Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 October 2007 at 21:31:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Man._Utd. vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man._Utd.        9   20   +9      74.79     8.88    30.81     7.64    24.01    43.67    62.37    86.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   19  +12      84.82     9.54    57.38    46.12    69.39    82.90    90.70    97.36     0.00     0.00  
Man._City        8   16   +5      74.27    10.85    38.81     9.96    26.83    44.90    60.51    82.09     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        7   15  +10      81.32     9.61    50.37    30.00    55.47    72.47    83.89    94.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   14   +4      67.71    10.71    30.98     3.33    10.74    22.20    36.22    64.42     0.06R    0.01  
Everton          8   13   +2      56.16    11.37     7.48     0.48     1.80     4.38     8.76    24.48     0.98R    0.07  
Portsmouth       8   12   +3      60.76    11.91    20.37     0.83     3.71     9.76    18.02    40.05     0.71R    0.03  
Blackburn        7   12   +2      62.36    11.36    17.87     1.01     4.84    11.10    20.07    43.52     0.21R    0.02  
Chelsea          8   12   -1      51.15    11.45    -1.83     0.12     0.55     1.39     3.45    12.44     3.02R    0.26  
Newcastle        7   11   +2      55.01    11.94     7.26     0.28     1.54     3.96     8.36    23.14     1.83R    0.14  
West_Ham         8   10   +1      53.94    11.12     8.10     0.20     0.94     2.54     5.39    18.19     1.16R    0.13  
Birmingham       8    8   -3      37.35    10.91   -24.76     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     1.40    25.25R    5.36  
Middlesbrough    8    8   -4      37.36    10.40   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.97    24.57R    5.36  
Wigan            9    8   -4      38.08    10.29   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.08    20.66R    3.85  
Sunderland       8    8   -5      34.70     9.92   -33.92     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.70    32.15R    7.14  
Fulham           8    7   -2      44.65    10.75    -8.15     0.01     0.08     0.22     0.71     4.04     8.82R    1.31  
Reading          8    7   -9      31.29    10.14   -51.63     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.07     0.38    47.37R   16.02  
Tottenham        8    6   -2      43.67    10.99   -12.45     0.00     0.07     0.32     0.78     4.09    10.73R    1.78  
Bolton           8    5   -4      31.76     9.41   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    42.48R    9.93  
Derby            8    5  -16      22.80     8.38   -59.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    79.98R   48.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Wolves vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          10   23   +6      77.51    13.20    13.66     9.57    18.64    50.88    25.04P    0.20R    0.00  
Charlton         10   19   +6      82.89    13.74    31.18    19.71    33.62    67.17    42.41P    0.09R    0.00  
WBA              10   17  +10      84.96    12.80    41.85    23.53    39.38    74.33    49.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_C.       10   17   +4      72.29    13.62    13.61     4.87    10.56    37.44    17.84P    0.59R    0.01  
Stoke            10   17   +3      79.12    12.98    23.46    10.53    22.16    57.12    32.40P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         10   16   +2      76.82    13.15    21.85     7.74    17.21    50.35    25.59P    0.38R    0.01  
Wolves           10   15   +2      66.68    13.66     6.31     2.40     5.54    23.02    10.20P    2.17R    0.10  
Coventry         10   15   +0      69.00    13.69     7.88     3.19     7.38    28.68    12.04P    1.65R    0.10  
Plymouth         10   14   +2      67.77    13.86     9.42     2.99     6.75    26.25    11.65P    1.98R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   14   +0      67.34    14.73     4.20     3.26     7.42    26.50    11.24P    2.80R    0.20  
Scunthorpe       10   14   -1      65.03    13.67     1.90     1.43     3.85    19.97     7.29P    3.07R    0.20  
Burnley           9   13   +1      68.41    14.35     9.02     3.33     7.55    29.15    12.29P    2.20R    0.10  
Cardiff          10   13   +1      62.32    13.45     0.44     1.08     2.60    14.93     5.67P    4.34R    0.34  
Southampton      10   13   -4      55.09    13.25   -23.59     0.23     0.79     6.29     1.75P   11.82R    1.17  
Hull             10   12   +0      61.75    13.98     0.40     1.30     3.25    15.29     6.13P    4.76R    0.28  
Blackpool        10   12   -1      62.71    13.30     1.12     1.21     2.98    14.86     5.81P    3.94R    0.38  
Colchester       10   11   +2      63.03    13.50     5.58     1.04     3.02    16.94     6.36P    3.92R    0.34  
Leicester         9   11   +2      63.98    15.00     6.26     1.78     4.80    20.96     9.62P    4.61R    0.30  
Crystal_Palace   10   10   +0      59.19    12.68     0.69     0.38     1.17     9.24     3.48P    5.37R    0.26  
Sheffield_Utd.   10    9   -3      56.29    13.32    -8.78     0.33     0.92     7.25     2.27P   10.60R    1.04  
Preston          10    9   -3      50.21    12.93   -15.15     0.10     0.33     2.83     0.95P   19.34R    2.44  
Norwich           9    8   -5      38.56    11.91   -31.50     0.00     0.04     0.41     0.12P   56.07R   11.60  
Sheffield_Wed.   10    6  -11      32.48    11.64   -52.82     0.01     0.01     0.08     0.03P   74.95R   30.35  
QPR               8    3  -13      27.81    11.25   -67.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   85.03R   50.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Walsall vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere       10   19   +6      81.37    13.47    26.98     5.72    15.79    60.17    25.64P    0.12R    0.00  
Leyton         10   19   -2      62.88    12.42   -14.52     0.10     0.63    11.30     1.85P    4.29R    0.27  
Carlisle       10   18   +8      83.27    12.72    33.91     7.04    17.15    66.20    30.27P    0.06R    0.01  
Swansea        10   17   +6      88.77    12.14    45.21    12.82    30.02    80.97    43.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott_Forest     9   16   +9      92.26    12.92    50.84    21.78    43.03    85.60    57.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon        10   16   +8      76.08    12.95    26.06     2.28     6.99    45.53    15.58P    0.41R    0.01  
Southend       10   16   +1      66.18    13.12     0.38     0.32     1.53    18.86     4.14P    2.79R    0.20  
Hartlepool     10   14   +3      78.25    13.35    29.82     3.10     9.70    52.48    18.43P    0.55R    0.02  
Brighton       10   14   +2      63.72    13.08     2.78     0.21     0.92    14.33     3.81P    3.77R    0.24  
Walsall        10   14   +0      59.95    12.84    -6.67     0.10     0.46     8.60     1.76P    6.93R    0.57  
Yeovil         10   14   -2      60.61    13.14    -3.68     0.06     0.42    10.21     2.48P    6.21R    0.45  
Leeds          10   13  +15      99.38     9.73    78.11    45.83    70.78    97.52    84.11P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton    10   13   +2      60.81    13.25    -3.07     0.19     0.67    10.77     2.22P    6.54R    0.50  
Huddersfield   10   13   -7      43.69    11.71   -43.37     0.01     0.03     0.64     0.10P   44.06R    9.32  
Bristol_R.     10   12   -2      61.74    13.13    -1.89     0.15     0.59    11.45     2.60P    5.54R    0.51  
Doncaster      10   11   -1      54.58    12.43   -11.02     0.01     0.12     3.60     0.72P   13.62R    1.30  
Luton          10   11   -2      56.83    13.20    -7.92     0.08     0.31     6.29     1.54P   11.32R    1.42  
Oldham          9   10   -2      61.50    14.36    -0.60     0.18     0.81    12.65     3.23P    8.03R    1.14  
Crewe          10   10   -5      44.51    11.34   -31.63     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.13P   38.84R    8.10  
Gillingham     10   10  -13      40.04    11.41   -49.05     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   56.01R   18.61  
Cheltenham     10    9   -6      41.73    11.69   -33.72     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.04P   48.70R   13.12  
Port_Vale      10    8   -4      46.93    12.48   -19.45     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.18P   32.58R    7.25  
Bournemouth    10    8   -6      44.91    12.05   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.15P   38.48R    8.40  
Millwall       10    8   -8      35.49    10.63   -40.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   71.08R   28.57  

Adjustments:
Leeds          -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, Wycombe vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
              -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team          Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
MK_Dons        10   22  +11      92.61    12.64    49.31    26.32    59.59    88.88    66.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford       10   20   +9      85.70    12.83    37.35    11.88    37.83    76.53    47.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington     10   19  +11      93.89    11.66    50.11    27.80    64.55    92.12    74.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield   10   18   +9      85.92    12.70    40.61    12.06    38.58    77.52    49.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet         10   18   +5      79.09    12.95    24.09     4.32    19.48    58.44    29.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester         9   17   +6      82.87    14.14    30.26     9.57    30.71    67.81    41.05P    0.06R    0.04  
Peterborough   10   17   +5      77.82    12.81    24.30     3.58    17.00    54.38    25.53P    0.03R    0.01  
Wycombe        10   17   +2      68.89    13.29     6.58     0.92     5.49    28.31    10.44P    0.45R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      9   14   +2      67.27    13.96     6.21     0.81     5.29    25.95     9.84P    0.73R    0.20  
Rotherham      10   14   +0      66.86    13.53     5.83     0.65     4.50    23.84     8.79P    0.56R    0.12  
Morecambe      10   13   +0      61.11    13.15    -0.30     0.10     1.51    12.88     4.38P    1.33R    0.37  
Stockport      10   13   -2      53.59    12.80   -20.39     0.06     0.42     4.61     1.09P    5.13R    1.55  
Bury           10   12   -3      53.79    13.28   -15.05     0.08     0.56     5.49     1.62P    5.60R    2.04  
Accrington     10   12   -4      47.09    12.55   -27.77     0.02     0.10     1.60     0.35P   12.71R    5.10  
Dag_and_Red    10   12   -6      43.83    11.78   -35.59     0.01     0.05     0.80     0.17P   19.09R    7.81  
Notts_County   10   11   -4      57.85    13.05    -8.33     0.09     0.92     8.54     2.35P    2.81R    0.96  
Brentford      10   11   -5      50.29    12.88   -22.13     0.02     0.15     3.04     0.65P    9.29R    3.63  
Macclesfield   10   10   -1      68.09    13.35    13.54     0.51     4.55    27.25    10.21P    0.69R    0.22  
Rochdale        9   10   -3      70.61    14.50    14.70     1.17     8.27    35.65    13.95P    0.85R    0.29  
Grimsby        10   10   -4      50.39    12.63   -19.98     0.01     0.23     2.90     0.79P    8.45R    3.37  
Bradford       10   10   -6      48.94    12.77   -23.67     0.03     0.20     2.45     0.65P   10.63R    4.34  
Wrexham         9    9   -7      41.60    12.33   -36.54     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.14P   26.25R   13.04  
Lincoln        10    8   -6      35.47    11.16   -44.80     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   45.40R   25.43  
Mansfield      10    4   -9      34.10    11.28   -48.32     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   49.90R   31.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 October 2007, York vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                 -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team             Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay           14   32  +17      94.17    10.41    53.77    23.24    85.56    38.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage         14   31  +19     100.94     9.38    64.07    52.15    96.39    69.83P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot         14   31  +11      87.47    10.66    32.28     7.27    67.04    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton            14   29  +11      84.53    10.89    31.37     5.54    56.51    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge         14   27  +10      87.83    10.55    39.99     8.83    68.27    26.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green      14   24   +4      76.91    10.92    20.34     1.07    29.64     5.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Histon            14   22   +6      74.87    11.09    21.59     0.59    24.11     5.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter            14   22   +3      68.45    10.55     6.91     0.18     8.67     1.89P    0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet         14   22   +1      71.30    11.12     9.68     0.40    14.51     3.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town      14   21   +5      72.84    11.01    17.47     0.35    18.24     4.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster     14   21   +2      64.63    10.98    -0.69     0.04     5.36     1.00P    0.18R    0.01  
Salisbury         14   21   +2      65.80    10.97     3.43     0.12     6.50     1.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Oxford            14   20   +1      66.19    11.04     4.77     0.10     6.54     1.69P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_and_D.    14   19   +1      62.20    10.67     0.56     0.04     3.58     0.81P    0.21R    0.01  
Halifax           14   18   +2      60.29    10.99    -1.59     0.03     2.52     0.60P    0.59R    0.01  
Woking            14   18   +1      59.84    11.11    -2.42     0.04     2.29     0.58P    0.65R    0.01  
Grays             14   16   +0      59.33    10.50     0.92     0.00     1.55     0.53P    0.47R    0.01  
Weymouth          14   16   -2      60.59    11.17    -1.33     0.01     2.60     0.58P    0.69R    0.00  
York              14   12  -11      46.02    10.29   -30.88     0.00     0.04     0.00    11.10R    0.61  
Farsley           13   12  -12      43.62    10.78   -37.04     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.91R    1.20  
Altrincham        13    9  -13      35.41     9.75   -52.74     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.47R    6.92  
Stafford_Ranger   14    6  -14      31.86     9.43   -44.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.56R   11.82  
Droylsden         14    5  -21      29.18     9.09   -62.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.94R   17.55  
Northwich         14    2  -23      20.53     8.08   -73.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.84R   61.87