Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 April 2007 at 21:34:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Arsenal vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.13     1.84    60.04    98.23   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.02     2.21    41.32     1.77   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.56     1.55    33.82     0.00     0.00    89.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             36   66  +28      68.75     1.84    28.05     0.00     0.00    10.26   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.19     1.85    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.85     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.41     1.64    12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.29     1.77     5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.49     2.26     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.81     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.53     2.13     8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.44     2.23    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      48.97     1.74    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.06     2.19    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.34     1.48   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.25     1.81    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.45     1.70   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham              36   36  -21      37.52     1.57   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.18R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.50     1.80   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.53R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.33     1.37   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.06R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.52     1.50   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.95R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.61     1.52   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.35     1.29    25.99    63.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.78     1.31    24.61    36.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   81  +14      83.17     1.17    15.17     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.29     1.14    20.60     0.00     0.00    90.87    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.27     1.28    -0.11     0.00     0.00    57.03     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.36     1.09    22.66     0.00     0.00    82.38    22.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.63     1.29    21.37     0.00     0.00    49.44    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.38     1.30    10.01     0.00     0.00    20.21     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.77     1.29    16.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.96     1.27     3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.15     1.26     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.33     1.30    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   62   +6      62.98     1.22     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.58     1.30     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.87     1.25     4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.83     1.18   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.44     1.29   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.86     1.13   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.09     1.23   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.55     1.01   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.41     1.31   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.61     1.02   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.48     0.94   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.62  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.99     1.23   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Crewe vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.01     1.22    35.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.10     1.20    23.10     0.00    69.67   100.00    77.84P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.12     1.22    25.16     0.00    25.82   100.00    47.14P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.23     1.28    23.79     0.00     4.51   100.00    30.28P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.68     1.29    14.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.93     1.25    21.78     0.00     0.00    75.10    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.51     1.31    19.21     0.00     0.00    24.90     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.74     1.09     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.41     1.30    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.12     1.19     4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.60     1.26     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.69     1.10    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.05     1.23   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.07     1.19    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.76     1.30    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.67     1.34   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.48     1.29   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.23     1.26    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      53.00     1.23   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.11     1.29   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.81     1.12    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.32     1.29   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.68     1.07   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.22  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.66     1.04   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.78  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Walsall vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.31     1.23    31.97    56.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.79     1.24    26.57    43.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.34     1.24    20.03     0.00    89.50   100.00    92.78P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.08     1.25    17.25     0.00    10.51   100.00    34.35P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.81     1.27     9.62     0.00     0.00    99.72    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.20     1.18    23.29     0.00     0.00    99.22    34.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.89     1.12     5.43     0.00     0.00    60.80    11.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.22     1.26     5.79     0.00     0.00    40.25     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.31     1.31    19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.50     1.30     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.44     1.32     9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.47     1.30     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.44     1.32     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.61     1.04   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.25     1.27   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.43     1.26    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.31     1.30    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.91     1.17    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.75     1.16   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.42     1.31   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.58     1.31   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.30     1.31   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.79R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.15     1.26   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.47R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.24     1.24   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stafford_Rangers vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.16P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10