Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 October 2007 at 08:45:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Reading vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal          8   22  +13      83.67     9.79    52.98    47.05    67.47    79.72    87.70    95.78     0.00     0.00  
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      75.81     9.27    31.74    13.47    32.15    50.73    66.38    87.16     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        9   19   +7      74.81    10.61    36.65    13.63    32.61    48.93    62.69    82.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        8   16  +10      75.07    10.00    39.84    14.75    33.05    50.03    64.78    84.53     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   15   +5      64.52    11.22    25.81     2.39     8.00    16.38    26.55    50.53     0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn        8   15   +3      64.76    10.93    18.70     2.47     7.95    15.56    25.65    49.81     0.07R    0.00  
Chelsea          9   15   +0      54.55    11.12     1.45     0.29     1.19     2.94     5.82    17.16     1.10R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.19    10.99    27.76     4.53    12.31    22.88    34.80    59.99     0.09R    0.01  
Newcastle        8   14   +3      57.08    11.56     8.04     0.83     2.69     6.08    10.99    25.85     1.06R    0.05  
Everton          9   13   +1      54.37    10.75     4.94     0.28     1.18     2.87     6.02    17.50     1.06R    0.08  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      53.79    11.30     7.38     0.28     1.20     3.08     6.25    17.22     1.50R    0.12  
Reading          9   10   -8      31.60     9.15   -50.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18    45.12R   10.10  
Birmingham       9    8   -4      37.30    11.09   -24.36     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.31     1.44    24.95R    4.77  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.28    10.30   -19.64     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     1.00    19.86R    3.50  
Middlesbrough    9    8   -6      37.15     9.96   -27.35     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.76    23.35R    4.72  
Sunderland       9    8   -6      38.52    10.35   -24.50     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.26     1.20    19.29R    3.58  
Tottenham        9    7   -2      47.04    10.67    -2.85     0.01     0.11     0.46     1.26     6.01     5.32R    0.52  
Fulham           9    7   -4      40.84    10.13   -14.79     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.21     1.40    13.58R    1.99  
Bolton           9    5   -5      28.40     8.66   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    56.98R   15.33  
Derby            9    5  -17      21.05     7.49   -58.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.55R   55.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Wolves vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      76.93    13.54    12.99     9.20    18.27    49.30    24.68P    0.24R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.44    13.87    30.04    19.00    32.35    65.77    40.78P    0.14R    0.01  
WBA              10   17  +10      85.30    12.60    42.54    24.01    39.97    75.15    50.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      71.07    13.11    11.76     3.40     8.53    32.91    14.89P    0.71R    0.02  
Stoke            10   17   +3      79.02    13.15    23.25    10.94    22.01    56.33    31.80P    0.13R    0.00  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.65    13.25    21.42     7.99    16.98    49.73    25.12P    0.28R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      67.15    13.76     7.11     2.47     5.89    24.64    10.99P    1.73R    0.06  
Coventry         10   15   +0      69.09    13.85     7.95     3.45     7.76    28.99    12.48P    1.60R    0.06  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      68.64    14.20    10.87     3.39     7.68    28.82    13.16P    1.98R    0.13  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      68.30    14.23     5.84     3.24     7.57    27.86    11.76P    2.00R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      65.14    13.75     2.18     1.38     3.96    20.18     7.66P    2.71R    0.20  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.87    14.35     9.90     3.62     8.26    29.59    13.27P    1.95R    0.09  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.83    13.53     1.31     1.08     2.87    15.78     5.84P    3.94R    0.26  
Southampton      10   13   -4      54.90    13.31   -24.20     0.28     0.77     6.22     1.69P   11.31R    0.88  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.86    14.10     0.54     1.24     3.09    15.46     6.09P    4.94R    0.33  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      62.27    13.72     0.31     1.07     2.98    15.14     5.80P    4.76R    0.40  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.23    13.26     5.87     1.02     2.80    16.32     5.95P    3.26R    0.18  
Leicester         9   11   +2      64.80    15.03     7.35     2.37     5.55    21.60    10.36P    4.32R    0.31  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.77    13.07     1.58     0.53     1.64    10.64     4.16P    5.24R    0.45  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.15    13.27    -8.82     0.30     0.88     6.84     2.07P   10.18R    1.02  
Preston          10    9   -3      49.27    12.63   -16.50     0.03     0.17     2.29     0.69P   20.12R    2.31  
Norwich           9    8   -5      37.74    12.23   -32.95     0.01     0.01     0.34     0.09P   58.09R   13.75  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      32.21    11.32   -53.50     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   75.46R   30.34  
QPR               8    3  -13      27.88    11.16   -66.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   84.88R   49.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      81.59    12.84    27.40     4.72    14.04    60.77    24.57P    0.10R    0.00  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.01    12.35   -16.68     0.14     0.64     9.87     1.68P    4.51R    0.25  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.36    12.81    34.17     6.79    17.19    66.77    30.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea        10   17   +6      87.43    12.72    42.77    11.33    26.91    77.30    40.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      92.37    12.66    51.29    20.96    42.73    86.29    57.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon        10   16   +8      75.87    12.97    25.45     2.35     7.12    44.42    15.52P    0.40R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      66.83    13.47     1.60     0.41     1.81    20.51     4.58P    3.10R    0.16  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      78.93    12.91    31.27     2.98     9.83    53.89    19.09P    0.28R    0.01  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.47    13.28     2.29     0.26     1.07    14.41     3.97P    4.07R    0.27  
Walsall        10   14   +0      60.00    12.89    -6.54     0.14     0.59     8.54     2.05P    6.71R    0.55  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      60.36    13.18    -3.63     0.16     0.62     9.56     2.67P    6.28R    0.46  
Leeds          10   13  +15     100.31     9.40    80.60    49.23    74.72    97.91    86.73P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.84    13.03    -2.91     0.13     0.65    10.06     2.36P    6.14R    0.54  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      43.62    11.61   -44.07     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.07P   43.68R    9.13  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      62.42    13.70    -0.80     0.18     0.83    13.03     3.18P    5.82R    0.66  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      54.79    12.70   -10.90     0.04     0.15     4.10     0.89P   13.04R    1.54  
Luton          10   11   -2      57.57    13.01    -6.80     0.02     0.23     6.47     1.39P   10.11R    1.05  
Oldham          9   10   -2      62.11    13.81     0.20     0.15     0.80    12.93     3.19P    6.17R    0.68  
Crewe          10   10   -5      43.72    11.71   -32.95     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.09P   42.08R    9.21  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      40.35    11.31   -48.51     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   54.63R   16.82  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      42.10    11.84   -33.08     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.05P   47.80R   12.10  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      47.21    11.98   -18.84     0.01     0.04     1.02     0.21P   29.64R    5.44  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      43.68    11.89   -28.93     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   41.50R   10.30  
Millwall       10    8   -8      34.58    10.12   -42.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.83R   30.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 October 2007, Chester vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.01    12.56    48.26    23.89    55.62    87.84    63.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford       10   20   +9      87.35    12.93    40.24    14.21    41.40    79.70    51.18P    0.00     0.00  
Chester        10   20   +8      87.86    12.75    38.71    14.04    42.87    81.00    53.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      93.10    11.87    49.22    25.02    59.99    90.62    71.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      85.91    12.65    40.40    11.32    36.84    77.03    47.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.72    13.18    25.10     4.63    20.16    59.82    30.20P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      76.68    13.47    22.25     3.05    15.30    50.95    23.79P    0.08R    0.02  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      68.51    13.37     6.04     0.94     5.31    26.71     9.97P    0.41R    0.12  
Shrewsbury     10   14   +0      62.47    12.95    -1.91     0.15     1.94    14.54     4.29P    1.03R    0.30  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      67.41    13.47     6.75     0.52     4.24    24.70     8.79P    0.57R    0.16  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      63.00    12.98     2.40     0.20     1.78    15.23     5.10P    0.76R    0.19  
Stockport      10   13   -2      52.68    12.98   -22.62     0.02     0.36     4.29     0.89P    6.45R    2.41  
Bury           10   12   -3      53.74    13.01   -15.15     0.02     0.39     4.96     1.23P    5.21R    1.86  
Accrington     10   12   -4      45.39    12.23   -30.90     0.01     0.09     1.47     0.35P   14.63R    5.88  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      44.44    11.76   -34.10     0.01     0.04     0.89     0.20P   16.74R    6.55  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      58.99    13.76    -6.37     0.07     1.09    10.63     2.86P    3.28R    1.39  
Brentford      10   11   -5      51.39    12.81   -20.04     0.01     0.21     3.38     0.80P    7.51R    2.85  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      68.58    13.88    14.66     0.73     5.20    28.79    11.09P    0.73R    0.25  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      69.56    14.55    12.84     1.15     6.79    31.57    11.79P    0.81R    0.28  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      50.70    12.81   -19.38     0.01     0.18     2.85     0.71P    8.58R    3.34  
Bradford       10   10   -6      47.71    12.66   -25.58     0.00     0.08     1.79     0.39P   12.60R    5.18  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      41.72    12.78   -37.10     0.00     0.09     0.95     0.25P   26.16R   13.02  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      35.15    11.44   -46.14     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.02P   46.83R   27.09  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.67    11.53   -47.58     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   47.56R   29.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, York vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay           14   32  +17      94.40    10.15    54.18    24.25    86.77    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         14   31  +19     100.61     9.48    63.29    51.10    96.09    68.78P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot         14   31  +11      87.25    10.61    31.94     7.46    65.54    19.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            14   29  +11      84.44    10.72    31.21     5.54    56.09    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         14   27  +10      87.53    10.64    39.32     8.64    67.90    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green      14   24   +4      77.06    10.83    20.50     0.97    29.85     6.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Histon            14   22   +6      74.65    11.02    21.19     0.73    23.25     5.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter            14   22   +3      68.30    10.72     6.70     0.20     9.17     2.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         14   22   +1      71.42    10.94     9.84     0.30    14.46     3.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      14   21   +5      72.90    11.07    17.61     0.39    18.72     4.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster     14   21   +2      64.61    10.99    -0.75     0.09     5.43     0.96P    0.21R    0.00  
Salisbury         14   21   +2      66.06    10.86     3.86     0.11     6.72     1.51P    0.08R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      66.52    10.94     5.45     0.08     6.72     1.51P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_and_D.    14   19   +1      62.69    10.85     1.36     0.04     3.86     0.96P    0.32R    0.01  
Halifax           14   18   +2      60.74    11.06    -0.73     0.03     2.96     0.64P    0.47R    0.01  
Woking            14   18   +1      59.65    10.80    -2.63     0.03     2.17     0.53P    0.64R    0.02  
Grays             14   16   +0      59.10    10.60     0.70     0.01     1.68     0.53P    0.57R    0.01  
Weymouth          14   16   -2      60.72    10.96    -1.03     0.01     2.48     0.51P    0.58R    0.00  
York              14   12  -11      45.81    10.43   -31.31     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.53R    0.56  
Farsley           13   12  -12      43.56    10.67   -37.25     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.37R    1.13  
Altrincham        13    9  -13      35.10     9.77   -53.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.81R    6.89  
Stafford_Ranger   14    6  -14      31.88     9.25   -44.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.05R   11.34  
Droylsden         14    5  -21      29.28     9.00   -62.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.49R   16.49  
Northwich         14    2  -23      20.31     7.65   -73.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.64R   63.54