Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 September 2007 at 21:31:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2007, Manchester_United vs Sunderland_AFC; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool_FC         4   10   +9      80.10    14.57    75.04    28.25    46.84    59.55    69.02    82.83     0.03R    0.00  
Everton_FC           5   10   +3      62.73    13.44    22.44     1.74     6.46    14.44    24.14    43.73     0.23R    0.01  
Chelsea_FC           4   10   +3      62.34    15.23    15.77     3.25     9.26    16.84    24.80    42.70     0.62R    0.02  
Manchester_City      4    9   +3      71.05    15.57    34.68    10.65    22.79    34.51    45.27    63.44     0.23R    0.03  
Newcastle_United     4    8   +3      71.51    15.97    51.58    13.05    25.74    37.62    48.61    66.12     0.54R    0.04  
Manchester_United    5    8   +1      45.22    12.57    -6.26     0.03     0.22     0.65     1.72     6.46     5.84R    0.33  
Wigan_Athletic       5    7   +2      64.19    13.59    30.36     2.19     8.00    16.70    26.79    48.83     0.46R    0.04  
West_Ham_United      4    7   +2      60.98    16.40    20.70     4.21    10.07    17.07    24.50    40.63     2.15R    0.17  
Arsenal_FC           3    7   +2      69.51    18.30    36.72    11.23    24.05    34.76    44.34    60.25     1.67R    0.68  
Middlesbrough_FC     5    7   +1      56.53    13.06    12.46     0.29     2.21     5.33    10.46    26.02     0.81R    0.07  
Portsmouth_FC        4    5   +1      43.28    15.14   -25.82     0.23     0.83     2.06     3.77     9.44    12.52R    2.02  
Blackburn_Rovers     3    5   +1      76.27    17.20    76.17    23.16    38.66    50.74    60.62    75.17     0.82R    0.11  
Tottenham_Hotspur    5    4   +0      36.31    12.31   -41.23     0.01     0.09     0.24     0.58     2.01    20.84R    3.48  
Aston_Villa_FC       3    4   +0      53.78    16.53     9.80     1.69     4.56     8.53    12.96    23.64     3.69R    0.28  
Fulham_FC            5    4   -2      37.93    13.41   -43.74     0.01     0.10     0.34     0.99     3.04    21.52R    4.68  
Birmingham_City      5    4   -3      35.58    13.06   -44.77     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.61     2.36    25.34R    4.38  
Sunderland_AFC       5    4   -5      30.66    12.46   -41.23     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.46     1.54    38.20R    9.29  
Reading_FC           5    4   -6      24.35    11.18   -64.49     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.29    61.92R   25.02  
Bolton_Wanderers     5    3   -3      36.27    12.25   -34.08     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.30     1.44    21.88R    4.54  
Derby_County         5    1  -12      18.82     9.34   -84.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.04    80.71R   44.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2007, Coventry_City vs Preston_North_End; Check up-to-date)
                         -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                     Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Coventry_City              4   10   +5      84.67    24.07   134.17    15.90    28.43    58.36    34.72P    1.35R    0.20  
Watford_FC                 4    9   +1      92.90    23.89   451.77    25.99    41.46    70.42    45.99P    0.81R    0.10  
Bristol_City               4    8   +2      61.39    13.92     3.26     0.14     0.65     8.97     3.55P    0.95R    0.00  
Scunthorpe_United          4    7   +2      84.31    23.20   339.17    12.46    25.39    58.88    31.70P    1.33R    0.13  
Ipswich_Town               4    7   +2      66.59    14.20    14.19     0.29     1.08    15.68     6.00P    0.29R    0.00  
Wolverhampton_Wanderers    4    7   +2      67.77    15.20    16.74     0.38     1.62    19.50     8.30P    0.46R    0.01  
Charlton_Athletic          4    7   +1      60.62    14.76     2.67     0.14     0.61     8.79     3.20P    1.35R    0.03  
Stoke_City                 4    7   +1      72.44    24.52    25.63     6.38    12.91    38.97    18.10P    4.02R    0.48  
West_Bromwich_Albion       4    6   +2      72.61    24.64    86.44     4.18    12.16    42.33    20.50P    5.05R    1.05  
Cardiff_City               4    6   +1      55.83    16.62    -4.08     0.20     0.82     7.96     3.50P    3.90R    0.04  
Southampton_FC             4    6   +0      51.54    17.87   -30.09     0.24     0.99     7.62     2.44P    8.55R    0.19  
Burnley_FC                 3    6   +0      68.57    17.80    20.52     1.05     3.37    26.56    10.84P    1.20R    0.09  
Colchester_United          4    5   +2      63.02    24.71    22.92     1.93     6.04    27.11     9.16P   10.39R    2.04  
Leicester_City             4    5   +2      74.90    16.43    37.80     2.15     6.20    35.49    18.05P    0.28R    0.00  
Plymouth_Argyle            4    5   +0      69.91    22.86    83.90     3.41     9.60    34.40    14.21P    4.22R    0.62  
Crystal_Palace             4    4   +1      74.60    24.21   105.66     7.51    15.49    43.14    20.93P    3.02R    0.18  
Hull_City                  3    4   +0      59.34    19.10     0.89     0.82     2.40    14.57     5.74P    4.26R    0.52  
Blackpool_FC               3    4   +0      81.29    28.56   323.05    16.35    28.55    54.12    34.10P    4.53R    0.64  
Sheffield_United           4    4   -1      62.65    15.96    12.95     0.18     0.83    13.41     4.99P    1.87R    0.12  
Norwich_City               4    4   -1      40.13    20.57  -281.04     0.18     0.69     5.05     1.72P   37.40R    8.35  
Barnsley_FC                4    4   -4      51.70    16.87   -22.38     0.04     0.43     5.86     1.74P    8.39R    0.91  
Queens_Park_Rangers        3    1   -5      20.20    17.24  -730.84     0.01     0.07     0.78     0.15P   78.45R   53.27  
Preston_North_End          4    1   -6      28.01    11.08   -55.73     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   63.74R   11.92  
Sheffield_Wednesday        4    0   -7      31.40    19.16  -557.58     0.05     0.20     2.00     0.35P   54.16R   19.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Nottingham_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                        -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                    Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leyton_Orient_FC          4   10   +4      73.86    15.24    22.79     2.04     5.55    35.45    14.58P    0.34R    0.01  
Carlisle_United           4   10   +4      78.53    16.31    27.56     4.97    11.88    45.15    25.25P    0.52R    0.03  
Hartlepool_United         4    9   +5      79.36    17.91    43.49     6.67    14.56    52.78    24.86P    0.94R    0.14  
Huddersfield_Town         4    9   +1      82.51    26.02   102.12    19.71    31.07    57.84    34.80P    5.37R    0.71  
Tranmere_Rovers           4    7   +3      89.68    21.28   177.07    23.30    39.87    68.69    46.23P    0.83R    0.02  
Yeovil_Town               4    7   +1      69.97    17.96    20.54     2.17     6.62    27.94    13.27P    1.27R    0.03  
Luton_Town                4    6   +1      82.31    21.45   141.51    14.32    27.34    55.92    32.14P    1.47R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers            4    6   +1      56.75    17.91   -15.01     0.56     1.63    11.79     4.07P   10.90R    1.62  
Swindon_Town              4    6   +1      66.45    17.26    14.48     1.38     3.79    22.95     9.47P    2.97R    0.26  
Brighton_&_Hove_Albion    4    6   -1      60.21    16.72    -2.81     0.41     1.39    12.77     3.76P    6.75R    0.56  
Crewe_Alexandra_FC        4    5   -1      61.60    21.77    -8.42     3.29     7.00    21.95     9.21P   12.38R    2.33  
Swansea_City              4    4   +0      45.54    17.73   -46.94     0.19     0.53     4.73     1.50P   28.17R    4.94  
Doncaster_Rovers          4    4   -1      52.64    22.32   -60.08     1.34     3.77    15.06     5.29P   23.05R    4.54  
AFC_Bournemouth           4    4   -1      47.95    16.45   -14.65     0.20     0.51     4.75     1.70P   21.45R    2.62  
Cheltenham_Town           4    4   -1      47.05    22.54   -60.35     0.81     2.17    10.71     3.59P   33.69R    8.97  
Millwall_FC               4    4   -1      49.83    14.57    -7.40     0.04     0.22     3.23     1.09P   13.60R    1.39  
Port_Vale_FC              4    4   -2      46.62    21.78   -56.42     0.91     2.08     9.12     3.02P   33.77R   10.00  
Nottingham_Forest         4    3   -1      53.38    24.44   -24.45     2.73     5.83    17.39     7.83P   24.61R    5.64  
Southend_United           4    3   -4      63.78    23.94    21.36     3.42     8.15    28.13    10.03P   14.11R    3.08  
Gillingham_FC             4    3   -4      39.37    15.35   -51.69     0.01     0.03     1.11     0.17P   41.67R    9.99  
Oldham_Athletic           4    3   -4      41.18    20.67  -102.10     0.32     1.41     6.91     1.99P   43.84R   12.32  
Northampton_Town          4    2   -2      61.75    23.90     4.74     3.12     7.55    25.38     9.84P   15.18R    3.75  
Walsall_FC                4    1   -4      31.65    18.43  -207.54     0.01     0.19     2.02     0.31P   62.73R   26.98  
Leeds_United              4   -3   +6      81.99    16.97    82.19     8.06    16.84    58.22    36.01P    0.40R    0.01  

Adjustments:
Leeds_United             -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2007, Bury_FC vs Brentford_FC; Check up-to-date)
                         -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                     Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury_Town            4    9   +3      65.41    14.50    17.62     1.67     4.85    25.91    13.06P    0.05R    0.01  
Chester_City               4    8   +5     106.97    18.65  6504.18    40.83    74.41    93.56    79.56P    0.06R    0.02  
Darlington_FC              4    8   +5      93.55    22.20  3255.88    17.64    51.10    80.11    57.48P    0.33R    0.10  
Chesterfield_FC            4    8   +3      67.39    13.36    22.11     1.20     3.61    31.87    15.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford_United            4    8   +3      96.70    21.12  3235.57    19.80    56.37    83.60    63.80P    0.20R    0.04  
Brentford_FC               4    8   +2      71.23    23.63   -93.55     3.69    16.94    47.31    22.05P    3.31R    1.29  
Peterborough_United        4    6   +2      79.03    23.46  2913.21     2.61    25.86    62.44    29.86P    1.80R    0.63  
Rotherham_United           4    6   +2      69.66    14.71    36.41     2.10     5.25    42.24    22.68P    0.07R    0.01  
Lincoln_City               4    6   -1      38.29    20.19  -5553.42     0.20     1.54     7.72     2.17P   36.51R   20.20  
Morecambe_FC               4    5   +1      61.02    23.42  -503.09     1.28     8.96    32.12    14.15P    8.40R    3.52  
Stockport_County           4    5   -1      56.58    23.95  -1782.81     0.42     6.80    26.20     8.72P   11.89R    4.75  
Milton_Keynes_Dons_FC      4    4   +1      73.85    23.62  1056.36     3.29    19.65    53.29    23.65P    3.40R    1.27  
Macclesfield_Town          4    4   +0      57.06    14.56     7.96     0.81     2.68    10.98     5.58P    0.37R    0.05  
Notts_County               4    4   +0      59.65    16.32    16.91     2.15     4.48    16.77     9.49P    0.37R    0.03  
Barnet_FC                  4    4   -1      53.35    15.05    -8.78     0.54     1.78     9.28     4.38P    2.22R    0.39  
Bradford_City              4    4   -1      54.90    23.07  -1512.09     0.40     4.99    23.45     8.12P   14.09R    8.21  
Bury_FC                    4    4   -1      49.86    12.01    -8.72     0.01     0.30     3.54     1.26P    1.05R    0.18  
Mansfield_Town             4    4   -2      44.05    11.25   -47.31     0.01     0.12     1.33     0.41P    4.96R    0.92  
Wycombe_Wanderers          4    4   -2      31.28    21.00  -6300.61     0.12     0.98     5.18     1.58P   53.33R   38.74  
Rochdale_AFC               4    4   -3      56.00    13.12     2.49     0.41     1.21     8.61     3.44P    0.40R    0.04  
Dagenham_&_Redbridge_FC    4    4   -4      38.58    11.47   -42.10     0.00     0.08     0.77     0.21P   10.27R    2.69  
Grimsby_Town               4    3   -1      59.14    24.05  -1133.66     0.77     7.64    30.07    11.11P   11.89R    5.46  
Wrexham_FC                 4    3   -4      46.13    13.63   -28.15     0.07     0.41     3.65     1.36P    5.96R    1.25  
Accrington_Stanley         4    3   -6      30.48     8.56   -54.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.06R   10.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 September 2007, Crawley_Town vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                        -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                    Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Torquay_United            6   14   +8      99.51    17.33  6325.20    34.19    82.81    40.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage_Borough         5   13   +7      83.52     9.82    48.89     1.84    55.58    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green_Rovers       5   11   +5      68.73    10.92    25.07     0.17    11.10     3.85P    0.06R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic            6   11   +5      68.62     8.73    22.14     0.06     5.66     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury_City            5   10   +3      68.32    13.14    30.35     0.88    12.03     3.85P    0.19R    0.01  
Burton_Albion             5   10   +2      57.47    10.68    -2.53     0.01     1.56     0.38P    0.53R    0.03  
Cambridge_United          5    9   +5      72.69    11.75    44.21     0.57    19.06     7.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster_Harriers    5    9   +1      81.13    22.10  5989.27     9.63    51.30    12.10P    1.97R    0.32  
Aldershot_Town            5    9   +0      53.42     9.51    -8.52     0.00     0.40     0.11P    0.78R    0.01  
Oxford_United             5    8   +1      86.12    21.91  3437.86    15.41    60.15    23.70P    1.68R    0.25  
Exeter_City               5    8   -1      48.97     8.87   -13.08     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.33R    0.01  
Histon_FC                 5    7   +1      85.58    21.46  3122.48    13.60    60.10    22.71P    1.10R    0.20  
Ebbsfleet_United          5    7   +0      87.47    21.98  2931.85    16.50    64.18    28.36P    1.72R    0.26  
Crawley_Town              5    7   -3      41.59    18.97  -3198.39     0.03     3.46     0.35P   35.15R   10.32  
Halifax_Town              5    6   +2      55.72    10.96     3.66     0.12     1.20     0.53P    1.14R    0.02  
Woking_FC                 5    6   +0      78.96    21.01  1842.97     6.17    48.84    16.53P    2.10R    0.23  
York_City                 4    4   -2      46.29    21.78  -2770.41     0.31     7.70     1.06P   27.66R    9.22  
Farsley_Celtic            5    4   -5      38.96    18.12  -3380.24     0.03     2.08     0.17P   39.12R   12.95  
Rushden_&_Diamonds_FC     4    3   -2      48.97    10.97    -5.99     0.01     0.31     0.14P    4.34R    0.13  
Altrincham_FC             5    2   -4      42.71    20.56  -3030.35     0.18     4.78     0.54P   33.15R   11.75  
Weymouth_FC               5    2   -5      49.59    20.16  -928.53     0.30     7.47     0.87P   20.30R    5.84  
Northwich_Victoria        5    1   -5      33.53     7.96   -45.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.48R    2.87  
Stafford_Rangers          5    1   -6      40.10     8.90   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.74R    1.27  
Droylsden_FC              5    1   -7      24.37    15.18  -10420.01     0.00     0.14     0.00    72.41R   44.30