Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 April 2007 at 21:34:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.62     2.29    58.26    82.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.53     2.46    43.09    17.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.18     2.02    35.11     0.00     0.00    96.27   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.20     2.09    27.93     0.00     0.00     3.73   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.62     2.05    14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.76     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.64     2.05    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.44     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.59     2.13     8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.20     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.23     2.12     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.46     2.63     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.18     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.43     2.56    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.21     2.15    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.01     2.19    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.87     2.00   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.88     2.26    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.86     1.78   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.73R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.59     2.21   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.92R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.27     2.14   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.32     1.89   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.35R    0.04  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.06     1.78   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.20R    0.34  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.52     1.93   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2007, Burnley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.27     1.83    24.82    52.09    85.16   100.00    89.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.63     1.83    24.27    37.07    78.17   100.00    84.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.47     1.75    17.12    10.84    36.67   100.00    53.38P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.70     1.86    11.94     0.00     0.00    59.48    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    44   70  +18      73.88     1.77    19.93     0.00     0.00    70.47    18.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.05     1.83    -1.51     0.00     0.00    41.80     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.92     1.75    21.95     0.00     0.00    56.09    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.30     1.83    19.78     0.00     0.00    37.73    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.83     1.78    18.18     0.00     0.00    25.65     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.78     1.74     5.04     0.00     0.00     8.78     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.13     1.79     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.78     1.87    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.33     1.75     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.05     1.86     3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   57   +5      59.77     1.71     5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      58.99     1.76   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      55.00     1.70   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.08     1.75   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.66     1.83   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.09     1.68   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.23     1.75   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.00R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.85     1.65   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.01R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.09     1.64   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R    6.63  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.12     1.78   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Huddersfield vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.54     1.78    38.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.74     1.77    24.48     0.00    91.88   100.00    94.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.79     1.81    23.62     0.00     7.13   100.00    34.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.42     1.80    21.59     0.00     0.99   100.00    26.60P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.26     1.83    13.74     0.00     0.00    97.50    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.57     1.79    21.18     0.00     0.00    61.65    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.94     1.86    18.29     0.00     0.00    32.59     7.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.00     1.68     1.99     0.00     0.00     8.27     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.49     1.79     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.65     1.75     5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.44     1.81    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.16     1.75    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.19     1.78   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.58     1.84     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.73     1.77    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.71     1.84   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.39     1.80    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.18     1.81   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.63     1.82   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.57     1.82   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.76R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.50     1.81   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.79R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.36     1.71   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.28     1.69   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.43  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.58     1.61   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.58  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.16     1.78    28.59    76.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.58     1.65    32.29    20.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.73     1.76    21.11     2.75    99.00   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.23     1.81    14.92     0.00     1.00   100.00    26.39P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.33     1.86     9.84     0.00     0.00    99.44    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   67  +21      70.73     1.76    22.57     0.00     0.00    90.56    30.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.18     1.80     6.67     0.00     0.00    77.29    15.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   66   +5      68.14     1.66     4.34     0.00     0.00    22.23     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.84     1.84     9.18     0.00     0.00     4.87     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.65     1.84    17.86     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.01     1.87     8.42     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.58     1.81    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.13     1.85     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.88     1.70   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.26     1.79   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.60     1.79    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.24     1.75    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.07     1.85    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.24     1.75   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
Wrexham          44   48  -23      50.08     1.60   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.81R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.64     1.77   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.80R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   47  -21      49.18     1.80   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.67R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.85     1.82   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.17R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.27     1.75   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2007, Grays vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.05     1.25    45.07   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.48     1.27    34.18     0.00   100.00    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.73     1.29    17.51     0.00   100.00    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.20     1.24    18.82     0.00    90.85    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.96     1.25    18.87     0.00    73.19    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.53     1.28     6.24     0.00    30.98     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.75     1.14     6.93     0.00     4.85     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          44   69  +11      72.13     1.90    11.58     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.43     1.32     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.39     1.34   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   62   -7      63.11     1.21    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        45   59   +3      60.16     1.24     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          44   57  -17      59.17     1.78   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.44     1.31    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.70     1.30    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays              45   52   +2      53.00     1.21     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            45   52   +0      53.57     1.27     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   52   -8      53.28     1.31    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.64     1.30    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.30     1.30   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.32     1.31   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.55R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.09     1.24   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.21R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.81     1.14    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.23R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.39     1.34   -32.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10