Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 May 2007 at 21:34:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 April 2007, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.10     1.83    59.99    98.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.06     2.21    41.40     1.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.56     1.55    33.83     0.00     0.00    89.17   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             36   66  +28      68.75     1.84    28.04     0.00     0.00    10.83   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.16     1.86    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.42     1.64    12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.98     0.00     0.00  
Reading             36   54   +7      57.61     1.70     8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.27     1.75     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.51     2.26     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.61     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.46     2.23    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      49.02     1.75    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           36   42   -7      45.22     1.84    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.32     1.47   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.21     1.81    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.46     1.69   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham              36   36  -21      37.52     1.56   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.64R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.51     1.79   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.71R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.33     1.37   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.39R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.52     1.50   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.97R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.59     1.53   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.36     1.29    26.00    62.85   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.79     1.30    24.63    37.15   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   81  +14      83.16     1.17    15.17     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.30     1.13    20.62     0.00     0.00    91.67    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.26     1.27    -0.12     0.00     0.00    56.78     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.37     1.09    22.68     0.00     0.00    82.68    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.62     1.29    21.37     0.00     0.00    49.19    15.24P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.36     1.29    10.00     0.00     0.00    19.64     4.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.78     1.29    16.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.96     1.27     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.13     1.25     5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.32     1.31    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   62   +6      62.97     1.21     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.60     1.30     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.85     1.25     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.83     1.18   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.45     1.29   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.87     1.14   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.10     1.23   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.54     1.00   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.42     1.31   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.61     1.01   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.47     0.94   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.88  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.97     1.22   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Yeovil vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.04     1.21    35.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.12     1.20    23.13     0.00    70.54   100.00    78.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.10     1.22    25.17     0.00    25.05   100.00    47.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.24     1.28    23.81     0.00     4.41   100.00    29.89P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.66     1.29    14.41     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.93     1.24    21.79     0.00     0.00    75.14    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.50     1.31    19.19     0.00     0.00    24.86     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.71     1.06     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.41     1.30    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.12     1.19     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.63     1.26     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.69     1.09    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.06     1.23   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.05     1.19    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.74     1.31    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.67     1.34   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.48     1.29   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.23     1.26    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      53.02     1.24   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.12     1.29   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.81     1.12    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.31     1.29   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.67     1.06   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.30  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.66     1.05   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.70  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stockport vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.32     1.24    31.98    56.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.78     1.24    26.54    43.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.34     1.24    20.02     0.00    89.14   100.00    92.70P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.10     1.24    17.28     0.00    10.86   100.00    35.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.80     1.27     9.59     0.00     0.00    99.69    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.18     1.18    23.30     0.00     0.00    99.09    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.91     1.13     5.46     0.00     0.00    61.17    12.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.22     1.27     5.80     0.00     0.00    40.05     7.59P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.31     1.31    19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.49     1.30     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.44     1.32     9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.43     1.29     6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.45     1.32     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.63     1.05   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.28     1.28   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.43     1.26    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.28     1.29    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.93     1.17    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.73     1.14   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.45     1.31   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.56     1.32   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.59R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.30     1.30   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.42R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.18     1.28   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.00R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.25     1.24   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, York vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10