Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 25 April 2007 at 21:34:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.66     2.25    58.31    83.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.62     2.46    43.21    16.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.21     2.00    35.19     0.00     0.00    96.25   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.17     2.10    27.92     0.00     0.00     3.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.55     2.08    14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.33     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.59     2.04    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.31     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.60     2.13     8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.42     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.28     2.15     3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.51     2.63     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.66     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.41     2.55    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.21     2.15    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.04     2.20    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.84     1.99   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.86     2.26    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.84     1.77   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.46R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.61     2.22   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.31     2.16   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.46R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.28     1.87   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.91R    0.04  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.04     1.76   -34.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.41R    0.23  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.46     1.92   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2007, Burnley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.28     1.81    24.85    52.52    85.52   100.00    89.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.62     1.82    24.24    36.52    77.89   100.00    84.22P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.48     1.74    17.14    10.96    36.60   100.00    53.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.70     1.85    11.96     0.00     0.00    59.12    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    44   70  +18      73.88     1.76    19.92     0.00     0.00    70.92    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.06     1.82    -1.51     0.00     0.00    42.13     6.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.93     1.74    21.94     0.00     0.00    56.05    15.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.25     1.84    19.74     0.00     0.00    37.33    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.87     1.79    18.21     0.00     0.00    26.06     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.78     1.71     5.05     0.00     0.00     8.39     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.12     1.78     7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.77     1.87    -1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.34     1.77     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.07     1.85     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   57   +5      59.77     1.71     5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      58.99     1.75   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      55.01     1.71   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.09     1.74   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.66     1.83   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.07     1.66   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.22     1.75   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.83     1.64   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.64R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.12     1.65   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.27R    6.59  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.09     1.78   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Huddersfield vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.54     1.78    38.14   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.73     1.79    24.47     0.00    91.50   100.00    93.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.77     1.81    23.59     0.00     7.57   100.00    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.42     1.80    21.59     0.00     0.94   100.00    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.25     1.84    13.72     0.00     0.00    97.36    21.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.54     1.81    21.16     0.00     0.00    61.55    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.92     1.85    18.27     0.00     0.00    32.66     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.03     1.68     2.00     0.00     0.00     8.44     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.49     1.77     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.71     1.74     6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.45     1.81    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.18     1.76    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.18     1.79   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.55     1.83     0.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.70     1.78    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.73     1.84   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.40     1.78    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.19     1.80   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.64     1.83   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.58     1.81   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.57R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.51     1.80   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.54R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.36     1.70   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.94R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.27     1.71   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.35  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.57     1.59   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.64  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.18     1.78    28.60    76.36   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.60     1.66    32.29    20.91   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.74     1.75    21.11     2.74    99.03   100.00    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.22     1.81    14.91     0.00     0.97   100.00    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.31     1.88     9.81     0.00     0.00    99.41    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   67  +21      70.77     1.76    22.61     0.00     0.00    91.02    31.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.18     1.80     6.64     0.00     0.00    77.51    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   66   +5      68.10     1.63     4.30     0.00     0.00    21.29     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.84     1.84     9.17     0.00     0.00     4.99     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.66     1.84    17.87     0.00     0.00     2.69     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.04     1.87     8.44     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.57     1.81    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.10     1.86     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.88     1.71   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.24     1.78   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.57     1.78    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.28     1.75    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.08     1.85    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.25     1.75   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Wrexham          44   48  -23      50.05     1.59   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.96R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.66     1.76   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.46R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   47  -21      49.19     1.80   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.55R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.87     1.83   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.47R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.28     1.74   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Grays vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.01     1.25    45.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.46     1.27    34.15     0.00   100.00    39.82P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.74     1.29    17.53     0.00   100.00    21.10P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.22     1.24    18.85     0.00    90.86    19.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.94     1.26    18.84     0.00    72.44    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.56     1.28     6.28     0.00    31.82     4.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.78     1.15     6.99     0.00     4.63     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          44   69  +11      72.15     1.90    11.58     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.44     1.33     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.40     1.34   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   62   -7      63.09     1.20    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        45   59   +3      60.14     1.23     2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          44   57  -17      59.19     1.82   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.43     1.32    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.68     1.31    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              45   52   +2      52.99     1.21     1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            45   52   +0      53.59     1.26     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   52   -8      53.28     1.32    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.63     1.30    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.32     1.31   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.32     1.32   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.59R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.10     1.24   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.04R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.83     1.15    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.38     1.34   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10