Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 May 2007 at 21:34:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 May 2007, Charlton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   36   88  +57      91.95     1.42    59.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             36   81  +40      84.66     1.77    41.31     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           37   67  +30      69.54     0.93    31.88     0.00     0.00    88.42   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             37   67  +28      68.44     1.30    28.11     0.00     0.00    11.58   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             37   57  +16      57.67     1.03    14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           36   56   +2      59.91     1.80     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.08     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              37   55   -5      56.55     1.29    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.82     0.00     0.00  
Reading             37   54   +5      55.13     1.28     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          37   53   +3      54.29     1.29     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           36   50   -2      52.55     1.82    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         37   49   +2      50.16     1.25     1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       37   43   -7      44.94     1.26    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           37   42   -9      43.40     1.27    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        37   42  -14      42.73     1.08   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              37   39  -20      39.82     1.15   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         37   38  -22      39.64     1.29   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.00  
West_Ham            37   38  -25      38.13     0.50   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.77R    0.00  
Wigan               37   35  -23      36.07     1.22   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R    0.00  
Charlton            37   33  -26      33.31     0.72   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Watford             37   27  -30      28.28     1.25   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 May 2007, West_Bromwich vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       46   88  +29      88.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   86  +25      86.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   84  +16      84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    46   76  +26      76.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   75  +24      75.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.60P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   74  +11      74.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            46   73  +21      73.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      46   71   +4      71.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   69  +14      69.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   67   +1      67.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   65   +8      65.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   64   +4      64.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   62   +5      62.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   57   +3      57.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   57  -15      57.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   56  -15      56.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        46   53  -14      53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   53  -15      53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   50  -32      50.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   49  -16      49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   46  -26      46.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         46   42  -33      42.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton            46   40  -28      40.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2007, Tranmere vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          46   91  +38      91.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        46   85  +24      85.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           46   83  +27      83.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   46   82  +24      82.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              46   79  +16      79.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              46   75  +22      75.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             46   72  +16      72.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            46   68   -1      68.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            46   67   +5      67.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            46   66   -3      66.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           46   60   -1      60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               46   60   -6      60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         46   59   -3      59.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        46   59   -9      59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          46   59  -21      59.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          46   54  -12      54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            46   53   -9      53.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         46   52  -14      52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        46   47   -8      47.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            46   47  -18      47.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           46   38  -17      38.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Brentford           46   37  -39      37.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2007, Macclesfield vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          46   89  +32      89.00     0.00    32.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   88  +25      88.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     46   85  +20      85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    46   84  +18      84.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        46   74  +11      74.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   72   +7      72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.64P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   71  +22      71.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   71  +11      71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   66  +20      66.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   65   +9      65.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       46   65   -4      65.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          46   62   +5      62.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   62   +2      62.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   59  -15      59.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   59  -16      59.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   55   -8      55.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   54   -5      54.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   53   -8      53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   51  -22      51.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       46   50  -11      50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boston           46   46  -29      46.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay          46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Dag_&_Red vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.34P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10