Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 October 2007 at 21:31:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.40     9.79    52.40    46.85    67.19    79.61    87.55    95.45     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      75.58     9.09    31.23    13.45    31.95    50.62    67.03    87.75     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      74.02    10.44    34.97    12.52    30.04    45.88    59.62    81.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      74.94    10.16    39.87    15.82    33.96    50.36    63.92    83.54     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.74    10.88    28.25     3.06     9.85    19.20    30.49    55.30     0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.42    10.91    17.77     2.38     7.75    15.52    25.00    48.58     0.09R    0.00  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      55.58    10.91     3.04     0.41     1.52     3.48     6.71    18.93     0.62R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.24    10.75    27.60     4.20    12.64    23.09    35.66    60.17     0.07R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      56.41    11.49     6.76     0.72     2.58     5.53     9.84    23.77     1.04R    0.12  
Everton          9   13   +1      54.43    10.75     4.98     0.35     1.41     3.16     6.05    17.27     1.11R    0.06  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.72    11.15     5.42     0.21     0.83     2.48     5.29    15.02     1.86R    0.14  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.00     9.15   -51.49     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.15    48.77R   11.74  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      36.84    11.19   -25.09     0.01     0.04     0.16     0.34     1.46    27.21R    4.84  
Wigan            9    8   -4      37.84     9.92   -20.11     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.77    20.02R    3.51  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      37.98    10.08   -25.58     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.24     0.88    21.16R    4.12  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      39.00    10.40   -23.44     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.27     1.47    18.25R    3.16  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.03    10.98    -3.23     0.02     0.14     0.59     1.50     6.41     5.88R    0.64  
Fulham           9    7   -4      41.65    10.19   -13.26     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.36     1.89    11.62R    1.58  
Bolton           9    5   -5      29.04     9.00   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    54.41R   14.08  
Derby            9    5  -17      20.88     7.38   -58.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    87.81R   55.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      78.01    13.29    14.62    10.66    20.10    52.60    26.82P    0.12R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      81.17    13.96    28.09    16.63    29.45    62.65    38.19P    0.17R    0.01  
WBA              10   17  +10      85.39    12.59    42.84    23.97    40.42    75.36    51.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      72.38    13.58    13.66     4.80    10.71    37.15    17.73P    0.75R    0.01  
Stoke            10   17   +3      79.11    13.08    23.39    11.00    21.82    56.52    31.36P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.63    13.31    21.34     8.03    17.23    49.52    25.40P    0.19R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.72    13.66     7.90     2.42     5.92    26.05    11.63P    1.66R    0.09  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.62    13.80     6.96     3.30     7.46    27.59    11.76P    1.51R    0.08  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.82    13.77    10.82     3.44     7.75    28.91    13.14P    1.43R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.66    14.30     4.54     2.94     6.87    26.53    10.96P    2.12R    0.17  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      64.38    13.77     0.85     1.39     3.84    18.43     7.21P    2.93R    0.22  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.20    14.11     8.37     3.13     7.22    27.50    11.64P    2.04R    0.13  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.62    13.37     1.08     1.03     2.79    15.21     5.46P    3.50R    0.27  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.58    13.22   -22.54     0.20     0.79     6.45     1.63P    9.67R    0.87  
Hull             10   12   +0      60.99    13.94    -1.22     1.09     2.68    13.89     5.46P    4.93R    0.36  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      62.64    13.65     0.89     1.24     3.12    15.38     6.17P    4.16R    0.48  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.91    13.40     7.27     1.30     3.51    17.88     6.92P    2.84R    0.27  
Leicester         9   11   +2      65.32    14.94     8.18     2.58     5.75    23.00    10.94P    3.46R    0.22  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.17    12.54     0.68     0.35     1.14     8.69     3.15P    4.46R    0.27  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      57.12    13.51    -7.55     0.43     1.18     8.21     2.61P    8.90R    1.10  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.64    12.77   -16.20     0.05     0.26     2.29     0.74P   18.79R    2.59  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.13    10.35   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.63R   19.70  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      31.20    11.11   -55.54     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.04P   77.86R   35.98  
QPR               9    6  -12      31.28    11.20   -61.95     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   77.74R   37.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      82.90    13.02    29.64     5.98    15.94    64.34    27.70P    0.11R    0.00  
Leyton         10   19   -2      61.52    12.03   -17.40     0.10     0.39     8.67     1.22P    4.29R    0.25  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.35    12.48    34.20     5.30    15.21    67.41    28.77P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea        10   17   +6      87.53    12.41    43.11     9.77    25.52    78.37    38.85P    0.04R    0.01  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      93.39    12.45    52.84    22.11    45.02    88.05    59.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon        10   16   +8      75.87    12.71    25.42     2.05     6.58    43.37    14.86P    0.24R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      65.92    13.10    -0.26     0.32     1.59    17.84     3.91P    2.80R    0.18  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      79.52    12.71    32.52     2.49     9.52    56.09    18.95P    0.22R    0.03  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.31    13.00     2.04     0.23     0.95    13.35     3.64P    3.76R    0.23  
Walsall        10   14   +0      59.89    12.61    -6.76     0.04     0.34     7.75     1.50P    6.59R    0.60  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      60.86    13.08    -3.22     0.10     0.56     9.85     2.52P    5.59R    0.33  
Leeds          10   13  +15     101.21     9.24    82.86    51.09    76.12    98.40    88.21P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.17    12.86    -4.18     0.17     0.60     9.07     2.10P    6.21R    0.47  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      43.33    11.42   -45.19     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.05P   43.69R    9.26  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      62.10    13.21    -1.42     0.07     0.55    11.97     2.57P    5.37R    0.43  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      54.28    12.26   -11.94     0.01     0.08     3.32     0.61P   13.21R    1.43  
Luton          10   11   -2      58.60    13.13    -5.20     0.04     0.36     7.33     1.67P    8.60R    1.22  
Oldham          9   10   -2      61.88    13.85     0.15     0.13     0.66    12.18     2.69P    6.25R    0.60  
Crewe          10   10   -5      43.47    11.78   -33.80     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.07P   42.85R    9.59  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      41.35    11.66   -46.56     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   51.34R   14.66  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      42.08    11.74   -33.31     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.05P   47.19R   11.77  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      45.90    11.97   -21.16     0.01     0.01     0.74     0.16P   34.09R    6.67  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.35    11.89   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P   42.22R   10.67  
Millwall       10    8   -8      34.20    10.22   -42.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.25R   31.59  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.48    12.52    49.14    25.58    58.20    88.50    65.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford       10   20   +9      86.67    12.86    38.91    13.48    40.02    79.07    50.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester        10   20   +8      87.50    12.44    38.29    13.03    41.94    81.14    52.60P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      92.83    11.59    48.23    24.29    59.96    91.41    71.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      86.24    12.54    40.87    12.10    38.11    78.80    49.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.04    13.18    24.19     4.59    19.20    58.24    28.70P    0.12R    0.03  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      76.06    13.25    21.30     3.08    14.28    49.12    22.27P    0.07R    0.03  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      67.56    13.32     4.54     0.64     4.79    25.04     9.62P    0.52R    0.15  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      62.97    13.09    -1.23     0.27     2.06    15.73     4.61P    1.06R    0.30  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      67.48    13.30     6.88     0.69     4.39    24.20     8.88P    0.48R    0.15  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      62.53    12.95     1.69     0.16     1.85    14.54     4.97P    0.94R    0.23  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.86    13.09   -20.27     0.04     0.57     5.56     1.40P    5.51R    1.91  
Bury           10   12   -3      54.17    13.07   -14.31     0.07     0.67     5.84     1.68P    4.41R    1.56  
Accrington     10   12   -4      45.38    12.43   -31.33     0.01     0.12     1.44     0.35P   15.78R    6.19  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      45.81    12.18   -31.79     0.01     0.08     1.21     0.21P   15.37R    6.12  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      59.34    14.21    -5.91     0.18     1.51    12.12     3.69P    3.56R    1.44  
Brentford      10   11   -5      51.13    12.51   -20.21     0.02     0.21     3.13     0.69P    7.73R    2.71  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      67.81    13.18    13.21     0.39     3.86    25.91     9.02P    0.69R    0.20  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      69.24    15.00    12.31     1.33     7.52    32.20    12.87P    1.05R    0.30  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      51.18    13.13   -18.61     0.03     0.36     3.60     1.01P    8.57R    3.46  
Bradford       10   10   -6      47.67    12.71   -25.21     0.01     0.19     2.09     0.56P   12.64R    5.14  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      41.51    12.63   -37.28     0.01     0.09     0.84     0.23P   26.65R   13.02  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      35.25    11.74   -46.09     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   47.05R   27.16  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.70    11.79   -47.30     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   47.77R   29.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 October 2007, York vs Stafford_Ranger; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot         15   34  +13      91.15    10.02    37.73    14.83    79.50    29.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         15   32  +19      97.88     9.34    59.25    41.76    93.52    61.52P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay           14   32  +17      92.94    10.33    50.76    23.20    83.31    36.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            15   30  +11      81.46    10.37    25.87     3.34    44.43    12.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         15   30  +11      89.84    10.18    41.26    13.31    75.48    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      15   27   +7      78.47    10.34    22.94     1.48    33.98     7.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter            15   25   +5      72.42    10.29    13.03     0.47    15.87     3.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      15   24   +6      75.10    10.54    19.52     0.85    23.16     6.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster     15   24   +3      65.79    10.28    -0.13     0.06     5.67     0.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Histon            15   22   +5      72.01    10.60    17.70     0.41    16.10     4.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         15   22   -1      68.45    10.39     5.37     0.07     7.78     1.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury         15   21   +0      62.40    10.30    -2.36     0.01     2.51     0.50P    0.20R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      66.61    10.68     5.44     0.12     6.64     1.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking            15   19   +1      62.54    10.77     2.71     0.01     3.33     0.74P    0.23R    0.00  
Weymouth          15   19   +0      64.34    10.54     4.40     0.04     4.30     0.86P    0.10R    0.00  
Rushden_and_D.    15   19   +0      61.16    10.42     0.24     0.03     2.36     0.58P    0.34R    0.00  
Halifax           15   18   +1      58.43    10.36    -3.03     0.01     1.27     0.27P    0.60R    0.01  
Grays             15   16   -2      55.29    10.17    -4.62     0.00     0.57     0.17P    0.91R    0.01  
York              15   15   -9      48.69     9.93   -26.63     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.25R    0.10  
Farsley           14   15   -9      48.33    10.41   -28.45     0.00     0.14     0.01P    6.29R    0.15  
Altrincham        14   10  -13      36.80     9.71   -46.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.03R    3.71  
Stafford_Ranger   15    6  -16      29.44     8.46   -47.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.36R   12.73  
Droylsden         15    5  -24      25.02     7.92   -71.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.72R   26.05  
Northwich         15    2  -26      19.89     7.33   -74.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.77R   57.23