Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 April 2007 at 21:34:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_United   34   82  +54      89.61     2.29    58.26    82.67   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea             34   79  +40      86.57     2.47    43.16    17.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool           35   67  +32      73.19     2.01    35.15     0.00     0.00    95.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal             35   63  +26      68.20     2.11    27.95     0.00     0.00     4.09   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton             35   54  +15      57.60     2.06    14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.05     0.00     0.00  
Bolton              35   54   -3      57.62     2.04    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.14     0.00     0.00  
Reading             35   51   +6      56.63     2.12     8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth          35   50   +5      53.26     2.13     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham           34   50   -1      56.47     2.63     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn           34   44   -7      49.42     2.57    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa         35   43   -3      47.20     2.14    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle           35   42   -6      46.04     2.17    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C        35   42  -11      44.88     2.01   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough       35   40   -7      44.88     2.27    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham              35   36  -19      37.85     1.77   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.36R    0.00  
Wigan               35   35  -19      39.60     2.22   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.63R    0.00  
Sheffield_U         35   35  -20      39.33     2.14   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.47R    0.00  
Charlton            35   33  -21      35.29     1.87   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.04R    0.01  
West_Ham            35   32  -30      34.04     1.76   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R    0.28  
Watford             35   24  -31      26.46     1.92   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2007, Burnley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       44   83  +24      86.28     1.81    24.82    52.16    84.64   100.00    89.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       44   82  +23      85.64     1.83    24.27    36.77    78.11   100.00    84.39P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   81  +16      84.49     1.74    17.15    11.06    37.26   100.00    53.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   71  +12      73.71     1.85    11.95     0.00     0.00    59.14    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    44   70  +18      73.88     1.76    19.92     0.00     0.00    70.87    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   70   -2      73.06     1.83    -1.51     0.00     0.00    41.34     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   69  +20      72.96     1.74    22.00     0.00     0.00    56.68    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   69  +19      72.25     1.84    19.74     0.00     0.00    37.12    10.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +18      71.87     1.78    18.22     0.00     0.00    26.16     6.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   68   +5      70.79     1.73     5.05     0.00     0.00     8.70     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   64   +7      67.14     1.79     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   -2      63.77     1.86    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   59   +4      61.31     1.76     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   +3      61.08     1.87     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   57   +5      59.75     1.70     5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   57  -13      58.96     1.76   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -15      55.01     1.71   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   52  -12      54.11     1.74   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   50  -13      52.66     1.84   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   50  -24      52.08     1.68   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Hull             44   46  -16      48.23     1.75   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.73R    0.00  
Leeds            44   45  -24      46.82     1.64   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.53R    0.00  
Southend         44   42  -28      44.08     1.65   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R    6.70  
Luton            44   37  -25      39.12     1.77   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Huddersfield vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          44   88  +37      91.49     1.78    38.08   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        44   82  +23      85.74     1.78    24.46     0.01    91.41   100.00    93.94P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   44   78  +22      81.80     1.82    23.64     0.00     7.62   100.00    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           44   77  +22      79.45     1.81    21.62     0.00     0.97   100.00    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              44   73  +13      76.27     1.83    13.76     0.00     0.00    97.50    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              44   69  +20      72.56     1.81    21.17     0.00     0.00    61.34    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             44   69  +18      71.95     1.87    18.31     0.00     0.00    32.96     7.49P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            44   68   +3      70.02     1.67     2.00     0.00     0.00     8.21     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            44   63   +3      66.44     1.78     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           44   62   +6      64.67     1.73     5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall            44   62   -4      64.45     1.81    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe               44   58   -6      60.19     1.76    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham          44   58  -19      60.19     1.79   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale           44   57   -1      60.58     1.84     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton         44   57   -3      59.73     1.76    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield        44   55  -11      57.68     1.84   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton            44   52   -8      54.39     1.79    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient       44   51  -12      53.19     1.81   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Bournemouth         44   51  -13      53.63     1.82   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Cheltenham          44   50  -14      52.55     1.82   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.06R    0.00  
Bradford            44   46  -15      48.52     1.81   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R    0.00  
Chesterfield        44   44  -10      46.34     1.70   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R    0.00  
Rotherham           44   38  -13      40.30     1.69   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.39  
Brentford           44   34  -38      35.60     1.60   -39.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.61  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2007, Swindon_Town vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       44   88  +28      91.19     1.78    28.63    76.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   85  +31      88.63     1.65    32.39    21.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     44   84  +21      86.75     1.77    21.11     2.79    99.00   100.00    99.25P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    44   78  +14      81.19     1.79    14.86     0.00     1.00   100.00    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   70   +9      73.34     1.86     9.83     0.00     0.00    99.62    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   67  +22      73.08     2.10    25.07     0.00     0.00    98.72    35.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   67   +6      70.15     1.80     6.61     0.00     0.00    80.22    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   63   +9      65.88     1.86     9.22     0.00     0.00     5.22     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   63   +4      66.58     2.12     3.43     0.00     0.00     9.57     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   62  +18      64.62     1.84    17.83     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   62   +8      65.04     1.85     8.45     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   62   +0      64.61     1.80    -0.15     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   61   +3      64.07     1.85     3.47     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   57  -16      58.85     1.69   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   56  -15      58.26     1.78   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         44   54   -7      56.56     1.79    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   52   -6      54.25     1.74    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   50   -6      53.06     1.86    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   48  -15      50.26     1.76   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Accrington       44   47  -10      49.67     1.77   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   47  -20      50.47     2.23   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.00  
Wrexham          43   45  -24      47.53     1.86   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.60R    0.00  
Boston           44   45  -27      47.89     1.82   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.80R    0.00  
Torquay          44   33  -27      35.26     1.75   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2007, Rushden_&_D vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          45   92  +44      94.02     1.25    45.03   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         45   81  +34      82.47     1.27    34.16     0.00   100.00    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          45   78  +17      79.77     1.28    17.56     0.00   100.00    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   77  +19      78.21     1.23    18.84     0.00    90.94    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             45   75  +18      76.96     1.26    18.88     0.00    72.99    15.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             45   75   +6      76.54     1.28     6.25     0.00    31.07     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          45   74   +8      74.77     1.14     6.97     0.00     4.81     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          44   69  +11      72.14     1.91    11.58     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   64   +2      65.46     1.32     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           45   63  -16      64.41     1.34   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   62   -4      64.27     1.73    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D        45   59   +3      60.16     1.24     2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich          44   57  -17      59.19     1.81   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   54   -6      55.44     1.32    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   54   -6      55.69     1.31    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley            44   52   +1      54.88     1.81     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U        45   52  -10      53.67     1.30    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   45   52  -21      53.31     1.31   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         45   50  -14      51.30     1.31   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.69R    0.00  
Grays              44   49   -1      51.51     1.76    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.22R    0.00  
Halifax            44   49   -9      51.64     1.87    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.99R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   48  -17      49.06     1.24   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.89R    0.00  
Southport          45   47   -9      47.81     1.15    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.20R    0.00  
St_Albans          45   37  -33      38.37     1.34   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10