Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 April 2007 at 19:58:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Arsenal vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.13     1.85    60.08    97.99   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.08     2.21    41.39     2.01   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.57     1.54    33.81     0.00     0.00    89.66   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             36   66  +28      68.72     1.84    28.03     0.00     0.00    10.35   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.19     1.84    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.42     1.61    12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.57     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.26     1.75     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.52     2.25     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.77     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.49     2.14     8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.82     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.47     2.23    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      48.98     1.75    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.05     2.19    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.34     1.49   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.22     1.83    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.43     1.70   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham              36   36  -21      37.56     1.59   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.52     1.81   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.33     1.37   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.43R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.50     1.49   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.44R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.63     1.54   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 April 2007, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.37     1.29    26.00    63.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.77     1.31    24.61    36.27   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   81  +14      83.16     1.17    15.17     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.30     1.14    20.61     0.00     0.00    90.93    23.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.27     1.27    -0.12     0.00     0.00    57.05     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.38     1.07    22.69     0.00     0.00    82.94    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.64     1.29    21.38     0.00     0.00    49.54    15.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.35     1.29    10.00     0.00     0.00    19.44     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.79     1.29    16.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.95     1.27     3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.15     1.25     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.31     1.30    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   62   +6      62.96     1.21     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.57     1.30     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.88     1.24     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.84     1.18   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.44     1.29   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.84     1.11   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.08     1.23   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.54     1.00   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.42     1.31   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.62     1.02   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.46     0.92   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.84  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.99     1.23   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Crewe vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.02     1.22    35.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.10     1.21    23.10     0.00    70.14   100.00    78.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.08     1.22    25.12     0.00    25.02   100.00    47.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.26     1.29    23.83     0.00     4.84   100.00    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.67     1.30    14.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.93     1.25    21.78     0.00     0.00    75.59    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.48     1.31    19.17     0.00     0.00    24.41     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.73     1.07     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.41     1.31    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.11     1.20     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.63     1.26     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.71     1.10    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.06     1.23   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.05     1.18    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.76     1.30    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.66     1.34   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.50     1.29   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.21     1.26    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      53.00     1.23   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.12     1.29   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.82     1.13    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.32     1.30   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.69     1.07   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.53  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.67     1.06   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.47  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Walsall vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.31     1.23    31.99    56.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.79     1.24    26.55    43.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.34     1.24    20.01     0.00    89.09   100.00    92.56P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.08     1.25    17.27     0.00    10.91   100.00    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.79     1.27     9.59     0.00     0.00    99.73    18.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.17     1.19    23.27     0.00     0.00    99.14    34.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.90     1.12     5.45     0.00     0.00    61.55    12.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.20     1.27     5.78     0.00     0.00    39.58     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.32     1.31    19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.52     1.30     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.44     1.32     9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.45     1.30     6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.45     1.32     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.64     1.05   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.27     1.28   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.43     1.26    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.29     1.29    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.93     1.17    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.74     1.15   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.43     1.30   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.55     1.31   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.48R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.29     1.30   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.29R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.19     1.27   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.23R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.24     1.24   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stafford_Rangers vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    38.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10