Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 5 October 2007 at 21:31:21 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 October 2007, Tottenham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 7 19 +12 84.36 9.79 57.18 47.09 71.61 84.28 91.05 97.08 0.00 0.00 Man._Utd. 8 17 +5 66.49 9.89 18.56 2.39 8.48 18.84 32.51 60.02 0.01R 0.00 Man._City 8 16 +5 74.33 10.66 38.54 11.27 30.68 50.57 65.07 83.67 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 7 15 +10 81.27 9.42 50.66 31.20 59.71 76.88 87.22 95.71 0.00 0.00 Everton 8 13 +2 56.84 11.13 9.24 0.76 2.63 6.04 11.49 27.55 0.56R 0.02 Portsmouth 8 12 +3 58.90 11.80 16.25 0.87 3.63 9.34 17.00 35.91 0.77R 0.04 Blackburn 7 12 +2 63.46 11.87 19.58 2.33 7.37 16.48 27.94 50.77 0.32R 0.01 Chelsea 8 12 -1 51.52 11.32 -1.12 0.12 0.67 2.05 4.53 14.45 2.62R 0.19 Aston_Villa 7 11 +3 65.59 11.33 30.20 2.67 9.77 21.32 34.10 58.35 0.20R 0.02 Newcastle 7 11 +2 56.44 11.86 10.68 0.64 2.25 5.71 11.38 28.14 1.48R 0.14 West_Ham 7 10 +2 56.29 11.88 11.14 0.56 2.54 6.34 12.27 28.18 1.31R 0.09 Wigan 8 8 +0 46.44 10.75 -1.88 0.07 0.33 0.95 2.23 6.70 5.36R 0.57 Birmingham 8 8 -3 36.31 11.04 -26.84 0.01 0.04 0.15 0.34 1.57 28.16R 5.29 Middlesbrough 8 8 -4 38.26 10.73 -25.36 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.34 1.56 22.22R 5.02 Sunderland 8 8 -5 34.04 10.05 -36.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.57 34.89R 8.30 Fulham 8 7 -2 45.60 11.09 -5.96 0.02 0.17 0.63 1.73 6.37 7.97R 1.02 Reading 8 7 -9 31.24 9.91 -54.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.26 47.44R 14.88 Tottenham 8 6 -2 41.28 11.06 -17.93 0.01 0.10 0.28 0.72 3.06 15.01R 2.23 Bolton 8 5 -4 30.11 9.13 -31.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.07 49.98R 12.03 Derby 8 5 -16 22.21 8.33 -61.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 81.72R 50.16Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 October 2007, WBA vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Watford 9 20 +4 69.43 13.95 1.05 2.54 6.75 27.96 11.12P 0.98R 0.04 Charlton 9 18 +6 84.63 14.99 34.60 19.79 34.36 68.64 43.05P 0.23R 0.04 WBA 9 17 +11 93.94 12.59 57.51 42.04 61.27 89.50 70.62P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 9 15 +2 75.99 13.39 19.65 4.70 12.49 45.98 20.04P 0.46R 0.01 Coventry 9 15 +1 69.93 14.32 8.18 2.65 6.57 30.41 11.59P 1.54R 0.07 Bristol_C. 9 14 +2 69.57 14.65 10.00 2.36 6.97 29.73 12.96P 1.58R 0.09 Stoke 9 14 +2 75.55 14.45 19.76 5.38 13.52 45.48 22.64P 0.66R 0.04 Scunthorpe 9 14 +1 74.52 14.28 17.69 4.03 11.05 42.39 19.16P 0.72R 0.02 Burnley 8 13 +2 75.45 15.17 21.17 6.07 14.99 45.58 22.14P 0.85R 0.05 Plymouth 9 13 +2 67.11 14.77 7.07 1.93 5.74 24.70 10.29P 2.50R 0.14 Wolves 9 12 +1 64.71 14.26 4.83 1.28 3.64 19.57 7.79P 2.83R 0.25 Colchester 9 11 +3 66.01 13.90 9.46 1.10 3.55 21.93 7.88P 2.40R 0.13 Hull 9 11 +0 60.89 14.93 -1.98 0.79 2.52 14.38 5.54P 6.17R 0.66 Blackpool 9 11 -1 63.18 14.51 0.74 1.06 3.35 16.70 6.64P 4.36R 0.41 Ipswich 8 11 -1 67.31 15.11 6.38 2.15 5.88 25.43 10.05P 2.85R 0.18 Cardiff 9 10 +0 57.39 14.84 -6.89 0.47 1.55 10.52 3.88P 9.28R 0.76 Southampton 9 10 -5 48.32 13.47 -38.27 0.10 0.28 2.47 0.63P 23.72R 3.17 Crystal_Palace 9 9 +0 60.53 13.63 1.90 0.41 1.60 11.70 4.36P 4.83R 0.27 Sheffield_Utd. 9 9 -1 59.31 13.98 -4.15 0.38 1.48 10.84 3.53P 6.53R 0.81 Preston 9 9 -2 51.09 13.25 -15.61 0.09 0.35 3.46 1.07P 15.44R 2.09 Leicester 8 8 +0 58.18 15.62 -1.96 0.69 2.07 12.08 4.93P 9.98R 1.06 Norwich 9 8 -5 38.24 11.41 -32.10 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 53.80R 11.71 Sheffield_Wed. 9 6 -9 35.58 12.36 -47.58 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.05P 62.67R 21.42 QPR 8 3 -13 26.58 11.02 -71.44 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 85.62R 56.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2007, Yeovil vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton 9 19 +3 73.91 13.55 8.39 2.53 7.37 40.18 13.00P 0.81R 0.02 Tranmere 9 16 +5 80.54 14.33 27.41 6.45 17.24 60.30 28.74P 0.42R 0.04 Southend 9 16 +2 73.46 14.01 12.50 2.02 7.36 39.92 13.55P 1.21R 0.04 Carlisle 9 15 +4 72.21 13.71 14.26 1.95 5.76 36.55 13.37P 1.09R 0.05 Hartlepool 9 14 +4 77.53 13.87 26.07 3.94 12.04 52.92 21.47P 0.66R 0.04 Swansea 9 14 +1 71.99 14.62 12.61 1.96 6.47 37.44 13.88P 1.53R 0.07 Yeovil 9 14 -1 62.92 13.57 -1.92 0.41 1.34 15.36 4.82P 5.20R 0.45 Nott_Forest 8 13 +8 91.48 14.11 51.53 23.66 48.35 83.52 61.42P 0.07R 0.00 Swindon 9 13 +3 67.24 14.72 7.79 1.42 4.28 26.14 9.31P 3.93R 0.34 Brighton 9 13 +2 65.82 14.65 4.43 0.94 3.31 23.17 7.79P 4.67R 0.28 Huddersfield 9 13 -3 49.92 14.12 -30.43 0.15 0.48 4.08 1.01P 29.20R 4.18 Bristol_R. 9 11 -2 66.74 13.90 5.32 0.51 2.38 23.68 6.60P 3.93R 0.39 Walsall 9 11 -4 49.87 12.98 -25.37 0.04 0.10 2.75 0.56P 26.91R 3.65 Leeds 9 10 +14 100.04 9.89 82.86 52.85 78.91 97.87 89.15P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 9 10 +1 59.14 14.11 -3.71 0.41 1.26 11.77 3.46P 9.99R 0.83 Doncaster 9 10 -1 52.86 13.79 -16.86 0.07 0.31 5.26 1.33P 20.79R 2.87 Luton 9 10 -2 59.87 13.93 -3.34 0.29 1.05 11.39 3.37P 9.28R 1.03 Crewe 9 10 -2 56.17 13.44 -8.61 0.09 0.44 6.89 1.77P 13.87R 1.68 Gillingham 9 10 -8 48.43 13.72 -29.03 0.03 0.12 3.05 0.69P 33.19R 5.87 Oldham 8 9 -2 61.82 14.61 -1.14 0.28 1.36 15.01 4.12P 8.41R 0.95 Port_Vale 9 8 -3 47.29 12.99 -19.64 0.00 0.04 1.81 0.41P 33.52R 6.13 Millwall 9 8 -4 40.64 12.07 -28.61 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.07P 53.47R 14.14 Cheltenham 9 8 -6 39.56 12.04 -39.34 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 58.80R 16.88 Bournemouth 9 5 -9 32.36 11.31 -45.17 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.03P 79.06R 40.08 Adjustments: Leeds -15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 October 2007, Wrexham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 MK_Dons 9 19 +10 94.62 12.83 56.94 32.55 65.23 91.08 71.53P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 9 17 +9 88.44 13.68 44.67 18.62 46.78 80.27 55.74P 0.01R 0.00 Hereford 9 17 +7 82.03 14.23 32.48 8.91 29.27 65.84 37.30P 0.02R 0.01 Chester 9 17 +6 82.94 13.73 30.60 8.51 30.56 67.97 40.72P 0.02R 0.01 Darlington 9 16 +8 88.56 13.06 41.65 14.97 46.35 81.75 59.06P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 9 15 +3 75.24 14.38 18.25 3.15 14.98 46.44 24.21P 0.17R 0.04 Peterborough 9 14 +4 78.43 13.83 27.69 4.43 20.16 56.56 29.23P 0.04R 0.00 Shrewsbury 9 14 +2 67.50 13.65 6.74 0.85 5.08 25.80 9.37P 0.44R 0.11 Wycombe 9 14 +0 61.03 14.28 -4.69 0.29 2.45 14.77 5.14P 1.77R 0.57 Stockport 9 13 +0 57.84 13.57 -11.81 0.23 1.35 9.48 2.94P 2.27R 0.48 Morecambe 9 12 +0 65.40 14.16 5.24 0.56 4.12 21.89 8.58P 0.74R 0.14 Accrington 9 12 -2 51.65 13.37 -20.94 0.09 0.55 4.49 1.29P 5.43R 1.89 Dag_and_Red 9 12 -3 48.98 13.71 -27.06 0.03 0.41 3.67 1.06P 9.64R 3.71 Rotherham 9 11 -1 65.74 14.82 6.14 0.91 4.93 23.35 9.16P 1.27R 0.31 Notts_County 9 11 -2 64.15 14.41 2.52 0.62 3.80 19.80 7.34P 1.25R 0.41 Brentford 9 11 -3 54.35 14.30 -17.04 0.12 1.05 7.18 2.10P 5.37R 1.93 Rochdale 8 10 -2 76.43 15.83 25.57 4.74 19.03 50.68 25.66P 0.49R 0.12 Grimsby 9 10 -3 50.54 13.50 -22.56 0.03 0.39 3.75 1.00P 7.92R 2.80 Bradford 9 10 -5 44.87 12.70 -33.84 0.02 0.11 1.22 0.24P 15.38R 5.51 Macclesfield 9 9 -1 64.95 13.82 7.90 0.33 3.15 20.67 7.44P 1.19R 0.45 Bury 9 9 -4 48.38 13.06 -22.61 0.03 0.20 2.62 0.68P 10.21R 4.08 Lincoln 9 7 -6 32.60 10.99 -52.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 51.26R 28.63 Wrexham 8 6 -9 32.73 12.12 -52.96 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.03P 52.26R 32.95 Mansfield 9 4 -8 37.86 12.43 -40.81 0.00 0.04 0.49 0.16P 32.86R 15.85Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 October 2007, Woking vs Farsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Torquay 13 32 +18 96.49 10.69 57.23 31.78 88.26 44.20P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 13 31 +13 89.80 10.68 36.11 11.16 72.83 23.89P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 13 28 +17 98.11 10.20 58.96 36.77 91.64 58.07P 0.00 0.00 Burton 13 26 +10 82.61 11.10 29.23 3.81 48.09 14.50P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge 13 26 +10 90.64 10.79 44.16 12.97 76.11 31.18P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 13 21 +3 66.65 11.28 4.24 0.09 7.21 1.53P 0.14R 0.00 Forest_Green 13 21 +2 77.28 11.33 22.59 1.18 29.95 6.17P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 13 20 +5 72.72 11.54 16.95 0.53 18.16 4.16P 0.04R 0.00 Oxford 13 20 +3 74.20 11.67 17.75 0.97 21.61 6.13P 0.02R 0.00 Kidderminster 13 20 +2 64.60 11.45 -1.47 0.06 6.07 1.08P 0.33R 0.00 Histon 13 19 +3 70.03 11.73 12.81 0.24 13.38 2.98P 0.12R 0.00 Exeter 13 19 +2 66.46 11.26 5.54 0.17 7.11 1.64P 0.14R 0.00 Ebbsfleet 13 19 +0 66.05 11.36 3.17 0.11 6.83 1.52P 0.23R 0.00 Woking 14 18 +1 59.37 10.86 -3.00 0.05 2.10 0.45P 0.58R 0.01 Halifax 13 17 +2 58.57 11.11 -4.92 0.01 1.90 0.41P 0.76R 0.01 Grays 13 16 +1 62.50 11.03 4.52 0.06 3.57 1.12P 0.29R 0.00 Rushden_and_D. 13 16 +0 60.72 11.19 0.06 0.01 2.63 0.56P 0.64R 0.01 Weymouth 13 13 -4 59.50 11.40 -2.07 0.01 2.25 0.38P 1.21R 0.01 York 13 12 -8 50.01 10.99 -22.36 0.00 0.21 0.03P 6.11R 0.20 Farsley 13 12 -12 42.57 10.71 -39.79 0.00 0.07 0.01P 19.82R 1.23 Altrincham 12 9 -12 37.70 10.30 -48.87 0.00 0.01 0.01P 35.17R 3.83 Stafford_Ranger 13 6 -12 32.93 9.72 -42.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.55R 8.20 Northwich 13 2 -21 20.87 8.27 -75.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.09R 50.42 Droylsden 13 2 -23 23.19 8.67 -73.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.71R 36.08