Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 April 2007 at 21:34:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.68     2.26    58.38    83.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.50     2.46    43.05    16.14   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.18     2.01    35.13     0.00     0.00    95.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.22     2.11    27.98     0.00     0.00     4.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.56     2.06    14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    64.69     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.66     2.04    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.22     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.61     2.14     8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.27     2.13     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.46     2.67     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.27     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.42     2.57    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.17     2.15    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.04     2.18    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.88     2.00   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.86     2.27    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.87     1.77   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.58     2.22   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.08R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.31     2.15   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.34     1.89   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.33R    0.03  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.03     1.77   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.22R    0.26  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.48     1.92   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 April 2007, Sunderland vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Sunderland       45   85  +24      86.82     1.29    24.67    54.52    93.20   100.00    95.19P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.27     1.80    24.82    39.57    82.19   100.00    87.68P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.48     1.74    17.12     5.92    24.61   100.00    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.72     1.85    11.96     0.00     0.00    59.38    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    44   70  +18      73.91     1.73    19.94     0.00     0.00    71.65    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.06     1.82    -1.52     0.00     0.00    41.62     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.96     1.73    22.01     0.00     0.00    56.50    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.24     1.83    19.73     0.00     0.00    36.71    10.93P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.84     1.78    18.20     0.00     0.00    25.71     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.78     1.73     5.06     0.00     0.00     8.42     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.11     1.80     7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.74     1.86    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.35     1.77     3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.07     1.87     3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   57   +4      58.85     1.25     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      58.98     1.76   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      54.99     1.71   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.11     1.75   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.65     1.84   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.08     1.67   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.25     1.75   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.41R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.83     1.65   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.56R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.08     1.64   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.56R    6.40  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.10     1.76   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 April 2007, Northampton vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.51     1.76    38.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.74     1.77    24.48     0.00    91.78   100.00    94.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.80     1.82    23.62     0.00     7.30   100.00    34.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.43     1.81    21.61     0.00     0.91   100.00    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.24     1.82    13.71     0.00     0.00    97.45    21.49P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.57     1.80    21.19     0.00     0.00    62.41    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.93     1.85    18.29     0.00     0.00    32.30     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.03     1.68     2.01     0.00     0.00     7.84     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.50     1.79     4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.69     1.73     6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.45     1.82    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         45   58   -3      59.06     1.19    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.14     1.74    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.21     1.79   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.60     1.84     0.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        45   56  -11      57.63     1.34   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.39     1.79    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.17     1.81   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.63     1.81   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.57     1.81   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.73R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.50     1.80   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.64R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.35     1.70   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.28     1.70   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.37  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.56     1.58   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.63  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.18     1.78    28.61    76.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.60     1.66    32.32    20.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.72     1.76    21.08     2.58    99.03   100.00    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.20     1.80    14.87     0.00     0.97   100.00    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.32     1.87     9.79     0.00     0.00    99.45    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   67  +21      70.75     1.77    22.59     0.00     0.00    90.47    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.15     1.80     6.59     0.00     0.00    76.67    15.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   66   +5      68.14     1.65     4.34     0.00     0.00    22.39     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.88     1.86     9.20     0.00     0.00     5.34     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.60     1.84    17.84     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.06     1.86     8.46     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.58     1.81    -0.18     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.14     1.85     3.57     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.88     1.70   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.25     1.80   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.58     1.78    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.25     1.74    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.07     1.85    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.27     1.75   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.00  
Wrexham          44   48  -23      50.06     1.61   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.45R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.71     1.77   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.30R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   47  -21      49.13     1.80   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.14R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.87     1.83   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.55R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.27     1.76   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 April 2007, Northwich vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.04     1.25    45.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.48     1.27    34.17     0.00   100.00    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.75     1.28    17.54     0.00   100.00    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.21     1.24    18.83     0.00    91.24    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.93     1.27    18.84     0.00    72.00    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.54     1.28     6.24     0.00    31.90     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.76     1.14     6.94     0.00     4.86     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          45   70  +11      71.47     1.33    11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.46     1.33     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.41     1.34   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       45   62   +0      63.58     1.27     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   62   -7      63.10     1.20    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        45   59   +3      60.16     1.23     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          45   58  -17      59.05     1.23   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.43     1.32    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.69     1.30    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              45   52   +2      52.97     1.20     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   52   -8      53.30     1.32    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.66     1.30    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.31     1.30   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.30     1.31   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.74R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.07     1.23   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.84     1.16    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.37     1.34   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10