Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 April 2007 at 18:06:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Manchester_C vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   35   85  +56      91.12     1.87    59.97    98.06   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             35   80  +40      85.04     2.19    41.35     1.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           36   67  +31      71.55     1.55    33.76     0.00     0.00    90.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.21     2.12    27.93     0.00     0.00     9.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              36   55   -3      58.15     1.86    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton             36   54  +13      56.40     1.63    12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          36   53   +6      55.28     1.76     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           35   53   +0      58.48     2.28     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.99     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.54     2.14     8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.93     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           35   47   -4      50.51     2.22    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         36   46   -1      49.03     1.75    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      45.98     2.20    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        36   42  -13      43.38     1.52   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       36   40   -8      43.25     1.82    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U         36   38  -19      40.45     1.69   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.91     1.79   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.43R    0.00  
Wigan               36   35  -22      37.47     1.79   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.59R    0.00  
West_Ham            36   35  -27      36.35     1.38   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.77R    0.00  
Charlton            36   33  -24      34.51     1.50   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R    0.00  
Watford             36   24  -32      25.62     1.54   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stoke vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       45   86  +26      87.37     1.30    26.01    60.90    95.11   100.00    96.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.79     1.30    24.61    35.31    89.95   100.00    92.94P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.49     1.74    17.16     3.79    14.94   100.00    37.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    45   73  +19      75.30     1.14    20.62     0.00     0.00    91.21    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   73   +0      74.28     1.28    -0.11     0.00     0.00    57.37     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   72  +21      74.36     1.09    22.65     0.00     0.00    82.52    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   72  +21      73.63     1.30    21.37     0.00     0.00    49.48    14.35P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +10      72.35     1.29     9.99     0.00     0.00    19.30     3.68P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +16      70.81     1.28    16.64     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   68   +3      69.95     1.28     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   64   +6      65.17     1.26     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   64   +0      65.32     1.30    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.33     1.77     3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   59   +3      60.55     1.30     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.86     1.25     4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   57  -14      57.84     1.18   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   53  -12      54.43     1.29   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   53  -16      53.86     1.13   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   52  -14      53.09     1.24   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   50  -25      50.54     1.01   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   49  -15      50.42     1.31   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   46  -24      46.61     1.02   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         45   42  -30      42.48     0.94   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.08  
Luton            45   40  -23      40.98     1.23   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Millwall vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          45   88  +35      90.02     1.22    35.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        45   82  +22      84.12     1.20    23.12     0.00    70.78   100.00    78.84P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   45   81  +24      83.07     1.23    25.10     0.00    24.62   100.00    45.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           45   80  +24      81.24     1.29    23.82     0.00     4.59   100.00    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              45   76  +14      77.67     1.30    14.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              45   72  +21      73.97     1.24    21.83     0.00     0.00    76.23    18.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             45   72  +19      73.49     1.31    19.18     0.00     0.00    23.77     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            45   68   +2      68.73     1.08     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            45   65   -3      66.41     1.30    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            45   64   +3      66.11     1.20     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           45   62   +5      63.61     1.26     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               45   59   -6      59.73     1.12    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          45   59  -19      60.06     1.23   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.06     1.18    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           45   57   -2      58.76     1.31    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.65     1.34   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham          45   53  -12      54.52     1.29   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            45   52   -9      53.19     1.26    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth         45   52  -13      53.00     1.24   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient       45   51  -14      52.13     1.30   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield        45   47   -7      47.78     1.11    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford            45   46  -18      47.32     1.29   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           45   38  -15      38.67     1.06   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.53  
Brentford           45   37  -37      37.66     1.05   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.47  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, Stockport vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          45   88  +32      89.31     1.23    31.97    56.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   88  +26      89.78     1.24    26.55    43.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     45   84  +20      85.35     1.24    20.03     0.00    89.38   100.00    92.85P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    45   81  +16      83.08     1.25    17.25     0.00    10.62   100.00    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   71   +9      72.79     1.27     9.59     0.00     0.00    99.75    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   70  +22      72.20     1.17    23.30     0.00     0.00    99.16    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   69   +6      69.91     1.12     5.45     0.00     0.00    62.32    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   68   +6      69.18     1.26     5.75     0.00     0.00    38.77     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   65  +20      66.29     1.31    19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   65   +1      66.53     1.30     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   64   +9      65.47     1.32     9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   62   +6      63.45     1.30     6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     45   61   +2      62.46     1.32     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   58  -16      58.61     1.04   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   56  -16      57.27     1.28   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   54   -8      55.40     1.26    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   53   -5      54.28     1.29    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   53   -6      53.93     1.17    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington       45   50   -9      50.74     1.15   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   49  -15      50.45     1.31   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   48  -24      49.60     1.31   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   47  -22      48.29     1.31   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.79R    0.00  
Boston           45   46  -27      47.14     1.26   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.58R    0.00  
Torquay          45   34  -27      35.27     1.24   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2007, York vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          46   95  +45      95.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         46   81  +33      81.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          46   81  +18      81.00     0.00    18.00     0.00   100.00    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   80  +20      80.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    18.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             46   75   +5      75.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   65   +2      65.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   63   -7      63.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           46   63  -17      63.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        46   62   +4      62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          46   58  -18      58.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   57   -5      57.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   55   -7      55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        46   55   -9      55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              46   52   +1      52.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         46   51  -14      51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   47  -10      47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
St_Albans          46   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10