.78  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.01    12.09   -29.15     0.01     0.02     0.69     0.17P   44.08R   11.23  
Millwall       10    8   -8      35.20    10.49   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   71.72R   28.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 October 2007, Morecambe vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.62    12.40    49.38    26.05    58.34    88.96    65.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford       11   21   +9      87.12    12.09    40.42    12.79    40.20    80.47    50.78P    0.00     0.00  
Chester        11   21   +8      87.07    11.85    37.95    11.44    39.40    80.83    50.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      93.00    11.88    49.19    25.96    60.23    90.86    71.61P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      86.10    12.29    40.42    11.29    37.69    78.36    48.68P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      80.46    13.59    26.61     6.46    23.41    61.41    33.27P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      76.31    13.19    21.48     2.69    14.62    49.73    22.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      67.99    13.18     5.15     0.70     4.61    25.43     9.10P    0.42R    0.14  
Morecambe      11   16   +1      64.74    12.51     3.37     0.15     1.99    17.70     5.80P    0.41R    0.07  
Rotherham      11   15   +0      65.39    12.96     4.17     0.35     2.88    19.27     6.43P    0.62R    0.10  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      61.56    12.86    -3.47     0.19     1.47    12.71     3.42P    1.25R    0.36  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.61    13.14   -20.79     0.04     0.49     5.14     1.24P    5.37R    1.94  
Rochdale       10   13   -2      71.42    13.52    14.13     1.06     7.17    35.73    12.47P    0.27R    0.08  
Bury           10   12   -3      54.50    13.00   -13.81     0.07     0.56     5.48     1.57P    4.58R    1.57  
Accrington     10   12   -4      45.42    12.27   -31.18     0.01     0.10     1.34     0.36P   14.87R    5.94  
Brentford      11   12   -5      51.93    12.06   -18.54     0.01     0.17     2.54     0.60P    6.30R    2.15  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      44.96    11.71   -33.08     0.00     0.07     0.93     0.22P   14.96R    5.66  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      58.47    13.31    -7.50     0.06     0.74     9.02     2.24P    3.11R    1.11  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      69.14    13.82    15.58     0.66     5.72    30.13    11.91P    0.61R    0.21  
Grimsby        11   10   -5      49.19    11.87   -20.40     0.01     0.06     1.50     0.32P    9.18R    3.70  
Bradford       11   10   -7      46.46    11.94   -26.86     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.19P   13.20R    5.36  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      41.22    13.16   -37.62     0.01     0.10     1.09     0.30P   28.84R   14.46  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      35.07    11.36   -45.60     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.05P   46.36R   26.57  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.17    11.51   -48.99     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.56R   30.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 October 2007, Weymouth vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot         15   34  +13      91.13    10.07    37.67    15.21    78.16    29.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay           15   33  +17      91.20     9.97    48.39    17.73    79.06    31.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         15   32  +19      98.44     9.14    59.81    45.27    94.55    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            15   30  +11      81.61    10.24    26.02     3.40    44.41    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         15   30  +11      89.84    10.16    41.19    14.02    74.66    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      16   30   +8      80.56     9.84    24.70     2.04    39.68     8.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      16   27   +7      77.77     9.95    22.13     0.98    29.22     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter            15   25   +5      72.52    10.48    13.15     0.54    15.59     3.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster     15   24   +3      66.76    10.41     1.71     0.09     6.53     1.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Histon            15   22   +5      71.92    10.38    17.42     0.36    14.47     3.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         15   22   -1      68.30    10.43     5.10     0.12     7.09     1.58P    0.11R    0.00  
Oxford            15   21   +1      66.00    10.41     4.97     0.10     5.42     1.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury         15   21   +0      63.07    10.31    -1.30     0.05     2.98     0.67P    0.17R    0.00  
Woking            15   19   +1      62.15    10.69     2.15     0.04     3.12     0.93P    0.30R    0.00  
Weymouth          16   19   -1      62.12    10.32     1.75     0.03     2.38     0.56P    0.28R    0.00  
Rushden_and_D.    16   19   -1      58.97     9.63    -2.06     0.01     0.93     0.32P    0.37R    0.00  
Halifax           15   18   +1      58.40    10.36    -3.19     0.00     1.22     0.21P    0.59R    0.00  
Grays             15   16   -2      54.71     9.94    -5.33     0.00     0.33     0.10P    1.15R    0.02  
York              15   15   -9      48.36     9.93   -27.04     0.00     0.12     0.03P    5.92R    0.12  
Farsley           14   15   -9      48.01    10.51   -29.10     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.57R    0.17  
Altrincham        14   10  -13      36.70     9.43   -46.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.53R    3.52  
Stafford_Ranger   15    6  -16      30.04     8.48   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.06R   11.62  
Droylsden         15    5  -24      25.63     8.09   -70.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.40R   25.86  
Northwich         15    2  -26      20.13     7.54   -74.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.42R   58.69