Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 3 May 2007 at 21:34:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 April 2007, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.12     1.85    60.03    98.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.03     2.19    41.35     1.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.54     1.55    33.77     0.00     0.00    89.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             36   66  +28      68.77     1.83    28.07     0.00     0.00    10.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.14     1.85    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.20     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.41     1.62    12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.80     0.00     0.00  
Reading             36   54   +7      57.62     1.68     8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.99     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.26     1.76     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.51     2.27     2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.49     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.46     2.22    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      49.00     1.74    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           36   42   -7      45.18     1.84    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.34     1.50   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.24     1.82    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.48     1.70   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham              36   36  -21      37.55     1.58   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.86R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.48     1.79   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.56R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.35     1.38   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.17R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.50     1.48   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.14R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.62     1.52   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.35     1.28    25.99    63.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.78     1.30    24.62    36.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   81  +14      83.15     1.18    15.14     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.30     1.13    20.61     0.00     0.00    91.27    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.29     1.27    -0.10     0.00     0.00    58.08     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.36     1.09    22.68     0.00     0.00    82.45    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.61     1.30    21.34     0.00     0.00    48.34    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.36     1.29    10.01     0.00     0.00    19.79     4.24P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.77     1.29    16.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.95     1.28     3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.13     1.26     5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.30     1.30    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   62   +6      62.98     1.21     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.60     1.30     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.86     1.25     4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.84     1.18   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.42     1.29   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.85     1.13   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.11     1.24   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.54     1.00   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.44     1.31   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.63     1.03   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.48     0.95   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.95  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.98     1.23   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Millwall vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.04     1.21    35.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.12     1.20    23.13     0.00    70.83   100.00    78.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.08     1.23    25.12     0.00    24.64   100.00    46.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.25     1.29    23.83     0.00     4.53   100.00    29.29P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.65     1.29    14.39     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.94     1.24    21.81     0.00     0.00    75.35    17.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.49     1.31    19.17     0.00     0.00    24.65     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.72     1.07     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.40     1.30    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.14     1.18     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.64     1.26     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.72     1.11    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.07     1.23   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.04     1.18    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.78     1.30    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.64     1.34   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.50     1.29   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.21     1.26    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      52.99     1.23   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.14     1.29   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.80     1.12    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.32     1.29   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.67     1.06   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.00  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.64     1.04   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stockport vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.31     1.24    31.97    55.95   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.79     1.24    26.57    44.05   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.35     1.24    20.03     0.00    89.36   100.00    92.53P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.08     1.25    17.24     0.00    10.63   100.00    35.10P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.80     1.27     9.59     0.00     0.00    99.69    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.18     1.18    23.30     0.00     0.00    99.14    34.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.89     1.12     5.43     0.00     0.00    61.27    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.21     1.26     5.78     0.00     0.00    39.91     7.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.31     1.31    19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.51     1.30     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.44     1.32     9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.43     1.30     6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.45     1.32     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.62     1.05   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.29     1.28   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.42     1.26    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.28     1.29    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.93     1.18    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.75     1.16   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.45     1.31   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.57     1.31   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.93R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.29     1.30   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.05R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.16     1.27   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.02R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.26     1.24   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, York vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.74P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10