Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 October 2007 at 21:31:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      84.10     9.94    53.90    48.40    68.11    80.25    87.79    95.91     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      75.12     9.03    30.90    10.90    29.16    47.93    64.10    86.22     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      74.88    10.60    36.59    13.83    32.38    48.70    62.62    82.48     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      75.53    10.07    40.75    15.80    35.20    52.41    66.35    85.12     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.12    10.96    26.85     2.72     8.69    17.02    27.91    52.63     0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.53    10.76    18.15     2.05     7.42    14.80    24.89    48.91     0.04R    0.00  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      54.59    11.30     1.48     0.39     1.27     2.94     6.00    17.36     1.21R    0.07  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.59    10.88    28.39     4.51    12.90    24.14    36.34    61.95     0.07R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      56.90    11.38     7.83     1.01     2.77     5.73    10.30    24.59     0.83R    0.02  
Everton          9   13   +1      53.99    10.57     4.14     0.20     0.91     2.46     5.44    15.94     0.85R    0.03  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      53.62    11.23     6.87     0.15     0.95     2.75     5.69    16.77     1.45R    0.14  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.44     9.30   -50.50     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.06     0.24    47.02R   10.18  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      36.63    10.78   -25.40     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.92    26.80R    4.34  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.34    10.17   -19.79     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.23     0.91    19.20R    3.17  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      37.52    10.16   -26.82     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.12     0.69    22.45R    4.56  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.86    10.28   -23.82     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.08    18.18R    2.94  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.14    11.04    -2.75     0.03     0.19     0.62     1.68     6.92     5.64R    0.55  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.83    10.03   -14.87     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.20     1.33    13.19R    1.90  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.77     8.59   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.98R   13.90  
Derby            9    5  -17      20.53     7.53   -59.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    88.01R   58.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      78.15    13.26    14.94    10.74    20.11    52.08    26.71P    0.12R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.30    13.78    29.81    18.45    31.30    65.04    39.73P    0.09R    0.00  
WBA              10   17  +10      84.87    12.92    42.03    23.48    39.73    73.67    49.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      71.08    13.68    11.61     3.90     9.20    34.24    15.81P    0.96R    0.06  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.68    13.32    22.67    10.32    20.97    55.51    30.86P    0.20R    0.01  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.81    12.87    21.67     7.49    16.25    49.95    24.29P    0.17R    0.00  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.67    13.92     7.93     2.67     6.33    25.57    11.51P    1.67R    0.12  
Coventry         10   15   +0      69.26    13.85     8.18     3.32     7.96    29.20    12.80P    1.21R    0.11  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      69.22    13.96    11.90     3.45     7.74    29.57    13.24P    1.53R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.38    14.58     4.06     3.12     6.92    26.00    10.70P    2.33R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      63.98    13.81    -0.05     1.41     3.64    17.60     6.85P    2.97R    0.18  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.62    14.60     9.26     3.67     8.49    29.30    13.56P    2.02R    0.12  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      63.03    13.60     1.69     1.28     3.28    15.71     6.31P    3.46R    0.30  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.24    13.32   -23.66     0.30     0.81     6.34     1.75P   10.13R    0.90  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.42    14.60    -0.50     1.07     3.06    15.28     6.25P    5.57R    0.48  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      63.82    13.18     2.78     1.08     2.96    16.30     6.17P    3.31R    0.34  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.51    13.14     6.41     0.93     2.79    16.64     5.90P    2.77R    0.26  
Leicester         9   11   +2      65.81    14.95     8.88     2.58     6.07    23.52    11.46P    3.15R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.45    12.92     1.11     0.38     1.20     9.60     3.33P    4.58R    0.34  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.12    13.14    -9.10     0.29     0.98     6.64     2.07P    9.04R    1.09  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.24    12.68   -17.05     0.06     0.21     2.09     0.74P   18.81R    2.71  
Norwich          10    8   -6      33.64    10.21   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.53R   20.98  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      31.00    10.95   -56.45     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   78.23R   36.09  
QPR               9    6  -12      31.60    11.32   -60.88     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   76.14R   35.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      82.03    13.02    28.43     5.54    14.81    62.35    25.36P    0.10R    0.01  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.04    12.65   -16.53     0.16     0.65    10.38     1.74P    4.62R    0.26  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.02    12.37    33.44     5.92    15.57    66.06    28.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea        10   17   +6      87.64    12.33    43.04     9.88    26.46    78.38    40.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      92.96    12.89    52.47    22.39    44.85    86.51    58.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon        10   16   +8      75.88    12.59    25.42     2.04     6.42    44.30    14.88P    0.26R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      66.55    13.06     0.99     0.33     1.54    18.98     4.12P    2.58R    0.18  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      79.18    12.79    31.75     2.63     9.24    54.54    18.88P    0.20R    0.00  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.47    13.16     2.45     0.18     1.00    14.03     3.93P    3.75R    0.27  
Walsall        10   14   +0      59.76    12.55    -6.99     0.10     0.27     7.92     1.68P    6.08R    0.41  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      61.55    13.02    -2.25     0.10     0.58    10.91     3.04P    5.20R    0.34  
Leeds          10   13  +15     100.71     9.10    81.79    50.16    75.93    98.44    87.57P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.15    13.11    -4.13     0.14     0.59     9.72     2.31P    6.30R    0.58  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      43.53    11.86   -44.13     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.09P   44.55R    9.15  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      62.05    12.99    -1.48     0.14     0.64    11.47     2.63P    5.17R    0.39  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      53.85    12.47   -12.50     0.01     0.10     3.23     0.57P   14.40R    1.74  
Luton          10   11   -2      57.90    12.86    -6.26     0.03     0.15     6.25     1.24P    9.19R    1.06  
Oldham          9   10   -2      63.10    13.58     1.78     0.23     1.15    13.44     3.73P    4.96R    0.44  
Crewe          10   10   -5      44.03    12.00   -32.26     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.07P   41.56R    8.98  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      41.29    11.22   -46.84     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   51.07R   13.50  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      41.21    11.70   -34.70     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.02P   50.14R   13.42  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      46.75    12.25   -19.47     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.20P   32.21R    6.08  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.43    11.92   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P   42.52R    9.93  
Millwall       10    8   -8      33.90    10.43   -44.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.05R   33.26  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.08    12.28    48.23    23.98    56.60    88.57    64.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford       10   20   +9      86.56    12.72    38.69    13.07    39.07    78.74    49.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chester        10   20   +8      87.94    12.79    38.78    15.37    43.59    81.01    53.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      92.84    11.87    48.85    25.43    59.63    90.59    70.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      86.59    12.24    41.25    11.45    39.12    79.50    50.41P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.62    13.29    24.87     4.70    20.61    59.88    30.71P    0.06R    0.01  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      76.54    12.96    21.85     2.52    13.98    50.77    22.29P    0.08R    0.01  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      68.32    13.21     5.79     0.72     5.14    26.39    10.15P    0.38R    0.07  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      62.47    12.99    -1.97     0.18     1.89    14.81     4.18P    1.15R    0.28  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      66.84    13.33     5.92     0.51     3.87    23.42     8.17P    0.51R    0.13  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      62.19    13.05     1.08     0.21     1.66    14.05     4.79P    1.16R    0.17  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.45    12.73   -21.06     0.06     0.48     4.77     1.20P    5.20R    1.82  
Bury           10   12   -3      54.22    13.03   -14.12     0.02     0.33     5.43     1.34P    5.09R    1.72  
Accrington     10   12   -4      45.42    11.80   -30.51     0.01     0.07     1.00     0.23P   14.06R    5.34  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      45.72    12.21   -31.75     0.00     0.09     1.28     0.28P   15.30R    6.12  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      59.30    14.01    -6.06     0.15     1.51    11.04     3.35P    3.56R    1.49  
Brentford      10   11   -5      51.47    12.78   -20.01     0.09     0.38     3.34     0.92P    8.03R    2.79  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      68.46    13.40    14.39     0.62     4.86    27.80    10.28P    0.48R    0.20  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      69.32    14.66    12.15     0.90     6.79    31.96    11.90P    0.85R    0.26  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      50.93    12.39   -19.03     0.00     0.14     2.79     0.68P    7.25R    2.71  
Bradford       10   10   -6      47.60    12.65   -25.99     0.03     0.17     1.84     0.46P   12.63R    5.23  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      40.99    12.51   -37.72     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.14P   28.43R   14.28  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      34.85    11.52   -46.26     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   48.01R   28.09  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.79    11.82   -47.37     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   47.74R   29.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 October 2007, York vs Stafford_Ranger; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot         15   34  +13      90.84    10.31    37.40    14.80    77.33    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         15   32  +19      98.02     9.20    59.35    41.69    93.88    61.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay           14   32  +17      93.21    10.31    51.18    24.14    83.98    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            15   30  +11      81.94    10.24    26.76     3.45    45.96    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         15   30  +11      89.55     9.92    40.78    12.40    75.02    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      15   27   +7      78.65    10.32    23.16     1.52    33.53     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter            15   25   +5      72.39    10.22    13.08     0.42    15.11     3.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      15   24   +6      75.72    10.29    20.31     0.88    23.39     6.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster     15   24   +3      66.40    10.49     1.02     0.07     6.27     1.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon            15   22   +5      72.50    10.33    18.57     0.29    16.23     3.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet         15   22   -1      68.53    10.39     5.45     0.11     8.02     1.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury         15   21   +0      62.94    10.15    -1.55     0.01     2.75     0.47P    0.12R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      66.02    11.07     4.54     0.12     6.67     1.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking            15   19   +1      62.19    10.43     2.22     0.01     2.92     0.66P    0.16R    0.00  
Weymouth          15   19   +0      64.89    10.59     5.27     0.06     4.68     0.91P    0.12R    0.01  
Rushden_and_D.    15   19   +0      61.43    10.56     0.61     0.03     2.67     0.62P    0.33R    0.01  
Halifax           15   18   +1      58.48    10.27    -2.99     0.00     1.11     0.20P    0.59R    0.00  
Grays             15   16   -2      53.83     9.85    -6.62     0.00     0.31     0.08P    1.30R    0.00  
York              15   15   -9      48.12     9.88   -27.69     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.89R    0.12  
Farsley           14   15   -9      48.27    10.44   -28.71     0.00     0.10     0.01P    6.06R    0.11  
Altrincham        14   10  -13      36.23     9.58   -48.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.99R    3.90  
Stafford_Ranger   15    6  -16      29.71     8.54   -47.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.89R   12.02  
Droylsden         15    5  -24      24.88     7.87   -72.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.38R   26.46  
Northwich         15    2  -26      19.94     7.55   -74.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.03R   57.38