Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 October 2007 at 21:31:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.25    10.01    52.32    45.64    65.97    78.44    86.40    95.42     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      76.08     9.16    31.75    14.49    33.45    52.37    68.00    88.62     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      74.16    10.43    35.65    13.04    30.09    46.09    60.61    81.22     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      74.96    10.14    39.68    15.11    34.03    50.36    64.75    84.15     0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      65.07    11.05    27.19     2.72     9.21    17.74    28.54    52.17     0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      63.95    11.03    17.10     2.00     7.04    14.37    23.71    47.62     0.14R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      54.76    11.04     1.80     0.36     1.35     3.21     6.29    17.73     0.93R    0.07  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.70    11.04    28.59     5.18    13.56    24.75    36.67    62.12     0.13R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      57.13    11.62     8.12     0.88     2.81     6.13    11.16    26.31     1.14R    0.10  
Everton          9   13   +1      54.67    10.46     5.51     0.35     1.20     2.96     5.96    17.18     0.79R    0.04  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.97    11.35     5.91     0.20     1.05     2.71     5.58    15.71     1.81R    0.14  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.62     9.37   -49.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20    46.48R   11.19  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.17    10.73   -24.40     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.23     1.16    24.71R    5.00  
Wigan            9    8   -4      39.01    10.30   -18.50     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.26     1.42    17.77R    2.95  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      36.60     9.73   -28.35     0.01     0.01     0.06     0.10     0.49    25.11R    5.12  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.11    10.12   -25.44     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.15     0.85    21.03R    3.39  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.16    10.77    -2.67     0.03     0.15     0.56     1.35     6.26     5.74R    0.59  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.66     9.89   -14.86     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.21     1.33    13.27R    2.13  
Bolton           9    5   -5      29.12     8.88   -31.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    54.31R   13.62  
Derby            9    5  -17      21.22     7.54   -58.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    86.55R   55.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 October 2007, QPR vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.99    13.11    14.64    10.56    19.75    51.88    26.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.28    13.73    29.74    18.70    32.33    65.52    40.62P    0.10R    0.00  
WBA              10   17  +10      84.39    12.59    41.19    22.25    37.42    73.09    47.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      71.32    13.41    12.11     4.29     9.40    33.41    15.77P    0.67R    0.03  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.48    13.13    22.34    10.24    20.82    55.23    30.21P    0.13R    0.01  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      75.92    13.21    19.93     7.22    15.80    47.48    23.69P    0.34R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.93    13.76     8.36     2.70     6.83    26.41    12.30P    1.58R    0.07  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.34    13.81     6.51     2.92     6.62    27.05    11.29P    1.97R    0.18  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.68    14.04    10.56     3.45     7.94    28.72    13.34P    1.83R    0.17  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      68.01    14.77     5.13     3.50     7.78    27.85    12.11P    2.54R    0.22  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      64.91    13.95     1.68     1.62     4.33    20.34     8.29P    2.63R    0.20  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.65    14.27     9.37     3.69     8.12    28.73    12.60P    1.98R    0.17  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      63.55    13.70     2.47     1.42     3.60    17.29     6.79P    3.44R    0.28  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.33    12.99   -23.24     0.29     0.83     6.00     1.60P    9.79R    1.02  
Hull             10   12   +0      60.71    14.51    -1.46     1.16     3.10    14.12     5.86P    6.28R    0.64  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      63.11    13.92     1.57     1.42     3.50    17.00     7.07P    4.02R    0.47  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.58    13.19     6.53     0.97     2.90    17.17     6.25P    2.76R    0.20  
Leicester         9   11   +2      65.75    14.48     8.80     2.65     6.07    22.95    11.20P    2.71R    0.17  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.26    12.97     0.61     0.52     1.50    10.07     4.01P    5.21R    0.56  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.57    13.26    -8.06     0.39     1.10     7.28     2.28P    8.63R    1.26  
Preston          10    9   -3      48.66    12.90   -17.48     0.04     0.19     2.19     0.71P   21.77R    3.27  
Norwich          10    8   -6      34.93    10.42   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    67.56R   18.74  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      31.45    11.25   -54.99     0.01     0.03     0.07     0.04P   77.09R   36.17  
QPR               9    6  -12      31.67    11.26   -60.60     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.04P   76.88R   36.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      82.07    13.35    28.39     5.91    15.73    61.88    26.24P    0.10R    0.00  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.66    12.45   -15.24     0.15     0.57    11.04     1.76P    3.95R    0.25  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.65    12.85    34.55     7.38    17.55    67.10    30.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea        10   17   +6      88.09    12.41    43.88    12.22    28.51    79.00    42.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      92.06    12.67    50.92    20.45    41.74    85.25    55.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon        10   16   +8      75.78    12.66    25.16     1.93     6.35    44.53    14.88P    0.34R    0.03  
Southend       10   16   +1      66.54    13.31     1.01     0.41     1.75    19.04     4.44P    2.75R    0.16  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      79.41    12.88    32.16     3.10     9.96    55.51    19.07P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.70    13.62     2.51     0.43     1.37    15.01     4.63P    4.22R    0.33  
Walsall        10   14   +0      59.72    12.41    -6.91     0.04     0.24     7.29     1.34P    6.17R    0.47  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      59.59    12.69    -4.73     0.15     0.52     7.51     2.02P    6.26R    0.47  
Leeds          10   13  +15      99.69     9.84    79.88    47.16    72.64    97.15    84.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      61.23    13.37    -2.24     0.34     0.97    11.05     2.86P    5.96R    0.48  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      42.86    11.60   -45.82     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.10P   46.41R   10.21  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      62.10    13.24    -1.54     0.08     0.63    11.72     2.75P    5.35R    0.47  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      55.20    12.61   -10.42     0.02     0.19     4.21     0.88P   12.44R    1.40  
Luton          10   11   -2      58.82    12.92    -4.81     0.04     0.34     7.22     1.56P    8.27R    0.75  
Oldham          9   10   -2      61.54    14.12    -0.67     0.18     0.84    12.28     3.08P    7.10R    0.77  
Crewe          10   10   -5      43.24    11.81   -34.26     0.01     0.01     0.47     0.13P   43.69R   10.28  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      39.99    11.55   -48.63     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   55.16R   18.25  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      41.47    11.72   -34.27     0.01     0.01     0.36     0.06P   49.82R   12.66  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      47.36    12.14   -18.92     0.01     0.03     1.09     0.26P   29.21R    4.99  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.68    11.88   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.05P   41.16R    9.22  
Millwall       10    8   -8      35.26    10.77   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   71.28R   28.81  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      91.77    12.23    47.51    22.76    54.45    87.91    62.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford       10   20   +9      87.00    12.77    39.63    12.85    39.83    79.06    50.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester        10   20   +8      88.11    12.47    39.25    13.80    42.99    81.94    53.62P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      93.10    12.15    48.91    25.85    60.35    89.91    71.36P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      86.68    12.48    41.71    12.43    38.60    78.88    49.83P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.81    13.53    25.34     5.08    20.66    59.65    30.80P    0.02R    0.01  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      77.11    13.28    22.84     3.34    15.40    51.59    23.91P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      67.84    13.43     5.05     0.87     4.99    25.57     9.72P    0.50R    0.12  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      61.87    12.93    -3.10     0.10     1.64    13.26     3.68P    1.42R    0.41  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      68.23    13.49     7.91     0.58     4.20    26.82     9.03P    0.55R    0.12  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      61.13    12.65    -0.27     0.08     1.16    11.59     3.66P    1.09R    0.32  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.55    12.75   -20.56     0.04     0.47     4.83     1.12P    4.97R    1.62  
Bury           10   12   -3      54.25    13.05   -14.32     0.02     0.37     5.34     1.24P    5.01R    1.82  
Accrington     10   12   -4      44.84    12.18   -31.79     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.13P   16.70R    7.16  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      45.45    12.06   -32.95     0.01     0.07     0.89     0.22P   15.80R    6.27  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      58.46    13.66    -7.68     0.13     1.17    10.17     2.92P    3.21R    1.08  
Brentford      10   11   -5      51.91    12.77   -19.17     0.03     0.28     3.88     1.00P    6.53R    2.44  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      68.57    13.62    14.82     0.61     4.55    28.75    10.18P    0.54R    0.18  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      70.37    14.96    14.27     1.42     8.49    34.26    13.79P    0.88R    0.32  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      50.05    12.59   -20.24     0.01     0.14     2.16     0.48P    9.16R    3.90  
Bradford       10   10   -6      47.58    12.66   -26.18     0.01     0.12     1.65     0.40P   13.14R    5.44  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      40.46    12.31   -38.90     0.00     0.03     0.68     0.13P   29.14R   14.70  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      35.26    11.45   -45.59     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   45.88R   26.16  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      35.43    11.90   -46.48     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   45.40R   27.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 October 2007, York vs Stafford_Ranger; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot         15   34  +13      90.94    10.11    37.27    14.30    78.81    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         15   32  +19      98.43     9.34    60.02    43.16    94.09    63.55P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay           14   32  +17      93.31    10.38    51.56    24.04    84.08    37.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            15   30  +11      81.91    10.30    26.70     3.15    46.47    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         15   30  +11      89.47    10.34    40.87    12.21    74.14    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      15   27   +7      78.14    10.25    22.12     1.30    32.01     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter            15   25   +5      72.20    10.35    12.69     0.38    15.19     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town      15   24   +6      75.04    10.63    19.36     0.69    22.73     6.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster     15   24   +3      66.75    10.52     1.66     0.09     7.08     1.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Histon            15   22   +5      72.61    10.47    18.73     0.37    17.02     4.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         15   22   -1      68.27    10.09     5.09     0.11     7.21     1.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury         15   21   +0      62.57    10.39    -2.23     0.04     2.98     0.59P    0.17R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      66.12    11.22     4.67     0.08     7.12     1.72P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking            15   19   +1      62.07    10.39     2.08     0.03     2.69     0.67P    0.24R    0.00  
Weymouth          15   19   +0      64.43    10.63     4.55     0.02     4.44     0.86P    0.20R    0.00  
Rushden_and_D.    15   19   +0      60.97    10.34     0.06     0.01     2.10     0.56P    0.30R    0.00  
Halifax           15   18   +1      58.71    10.22    -2.48     0.01     1.26     0.31P    0.49R    0.00  
Grays             15   16   -2      54.35     9.99    -5.74     0.00     0.40     0.08P    1.21R    0.01  
York              15   15   -9      48.70     9.88   -26.80     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.34R    0.13  
Farsley           14   15   -9      47.75    10.15   -29.46     0.00     0.09     0.01P    6.62R    0.21  
Altrincham        14   10  -13      36.31     9.39   -47.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.55R    3.45  
Stafford_Ranger   15    6  -16      29.71     8.65   -47.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.86R   13.00  
Droylsden         15    5  -24      25.43     8.06   -71.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.70R   25.63  
Northwich         15    2  -26      20.19     7.54   -74.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.14R   57.56