Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 October 2007 at 21:31:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.29     9.77    52.34    44.40    65.72    78.72    87.15    95.86     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      76.40     9.30    32.42    15.07    34.79    53.52    68.68    88.48     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      74.20    10.58    35.39    12.28    29.75    45.89    59.95    80.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      75.71    10.33    40.64    17.43    35.66    52.84    66.56    85.47     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      64.56    10.99    25.81     2.17     7.76    15.91    26.13    49.89     0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.57    11.20    18.22     2.38     7.82    15.45    25.51    49.49     0.15R    0.01  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      55.59    11.27     2.99     0.40     1.62     3.54     7.22    19.95     1.21R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.41    10.86    28.23     4.73    12.44    23.03    35.42    60.90     0.09R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      56.41    11.50     6.66     0.65     2.19     4.97     9.68    23.86     1.07R    0.05  
Everton          9   13   +1      55.26    10.60     6.60     0.34     1.26     3.12     6.39    18.75     0.82R    0.04  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      52.38    11.32     4.95     0.14     0.87     2.35     5.08    15.02     1.80R    0.19  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.63     9.01   -50.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16    45.27R    9.49  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.37    10.81   -24.24     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.24     1.08    24.52R    4.25  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.65    10.24   -18.78     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.23     1.41    18.30R    3.10  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      37.25     9.82   -26.72     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.69    23.14R    3.92  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.43     9.96   -24.64     0.01     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.03    18.80R    3.04  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.12    10.65    -2.52     0.01     0.07     0.41     1.23     5.85     5.42R    0.49  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.55    10.01   -15.37     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.11    13.90R    2.24  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.46     8.71   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    57.15R   14.76  
Derby            9    5  -17      20.58     7.46   -59.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    88.23R   58.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Wolves vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.25    13.48    13.37     9.88    19.07    49.96    25.63P    0.18R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.16    13.80    29.95    18.66    31.82    65.17    40.29P    0.12R    0.00  
WBA              10   17  +10      84.53    12.74    41.21    22.86    38.14    73.20    48.42P    0.03R    0.01  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      71.65    13.53    12.65     4.33     9.73    35.39    16.40P    0.80R    0.07  
Stoke            10   17   +3      78.79    13.47    23.01    10.78    22.42    55.83    31.98P    0.17R    0.00  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      75.94    12.92    20.28     6.98    15.21    47.04    22.64P    0.28R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.66    14.31     8.00     3.12     6.72    26.64    12.31P    2.26R    0.07  
Coventry         10   15   +0      68.64    13.78     7.30     3.07     7.27    28.02    11.68P    1.79R    0.13  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.59    13.81    10.72     3.21     7.32    28.41    12.64P    1.81R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      68.03    14.72     5.25     3.58     8.03    28.16    12.34P    2.58R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      64.24    13.90     0.51     1.39     3.73    18.91     7.26P    3.29R    0.20  
Burnley           9   13   +1      69.08    14.50    10.04     4.04     8.85    30.39    13.62P    2.04R    0.10  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      61.99    13.26    -0.26     0.89     2.44    13.89     5.12P    4.12R    0.17  
Southampton      10   13   -4      54.93    13.27   -24.17     0.24     0.86     5.88     1.61P   11.81R    0.91  
Hull             10   12   +0      62.43    14.18     1.39     1.38     3.52    16.32     6.82P    4.62R    0.31  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      63.29    13.69     2.24     1.52     3.53    16.16     6.71P    4.04R    0.24  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.97    13.48     7.18     1.31     3.36    18.30     7.13P    3.35R    0.19  
Leicester         9   11   +2      64.56    14.96     7.07     1.93     5.20    22.02    10.24P    3.98R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.08    13.21     0.34     0.42     1.46    10.12     3.82P    6.18R    0.49  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.13    13.46    -9.11     0.34     1.01     7.46     2.44P   10.63R    0.86  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.21    12.55   -16.72     0.05     0.23     2.18     0.72P   20.64R    2.27  
Norwich           9    8   -5      38.21    11.79   -31.62     0.01     0.05     0.39     0.12P   57.12R   12.55  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      32.28    11.70   -53.26     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   75.00R   31.89  
QPR               8    3  -13      28.52    11.79   -65.36     0.01     0.01     0.10     0.02P   83.15R   49.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      82.12    13.08    28.07     5.73    15.55    62.27    26.61P    0.12R    0.01  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.23    12.51   -16.35     0.10     0.57    10.64     1.76P    4.59R    0.28  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      82.97    12.88    33.61     6.51    16.76    65.51    29.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Swansea        10   17   +6      87.86    12.40    43.51    11.12    27.57    78.83    41.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      91.17    13.09    49.72    18.62    40.13    83.84    53.86P    0.01R    0.01  
Swindon        10   16   +8      76.04    12.75    25.61     2.29     7.29    44.24    15.94P    0.39R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      66.76    13.35     1.44     0.39     1.99    20.20     4.76P    2.87R    0.20  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      78.57    13.01    30.82     2.83     9.14    53.39    17.79P    0.29R    0.01  
Brighton       10   14   +2      64.00    13.39     3.16     0.32     1.26    14.86     4.29P    4.37R    0.40  
Walsall        10   14   +0      59.59    12.77    -7.39     0.13     0.45     8.10     1.77P    6.61R    0.47  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      61.74    13.04    -1.94     0.17     0.65    10.78     2.88P    4.69R    0.27  
Leeds          10   13  +15     100.62     9.42    82.06    51.21    75.77    98.28    87.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.94    13.49    -2.97     0.23     0.93    11.38     2.96P    6.41R    0.49  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      44.03    11.51   -42.87     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.07P   41.84R    8.48  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      61.41    13.02    -2.53     0.10     0.55    10.59     2.23P    5.62R    0.41  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      55.12    12.39   -10.21     0.04     0.24     4.29     0.95P   11.71R    1.33  
Luton          10   11   -2      57.93    12.94    -6.18     0.03     0.22     6.52     1.34P    9.52R    0.96  
Oldham          9   10   -2      61.98    14.23     0.05     0.20     0.89    13.10     3.38P    6.70R    0.79  
Crewe          10   10   -5      43.63    12.00   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P   42.33R    9.96  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      40.64    11.61   -47.82     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.01P   53.53R   16.75  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      41.89    11.99   -34.02     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   48.51R   12.59  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      45.51    12.94   -21.55     0.01     0.03     1.11     0.24P   36.93R    8.83  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.57    11.84   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.03P   41.16R   10.07  
Millwall       10    8   -8      35.32    10.46   -41.40     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   71.70R   27.65  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.38    12.35    48.75    24.11    57.41    88.58    65.08P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford       10   20   +9      87.91    12.77    41.29    15.24    43.48    80.87    53.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester        10   20   +8      87.56    12.28    38.02    13.09    41.08    81.52    51.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      92.44    11.99    48.03    23.84    57.68    89.72    69.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      85.95    12.70    40.41    11.86    37.40    77.05    48.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.58    13.29    24.82     4.79    20.64    59.25    30.75P    0.03R    0.01  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      76.74    13.15    22.32     3.00    14.38    50.85    23.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      68.41    13.42     5.98     0.89     5.36    26.52     9.95P    0.28R    0.07  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      62.98    12.88    -0.92     0.18     1.98    15.03     4.50P    0.93R    0.23  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      66.83    13.33     5.82     0.56     3.79    22.91     7.83P    0.48R    0.10  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      61.56    12.91     0.13     0.18     1.43    12.63     4.02P    1.00R    0.25  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.30    12.60   -21.36     0.03     0.28     4.20     0.81P    5.09R    1.71  
Bury           10   12   -3      54.61    12.72   -13.79     0.06     0.41     5.18     1.30P    3.86R    1.29  
Accrington     10   12   -4      45.59    12.15   -30.64     0.00     0.06     1.29     0.25P   15.23R    5.88  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      45.26    11.91   -32.95     0.00     0.07     1.22     0.24P   15.04R    5.75  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      57.34    13.67    -9.34     0.06     0.89     8.80     2.38P    4.07R    1.45  
Brentford      10   11   -5      51.94    12.72   -19.09     0.03     0.26     3.75     0.89P    6.49R    2.38  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      69.87    13.17    16.76     0.74     5.41    31.02    11.72P    0.30R    0.07  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      70.45    14.53    14.38     1.31     7.72    34.60    13.09P    0.68R    0.19  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      49.86    12.55   -20.82     0.01     0.17     2.33     0.65P    8.96R    3.62  
Bradford       10   10   -6      48.40    12.35   -24.10     0.00     0.06     1.83     0.38P   10.68R    3.90  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      40.83    12.43   -37.87     0.01     0.05     0.71     0.15P   28.58R   14.29  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      34.31    10.98   -48.02     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   49.92R   29.32  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.56    11.50   -47.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    48.35R   29.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, York vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay           14   32  +17      94.39    10.21    54.09    24.23    86.64    39.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage         14   31  +19     100.64     9.44    63.63    50.95    96.12    68.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot         14   31  +11      87.61    10.67    32.53     8.12    67.23    20.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            14   29  +11      84.63    10.63    31.50     5.82    56.34    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         14   27  +10      87.03    10.58    38.59     7.77    66.34    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      14   24   +4      77.24    10.81    20.80     1.16    30.13     6.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Histon            14   22   +6      75.14    11.02    22.20     0.78    25.02     6.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter            14   22   +3      67.76    10.70     5.76     0.10     8.38     1.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         14   22   +1      71.35    11.01     9.84     0.23    14.61     3.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      14   21   +5      72.62    10.95    17.25     0.54    17.37     4.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster     14   21   +2      65.41    10.90     0.79     0.07     6.22     1.12P    0.17R    0.00  
Salisbury         14   21   +2      65.91    10.70     3.60     0.09     6.05     1.25P    0.09R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      65.79    11.06     4.21     0.07     6.45     1.54P    0.17R    0.01  
Rushden_and_D.    14   19   +1      62.90    10.87     1.66     0.03     3.96     0.88P    0.30R    0.01  
Halifax           14   18   +2      60.58    10.85    -1.04     0.03     2.46     0.55P    0.54R    0.01  
Woking            14   18   +1      59.74    11.06    -2.59     0.01     2.29     0.61P    0.69R    0.01  
Grays             14   16   +0      58.88    10.54     0.52     0.01     1.65     0.46P    0.58R    0.01  
Weymouth          14   16   -2      60.35    10.98    -1.66     0.01     2.54     0.56P    0.57R    0.01  
York              14   12  -11      45.94    10.53   -31.13     0.00     0.10     0.01P   11.87R    0.63  
Farsley           13   12  -12      43.29    10.58   -37.48     0.00     0.07     0.01P   18.14R    1.16  
Altrincham        13    9  -13      34.89     9.62   -53.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.84R    7.80  
Stafford_Ranger   14    6  -14      32.75     9.43   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.79R   10.21  
Droylsden         14    5  -21      29.05     8.88   -63.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.97R   16.95  
Northwich         14    2  -23      20.47     7.77   -73.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.08R   63.20