Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 April 2007 at 21:42:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.60     2.27    58.24    82.38   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.63     2.45    43.23    17.62   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.18     2.02    35.16     0.00     0.00    95.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.19     2.09    27.94     0.00     0.00     4.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.59     2.06    14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.17     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.60     2.02    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.43     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.58     2.13     8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.56     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.26     2.13     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.53     2.62     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.78     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.43     2.58    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.19     2.14    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.02     2.19    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.88     2.00   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.83     2.26    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.84     1.77   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.52R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.61     2.22   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.63R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.33     2.15   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.30     1.89   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.95R    0.04  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.04     1.76   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R    0.28  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.48     1.92   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2007, Burnley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.25     1.81    24.78    51.80    84.67   100.00    89.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.65     1.82    24.30    37.59    78.14   100.00    84.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.46     1.74    17.11    10.62    37.20   100.00    53.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.74     1.87    12.01     0.00     0.00    59.59    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    44   70  +18      73.90     1.75    19.95     0.00     0.00    70.94    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.09     1.83    -1.50     0.00     0.00    42.26     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.92     1.74    21.93     0.00     0.00    55.49    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.28     1.84    19.76     0.00     0.00    37.77    11.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.86     1.78    18.21     0.00     0.00    25.82     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.77     1.72     5.05     0.00     0.00     8.14     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.13     1.79     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.75     1.87    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.34     1.77     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.09     1.86     3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   57   +5      59.72     1.71     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      59.00     1.75   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      55.01     1.71   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.08     1.74   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.65     1.83   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.09     1.68   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.22     1.75   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.83     1.64   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.03R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.10     1.64   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.36R    6.73  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.10     1.78   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Huddersfield vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.52     1.78    38.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.73     1.78    24.47     0.00    91.76   100.00    94.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.78     1.81    23.59     0.00     7.25   100.00    33.92P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.41     1.80    21.58     0.00     0.98   100.00    26.61P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.26     1.83    13.75     0.00     0.00    97.36    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.58     1.81    21.17     0.00     0.00    61.74    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.94     1.85    18.30     0.00     0.00    32.76     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.03     1.68     2.02     0.00     0.00     8.13     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.47     1.79     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.71     1.75     6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.44     1.79    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.19     1.74    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.21     1.79   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.55     1.84     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.68     1.77    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.73     1.85   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.41     1.80    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.19     1.81   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.64     1.83   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.54     1.82   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.80R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.53     1.80   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.55R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.33     1.70   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.31     1.70   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.46  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.58     1.59   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.55  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.18     1.78    28.62    76.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.57     1.66    32.30    20.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.75     1.75    21.13     2.76    99.08   100.00    99.38P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.23     1.81    14.92     0.00     0.92   100.00    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.30     1.86     9.80     0.00     0.00    99.45    20.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   67  +21      70.74     1.76    22.58     0.00     0.00    90.64    31.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.15     1.81     6.61     0.00     0.00    76.78    15.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   66   +5      68.11     1.66     4.31     0.00     0.00    22.15     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.83     1.85     9.17     0.00     0.00     5.22     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.65     1.85    17.87     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.02     1.86     8.42     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.58     1.81    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.12     1.85     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.89     1.70   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.24     1.79   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.59     1.79    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.27     1.77    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.06     1.86    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.27     1.76   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Wrexham          44   48  -23      50.06     1.60   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.32R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.65     1.78   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.66R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   47  -21      49.19     1.81   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.60R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.89     1.83   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.84R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.26     1.75   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 April 2007, Northwich vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.04     1.25    45.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.46     1.27    34.15     0.00   100.00    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.76     1.29    17.55     0.00   100.00    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.22     1.24    18.85     0.00    91.28    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.95     1.26    18.86     0.00    73.30    14.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.53     1.28     6.23     0.00    30.50     4.45P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.76     1.14     6.96     0.00     4.92     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          45   70  +11      71.48     1.34    11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.44     1.32     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.41     1.35   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   62   -7      63.09     1.20    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        45   59   +3      60.16     1.23     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          45   58  -17      59.03     1.23   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.42     1.31    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.71     1.30    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              45   52   +2      52.98     1.20     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            45   52   +0      53.59     1.27     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   52   -8      53.28     1.32    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.65     1.30    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.32     1.30   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.31     1.31   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.36R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.08     1.24   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.17R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.81     1.14    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.47R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.37     1.34   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10