Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 May 2007 at 22:38:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 April 2007, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.13     1.85    60.07    98.02   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.07     2.20    41.38     1.98   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.55     1.55    33.79     0.00     0.00    89.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             36   66  +28      68.73     1.85    28.03     0.00     0.00    10.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.17     1.86    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.40     1.64    12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84     0.00     0.00  
Reading             36   54   +7      57.59     1.70     8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.28     1.77     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.53     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.49     2.25     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.48     2.22    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      48.99     1.75    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           36   42   -7      45.19     1.82    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.33     1.48   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.23     1.81    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.47     1.69   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Fulham              36   36  -21      37.55     1.58   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.33R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.49     1.79   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.63R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.34     1.37   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.00R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.52     1.49   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.81R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.61     1.53   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.36     1.29    26.00    63.45   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.78     1.30    24.61    36.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   81  +14      83.16     1.18    15.16     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.33     1.12    20.67     0.00     0.00    91.55    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.28     1.28    -0.10     0.00     0.00    57.34     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.37     1.08    22.69     0.00     0.00    82.86    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.63     1.29    21.37     0.00     0.00    48.76    14.57P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.35     1.29    10.00     0.00     0.00    19.43     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.78     1.29    16.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.94     1.28     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.13     1.25     5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.31     1.30    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   62   +6      62.97     1.21     5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.60     1.30     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.86     1.25     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.85     1.19   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.43     1.30   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.86     1.13   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.09     1.23   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.51     0.98   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.43     1.31   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.63     1.02   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.46     0.92   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.26  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.98     1.23   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Yeovil vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.02     1.22    35.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.11     1.20    23.11     0.00    70.56   100.00    78.55P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.07     1.23    25.08     0.00    24.93   100.00    46.34P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.23     1.28    23.81     0.00     4.50   100.00    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.69     1.30    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.94     1.24    21.81     0.00     0.00    75.49    17.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.50     1.31    19.19     0.00     0.00    24.51     5.49P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.73     1.08     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.42     1.31    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.12     1.19     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.62     1.26     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.73     1.11    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.05     1.23   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.06     1.19    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.78     1.31    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.65     1.34   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.48     1.30   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.24     1.27    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      52.99     1.23   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.13     1.29   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.80     1.12    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.31     1.30   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.67     1.06   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.34  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.66     1.05   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.66  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stockport vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.30     1.23    31.97    56.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.78     1.24    26.54    43.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.35     1.24    20.03     0.00    89.12   100.00    92.50P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.10     1.25    17.30     0.00    10.88   100.00    34.94P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.80     1.27     9.61     0.00     0.00    99.73    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.20     1.17    23.31     0.00     0.00    99.16    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.91     1.13     5.46     0.00     0.00    62.01    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.18     1.26     5.75     0.00     0.00    39.09     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.30     1.31    19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.54     1.30     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.45     1.32     9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.44     1.30     6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.43     1.32     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.61     1.04   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.29     1.28   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.44     1.27    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.30     1.28    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.93     1.17    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.73     1.15   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.42     1.30   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.59     1.32   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.44R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.31     1.31   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.67R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.16     1.27   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.89R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.24     1.24   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stafford_Rangers vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    17.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10